Nate Silver on 2016: The Sky Is Orange

What this episode covers

Months ago, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver crunched the numbers and found it was extremely unlikely that Trump would become the nominee. He wasn't wrong, and yet here we are. So why is this election so unpredictable? Silver talks to Brooke about why the rules of politics seem to be broken this year, and how electoral predictions are based on a short history. Plus: could the country be due for a political realignment? Nate is also author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't.

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How long is this episode of Chicken or Egg: A Collaboration from On the Media + FiveThirtyEight (On the Media)?

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When was this Chicken or Egg: A Collaboration from On the Media + FiveThirtyEight (On the Media) episode published?

This episode was published on March 4, 2016.

What is this episode about?

Months ago, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver crunched the numbers and found it was extremely unlikely that Trump would become the nominee. He wasn't wrong, and yet here we are. So why is this election so unpredictable? Silver talks to Brooke about...

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