EPISODE · Feb 17, 2026 · 37 MIN
Commodity Supercycle vs. Oil Glut: Gold, Copper, and the Future of Energy
from Tariffs and Trade: The New Cold War by SpotMarketCap.com · host Tariffs & Trade by SpotMarketCap.com
Are we entering a new 12-year commodity supercycle? We analyze the conflicting signals in the market, featuring insights from Jeff Currie (Carlyle) and Francisco Blanch (Bank of America).While metals like gold and copper hit record highs driven by central bank hoarding and the green energy transition, the oil market tells a different story. We examine the argument that the "supercycle is just beginning" versus the data showing rising inventories and a potential price drop to $60/bbl.Episode Highlights:The "3 Ds" driving metals: Debasement, De-dollarization, and Diversity.The AI infrastructure bottleneck: Why tech companies are suddenly investing in power plants and transformers.OPEC+ and the Glut: Is there really a 2 million barrel-per-day surplus, or is the market "structurally short"?Investment Rotation: The shift from the "new economy" (software) back to the "old economy" (physical assets).
What this episode covers
Are we entering a new 12-year commodity supercycle? We analyze the conflicting signals in the market, featuring insights from Jeff Currie (Carlyle) and Francisco Blanch (Bank of America).While metals like gold and copper hit record highs driven by central bank hoarding and the green energy transition, the oil market tells a different story. We examine the argument that the "supercycle is just beginning" versus the data showing rising inventories and a potential price drop to $60/bbl.Episode Highlights:The "3 Ds" driving metals: Debasement, De-dollarization, and Diversity.The AI infrastructure bottleneck: Why tech companies are suddenly investing in power plants and transformers.OPEC+ and the Glut: Is there really a 2 million barrel-per-day surplus, or is the market "structurally short"?Investment Rotation: The shift from the "new economy" (software) back to the "old economy" (physical assets).
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Commodity Supercycle vs. Oil Glut: Gold, Copper, and the Future of Energy
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