233. How to Be Less Terrible at Predicting the Future

Experts and pundits are notoriously bad at forecasting, in part because they aren't punished for bad predictions. Also, they tend to be deeply unscientific. The psychologist Philip Tetlock is finally turning prediction into a science -- and now even you could become a superforecaster.

Episode 233 of the Freakonomics Radio podcast, hosted by Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher, titled "233. How to Be Less Terrible at Predicting the Future" was published on January 14, 2016 and runs 46 minutes.

January 14, 2016 ·46m · Freakonomics Radio

Summary

Experts and pundits are notoriously bad at forecasting, in part because they aren't punished for bad predictions. Also, they tend to be deeply unscientific. The psychologist Philip Tetlock is finally turning prediction into a science -- and now even you could become a superforecaster.

Episode Description