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The Pollsters' Dilemma: Can We Predict Elections in the Age of Trump?

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First published

10/28/2024

Genres

business management careers

Duration

49 minutes

Parent Podcast

Geeks, Geezers, and Googlization Show

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Episode Description

Election crystal ball or magic 8-ball? Join political gurus Wendy Danley Davis and Louis Perron as they unravel "The Pollsters' Dilemma" in the era of Trump on this episode of "At the Corner of Main St and Wall St."

Can we still trust polls to predict election outcomes? Or are we better off consulting tea leaves?

This podcast that will challenge everything you thought you knew about political forecasting.

Get ready to dive into:
• The art (or science?) of reading political tea leaves
• Why your neighbor's lawn signs might be more accurate than national polls
• The secret algorithm: (Likes + Retweets) ÷ Polling Data = Election Results?

Don't miss this chance to peek behind the curtain of political predictions. Your vote counts, but does your opinion poll? Find out soon!

This episode will: 
- Question the reliability of traditional polling methods in the face of a deeply divided electorate.
- Investigate the phenomenon of the "hidden Trump voter" and whether polls are underestimating his support.
- Discuss the importance of voter turnout and how it can defy polling predictions.
- Consider the need for new approaches to understanding voter behavior, going beyond quantitative data to incorporate qualitative insights.
- Explore the clear dichotomy between kitchen table issues and moral outrage, reflecting the unprecedented polarized political landscape.

Join us as we explore the pollsters' dilemma in this era of political polarization and volatility. Listen as we explore why polling has become more challenging, from the rise of 'hidden' Trump voters to the impact of social media echo chambers. 

About our guests:

Wendy Davis, PhD is a former candidate for the Utah House of Representatives. She holds a PhD in Political Science from the University of Utah where her research interests included education policy, political socialization, state and local government, and political participation. She is the Chief Experience Officer for Agile Cloud Consulting and author of "The Fight You Don't See."

Louis Perron, PhD is a political scientist, consultant, and TEDx speaker based in Switzerland. His track record includes winning dozens of election campaigns worldwide—from big city mayors to presidents. He speaks fluent English, German, and French, is a frequent commentator on election campaigns in the news, and has been teaching political marketing for more than a decade. Author of "Beat the Incumbent, Proven Strategies and Tactics to Win Elections."

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