EPISODE · Jun 25, 2025 · 52 MIN
Markets, Politics, and Debt: Insights with Rich Weiss
from SKEPTIC’S GUIDE TO INVESTING · host Steve Davenport, Clement Miller
Please text and tell us what you likeRich Weiss, CIO of Multi-Asset Strategies at American Century, brings 40 years of investment experience to discuss market reactions to global turmoil and why the VIX index remains surprisingly calm despite international tensions.• Markets appear to be undervaluing risk despite geopolitical conflicts and economic uncertainties• Economic consensus forecasts predict 1.5% growth this year, avoiding recession but not stellar• Manufacturing and housing sectors show concerning weakness while consumer data remains resilient• Bond vigilantes could reject the "Big Beautiful Bill" and drive up interest rates if deficit concerns intensify• Fed Chair Powell maintaining independence despite political pressure for rate cuts• Companies likely to pass tariff increases directly to consumers in coming months• Congressional Budget Office estimates tax legislation could add $2-3 trillion to deficit over next decade• U.S. interest payments as percentage of GDP have reached approximately 4%, comparable to struggling economies• Gold has overtaken the Euro as the second most popular central bank reserve asset globally• Diversification remains "the only free lunch in investing" during uncertain times• Short-term investment thinking resembles gambling more than actual investing• High-quality corporate bonds may provide better security than treasuries in the near termFor more insights on navigating market uncertainty with a balanced approach, subscribe to "Ask Rich" on Mondays at 4:00 PM or follow the Skeptic's Guide to Investing. Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for NonePlease check out our other podcasts:https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.comDisclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.
What this episode covers
Please text and tell us what you like Rich Weiss, CIO of Multi-Asset Strategies at American Century, brings 40 years of investment experience to discuss market reactions to global turmoil and why the VIX index remains surprisingly calm despite international tensions. • Markets appear to be undervaluing risk despite geopolitical conflicts and economic uncertainties • Economic consensus forecasts predict 1.5% growth this year, avoiding recession but not stellar • Manufacturing and housing sect...
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Markets, Politics, and Debt: Insights with Rich Weiss
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