Mark Smith: ASB Senior Economist on their expectation unemployment will fall slightly to 5.2% episode artwork

EPISODE · Feb 3, 2026 · 2 MIN

Mark Smith: ASB Senior Economist on their expectation unemployment will fall slightly to 5.2%

from The SME Stream · host iHeartRadio NZ

Economists are divided on whether unemployment is finally starting to fall.  Stats NZ is releasing its latest employment update at 10.45.  Economic conditions are improving, but that's also prompting more people to re-join the labour market.  Most bank economists expect the unemployment rate to remain unchanged from three months ago at an historically high 5.3%, but ASB economists think it will fall slightly to 5.2% – the first fall in unemployment in four years.  Senior Economist Mark Smith told Mike Hosking that hiring is starting to pick up after being on the backburner for so long.   He says the economy has some underlying momentum, and after waiting on the sidelines last year, firms are going to convert those intentions into actions.   LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Mark Smith: ASB Senior Economist on their expectation unemployment will fall slightly to 5.2%

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This episode was published on February 3, 2026.

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Economists are divided on whether unemployment is finally starting to fall.  Stats NZ is releasing its latest employment update at 10.45.  Economic conditions are improving, but that's also prompting more people to re-join the labour market.  Most...

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