Garrett Nussmeier Draft Evaluation | QB's Stock Rising After Senior Bowl

Garrett Nussmeier is one of the most polarizing quarterback prospects in the 2026 NFL Draft cycle. After flashing elite arm talent in the 2022 SEC Championship and breaking out as LSU’s starter in 2024 with over 4,000 passing yards, Nussmeier entered 2025 with major Heisman expectations. Injuries changed the story. A lingering core injury limited his mobility and consistency, leading to a midseason benching and a sharp drop in draft stock. Still, strong performances at the Senior Bowl reopened the conversation about his NFL future. This film breakdown dives into: Arm strength and velocity on tight-window throws Off-platform and off-script playmaking ability Decision-making concerns and overconfidence in arm talent How injuries impacted his 2025 tape Why scouts remain divided on his projection Is Nussmeier a first-round talent who needs refinement—or a high-risk, high-reward NFL gamble? Let’s break down the tape.