Welcome to the Talk In The Line Podcast, presented to you by Talking The Line Sports Media, giving you our best insights and analysis so you can rake in some cold hard cash on your next sports bet. Now sit on back, open up your mind, and let's cash some tickets. We can't thank you enough for joining us, we hope you enjoy. Good morning, good afternoon, good evening, ladies and gentlemen, degenerates and gamblers for and what.
Welcome in to episode number 123 of the Talk In The Line Podcast on this beautiful Monday of Betts. Also September 13th, 2021, in case you hadn't checked your calendar yet. And as always, thank you so much for taking a few moments out of your day to come and kick it with the crew on this beautiful, beautiful once again, Monday of Betts. Now we had a loaded weekend of action, we got lots to discuss there, we got our best bets from the weekend of recap.
We have plenty to talk about in regards to Monday night football today, but before we get into all of that, please take a few moments too. Smash that subscribe button on whatever platform you are currently ingesting the TTL pod on. If you are watching on YouTube might as well hit that notification bell over there as well, so you never miss the start of a live show or any additional TTL crew content dropping. Episode number two of wise words dropping this Wednesday.
We'll talk about that a little bit more at the end of the show. The next item up on the docket, if you are listening to the audio version on your favorite podcast directory, make sure you hit that subscribe button there as well as we do release the audio after every live show is over. Now, next up, if you could be so kind, find it in your heart, you got a couple extra seconds, hit that like button, leave us a comment, leave us a rating, jump on in the live chat, share with share, hit the share button, share with your brothers, uncles, sisters, neighbors, everybody in between. A little tongue tied to Smoney, but we're all good to go.
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You'll locate the talking align dot com website, all of the TTL crew's social platforms and our additional content so you can consume all of that. However, and whenever you please. Ladies and gentlemen and beautiful gambling people joining us on this beautiful gambling Monday, I am your humble host, Colton, cold 45, soroga. And thank you so much.
Once again for choosing to stop by the TTL pod today, get you some stone cold locks for another beautiful day of action and run tickets to the window with us all day and night long. Now, I've been saying a lot of us. I've been saying a lot of crew. I've been saying a lot of we, but I have yet to bring in the second half of talking the line sports media and the TTL pod, the co-host of this TTL pod and also the aforementioned wise words podcast, a young man who if you do follow me on Twitter, had quite a depressing look across his face yesterday, throwing me both double birds already this morning.
If you are not watching live or if you are listening on your favorite podcast directory, even more of a reason for you to tune in live, you get to see live bears and packers back and forth banter. That all being said, I got here straight from the source, how we're feeling, how we're doing on this beautiful Monday. Let me bring him in the man, the myth, the degenerate gambling legend himself, Mr. Riley, R.
Max, Magneson. Parter, how you doing over there today, pal? My man, it is Monday, fresh Monday right after a beautiful weekend of football. About the only thing I can complain about is my pack, which you know, it's single-handedly typically about ways even to a weekend's worth of great action and great bets.
But I digress, your bears did not fare much better themselves. It really symbolizes the stranglehold that we have on the division when the rest of the teams are 0-1 celebrating their time for first place in the NFC North. So that makes me feel a little bit better. Yeah, I got a feeling deep down inside of me that this is going to be the year that the packers do fall off the map as per a lot of packers who seem to be jumping off the bandwagon really, really fast here in week one.
You'll never find this guy doing so, but there's a lot of overreactions going on out there. So, hey, we'll stick to the sports gambling, we'll stick to all of that to open up the show. But you know, our mags sidebar a little bit of banter, we might get into that a little bit more to close the show here today. But you come to the TTL pod for nothing but stone cold locks, insights and analysis and running tickets to the window with the TTL crew all day and night long.
It's about time to get into nothing but fucking winners for this beautiful Monday of bets. But, but, but, but, before we do, in case you are just now stumbling upon the TTL pod or maybe heard of us this weekend, maybe you came out of the woodworks to start betting again, re-joined gambling Twitter and you have stumbled upon this talk in the line sports media and now you're here at the TTL pod. Well, welcome. We cannot tell you how appreciative we are of you and hope you're ready to cash some dog on tickets because we got to recap what we did over the week.
Sure do a little victory lap, eh? Little victory lap. Maybe you're just hearing about us first thing today. Maybe you didn't see any of your picks over the weekend.
So, let's recap. We always hate full transparency show with the TTL pod good or bad. We always put them up. We go through them.
We admit where we missed, but we tell you when we hit to and ladies and gentlemen, we have started off the college football season and the NFL season rather swell. Let's go first things first, college football week two from this past weekend. Absolutely gorgeous broadcast into you live from Michigan and Arbor, stay from their stadium. Remember Max going three and O on his picks.
10 baby. All big 10 plays. You see them are right there on the screen. Off to that, I had our two Friday bank roll builders only went one in one.
My partner rode me with you. Brother on the bus, Coastal Carolina went one in one there, but then on Saturday my friends a nice four in one day from your boy. I was talking about it on the pod and I actually was kind of telling you guys to backtrack it when I was telling you about NC State after I saw that line movement. Say, be a little tentative on this one.
I was really high on it. Now I'm seeing this line movement. I locked this in on Wednesday. Just know that in advance.
But hey, across the board partner, we got a three, four, five, six, seven, eight in two Saturday for college football. I should over there fucking up the set. No problem at all. Moving right along into NFL.
Oh, baby. Because we did just as fine in week one of the NFL season. Check them out above. Now my partner, the only ones that he missed were the ones that I was on together with him.
The Pats minus three, we both missed that. And then his Bobby Tanya in over 29 and a half. Obviously, I kind of alluded to him. I said, hey, when we talking about a little bit of aggression, he said, ah, nah, that's not going to be in receiving yards.
Maybe the touchdown department. Those were verbatim, what you said. Okay, I'm not taking the first game like yesterday with either way. Yeah, I take it definitely with a grain of salt with what you see there from Tanya.
Yeah, it's yikes. Same on the opposite end of the spectrum for me. Najiharas over there lost my prop of the weekend as well. I thought he was going to put up a boatload of yards.
And then I thought maybe once they got that lead, some of the garbage time was going to be able to get him over it. Definitely do that. Our other best bets of the weekend, the Broncos and the Cardinals as a crew cash those with relative ease. Partner cash, the 49ers minus seven.
A little bit of a sweat there. We'll talk about that later on in unnecessary sweat. I do face to myself and then my two outside plays outside of our crew plays. The under in the Chargers and Washington cash money and then the Packers and Saints under cash money there as well.
So ladies and gentlemen, one, two, three, four, five, six, seven and four overall across the board. Six and three, you take out, I can't remember what we took out that made it six and three on the talking line. Either way, seven and four there, you see it on the board and then also- Because I combined them. I didn't count the pay for it.
That is right. You kind of win twice. Gotcha. So maybe accidentally did that.
So six and three, there you go. And then hey, money line. You guys stay hot. I told you, they told us, Tana no start.
We weren't saying no. We weren't coming up with that. They are one and no now. They are not on set today.
We do not roll the dice when there was only one matchup on the plate. There is no reason to do that. No reason to put ourselves in a position where we have to potentially bet against the dice. We have a favorite spot.
So we are going to leave them off. They will be making appearance as always back on the daily show here later on in the week. So don't you worry. We'll have plenty of opportunities to run tickets to the window with our favorite cubicle objects known as the Money Line Dies.
There you go. There you have it. Ladies and gentlemen, this entire weekend of college football and NFL action. Can you say cash in tickets?
I can't. Now yesterday went down a unit overall. We were really, really good. I hope you guys just stuck to what we did.
Because me and my partner, we both talked about it this morning. We did exactly what we said we were not going to do and we branched out outside of our place in the light. And he went, oh, and three on his props. I went, oh, and three on my props.
There was no reason for us to do that. So even more of advice of what we guys are telling you and what you have heard on wise words. If you haven't heard wise words yet, hey, we'll talk about that later. It's all about finding that value.
And if there is no present value, run away, walk in the opposite direction, whatever you need to say, whatever you need to do, get the hell out of them. All right. So we learned that a little bit the hard way would have had a huge positive day, but definitely built upon Saturday, but a little bit less than we could have. If you guys played all of our plays from the show, Cash Money Baby, all set it on.
So a little bit of a disclaimer, a little bit to talk about there. So now you know all of that. And now it's time to get into the real reason why you came to episode number 123 of the Talking the Line podcast. No hesitation, no delay.
We'll get into our Max Best Bets of the day. Then my Best Bets of the day. No special play on tap. We got, we looked at a couple of things, but nothing really to jam into a far lay together.
We're thinking about putting together an SGP, but nothing just that we absolutely absolutely loved altogether. So we'll talk about that when we recap the best bets. Might be bringing a teaser every week, a little special play, a little something I'm not too sure as of yet, but then also Money Line dice rolls two. And then what are we going to do on Tuesdays and Wednesdays?
A little bit additional talk about make sure you stick around into the show. But right now it's time to get into the Stone Cold Insights analysis and Best Bets of the day. First segment of the day, my friends, you know the drill. He sits to my left, the man, the myth, the legend.
Our Max Best Bets of the day. Turn that volume way on up. Open them ear holes wide and get ready to have nothing but straight knowledge and Stone Cold facts. Penetrate your ear holes straight into your dome pieces and get ready to run tickets all day to the window with Mr.
Magnuson. And as always, hey partner, you have the floor. Alrighty, my friends. So there's one play that we're overlapping on so we can kind of tag team that one here.
So I will kick it off with that one actually. We're going to be going to a side on the spread on this one for the full game and we are going with the underdog, the home. Go ahead. Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh.
Yes, sir. Cheersy. We ain't skipping this shit now after the weekend. Most definitely.
And we might have to keep doing that. Oh, yeah. And we might have to keep doing the half forget about it and then half cut in and do it because I'll purposely do it from that way here on. Hey, so you're drinking the black licks about there if you are.
Yes, sir. Hopefully it's a good partner. Please continue. Okay.
So as I was saying, first pick of the day for both of us here is going to be the home dog on the game spread, wherever you're finding it plus four plus four and a half for the Raiders. And I'm sure you've got a little bit more than I do on this one partner, but I'll kick it off with one thing here is that this Raider or excuse me, this Ravens team under John Harbaugh is typically very good. ATS week one. However, this past week, I think we're going to see an anomaly here going into this game because this is the least prepared.
They are coming into a season as far as last minute injuries that we've ever seen John Harbaugh have and not to mention the travel across the country to what I believe. I mean, we obviously haven't seen this home environment quite yet, but I think we're going to see a really tough home environment here. That's going to be right. Even in Las Vegas.
I think this right. Fan base is going to travel with them and it's going to make a tough spot here on top of that last point before I kick it over you to help me out here partner home dogs in week one, four and one ATS in this first week that we have just seen here. Only one that lost was the Giants who partner and I did not believe they were having a business being a three point underdog to Broncos. So I'm not thinking too much.
I can that one for other four out of five nice home spreads. I could be talking about my ass, but I believe it was three and two straight up. I could be wrong. I do believe you are correct.
Three and two straight up. And yes, everything we're talking about the Broncos, man. Hey, we said that could be easily been a touchdown in a field goal. Maybe even two touchdowns and they showed it.
We're talking about that. We're talking about the Las Vegas Raiders plus four and a half today. And that too is one of my best bets of the day. So in the essence of time, I'll hit it real quick.
Now, I think back to something. And if you haven't watched the wise words podcast episode one, the Joe D'Amico, this is a free plug for it, but also something you need to think about. I think back to something he said, everyone is experts nowadays. Everybody has access to this bad boy right here and can do stuff.
Now not everybody goes in depth as we do. Not everybody has access to power rankings. Not everybody has access to the professional side of it. I look at this game as prime experts coming out of the woodworks and seeing all these Ravens trends in five and oh, in their last five week one games, ATS and eight, oh, and one in their last nine at home and seven and oh, and their last seven as a home favorite.
And I'm not buying any of it because the last time that these two teams have played against each other was back on November 25th of 2018. So you can throw all of those damn trends out the window, especially with 2020 COVID year last year and especially with what we've seen in week one. Now, pardon me, I do not mean to jab the knife in any farther than I already have, but four and a half is an absolute trap line here in week one. I'm playing with what I saw.
We thought that the Packers were going to be a solid play on the minus four and a half, but we both told you on Friday, stay the hell away because this feels like a trap and a half. That's what I feel like this exact game is tonight and wouldn't you know it? The favorite is on the road at minus four in the Baltimore Ravens. So I am going to be taking the plus four and a half.
I'm not saying that they are going to get the win outright. I think it's very possible that they could my friends and finally last but not least for I kick it back to you, part of these injuries. I know that the loss of Marcus Peters and Gus Edwards, if any team can overcome it, it's going to be the Baltimore Ravens, but it's severely, severely, severely drastically. Drastically changes their scheme over the course of tonight.
Who is going to break out out of that running back room? Are they all going to spin the wheels? I don't know if I trusted at all because if that running game does not produce, this passing game is not going to produce at all either. I think both things are going to happen tonight.
I think we're going to see a spinning of the wheels from the Ravens and the Ravens are going to be looking a little bit too far ahead into next Sunday night football against the Kansas City Chiefs and look just a little bit past these Raiders and might get smacked in the mouth for their first loss of the year. My opinions, but I will be taking as well as my partner for his first best bet of the day. We'll call it a crew best bet. Why the hell not?
The Las Vegas Raiders in the Death Star plus four and a half partner. Give them number two really quickly before I move on. I'm glad you said about the Ravens. But you know, if anyone can overcome it, it's them.
I just think with these injuries being so close to game day and game time, I think they'll correct themselves after maybe a couple of weeks here and they'll be fine. But I think it's going to be too close to a game time to fix these mistakes bringing them too many new guys, especially running back as well. 100% and I project a 24 21 victory either way. I think this is extremely sloppy to start and then it gets a little tight towards the end.
If I'm leaning anywhere, I'm leaning Ravens, but the reason I give that projection is because it does lean into my second best bet of the day. But I know you're not on that one. So I'll save that please. Give us your second best bet of the day.
Alrighty second best bet. I am going to stick with the Raiders here, but I'm going to the first half spread actually plus three and I'm going with the Raiders. Yes, excuse me. I'm going with the Raiders in this one as well.
Raiders are actually 9, 6, and 1, 8, and 20 last year. Over the last couple of years, they've been a very solid first half team, even against some of the best teams in the league. They hang with them. They hang tight.
They make it a really tough game in that first half. And I think they'll correct that in the second half going forward into this year. But I think they're going to continue that first half trends here. Ravens also first half in 2020 at home, so 18 points per game, but on the road, only 13 points per game.
They don't travel as well offensively. And I think we see that once again, especially traveling all the way across the country here. So I like these Raiders to keep it up within at least three points. I think it might be a 14, 14 type of first half here or maybe even the Raiders ahead at the half.
So I'll be a little safe. I won't go with the first half money line, but I like those extra three points. I am a little intrigued. I do like this play.
I just don't know which way I'm leaning quite yet. I love your analysis. I love where you're at. One thing I want to bring to your guys attention.
We looked at this this morning plus three on the regular first half line on Fandoule was a minus 120. Love it. Saw it. Great.
I accidentally hit the same game parlay first half spread. It's a plus two and a half plus one 15 odds. So I'll let you deduct what you want there. I don't think it's much to worry about.
I think it might just be a situation that maybe the fact that somebody building the same game parlay sees that. Oh, shit, I got a hammer in the Vegas Raiders. And I think that's what that is. I think so too.
It doesn't scare me away. I think they just typically make their same game just a tiny bit harder than the safe place. Just something to think about if you lean in one way or the other. I know this one's a little bit tricky, but I definitely would lean with that part.
There's my chain and I'm glad to mention it. For sure. So that's one and two. Please partner three.
Number three. I'm going to take the black and silver here. I'm going to Derek Carr over two 58 and a half passing yards. He went over this number in 10 out of 15 games last year that he started the flow games.
There was one that he had hurt early on in only three I think five passes. So I'm not counting that one. There was also one against the Browns in Cleveland that was one of those like Blizzard hailstorm games. So, you know, in decent weather, I'll call it 10 out of 14 here.
So on top of that, I kind of like we're talking about with this game script and some of the injuries, Marcus Peters, I think the Raiders going to be able to throw the ball on them this in tonight's game. And I don't think that Ravens Russian attack is going to be able to keep them off the field like they normally would be on a game to game basis. So I think the Raiders are going to have some success through the air here. And on top of that, 19 quarterbacks in week one of the NFL season went over this number 19 out of 27 who played their full game.
There was a few rhymes with Patrick Taylor Heineke that didn't play the full game. So I'm counting 27, but 19 out of 27. And the Ravens actually allowed more than this number in three of their first four games last year. So as far as holding the passing yards down haven't come out of the gates all too well slowing that down.
So I really like how to go over this number, maybe even 275 300 range and have a real nice night at least moving the ball down the field there partner. I am half and half again with you on this one. I like it. I will definitely put a half a unit on it just because I trust you, you're my partner and I got always right what you bring it down.
Now I'll claim before you go. I haven't had the best start in my practice. I'm only taking one. So full disclaimer, I'll be honest.
So there's that and then a couple of thoughts in my mind just to ponder action labs has been spot on and they will actually kind of be in some of my analysis. They have him projected 247 and a half. So get 11 yards less. So might be a little bit of a sweat, but it could go right over.
Another thing I'm thinking here is we talked about in the Las Vegas Raiders season preview. How shit these wide receivers are in our going to continue to be in that Henry bugs is not a wide receiver one. And he sure is not going to get 275 yards out of Darren Waller. He's going to have to have somebody else catching that ball to him.
And we talked about how much of a concern that these wide receivers were going to be. So just a little something that popped into my mind when you just tell me it. I like it. But I do like it.
Just kind of what popped in my head. But with all of your trends where you're at, I had to be honest, I've not had a great start for props. So I'm only taking one, but I did tell you will be sprinkling a half on that bad boy. Just turn my point on trust.
You don't switch up. That might be the change I need. That might be it. But to have you in the door for my second.
How you started that I typically don't go to these but so there you go. There you have. Very specific or Pacific or either way in between our max one, two, three best bets of the day for Monday night football. Do as you please my friends coming on up.
No hesitation. No delay. The second segment of today's show episode number one, 23 of the talking line podcast. You know the drill second half of the TTL pod.
My best bets of the day. I my friends have three coming at you. I already told you about the Raiders plus four and a half everything I kind of think there. And I told you a projection.
I told you that I thought it was going to be 24 21 either way might even be a little under that. That's my maximum projection. So with that being said, if you haven't looked at the game total, it's set at 50 and a half right now. Drop down from 51 51 and a half it open depending on what book you're looking at.
So I will be playing the under 50 and a half total points game total tonight. It is also the same exact total from the Saints and Packers game, which I gave you a little bit of my analysis. And I think it's a very similar game script, maybe even the wrong direction here this evening with the home team for the Raiders being the one that come out on top. All of that being said, I could see it being a little bit more of a shootout than that.
And I think both teams kind of spend the wheels offensively and whenever a little bit of fire power, they have on defense keeps them in this game. This morning, 39% of bets currently on the under, getting 54% of money, 61% of bets are on the over, Publix 11. This would be a shootout tonight. And I got burned more than enough times against the on the Ravens, taking their over in a prime time football game many times last year and a year before.
And I do believe that that is a spot where they will be going under here once again. So I love that. But if you do not believe me on all of that, the under is 11 and 4 in the Ravens last 15 games versus the AFC. It's also a 4-1 in their last five games overall.
The Raiders last two game totals have been set at 50 and a half points. And oh, wouldn't you know they both went over. So it just has to go over this time, right? It has to.
It's got to be a shootout. I digress. And it takes me kind of back to everybody's an expert. You can find all types of over trends.
You can find everything you want about how these teams are going to be hot shots offensively this, that, and a third. And I'm not buying it here this year. Closer to all out, under 6-1 in the Ravens last seven road games overall. And to kind of couple that, expert trend, the over is 5-0.
In the last two meetings between these two teams, I turn your attention back to the last meeting of November 25th of 2018. Throw all those stats and trends out the window. This is a trend breaker. And everyone that is an expert on the over tonight is going to sorely be hurting tomorrow morning.
So if you're with me, potentially, potentially, mags, I'm taking the Las Vegas Raiders versus Baltimore Ravens under 15 and 1-2 points. I think I like it. I think I will be giving my half unit endorsement on this one. And all of your analysis is I think spot on.
I think this is a great play here. My personal concern, I think what pushes me over the edge is that what kind of what you said, the Ravens on the road, the unders partially what I said about their first half numbers on the road. So I think that's what pushes me over the edge to liken it. I think that's just part of me that could still see it being a crazy offensive shootout.
But I think that kind of lends into what you're talking about as far as without looking at any numbers, you just think it should be an over game. So I think I'm going to be with you on this one. Yeah, absolutely. So there you go, my first best bet.
Now I got two more coming at you. I got two props coming at you. Now I found some additional ones over the weekend and do so hot. Oh, and three there, I'll admit it.
But kicking it off, the ones that I spent the time on really liked, I went two and one on. I got two props coming at you today. And I spent the exact amount of time to do the exact same things when I cashed on Thursday instead of being a doofus, like I was yesterday. All that being said, let me give you my two props.
And I'm actually going to both tight ends. Now you once again might already be thinking where I'm going. Ladies and gentlemen, I can assure you you do not. For the first one, I'm going to Darren Waller's receiving yards total.
And I'm going under 70 and 1-2 yards for Mr. Waller. Once again, it's blazing to my everyone, his experts trend. I saw it all weekend long.
And I am not going to buy into it. Don't you think this point total or this receiving total is just a little bit too low for Mr. Waller, the baller, who should probably be number one overall in tight and fantasy points this season. I think he just spins the wheels just a little bit here, not crazy.
But I looked a little bit deeper into it. A lot of books got it at 68 and 1-2 at 70 and 1-2. On Fandil, not to mention the aforementioned action labs. I talked about that projection.
They got him rated at 63.3 yards this evening. Might be a little bit of a sweat. Might have a big break in the beginning of the game. And then all of a sudden, it comes way down.
Everything's quiet down. He has another big break. And that's about all we see. I think he factors into the game script.
But I also think the Ravens are going to know that. And they know the lack of the stability of the receivers on that team. Not to mention, last but not least, Waller went over this total, either 68 and 1-2 or 70 in three out of the first 10 games in 2020. And those games were against Buffalo, Kansas City, in New Orleans.
And they were all shootout, Waller performs and shootouts. Not in this game script that I think it's going to be tonight. Real back and forth, very, very limited scoring. Then you look at it.
Overall, he, in his last five games of the year, he never mind, didn't have it on this one. I went to the wrong tight end, my apologies. My apologies on that one. That's all I have for Mr.
Waller. So for my second best bet of the day, Darren Waller, under 70 and a half receiving yards. So there you go. There you have it.
Little fudge up. But segues me perfectly into my third best bet of the day. And that is the other tight end, Mr. Mark Andrews.
And I too am targeting his receiving yards total. And I'm going under once again, 58 and a half receiving yards for Mark Andrews. This again starts everywhere with me for everybody's experts. 58 and a half is way too low for Mark Andrews.
He's going to have an absolute electric day and evening against the Raiders defense, who was very, very close to allowing the most fantasy points, if not the most fantasy points to tight ends last season. This is just so perfect. The books are just giving us the most beautiful odds on this one, aren't they? I ain't buying it.
We go back to action labs. They have him projected at 51.6. So we're getting a few yards there. And I absolutely love that.
I saw this on a few books at 57 and a half. Got it at 58 and a half on Fandal. Once again, be sure to do your line shopping. Mr.
Andrews went over 58 and a half, 57 and a half. Or I'll say 58 and a half because that's the best line I like it at. Would play at 57 and a half. It wouldn't go any lower than that.
He went over 58 and a half in two out of the first 10 games of the last season. He did have a 58, a 57, and a 56. Wouldn't you know it very early on in the season? So it might be a sweat.
But there is a reason the books have set this number right at 58 and a half or 57 and a half. And I think this is absolutely the perfect spot to play the under. And oh, the trend that I thought I was going to tell you for Mr. Waller, the baller.
But I actually meant to tell you for Mr. Mark Andrews, is that he went over 58 and a half and two out of the final five games. And the reason I tell you that is because it also couples play off games, which are much more important. And you would think he would step up as a superstar.
Most decidedly, he did not. So for my third best bet of the day, I am taking Mark Andrews under 58 and a half receiving yards. All right, my man. How about that rebound?
Solid by man. It's a movement. He got right back. He got hit on the fucking horse, baby.
That's what I do. Yeah, but I really like the Andrews one. I like them both. I would say my Andrews one would be one that I personally have more confidence.
No disrespect to your first one. I just really like the Andrews one. I think that if you want to change your half unit and endorsement, you go on half unit across the board. We'll see.
We'll see. I think I'm going half unit just because I don't know. I do really like the Andrews one. I think that they are going to struggle throwing the ball all game long, really.
And maybe Mark Andrews makes a couple of third down, short, yard impacts, plays, red zone type stuff. But as far as that 50 yards, I think he stays at maybe 40 stops, honestly. So I talked about it earlier, too. If this running game struggles at all, and more passing games are going to struggle bad, bad, bad, bad.
And all that kept replaying in my mind as I was researching this is just those Lamar overthrows. And then scooter, if you're watching this at some point in time, we were sitting here yesterday. We had a buddy of ours while we're watching the game. He goes, the more Jackson fucking sucks.
I was like, OK, hold on. Wait a minute for you. Hold on. But it just spurred some thought.
And if that's kind of the public perception, I kind of started to think and back to some of those. And a lot of those overthrows were to Mark Andrews. And I just think there's going to be more often than not, especially with the game script, talk about next Sunday night football against the Chiefs for the Ravens. I mean, there's a lot of stuff we've talked about here that I think is really going to key in on.
And when you know it, last Thursday, two, the two ones that hit, 58 and a half, were the nice, perfect exact totals. So I'm sorry, it was 1 and 1 on those, these equals 21 and a half. Yeah, and then it's only a round one. I was just done on the third reception.
I mean, come on, give me a break. So the day and a half, I think it's really, really good. So there you go. There you have it, ladies and gentlemen.
My three best bets of the day and the TTL crew best bet of the day. Now, just in case you missed anything, you didn't see anything, you forgot to tune in early and missed the analysis so you get the perfect lines. I really don't know. I don't know part of it.
I put this out on Twitter over the weekend. Before we get into the recap, I'm sorry. I got to go off in this tangent for a second. I put this out.
Now at the beginning of the show, I know I'm a goofy fuck. And I say, oh, smash the like button and subscribe button and jump in the live chat and all that shit in. Yeah, sure. Absolutely.
We love that. And that obviously helps us make this bigger and better. We just do this for you guys. We have a passion for it.
We absolutely love it. I don't know why at this point in time, we're cashing mother frickin' tickets, my friend. And I don't know why we just don't have everybody jumping in early to get the early line. So hey, do as you wish, do as you please.
There are a few spots where the line wasn't as favorable. Come Saturday, Sunday. And I'm just saying, we might know what the hell we're talking about on some things. I'm just saying, who's to say?
We don't ask for likes. We don't ask for followers. We sure love them. We appreciate the fuck out of them.
We can take a look at this for you guys because we absolutely love it and we find the value and we just want to share it with you guys. So tune in early, tell your sisters, brothers, uncles, friends, neighbors, everybody in between. So we can start bankrupting every sports book on the fucking market. Yeah.
We can take them all over, folks. We'll get in the trenches. We can become the owners of these sports books. We just gotta do it one at a time.
Right. One play at a time. And we need all your help. So that's just what I'm saying.
Hey, that's our mission. You guys don't want to do it. It's OK. It's all right.
You're missing out on free money, but hey, hey, hey, I'm just saying, I'm not saying. Hi, back to it. We're back into episode 123. There goes my disclaimer rant of the day.
Let's recap them all for you real quick before we get into Little Armac sidebar. Wrap up today's show. You know that the Monday and the Thursday episode are gonna be right around the 30 to 45 minute, and then maybe some a little bit over to the hour, but right around that ballpark. So for your viewing pleasure all across the land, wherever you're tuning in live to the TTL pod or after the factory recording.
Ladies and gentlemen, for the first time, live on your screen. This beautiful September 13th, 2021, Monday of Betz, the TTL cruise. Best Betz of the day. And we are now down here.
Hello, how are you? How are you doing? All right, you see him up here. All of the TTL cruise best bets of the day.
Our Max picks right above us. He's got three coming at you. Matter of fact, we'll just call it two. And then we'll save the last one for the end.
He has Raiders first half on the spread plus three, or wherever you're finding it at your line on your, wherever you're finding the best line on your favorite book. Right now, that's what I was trying to say. All that being said, he's also taking Derek Carr over two 58 and a half receiving yards. And then I am taking on the opposite side of the screen over yonder.
I am going to the game total. I am taking under 50 and a half total points. And then targeting both tight ends, reception totals. I'm taking Darren or receiving yards totals.
Rather, I'm taking Darren Waller under 70 and a half total yards would not take it under 68 and a half. And Mark Andrews under 58 and a half total yards would not take it under 56. That all being said, you see two similar plays both in mine and our Max picks over there trying to get the hand placement right not working a day. But we have the Las Vegas Raiders playing at home in the Death Star on the spread plus four and a half.
Like I'm in, hammer, I'm home, sprinkle a little bit of dough down. Whatever you need to say, just make sure you get today's TTL crew best bets of the day in it. Whatever the current line is on you. Favorite sports book.
All right, a little bit tongue tied here today. All right. But have been able to rebound and keep the proverbial train that is the Talkin' Line podcast steaming on down the tracks. Now, that all being said, there you have it.
There you go, my friends. Episode 123 of the Talkin' Line podcast. When it comes to all of our best bets and insights and analysis. Now, you have a little R Max sidebar to get through.
A couple little updates here to discuss. And then, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, I got motivation minutes to drop down. Don't you think I forgot? Don't be thinking that now.
We will never, not, even though that's a double negative, not have, called motivation minutes. That all being said, pardon anything burning on the brain, I got on the heart of the restaurant on the soul that you have been dying to get out to the kind folks that joined us on Episode 123 of the Talkin' Line podcast on this BEA-U T-FOLSE September 13th. Don't have to check your calendar. 20, 21.
All right, partners. So you're gonna love this. I promise. Oh, fuck.
So the New Orleans Saints. That looks like the city. It is. It's a nice spin zone, saving face, trying to be optimistic here.
The Saints last team that they beat 38 to three, just so having to be last year's Tampa Bay Bucks and the Tampa Bay Bucks went under the Super Bowl. And Mr. In Rogers last week, one game with multiple turnovers was 2010, the year that Packers last won the Super Bowl. I'm not saying, but I'm absolutely fucking saying, partner.
So that's all I got. That is honestly what I had. It was also, I was watching Sunday Night Football and now Drew Brees is on NBC, which he's been solid, but they were talking about the Packers in Saints game. And it was so bizarre to watch him talk about the Saints as if he had absolutely no association with them.
And I was like, they were talking about the Packers, this and that kick it over to Drew. And it's like, oh, you know, this Saints offensive line, we gotta give them some credit that defense played really well and it's like Drew, you were there five months ago, just tell us. You know these dudes. They were good or that was bad.
You just be up front with the same thing. It was just bizarre. It was really weird to see a Jew with a full main, nice locks going on up top. And you know, hey, honestly, not doing too shabby.
I mean, he's doing better than some of the previous guys in the last few years that hopped up in the booth and tried to make the transition. It's quite a bit better. It's awkward. Like Mr.
Jason Whitten, both robot and hair plug rug up top. Yeah, Riley, I think that this is going to be a great podcast. I think it should be just stupendous. That is my best impression of some of the wonderful gentlemen names I will not mention who I was saying.
Jason Whitten, I was saying. Have to find their hands at getting on the camera and get in front of now. Hey, granted, we don't get in front of as many people as you, but I get more vibe and I get more loose and flowing. The more sons of guns that show it doesn't have feared me.
OK, I don't get scared when those things happen. So I just got the feeling that you put me in front of millions of people on Sunday night football. I would. So fucking bomb.
Ooh, that's just what I'm saying. That's what I'm feeling. So either way, thanks for the thought provoking. Thanks for the rabbit hole there in your arm, sidebar.
All that being said, my friends. Little late breaking news, there was a Saints injury. I wanted to mention Marcus Davenport apparently suffered what could be a season in the pack injury. He did get an MRI waiting for the news and results.
Haven't gotten the updates on that front as of yet. So we're going to see what's going to happen there, but that's a big hit for them defensively. And they looked great defense. Yeah, they sure did, man.
A lot of shit a few weeks back. Yeah, they looked fucking good. They looked good boy. OK, so I'll ask you this.
Aside from our two favorite teams, because they were both pretty fucking disappointing. Who was the most taken hour about to side from it, just based on what their expectations were. Who was the most disappointed team outside of our two favorite teams? Because I think our two favorite teams would probably be in that category, especially mine.
I think mine is probably the number one. You know what? I'm telling you, I'm telling you, I'm telling you, I'm telling you, I'm telling you, I'm not telling you this, I'm not telling you this from the aspect of stop hitting the panic button. I'm telling you, hit the fuck out of the panic button.
I'm telling you to stop, settle down, and be so optimistic about this damn team. What I saw yesterday, I don't care if Justin Fields is the savior to all of our sins and whatever you want to say in between. And he has the ability to turn around this entire franchise. With what I saw offensively yesterday and the play calling and what happens, there's nothing that has changed.
There is nothing that has been improved if you want to say, oh, great, the running game is awesome. No, no, no, no, no. That is David Montgomery, unlocking the new level of mindset and taking the off season in 2020, very, very, very seriously going into 2021. There's nothing in that offense that gives me any type of hope or gives me any type of thought that, oh shit, Justin feels like him in and we're going to pop.
What that offense looks like is it's going to break a quarterback that I've been watching since high school in Sioux and Georgia. And if that happens, you think I'm pissed off now, we might just have to have a few of the front office organizations on the TTL pod so we can just have a nice conversation about what in the shit are we doing? Because it ain't good, boys. It ain't good.
And we need to fix it quick, fast, and hurry. This whole takes three, four years to implement my offense. You can kick that can down the road and get it fixed. Because this is absolutely ridiculous.
There's my overreaction one day. Well, my man, the defense of yours did not look much better. They looked like they're getting old, man. It's bad.
And I called that. And of course, it's not the best. And, you know, of course, it's McVay. It's the offense might be great, but, you know, if you want to win anything, you got to be able to at least look at presentable in types of games like those.
And forgive me if I'm fucking wrong. But to Justin Fields not look rather decent when he did hit the field multiple times yesterday. Oh, wow. Wouldn't you know it?
He got into the end zone on an RPO. And oh my gosh, it actually opens up that aspect of our offense, which is what Nagy's offense is designed for. Not a statue in the damn pocket. But I digress.
Staying off the bears in your question partner. As far as... How far is after a five-year-round? As far as who underperformed.
In my mind, you know, really everybody kind of lived up to how we were talking. Nobody really kind of like the Saints would be in overperformance, in my mind, because we were super duper low on, especially that defense. We were super duper now. Joey's still out.
I think the pack are going to turn it around. That's just me, Raz. I think I'm going to fucking turn it around. I think it's going to be OK.
Smackin' mouth. Yeah, for sure. But outside of that, maybe the Pats too. The Pats might have underperformed my expectations.
Not covering that minus three. And they were right there. And they had a few of those games last year where it was the last possession. They are on a running play.
Their defense makes a huge stop and gets the ball. And then they fizzle out and they lose it by a point. And it's just, oh, what the hell happened? And that's kind of what me and both Max were betting on, not happening this year with Bill citing to Max and saying, this is our guy.
We cannot have the KAM distraction. You can't take any words of Michael and Barty. You can't take a four-star general and make him a corporal. It just doesn't happen.
So we bought into that. We trust Bill and the defense looks good. I think this offense is still just going to be spinning the damn wheels. We might have the same narrative as Bill Belichick as we did last week.
That's my week one over reaction. I know it's Monday of week one. That's my reaction. How about you?
I've got a couple here and these games we didn't see too much of them. And we obviously picked the one side of this one. The Tennessee Titans. We picked Cardinals to win.
And as far as what the Cardinals offense was going to do to the Titans defense, we picked that spot on. I at least thought the Titans would put up 24 plus points. And I think their offense should fix themselves. But we underestimated the Cardinals defense.
Sure. The Cardinals. I mean, fucking channels. Jones, five sacks.
Good grief, man. But on top of that, I think the Titans offense should be okay. They'll bounce back. But I don't think their defense is going to fix any of those issues.
And that Cardinals offense is high-flying. But the thing is, is if the defense can't fix those issues, my man, then Derek Henry is going to have 10, 10, 10, every fucking game. It doesn't matter if he's hitting Henry because it makes it predictable ball and you can't run some Ash and Alth ball if you're down by 20 in the first quarter. Shit.
Other team. It was more of a question mark that I was handed back this year. But the Atlanta Falcons looked like dead birds about 10 weeks earlier than they do, at least on both sides of the ball, man. And that was one game that I guess we didn't see too much of, just because it wasn't that close.
It was really like the high-flying. It's a horrible game to watch. Yeah, I wasn't pressed with Jalen Hurts, at least from what we did see though. He was pretty damn solid.
But that Atlanta offense, man. I know you were singing it and I was, and we obviously didn't make any bets on it. But yeah, at least expected them to put up some points there. And I think six points they put up, man.
And I think all this is going to be folks is the Calvin Ridley and Mike Davis show. Calvin Ridley, I turned on the game, just took it off a red zone, turned on the game, checking out what the hell we doing over here. And I think that's a good game. I mean, that's about as far as the big takeaways, I guess that was the biggest thing.
I mean, yeah, the last thing I guess is the Lions definitely got themselves smacked out of the mouth. They obviously came back, but I mean, they're running in definitely more than I expected. But I mean, I mean, I don't want to put too much time. I mean, I assume that was just catching them off guard being an obvious past situation.
I don't know. Maybe, but that's the 49ers. D-Bosey. I mean, I think it's a lot of fun.
I mean, I think it's a lot of fun. I mean, I think it's a lot of fun. I mean, I think it's a lot of fun. I mean, I think it's a lot of fun.
That's one fantasy defense. They guessed the shit. I mean, come on. I don't know.