EPISODE · Apr 22, 2021 · 21 MIN
LIVE! Reaction: Answering the St. Louis Fed
from Eurodollar University · host Jeff Snider
In 2014 the St. Louis Federal Reserve noted that despite a MASSIVE increase in money the expected 4 to 6% inflation did not materialize. The researchers suggest it was a "liquidity trap". Yes, and no. But mostly no. ---------SEE IT-----------Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiAlhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLArt: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EPISODE #66TOPICS----00:05 In the pre-2007 period an increase in money supply lead to an increase inflation but...02:59 ...the post-2007 period displayed a break in the relationship (or did it?!)04:57 Possible causes include: labor slack, banks not lending, and 'too credible' central banks06:59 Another cause (perhaps likely?) is the Liquidity Trap.08:16 If the Fed controls interest rates, then a liquidity trap explanation sounds legitimate10:58 If the Fed controls interest rates, then raising rates will unwind a liquidity trap14:39 In 2005 Greenspan testified to Congress that a fundamental monetary assumption had failed17:57 The Fed identified market desire for safe, liquid instruments but got the "why" wrong19:39 The St. Louis Fed paper was published in April 2014, just as the third crisis had begun--------REFERENCES--------St. Louis Fed's "The Liquidity Trap": https://bit.ly/2Qc858ZAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7---------WHO-----------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Amber Lights" by Chill Cole at Epidemic Sound.
What this episode covers
In contrast with expectations, the injection of $3.5 trillion into the economy has not caused any significant inflation. In 2014 the St. Louis Fed asked, "Why?".
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LIVE! Reaction: Answering the St. Louis Fed
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