The Consumer Debt Trap That Flashed Red Before Past Recessions

Consumer credit card delinquencies are rising toward levels that preceded the 2008 financial crisis and the early 1990s recession. In this episode, Lucas and Luna examine the latest New York Fed data showing households worried about finances at the highest level since July 2022. They drill into the specific delinquency rates for different income brackets, why banks are already tightening lending standards, and what the VIX spike above 18 signals about market anxiety. The conversation connects rising credit card balances to slowing real GDP growth of 1.6 percent and a ten-year Treasury yield at 4.47 percent. Listeners learn why this consumer debt signal matters more than the headline unemployment rate of 4.3 percent, and what history suggests about the lag between delinquency warnings and official recession calls. #ConsumerDebt #CreditCardDelinquencies #RecessionSignal #NewYorkFed #HouseholdFinances #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #ConsumerSpending #BankLendingStandards #VIX #GDPGrowth #TreasuryYields #UnemploymentRate #JulianneCoughlan #MoodysAnalytics #RetailSales #DebtTrap Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo