EP189: Will Belarus Survive the Ukraine War’s Endgame?

Summary:In this episode we extensively examine Belarus's multifaceted situation following a potential resolution to the Ukraine-Russia conflict. We analyze the political ramifications for Lukashenko's regime and the opposition, considering Russia's influence and domestic pressures. We also explore the economic challenges stemming from Belarus's dependence on Russia and Western sanctions, along with potential shifts in trade and investment. Furthermore, we investigate the social dynamics, including public sentiment, cultural identity, and migration. Finally, we assess the military and international relations landscape, focusing on Belarus's alliance with Russia and its strained ties with the West. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit geopoliticsunplugged.substack.com/subscribe