EPISODE · Oct 24, 2021 · 1H 4M
The 2s/10s Treasury Spread 'Conundrum' [Ep. 136, Eurodollar University]
from Eurodollar University · host Jeff Snider
PART 01: The 'debate' in the US Congress about the debt 'ceiling' prevented the US Treasury Dept. from issuing UST Bills, the ultimate risk-free asset. This put serious stress on the Chinese currency. Now, with the 'debate' tabled till December, Beijing (and the world) are safe... for now.PART 02: The US Treasury yield curve IS NOT inverted and, therefore, is not signaling a recession warning. But IT IS warning that the Federal Reserve's reasoning to "taper" its quantitative easing program (i.e. economic recovery/health) is unfounded. We saw this in 2018. And 2014. And 2005.PART 03: A review of transcripts and recordings from the 1970s reveals that monetary and political authorities were unable to identify the source of inflation (international liquidity creation). The authorities didn't understand money in the 1970s, and they still don't.---------SPONSOR----------Macropiece Theater with Alistair Cooke (i.e. Emil Kalinowski) reading the latest essays, blog posts, speeches and excerpts from economics, geopolitics and more. Interesting people write interesting things, why not listen and hear what they have to say? You could do worse things with your time (i.e. Bloomberg, CNBC, et cetera). Recent readings include thoughts from George Friedman, Lyn Alden, Daniel Oliver, Michael Pettis, the Bank for International Settlements and yes, even Karl Marx.-----SEE EPISODE 136------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 136----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MReason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiHSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 136 REFERENCES---While The Fed Chases The Unemployment Rate, TIC’s Eurodollar Deflation Case Is Unusually Unambiguous: https://bit.ly/3G8RgkrThe Curve Is Missing Something Big: https://bit.ly/3jm0lNaThe Power of Money Lurks In the Shadows: https://bit.ly/30EPSFPAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, head of global investment research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, Trevor Something listener. Art by David Parkins, coloured-pencil pamphleteer. Show produced by Terence, focused visuals. Podcast intro/outro is "Aurora Borealis" by Chill Cole found at Epidemic Sound.
What this episode covers
The US Treasury curve celebrated the 2020-21 global reopening by steepening the spread between the 2- and 10-year yields. But there's no party being thrown for the Fed taper or recent stock market rally.
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The 2s/10s Treasury Spread 'Conundrum' [Ep. 136, Eurodollar University]
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