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A Bold Prediction About Prediction Markets

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Summary

First published

02/12/2026

Genres

news commentary business politics

Duration

42 minutes

Parent Podcast

Firewall with Bradley Tusk

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Episode Description

<p>Why are the biggest names in venture betting big on prediction markets? Aaron Miller, principal at Will Ventures, joins Bradley to talk about the evolution of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket into a new kind of financial exchange and societal "source of truth." They dig into the states-versus-federal regulatory battle, the surge in American gambling behavior, and then turn to the messy restructuring of college sports. Do our old ideas about it make sense anymore?</p><p>This episode was taped at <u><a href="https://www.ptknitwear.com/podcasts/about-the-podcast-studio" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">P&amp;T Knitwear</a></u> at 180 Orchard Street — New York City’s only free podcast recording studio.</p><p>Send us an email with your thoughts on today’s episode: <u><a href="http://[email protected]" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[email protected]</a></u>.</p><p>Be sure to watch Bradley’s TED Talk on Mobile Voting at <u><a href="https://go.ted.com/bradleytusk" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://go.ted.com/bradleytusk</a></u>.</p><p>Subscribe to Bradley's <u><a href="https://bradleytusk.us13.list-manage.com/subscribe?u=598eec9b2f3796f83c63c4888&amp;id=f71bd48c53" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">weekly newsletter</a></u> and follow Bradley on <u><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/btusk/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Linkedin</a></u> + <u><a href="https://bradleytusk.substack.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Substack</a></u> + <u><a href="https://www.youtube.com/@firewallpodcast" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">YouTube</a></u>.</p>

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