Episode 12: We Found a 6-Hour Window to Predict the S&P 500. Here's the Math

What if you could see where the S&P 500 is heading — six hours before it moves?In this episode, Alejandro and Serhii share a pattern they've been tracking for 12 weeks: an indirect correlation between USO (United States Oil Fund) and the S&P 500 with a six-hour lag. When the Strait of Hormuz closed and oil prices spiked, money started moving between systems, and the pattern became impossible to ignore. They walk through the math behind it, show it live on TradingView, and explain exactly how to use it: when USO shifts direction, you have a 24-hour window to enter or exit a position in the S&P 500 before the signal expires.They also break down why this strategy only works in wartime conditions, why USO was flat for five years before this, and what will happen to the pattern once the conflict ends. Plus: how to test it yourself with as little as $700.⚠️ One thing worth knowing before you start: past performance of any pattern does not guarantee future results. Position sizing and risk management matter as much as the strategy itself.――――――――――――――――――――⏱️ Timestamps:0:00 – Introduction1:04 – Why the Strait of Hormuz matters for your portfolio1:26 – How Alejandro tracks oil with USO and the S&P 500 with SPY1:33 – The discovery: USO and S&P 500 are indirectly correlated with a 6-hour lag2:08 – Live chart walkthrough on TradingView — the pattern explained visually3:08 – Why money moves between oil and equities — and how to track it4:29 – How to use USO as a sell signal for your S&P 500 positions5:30 – Serhii breaks down the mathematics behind the correlation8:01 – What is the best lag? How many hours do you have to act?9:14 – Plain English: USO goes down → buy SPY. USO goes up → sell SPY.11:01 – How to test this with $700 and one stock12:25 – The 6-hour window: how long the signal stays valid13:08 – Why this pattern started 12 weeks ago — and when it will stop working13:49 – USO on a 5-year chart: what wartime volatility actually looks like14:38 – How long to use this strategy — and when to stop――――――――――――――――――――🎙️ Foresee Markets — AI, quantitative research, and structured thinking applied to real market conditions. Hosted by Alejandro Ramirez Lemus and Serhii Nikolaiev.🛠 Tools & platforms mentioned in this episode: TradingView https://tradingview.com/💬 Tell us in the comments: What other patterns do you want us to investigate next?👍 Like, subscribe, and hit the bell so you never miss an episode of Foresee Markets.――――――――――――――――――――📹 During the podcast, important visual information is sometimes presented alongside the discussion. For the full experience, we recommend watching the episode on https://youtu.be/iayo78Cpzi0This podcast is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.