FactSet's 2025 S&P 500 Projection: 6600+

FactSet analysts predict the S&P 500 will close above 6,600 in 2025, based on a bottom-up target price estimation aggregating individual company targets. This projection anticipates double-digit earnings growth, with a 13% increase for companies outside the M7 group and a projected 13% net profit margin. However, accounting for historical overestimation, a more conservative estimate places the 2025 closing price around 6,215. The healthcare, materials, and energy sectors show the greatest projected price increases, while non-essential consumer goods show the largest predicted decline. The analysis incorporates revenue growth projections and sector-specific performance estimates.