Welcome to the Talking the Line Podcast, presented to you by Talking the Line Sports Media. Giving you our best insights and analysis so you can rake in some cold hard cash on your next sports van. Now sit on back, open up your mind, and let's cash some tickets. We can't thank you enough for joining us.
We hope you enjoy. Good morning, good afternoon, good evening ladies and gentlemen, degenerates and gamblers for and what? Welcome in to episode number 122 of the Talking the Line Podcast on this beautiful Friday of Bets. Now you know the drill.
Thank you so much. As always, we're taking a few moments out of your day to come and kick it with the crew on this beautiful, now officially September 10th, 2021. Please, before we dive deep into a loaded weekend of action, we talk a lot of lines, a lot of insights, a lot of analysis and everything in between. Please, before we go anywhere, take a few moments too.
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However, and whenever you please. Ladies and gentlemen and beautiful gambling people joining us on today's show, episode number 122, I am your humble host, Colton, Cole45, Soroka. And once again, I can't thank you enough for choosing to stop by the TTL pod, get some stone cold analysis, insights, locks, best bets, picks, props, everything in between. You know how we do it, you know how we put it down.
I've been saying a lot of we, I've been saying a lot of crew, I've been saying a lot of us, but I have yet to bring in the second half of TTL sports media. So it is time for that. The co-host of the TTL pod, the co-host of the Wise Words podcast, a young man who is more than elated for two more short sleeps. Before he gets to see the emblem on his chest, grace the field for the first time in 2021.
Ladies and gentlemen, he hasn't stopped talking about you're off about it for the last seven days. Please let me bring him in so we can do some for you. The man, the myth, the degenerate gambling legend himself, Mr. Riley, R.
Mags, Magneson. Barter, how you doing over there today, pal? My man, I am fantastic. It is a beautiful Friday in the Windy City.
We've got a full slate on tap for, I know you've got a little bit tonight, but even bigger slates on Saturday and Sunday. And you know, this is a day that I've been waiting for for quite some time. Last night, obviously, didn't have to disappoint as far as the game. Excitement goes, but I am a sucker for a full slate of NFL action, and I cannot wait my friend.
Oh boy, oh boy, I am in the same boat as you, pal. Did not disappoint at all. Had a barn burner in a half yesterday. And speaking of yesterday, hell of a segue, you know, a full transparency show here at the TTL pod.
Let's quickly before we talk about what is coming up on tap today. I look at yesterday's best bets of the day. Real quick, unlike the excitement of the game, I did disappoint. Ah, that's all right.
But it will be all right. No problem. Quick early season sacrifice. That's all we're talking this up to for Mr.
Mags. You ignore that over three. Oh, for three down there in the bottom left. Don't you even worry about that below us.
No problem. You played my props. We went two in one. That's OK.
No big deal. Little bit of a cash there. But over to our right right here at the TTL lock. We really got to stop calling things like that.
Because nothing is really a lock in this game that we play. We love the under. Many people we respected were on the under. And it got blown up before the fourth quarter.
So a little bit of a depressing bit there. But hey, short memories, bright eyes, clear smiles, maybe clear eyes, bright smiles. And that a little bit bass. Actors either way.
There you go. Yesterday's best bets of the day. I think the opposite works. Yeah, I think it does, too.
Either way, that's in the past. It is. That's gone. We're ready.
Short memories, memory of a goldfish, if you will. It's what I'm putting down. Now we have a loaded loaded loaded loaded show on top for you guys today. We have college football action tonight.
We got college football action tomorrow. Obviously we to on Saturday and then Sunday, the first official football Sunday. Baby kicking off at noon and not stop until 9.30. You know how it goes.
So we do have a handful of picks all across the board. If you tuned in last Friday, it's not going to be like that. We're not going to go game by game. Way too much.
That was just week one. Little bit of fun we had. We have really refined it. This week, I personally have 13 plays in total all across the board.
So tonight, tomorrow and Sunday. So very, very refined plays, very, very valuable plays that are seeing some really valuable on these lines. And that's why I am wanting to bring them to you today. I know my partner's in the same boat.
He's got a few less than me. 8 in total. So nothing too crazy. We're right around there.
You got a nice 21 bets to choose from. Have beautiful 21. I know some of them overlap a little bit. Some of them will overlap as well.
So it'll be a little bit less than that, actually. So all that being said, my friends, it's going to be TTO pod as usual. First segment of the day will go through all of our max picks. But hold on a minute.
We're not going to go through them all. We're going to go college football first. Then we'll kick on over to me. I'll go through my college football picks.
Then I'll dish it back on over to my partner with the assist for those NFL picks. Then I'll lay down my NFL picks. We'll throw them all back up on the screen as we always do best best best of the day. We'll make the whole drill.
You know how we get down. Make sure you have time to lock them in on your favorite sports bokey, Adi Adi Adi. Then I may briefly touch on a teaser that I really, really like that I think you should suggest. Or I suggest you should add to your bets lift this weekend.
Not going to make it the official TTL special play of the weekend my partner isn't as confident as I am. However, we cashed the first leg of it last night. About seven points on the Buccaneers minus eight and a half. And I'm down to minus one and a half.
Whoo. So I figured I'd give you the remaining legs. See if you want to play it along. If you hear my science because I did a six point teaser.
And the old minus two and a half on the bucks did not survive. Ouch. I mean, I'm not fierce. So we're turning this money train in the right direction.
We're getting it on the Express Track to pay day station, ladies and gentlemen. So that'll be instead. You might be thinking we forgot one thing. Oh, no, no, we did not.
We have been waiting for the much anticipated return of the all knowing cubicle objects that go by the money line dice. I woke up this morning with the MJ, just a fax in our fax machine over here at the studio. I'm back. Oh, I'm telling you, man, these guys do not mess around when it comes to NFL.
And they are looking mean right now. Not going to bring them on to the show yet. They are live in studio. I will tell you that.
And you will be able to see them live on your screen. Don't you worry. So the money line dice are gracing us with their presence on the second segment of the day. We got you guys with that.
Then we'll talk to this little R-Mags sidebar, little updates into the weekend here. And then, of course, my friends, I got some motivation minutes for you. And if you have been following the TTL crew, since we started this journey and released our analysis and insights to the public back at the beginning of the year, we've been doing this for exactly a year now. But I've been live to the public since January 1.
I have been doing the motivation minutes in a different way. I did them as an inspiration corner on our newsletter that we came out with. And I kind of went down to a walk down memory lane and found the first one that I ever did. And it kind of ties into NFL and actually ties into everything that I've been talking about here lately.
So I'm going to do a little walk down memory lane, have some motivation minutes, get you some good stuff going on into the weekend. So we all have a little extra inspiration to get us through the next few days. So before I get to see you guys again. So all that being said, enough blabber, enough nonsense.
That's the opener. That's the intro. You know how we're getting down today. First things first.
Cut all the nonsense. Cut all the drama, cut all the banter that you could go to every other sports media outlet and get. You come to the Talking Align podcast for Stone Cold, blocks, picks, and analysis, and run and tickets to the window with the TTL crew all day and night long. See, I remember the whole thing this time.
That being said, turn your volume way up. Open those ear holes wide and get ready to have nothing, but pure analysis and insights penetrate your ear holes and right into your dome pieces, courtesy of my partner to the left. And as always, partner, you have the floor. All right, so you might see a little bit of a theme here with my college football picks, but I'm extremely confident in these three.
I'm going to kick it off here with rut. Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa. We got to get to go. Sorry, good vibes, good vibes.
Cheers to you. Cheers to you. If you're drinking the elixir, you know the drill. Let's get it.
Good call. Good call. Good call. Okay.
Rock and roll. Right into it. So our next best best. First one of the day is going to be Rutgers versus Syracuse.
This is actually just a random little nugget here. First time these teams have played each other since they both left the Big East back in 2013. This was actually a decent little rivalry over in the Northeast, New Jersey, New York area. And fell victim to the old conference realign that we are once again seen in college football.
But nonetheless, first time since I believe 2012, they've seen each other. And I'm going with Rutgers. I know you got a little bit of a different line here, but I got caught him at Rutgers minus two and a half here. Flat out Rutgers is just a better team here.
I think the books are overlooking them. People are not giving them enough credit. Even last year, their record didn't look great. But if you look at Syracuse's record, they only had one win.
It was not in the, actually I'm not sure if it was ACC or not. But regardless, they only had one win. They were not competitive whatsoever in the ACC in a bad depth ACC. This Rutgers team last year, and obviously now starting into this year, they actually held their own.
They went a couple games. They stayed in some of these games. They're one of the bottom teams in the Big Ten, but it's totally different than Syracuse being at the bottom of the ACC. It's a big difference in talent.
Rutgers is going to once again hold their own against the Big Ten teams and flat out there just a better team here. Four and OATS last four after allowing less than 170 past yard in their previous game. That is Rutgers. And Syracuse's own five ETS, their last five following a straight up win.
And just full-off final nugget here. Rutgers six and two ETS last eight meetings. And now obviously that hasn't been for a while, but they've at least owned what was recently. So take that for what you will.
But that's my first play partner. Well, you go any further. Were you about to segue into your second best bet of it? Sure was.
All right. So in the essence of time, I too am also on Rutgers. I kind of mentioned that. And so I'll skip it once we get to my best bets for college wise.
So just a couple things I did want to add. Go ahead. Hughes is bad, bad, bad, bad, bad. They played Ohio last week as a one-point favorite.
They did beat the doors off of them by 20 points, 29 to 9. However, that was or should have been a much, much closer game. Ohio just could not finish drives. They were handling themselves just fine.
They could not find the end zone. Now last but not least, you did mention a couple of key trends. I did have a few to go on top of that. We have been talking a lot about home field advantage.
Rutgers five and OATS last five road games. Five and one, ETS their last six games as a favorite. You did mention their last eight against Q6 and two ETS. I absolutely love that, even though it's been a little bit in the past.
Syracuse is O and five, ETS their last five following a straight up win, two and six in their last eight, ETS following an ETS win. And they are two and five, ETS in their last seven versus the big ten. Give me all of Rutgers. I caught it at minus one and a half early.
I don't know if I got it at minus two and a half. I think it's going to stay right around the two. Don't be worried about any fluctuations in this. You see, I think it's going to be that New York kind of neighborhood borough rivalry.
I think it's going to be one of these things that's what we're going to see these best coming through. So I love Rutgers minus one and half. Yeah, to take one more point on, I'm glad you mentioned home field advantage. This Syracuse football home environment is nothing like their basketball home environment.
This is a dormant fan base. And Rutgers, it might be as many Rutgers fans as Syracuse fans. So I take notes. I love what you said.
So even more so, I love that. It doesn't matter that Rutgers is the wrong team here. So bingo, bango, our max first best bet of the day. And we're both on it.
So let's make it a whole best bet of the day. Rutgers minus one and a half or whatever the current best line is that your book makes sure you do a little bit of shopping, see what you can get it at. But part of the place, I know you got some more. Let them have number two.
All right, well, actually be tag team in this one again. My man and I am sticking in the big 10. I believe it or not if you know me and Homer him. Yes, sir.
So this one going to be what I believe is the biggest game of the entire college football slate. Oh, you're way blind. I am so excited for this game. I know where you're going.
You guys say it. So I am going with. I caught this one a little bit of a indifference compared to what our last pick was. I am going with Iowa.
I caught them at plus 4 and 1 half. I'm interested in the under, but I think I'm going to be staying away. I do think it's going to be a grinded out game. That under total is at 46.
That honestly gives me more confidence that this is going to be a close grinded out game. If this was if this total was above 50, I might have my concerns. But Iowa 4 and OHS last four games after allowing less than 170 passing yards in their previous game. They absolutely blew the doors off of Indiana on both sides of the ball.
And Indiana team that it looks like they're going to have some big regressions. But a lot of people had some high hopes for him this year, especially at least at the very least of nothing else Indiana's defense. And Iowa's offense blew the doors off of them. So I think I was going to continue their solid rushing attack.
Both teams here have very good defenses. Iowa State stumbled out of the gates a little bit. They only beat Northern Iowa 16 to 10. I don't want to take too much stock in that.
Iowa State's defense still looks solid. But their offense really didn't. They kind of did something similar to last year. They actually lost to ULL in the first game of the year.
Last year ULL was pretty good. But I think I was going to have a very good year. I just think they're going to stumble on this one once again and have a lower scoring offense. And it's going to be a 3-point game one rare.
These games are, for the most part, historically, a very low scoring more. And I don't think we see anything different here, partner. Tag me in. All right.
So I got it at 3 and 1-2. Yes, I do believe that finishes right around. I'm glad that's how you finish that. And I will gladly take the road puppy with the points in that being Iowa.
Now, a few things my partner did not mention to you kind folks. The Hawkeyes are 3-0-1, ATS. They're last four as a dog. They're four-0-1 in their last five ATS in their week two games.
Let me say that back, so we're all clear. 4-0-1, ATS in their last five week two games. Iowa is also 6-2, ATS in their last eight games in September. They're 7-2, ATS in their last nine conference games.
And Iowa has not lost to Iowa State since September 13th of 2014. Give me the damn money line, too. I don't give a shit. I'm hammered into plus 160 as well.
You might think that this is a trap because it's a drop down from 4 and 1-2, 3 and 1-2. I just think that's Iowa better. It's trying to get some money moving. And I think this is where the value lies.
It lies with the dog. It lies with the road. You mentioned a partner and it sticks out in my head as they've closing thought. Iowa manhandled Indiana.
Oh, yeah. Manhandled Indiana in me and you were both singing Indiana's praises. Yeah, last Friday's show. We were both on Indiana for fuck's sakes.
Iowa State struggled against you and I. Not bad defensively, but on the same flip side of that coin, offense was terrible. I think we grinded out, and I think we have no problem. Take the points.
If you're not as crazy as me, I am taking the money line, too. So I'm taking the plus 3 and 1-2 and money line. I like a little sprinkle on it as well, just because they have not lost in 2014. I don't think it happens here.
It's a Hawkeye State. Yeah, go birds. Not to mention, this is the biggest game in this rivalry. Nine and 10th ranked teams right now.
People are overlooking Iowa for the, not just the National Slate. I'm not saying they're going to be a top 14 college football playoff. I'm not saying that, but as far as the big 10 conversation, people are certainly overlooking them. And you may be saying, cool, Max, you both went to Illinois State.
We all know you guys think that's the wrong ISU. You guys are just haters. Well, yeah, maybe. But this bet has some damn good value as well.
Wasn't doing my thing. So we're all right. Max, second best bet of the day. He's got the Iowa Hawkeyes plus 4 and 1-2.
I too am taking it, but got him at plus 3 and 1-2. Comfortable with that as well as a sprinkle on their money line. Harder, keep it rolling. Keep it going.
Third best bet of the day. All righty. So I mentioned you're going to see a little bit of a theme here. I don't believe you're on this one partner.
But I'm going with the old Michigan Wolverines minus 6. Icon of minus 6. I believe it might be up to minus 7. Like a lot more minus 6, but I still do a lot of it up to a touchdown.
Would not take it over 7 if it goes up up 7 and 1-2. I would not be on this one. But at 6, I love the Wolverines and even 7. But this Washington team, they, I think they're going to have a solid season.
I think they're going to bounce back. But they lost to, excuse me, they lost to Montana and FCS school last week. They're often struggled, mightily. And a big reason for that was that they're wide receivers.
Three or four of their top options were not in that game. And their status is very much in question, once again, on Saturday. If this game was in Washington, I think I might be singing a different tune. But in the big house with Michigan, getting their feet comfortable last year, getting some of the rust off and looking fantastic.
I'm both sides of the ball of that offense. Their quarterback had, I believe it was an 81% completion. Their running back running game was fantastic. So on top of that, Michigan 5 and 1, ATS last 6 as a home favorite.
And Huskies 1 and 8, excuse me, Huskies 1 and 8, ATS last 9 as a dog. So I think we're in a good spot here. I think this Michigan team's offense does not skip a beat. I don't think they're going to put a 40 like they did last week.
But I don't have too many concerns with this one. I think Michigan wins by a touchdown. If this game was laid around in the air and Washington started to get some of their momentum, get their bounce back, rebound, get their feet underneath them. I think it would be a lot closer game.
But I think these teams are just in a different spot right now. So gave me the Wolverines minus 6 at home, my friend. I feel you on that one. I just don't know how much I'm about in the hard ball yet.
And what it's going to do, yeah, watched it did not look good at all last week whatsoever. The line did open up minus 1 and 1 half. It has blasted up to minus 7 now. So it is sitting right around that touchdown.
I think a lot of that is because of what happened to Washington last week. And I too wouldn't go much over that 7. But I do like the Wolverines. My meat, my meat, my self-personal.
I just can't back up quite yet. I do like your analysis. I like what you're at. And I think it does have value.
Yeah, a lot of what's helping me out is their quarterback. Obviously, they didn't do Western Michigan in Mac School. But whenever Michigan, I mean, the biggest issue is over the harbor areas that they don't have consistent quarterback plays. So I'm not saying they're going to fix all of their issues as far as 2021 is concerned getting over the hump of Ohio State in the national conversation.
But I do think they could take care of business here. Sure enough. So that would be three. One, two, three.
And you got any more? No, sir, that's it. OK, ladies and gentlemen, well, there you have it. Our mags, best bets for week two of the College Football Action all for tomorrow.
Now, already told you he's got some NFL plays. We'll get back to that here in a minute. But quickly, let's go on over to my best bets of the day, my college football best bets of the day. Actually, I have two today.
Partner was a little bit bearish on these ones. But I think there's some value. And I wanted to get a little extra pocket pattern here going to the weekend. So I'm going to go ahead and play these.
And then also, I got a few tomorrow as well. So go a little bit in hyper speed here. We got a little more time for the NFL. But my first play of the day, it's actually on the slate today.
I'm going to the Kansas J-Hawks versus the Coastal Carolina. Shaun to Clearz. And I'm taking the Shauns minus 25 and a half. I saw it on some books already kick up to 26 and a half.
I wouldn't go over that. I think it's right around 27 to 30 if I was a betting man. I think the 25 and a half has a very, very good value. Because I do put a little closer to 30.
I really don't like eating jock like this ever. But I think this is a very, very, very, very damn valuable spot. And the Shauns, anytime that they are priced like this, right now, I just have to take them. I have to back them.
And with that all being said, you got the J-Hawks. Sure, they won game one. But it was against South Dakota by a field goal, 17 to 14. Not even a shootout in the waning moments of the fourth quarter.
I'm not buying it. That was their first win overall and ATS win since 2019. I'm not buying into that. Not to mention, Coastal piped the hell out of Citadel.
52 to 14. They didn't leave anything in doubt, anything in question. They're still that team. And their defense is dominant as hell.
They also covered minus 33 and a half against Citadel. And I put this J-Hawks team as bad as it sounds. Pretty similar offensively and defensively to them. Now, if you think I'm crazy on all of that, you go all the way back to October 14 of 2020, Coastal Carolina, 7-2 in 1, ATS.
And they have covered some very, very large trends over the course of that. You go back to September 12 of 2020 in Kansas. There's only one in 9 ATS. And one of those games actually, the one on September 12, was against Coastal Carolina, coastal 1, 38 to 23.
But they were a 4 and 1 half point dog. Coastal was the dog. Now they're a 25 and 1 half point favorite. I think they run away with this game and why I targeted it on the spread.
I looked a little bit at the total. There was some movement there. I think this is going to be extremely one sided. And we might see something right around a 49-13 kind of finish here.
And they get the job done easily, easily, easily. Last but not least, Coastal Carolina 6-1, ATS last 7 after allowing less than 170 passing yards in their previous game. J-Hawks passing offense is bad, bad, bad, bad, bad. And in total yards allowed, Coastal Carolina 21st overall, Kansas offense 120th.
So I think this Coastal Carolina defense shuts down any attack that the J-Hawks hope to have. And they absolutely obliterate them on the offensive side of the ball. So give me all of the shots tonight, minus 25 and 1 half. Yeah, I got another add here partner.
That Kansas team is just absolutely brutal. They're fans. It's going to be a field after they beat an FCS goal. It tells you anything.
By a fucking field goal. Man, yeah. No interest in anything Kansas this year. Lord, next three years.
Who knows? So I'm glad they eat the chalk on that. And of the two, all the games tonight, I only found two that have extreme value. So that's the first one.
And actually, the second one is the exact same point total. But we're going to the pooch this time. I'm going to the game between the Utah miners and the Boise State Broncos. And I am taking the Utah miners plus 25 and a half.
So opposite side. So a little different like, what in the hell is wrong with you? What are you doing? I'm telling you how these games are for these games are going to roll out.
This one is priced incredibly wrong. And the game with Coastal Carolina is priced incredibly well, actually a little less than what I think it should be. Why am I taking Utah? Boise State looked all right against UCF, but they got gashed in the running game.
And Utah's running game is actually damn damn damn good. Their first game, they rushed for over 200 yards. And in their second game, a lot. One guy, he put up 176 yards by himself.
Now, it was against a little bit lackluster defenses, but they pound the rock. And Boise State has already shown that they can't stop that this year. I don't care if it is a lesser school. I think Utah is going to be great.
They are 27th in the rush yards compared to Boise State. The 116th in rush yards allowed on defense. Boise State is 128th in rush yards. And U-TEP is 58th in rush yards allowed.
So I think that this kind of turns into a grinded out game. Real back and forth, we might only see five touchdowns over the course of the entire game. I think Boise State gets the win. But I only think it's going to be by a touchdown, because this is going to be a game script where U-TEP is going to smack them in the mouth on defense.
And I don't think they're going to be ready for it. And then U-TEP is going to turn right around and pound the rock over and over and over and over again. Last but certainly not least, Boise State, one and four, ATS, last five following an ATS win. U-TEP four and one, ATS last five on the road.
I absolutely love that with how much we've been talking about home field advantage. And U-TEP is four and one ATS in the last five as an underdog. Give me all the minors here plus the 25 and a half. I think this should be closer to 14 and a half.
And they would still cover it by a touchdown. I know it might seem crazy. I'm taking minus 25 and a half plus 25 and a half. But these two have extreme value tonight.
Little extra pocket patterns before we get into tomorrow's action. You might have me on the side of U-TEP on this one and I partner. If I need a little sweat that I do do like a little 25 and a half, taking the points there with U-TEP. Because like you said, I mean, I'm a big proponent of the books, pricing these teams like Boise State.
I mean, they obviously haven't been in the national conversation they were a decade ago. But they still have a name where people, if you haven't watched them in a while, people still think they're one of those, you know, one of the best teams in the country as far as when he's mid-major. So I think the books are taking advantage of that tonight. And evidence of your words, my friend?
50% of the bets on U-TEP. 50% of the bets on Boise State. Wise guys public split right down the damn middle. You got to take a gander where all that money's piling up on.
What's that? U-TEP, 68% of the money, baby. Give me all of plus 25 and a half. I absolutely love it.
I'm in. So there you go. Now, one thing I will preface as well kind of popped into my head. These Friday shows will be a little bit longer, because now, at least for the foreseeable future, because we have college football and NFL, kind of break them down segment by segment.
But we are going to stick closer to that 30 to 45 minute range. So just so you guys know, this one will be a touch longer, if you wanted. But I know you guys love to spend a little time on your favorite. You can't forget the rain, but you can't forget it.
You're rocking and rolling. So that all be instead. We already talked about Rutgers. I love that one.
Minus one and a half. And then we already talked about Iowa plus three and a half. Now, I got two more to drop down on you guys here real quick. And these ones are on Saturday.
Now, first play. Taking the NC State Wolfpack minus two and a half. If you did not watch the game between the Wolfpack and the USF Bulls, the Wolfpack absolutely manhandled them. The running game looked beautiful.
Their passing game looked good when it needed to. And their defense was absolutely dominant. And then Mississippi State. That's who the Wolfpack's playing.
And they struggled against Louisiana Tech. There is no bones about it. I can't even say anything but that. They struggled.
They struggled. They struggled. And I really think that this game is going to be grinded out. I think it's going to be a rushing game.
I think that NC State is going to lean on that running back. We saw how much he is a part of their game plan. And I think they get an early two touchdown lead. And it makes Mississippi straight with Mississippi State with Mike Leach incredibly predictable with that deep passing game.
And then the NC State is able to stay back and coverage and keep this game tight. It might sweat out. I got it at two and a half. It's kicked up to three back down.
Up and down. I think it went down. It's all the way down to minus one. So it's all the way down to minus one.
So that reverse line movement is a little bit sketchy with all the money coming in on NC State. But that's changed a little bit. It started to cut in on you. It's actually 45% of money on Mississippi State.
So some late money is actually it's not reversed yet. It's not so much of a reverse line movement. It's moving down because people are piling on Mississippi State. And I just don't buy it.
I don't buy it. I do not buy it whatsoever. I think that that is just a public seeing leech, thinking that NC State is not worth it whatsoever. And I am not going to buy steam one and a half days out from a game between NC State and Mississippi State.
So I'm sticking with the minus two and a half. I think this is one of those college games that you really can't buy that steam. And last but certainly not least, don't believe me. This home field advantage shit matters for some teams.
And some teams just can't get it done. Mississippi State one and five, ATS last six in front of their home fans, two and five, ATS their last seven versus the ACC and two and five, ATS their last seven at home. I don't know what else to tell you guys. I am all over the Wolfpack here.
NC State minus two and a half. Call me crazy with the line movement with the money movement. But I'm sticking with the Wolfpack. They look too damn dominant.
It's not get this done by a field goal. I was leaning this way for sure. I was just a little hesitant. I a lot of people last week were talking up before last week's game talking about Mississippi State.
Like they might be a surprise team in the SEC. And like you said, they just didn't look like it. So I think I'm saying away because maybe we see that team show its head. But I don't think that's the case.
I think I agree with you. I was leaning towards NC State. They looked damn good last week. So maybe I'll maybe it'll be a game time decision for me tomorrow.
We'll see. Interesting. But I got it at two and a half. I would say honestly too if you're seeing it at the one, whatever, I still lock it in.
I'll take that no problem. So NC State minus two and a half. Last but certainly not least, my final NCAA football bet of the weekend. This is a little bit of a fade.
But at the same time back in the team that I think can put up some damn points. And I don't think they should be an underdog. I'm taking the San Diego State University Aztecs plus two and a half against the Arizona Wildcats. Ladies and gentlemen, the Wildcats are bad, bad, bad, bad, bad, bad.
They couldn't do anything against BYU last week. And they snuck in the back door by a point on their spread. I am not buying that here. And especially if you're giving me points against a team like that, I don't care if they're at home or not.
I will gladly take the Aztecs plus two and a half. The Aztecs did look really good against New Mexico State, too. They had a great offensive night, but they also had a great defensive night. And then I just told you about Arizona.
It really was not anything to write home about on any side of the ball. No. Oh, there's a little glimmer. You could find here nothing there for me with Arizona.
So I really believe that this is more of a fade play for me and taking a dog that I don't believe should be a dog. Arizona is 03 and 1. ATS are last four games as a favorite. You'll look.
San Diego State is 0 and 1. ATS. But they are 1 and 0 straight up. They just failed to cover.
Mine is 31 and 1 half spread against New Mexico State, but they still destroyed them. And then Arizona, you look, oh, they're 1 and 0 ATS. Come on. I got to take them.
What are you doing? Yeah. This gets BYU at plus 13 and 1 half by 1 point. They snuck in the back door.
I'm not buying it. Give me the dog here. Give me the points with San Diego State. And I think they run away with it and went by a touchdown plus.
I think I'm with you on this one, man. I think I might slide in with the half unit on this San Diego State line here. To be honest, I truly just didn't look too far into this game. Was a little out of my teams that I don't know too much about, but I do know that Arizona is bad.
So I guess I just need to look a little more into San Diego State. That's why I didn't lock it in. I got to go. Yeah, go.
So I think they get it done more than handily offensively. I like it. I care of anything. They need to defensively.
So there you go, ladies and gentlemen. There you have it. My college football picks for the weekend. If you didn't get anyone, you missed anyone.
We'll be sure to put it all back up on the screen here shortly. So don't you worry. But we got to go back. Reverse the Flip the script real quick back to R-MAGs, best bets of the weekend.
Now, going to get into his best NFL bets of the weekend. So once again, partner, let's get after it. You have the floor. All righty.
So once again, you'll probably have a couple that you're going to tag in for here. But I'm going to kick it off here with the Cardinals and Titans. This one is in Nashville. But I am going with the Arizona Cardinals plus three.
I, one of the few reasons why I like this one, one of the things I mentioned when we were talking about the Titans. And this really backs it up. The Titans are 1 in 5, 8s that last six in the month of September. I mentioned it last week.
Actually, I think it was this week, early this week. We talked about the Titans. And I mentioned that despite them going 3 in all straight up last season, their margin of victory over three mediocre to bad teams was, I think, a total of six points over three wins. So they start out the last two, three years in this new era of what they got here.
They start out in September. And I think we see that again. Not only that, but this Cardinals pass game should absolutely have no problems that exploiting this Tennessee secondary. I think Kylo Murray is going to feast on this defense today.
And I also mentioned September I skipped right over it, 1 in 4, 8s last five in week one. So there's another important one as well. So like I said, I think Kylo Murray has a feast. I'm a little worried that this is going to be a monster, monster shootout.
But I do believe it's going to be both teams in the 30s interested in the over. But I didn't like that one in a little bit more concern about that one. But I do believe if Cardinals don't get it out right, I do think they stay within that field goal partner. As of time as well, I too am on this play, my friend.
And if you did not see me, I'm hammering the shit out of the Cardinals plus three and a half much too. Some of the same key trends you saw there as well, part of it. But I have a few other key ones. I went a little bit further back in the past.
I went back to how long has Cliff Kingsbury been with the Cardinals? And how long has Mike Vrabel been with the Tennessee Titans? Well, Vrabel 2018, Kingsbury 2019. Since 2019, since Kingsbury's been at the helm of these Cardinals on the road, they are nine, five and one ATS.
And as a road underdog, they are seven, three and two ATS under Vrabel since 2018. So even an extra year to get some better numbers in the Cardinals in this statistic, at home, they are 11, 13 and 1 ATS under Vrabel and 6, 8 and 1 ATS as a home favorite under Vrabel. Give me all of that action. The man who takes care of business on the road as a dog.
Arizona is coming back this year with a vengeance offensively. We talked about it in the Arizona Cardinals season preview. If you didn't watch that, I highly encourage you to go back, get some key stuff, learn a little bit more about them as to why we think they're going to be so dominant offensively. I think Kingsbury comes in here and has a bunch of different things dialed up.
I don't want to say trick plays, but they're going to be some plays that are really going to fill this Tennessee defense for a loop. And I think it finishes to a field goal for sure. I'm giving the Cardinals the win. We talked about it already, but I'm going to take the points.
We're going to be safe. So is Max. Max, first best bet of the day in a fell. Arizona Cardinals plus three.
Max, please, if you could be so kind and with number two already number two, I don't believe you have this one on your card partner, but I am going to the San Francisco 49ers. I bought a half point at the time. It was minus seven and a half. I bought a half point, get it mine down to minus seven at minus one 25.
I believe it is up to minus eight now if I'm not mistaken. And although I am going to stick with my minus seven, I would still like it up to minus eight. Wouldn't like it any much higher than that. But I do believe this 49ers team is going to beat the doors off of this Detroit Lions team.
This Detroit Lions team is going to be terrible this year and it's going to start from week one. I think this Niners team is going to look not 100% of what they were in 2019 team that made it to the Super Bowl, but I think it's going to be looking pretty damn close. And in that season partner, they absolutely obliterated bad teams by three touchdowns. I kind of put this personally closer to a two touchdown spread, let alone this short spread.
I mean, you compared to last night, the Bucks had a bigger spread over the Cowboys. And I do believe that the 49ers are in the conversation of that type of skill level with those two teams and the Lions are nowhere near that. I believe they are on paper, the worst team in the league. The Texans might be in the mouth for the worst record.
But I do not have any faith in this Lions team. Last thing before I close, Niners are eight and three ATS last 11 on Field Turf, which is a certain specific type of turf that is in Ford Field. So I love this Niners team today. I think they have an absolute feast on both sides of the ball partner.
I agree with you. I just made myself a stone cold promise that I would not play any straight plays that I would either find in a teaser or in a parlay for myself this year. So maybe that's a hint on one of the legs. I'm going to give you one of the series here in a little while.
But yes, I do love the 49ers to absolutely lay the hype on the Detroit Lions. Not saying I don't like MCDC. I don't like that team. I don't think I don't wish the best for them.
But it is not going to be good in Detroit this year. So our next second best bet of the day. He is taking the 49ers minus of the touchdown touchdown and half. Miss Carter.
No, three. All right. So I know we both have some strong opinions on this one partner going to the Broncos Giants game. I am going with at the time.
I don't know what the line is looking like at this moment, but I got it Broncos minus two and a half. I do believe it is right there. Maybe even minus three. Don't like it above minus three.
I think it could still be a close game. But I really do believe that this Broncos team is just going to overmatch this Giants team. People are overlooking or underlooking the Broncos. I really want to say it and the reverse is the case with the Giants.
I think the Brunch Giants are going to have very similar struggles last year, especially against teams like the Broncos that have very solid defenses and very solid pass rushes, which I do believe we were going to see from the Broncos this year. Broncos are three one and two ATS last six games in week one. Giants are 0 and 4 ATS last four and week one. Broncos are actually four and one ATS last five meetings.
Now they obviously don't play each other too often, but as is the case with a lot of different leagues and sports, there are certain cases where historically a team travels well to certain cities. And if it's a four and one split, I think that is at least notable here because some cases it's the total opposite and teams, whether it's the same coach, different coach, they just don't travel well to a certain city. And that's obviously not the case here. But yeah, I mean, the final point partner, Teddy Tugeloves 35 13 and 1 ATS in his career 24 and 7 ATS on the road.