EPISODE · May 29, 2026 · 20 MIN
Ceasefire deal and divergent policies
from The MUFG Global Markets Podcast · host MUFG EMEA
Reaching a deal to extend the ceasefire for 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz is now largely priced. Brent crude oil is down close to 20% from the high on 18th May reflecting the optimism that a deal would be done. Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities talks to James Roulston in FX Institutional Sales about what this means for rates and the US dollar. Derek also talks to James about the intervention data from Japan and the biggest AUD/NZD drop since 2016.
What this episode covers
Reaching a deal to extend the ceasefire for 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz is now largely priced. Brent crude oil is down close to 20% from the high on 18th May reflecting the optimism that a deal would be done. Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities talks to James Roulston in FX Institutional Sales about what this means for rates and the US dollar. Derek also talks to James about the intervention data from Japan and the biggest AUD/NZD drop since 2016.
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Ceasefire deal and divergent policies
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