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EPISODE · Dec 4, 2015

When Polls Obscure The Truth

from Chicken or Egg: A Collaboration from On the Media + FiveThirtyEight (On the Media)

Reports say GOP front-runner Donald Trump has 25 to 30 percent of voter support in recent polls. But, not so fast, says Nate Silver of the data news site FiveThirtyEight. It's early yet, and when you break those numbers down it's more like six to eight percent of the American electorate -- around the same percentage as believe the moon landing was faked. Brooke speaks with Nate about how poll numbers on American public opinion can sometimes obscure the truth. 

Reports say GOP front-runner Donald Trump has 25 to 30 percent of voter support in recent polls. But, not so fast, says Nate Silver of the data news site FiveThirtyEight. It's early yet, and when you break those numbers down it's more like six to eight percent of the American electorate -- around the same percentage as believe the moon landing was faked. Brooke speaks with Nate about how poll numbers on American public opinion can sometimes obscure the truth.

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When Polls Obscure The Truth

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This episode was published on December 4, 2015.

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Reports say GOP front-runner Donald Trump has 25 to 30 percent of voter support in recent polls. But, not so fast, says Nate Silver of the data news site FiveThirtyEight. It's early yet, and when you break those numbers down it's more like six to...

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