#54 - The Science of Scale Fluctuations: Why the Scale Can Increase in a Calorie Deficit episode artwork

EPISODE · Feb 23, 2026 · 52 MIN

#54 - The Science of Scale Fluctuations: Why the Scale Can Increase in a Calorie Deficit

from The Leaner You Podcast with Daniel Rosenthal and Santo Chiappetta · host Daniel Rosenthal

You’re in a calorie deficit.You’re training, hitting steps, and staying consistent.Then you wake up and the scale's up a couple of pounds.In this episode, we break down what that number actually represents.We explain why day to day changes are almost never fat gain or fat loss.We cover the main drivers of short term fluctuations: glycogen and water, training stress and inflammation, sleep and cortisol, sodium, hydration, and for women, the menstrual cycle.Then we lay out how to use the scale correctly, how to interpret trends, why we look at three weeks, and when daily weigh ins are not worth the mental cost.Chapters00:00 Scale up despite doing everything right02:07 Why fluctuations happen and why they’re normal05:04 What “body weight” actually includes06:15 Glycogen and water: the carb connection09:10 Why low carb drops weight fast11:30 Carbs and relationship with food15:18 Training stress, inflammation, recovery18:01 Sleep cycles, cortisol, and water retention20:28 Work stress, under eating, and “stalled” scale loss22:47 Big deficits: physiology pushes back27:23 Menstrual cycle and luteal phase fluctuations30:22 Sodium, restaurant food, hydration, creatine36:08 Best way to use the scale: consistency38:56 Why once per week is often misleading40:10 Three weeks to see a real trend43:03 Using calories and context to explain spikes46:06 When daily weigh ins aren’t worth it48:34 Don’t chase water loss with detoxes or pills50:46 Wrap: patience, trends, and consistencyIf, after listening, you’d like help applying this to your own situation, you can book a 10-minute Strategy Call with Daniel to see if we'd be a good fit: ⁠⁠⁠rosentrain.com/exploratory-call⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow Daniel on Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/rosentrain/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow Santo on Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/santo.chiappetta/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠This podcast provides general fitness and nutrition information only. It is not medical advice. Consult a qualified professional before making changes to your exercise or nutrition routine. Full disclaimer: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.rosentrain.com/disclaimer

You’re in a calorie deficit.You’re training, hitting steps, and staying consistent.Then you wake up and the scale's up a couple of pounds.In this episode, we break down what that number actually represents.We explain why day to day changes are almost never fat gain or fat loss.We cover the main drivers of short term fluctuations: glycogen and water, training stress and inflammation, sleep and cortisol, sodium, hydration, and for women, the menstrual cycle.Then we lay out how to use the scale correctly, how to interpret trends, why we look at three weeks, and when daily weigh ins are not worth the mental cost.Chapters00:00 Scale up despite doing everything right02:07 Why fluctuations happen and why they’re normal05:04 What “body weight” actually includes06:15 Glycogen and water: the carb connection09:10 Why low carb drops weight fast11:30 Carbs and relationship with food15:18 Training stress, inflammation, recovery18:01 Sleep cycles, cortisol, and water retention20:28 Work stress, under eating, and “stalled” scale loss22:47 Big deficits: physiology pushes back27:23 Menstrual cycle and luteal phase fluctuations30:22 Sodium, restaurant food, hydration, creatine36:08 Best way to use the scale: consistency38:56 Why once per week is often misleading40:10 Three weeks to see a real trend43:03 Using calories and context to explain spikes46:06 When daily weigh ins aren’t worth it48:34 Don’t chase water loss with detoxes or pills50:46 Wrap: patience, trends, and consistencyIf, after listening, you’d like help applying this to your own situation, you can book a 10-minute Strategy Call with Daniel to see if we'd be a good fit: ⁠⁠⁠rosentrain.com/exploratory-call⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow Daniel on Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/rosentrain/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow Santo on Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/santo.chiappetta/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠This podcast provides general fitness and nutrition information only. It is not medical advice. Consult a qualified professional before making changes to your exercise or nutrition routine. Full disclaimer: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.rosentrain.com/disclaimer

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#54 - The Science of Scale Fluctuations: Why the Scale Can Increase in a Calorie Deficit

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Frequently Asked Questions

How long is this episode of The Leaner You Podcast with Daniel Rosenthal and Santo Chiappetta?

This episode is 52 minutes long.

When was this The Leaner You Podcast with Daniel Rosenthal and Santo Chiappetta episode published?

This episode was published on February 23, 2026.

What is this episode about?

You’re in a calorie deficit.You’re training, hitting steps, and staying consistent.Then you wake up and the scale's up a couple of pounds.In this episode, we break down what that number actually represents.We explain why day to day changes are...

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