EPISODE · Apr 9, 2026 · 16 MIN
LP Edge #2: The Great Concentration: Why 5 Funds Captured Half of Venture Capital in One Quarter
from Hot Off the Cap Table with Charlotte Ketelaar · host HOTC
In this episode Charlotte breaks down Q1 2026's record $80B+ fundraising quarter and reveals the uncomfortable truth underneath the headline: five mega-funds captured more than half of all US venture capital raised in 2025 in a single quarter. Charlotte digs into what Kleiner Perkins' $3.5B raise actually tells LPs about manager selection, why the secondary market just hit $226B, and the Carta data that proves the middle of venture capital is a dead zone.Key TopicsQ1 2026 shattered fundraising records at $80B+, but the top five funds absorbed $35B of it, revealing an unprecedented capital concentration that's structurally closing the market for emerging managersKleiner Perkins' $3.5B raise is a masterclass in what makes LPs say yes: thesis clarity, demonstrated conviction, proof points like Figma's $1.4B+ in profits, and a rebuilt teamThe secondary market hit $226B in 2025 with continuation vehicles representing 43% of total volume, as LPs enter year four of a distribution drought and demand real liquidityCarta's Q4 2025 data shows only a third of 2021-vintage funds have returned any capital to LPs, and the TVPI spread between top decile and median managers is a chasmThe "Quarterly Signal" framework: how emerging GPs can stand out in LP inboxes with thesis-first communication, proactive transparency, and proprietary market insightsLinks & SourcesFollow Charlotte:LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/charlotte-ketelaar/X (Twitter) - https://x.com/CZJPKWTikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@capwave.aiInvestor tools waitlist:Capwave AI for VCs - https://capwave.ai/vcReports referenced in this episode:Q1 2026 US Fund Activity: $80B+ Record VC and PE Fundraising - https://www.thevccorner.com/p/q1-2026-us-fund-activity-record-fundraisingCarta VC Fund Performance Q4 2025 - https://carta.com/data/vc-fund-performance-q4-2025/VC Is Performing Better Than Ever. Then Why Are So Few First-Time Funds Being Raised? (PitchBook) - https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/vc-is-better-than-ever-why-so-few-first-time-fundsEmerging GPs No Longer Closing More VC Funds Than Experienced Peers (PitchBook) - https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/emerging-managers-close-fewer-funds-than-experienced-manager-for-first-time-in-a-decade2026 Outlook: Private Equity and Venture Capital Views (Cambridge Associates) - https://www.cambridgeassociates.com/insight/2026-outlook-private-equity-venture-capital-views/The Continuation Vehicle Boom: Structural Shift or Liquidity Patch? (CAIA) - https://caia.org/blog/2026/02/11/continuation-vehicle-boom-structural-shift-or-liquidity-patch'Our Funds Are 20 Years Old': LPs Confront VCs' Liquidity Crisis (TechCrunch) - https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/18/our-funds-are-20-years-old-a-look-inside-the-liquidity-crisis-reshaping-venture-capital/VC Firms Rarely Reinvent Themselves. Kleiner Perkins Did. (Fortune) - https://fortune.com/2026/03/27/vc-firms-rarely-reinvent-themselves-kleiner-perkins-did-3-5-billion/With $3.5B in Fresh Capital, Kleiner Perkins Is Going All In on AI (TechCrunch) - https://techcrunch.com/2026/03/24/with-3-5b-in-fresh-capital-kleiner-perkins-is-going-all-in-on-ai/Kleiner Perkins Raises AI-Focused Funds (Crunchbase) - https://news.crunchbase.com/venture/kleiner-perkins-raises-ai-focused-funds/GP-Led Secondaries and Continuation Vehicles Boost DPI and LP Liquidity (Dechert) - https://www.dechert.com/knowledge/onpoint/2025/11/gp-led-secondaries-and-continuation-vehicles-boost-dpi.htmlHot Off the Cap Table:Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/0ohcC6FrwuVIEbaKsY4IZpSubstack - https://charlotteketelaar.substack.com/
What this episode covers
In this episode Charlotte breaks down Q1 2026's record $80B+ fundraising quarter and reveals the uncomfortable truth underneath the headline: five mega-funds captured more than half of all US venture capital raised in 2025 in a single quarter. Charlotte digs into what Kleiner Perkins' $3.5B raise actually tells LPs about manager selection, why the secondary market just hit $226B, and the Carta data that proves the middle of venture capital is a dead zone.Key TopicsQ1 2026 shattered fundraising records at $80B+, but the top five funds absorbed $35B of it, revealing an unprecedented capital concentration that's structurally closing the market for emerging managersKleiner Perkins' $3.5B raise is a masterclass in what makes LPs say yes: thesis clarity, demonstrated conviction, proof points like Figma's $1.4B+ in profits, and a rebuilt teamThe secondary market hit $226B in 2025 with continuation vehicles representing 43% of total volume, as LPs enter year four of a distribution drought and demand real liquidityCarta's Q4 2025 data shows only a third of 2021-vintage funds have returned any capital to LPs, and the TVPI spread between top decile and median managers is a chasmThe "Quarterly Signal" framework: how emerging GPs can stand out in LP inboxes with thesis-first communication, proactive transparency, and proprietary market insightsLinks & SourcesFollow Charlotte:LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/charlotte-ketelaar/X (Twitter) - https://x.com/CZJPKWTikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@capwave.aiInvestor tools waitlist:Capwave AI for VCs - https://capwave.ai/vcReports referenced in this episode:Q1 2026 US Fund Activity: $80B+ Record VC and PE Fundraising - https://www.thevccorner.com/p/q1-2026-us-fund-activity-record-fundraisingCarta VC Fund Performance Q4 2025 - https://carta.com/data/vc-fund-performance-q4-2025/VC Is Performing Better Than Ever. Then Why Are So Few First-Time Funds Being Raised? (PitchBook) - https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/vc-is-better-than-ever-why-so-few-first-time-fundsEmerging GPs No Longer Closing More VC Funds Than Experienced Peers (PitchBook) - https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/emerging-managers-close-fewer-funds-than-experienced-manager-for-first-time-in-a-decade2026 Outlook: Private Equity and Venture Capital Views (Cambridge Associates) - https://www.cambridgeassociates.com/insight/2026-outlook-private-equity-venture-capital-views/The Continuation Vehicle Boom: Structural Shift or Liquidity Patch? (CAIA) - https://caia.org/blog/2026/02/11/continuation-vehicle-boom-structural-shift-or-liquidity-patch'Our Funds Are 20 Years Old': LPs Confront VCs' Liquidity Crisis (TechCrunch) - https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/18/our-funds-are-20-years-old-a-look-inside-the-liquidity-crisis-reshaping-venture-capital/VC Firms Rarely Reinvent Themselves. Kleiner Perkins Did. (Fortune) - https://fortune.com/2026/03/27/vc-firms-rarely-reinvent-themselves-kleiner-perkins-did-3-5-billion/With $3.5B in Fresh Capital, Kleiner Perkins Is Going All In on AI (TechCrunch) - https://techcrunch.com/2026/03/24/with-3-5b-in-fresh-capital-kleiner-perkins-is-going-all-in-on-ai/Kleiner Perkins Raises AI-Focused Funds (Crunchbase) - https://news.crunchbase.com/venture/kleiner-perkins-raises-ai-focused-funds/GP-Led Secondaries and Continuation Vehicles Boost DPI and LP Liquidity (Dechert) - https://www.dechert.com/knowledge/onpoint/2025/11/gp-led-secondaries-and-continuation-vehicles-boost-dpi.htmlHot Off the Cap Table:Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/0ohcC6FrwuVIEbaKsY4IZpSubstack - https://charlotteketelaar.substack.com/
NOW PLAYING
LP Edge #2: The Great Concentration: Why 5 Funds Captured Half of Venture Capital in One Quarter
No transcript for this episode yet
Similar Episodes
No similar episodes found.
Similar Podcasts
No similar podcasts found.