EPISODE · Jun 5, 2026 · 6 MIN
Why Gold Is Falling Despite Iran Tensions
from Geopolitics and Markets with Fexingo: Wars, Sanctions, and Economic Consequences · host Fexingo
Gold has dropped 2.5 percent in the past five days to $4,361 per ounce, and mining stocks are getting crushed — the GDX ETF is down 8.1 percent. Lucas and Luna examine the disconnect: with missile tests in the Strait of Hormuz and a falling dollar index, why isn't gold rallying? They trace the answer to two forces: a hidden liquidity crunch in the futures market as margin calls ripple through commodity desks, and a rotation into cash-driven by the Nasdaq's 4.2 percent weekly slide. Lucas brings in the data on open interest in COMEX gold futures, which fell 12 percent in May even as prices were still climbing. Luna challenges the traditional 'safe haven' narrative, pointing out that the dollar's decline this week actually accelerated the gold sell-off as leveraged traders unwound positions to cover losses elsewhere. They also tie it to broader market signals: the S&P 500's nine-week winning streak is ending, and the VIX is spiking. The episode closes on the question of whether this is a buying opportunity or the start of a deeper correction in precious metals. #Gold #PreciousMetals #IranTensions #StraitOfHormuz #LiquidityCrunch #MarginCalls #COMEX #FederalReserve #DollarIndex #Nasdaq #GDX #SafeHaven #MarketCorrection #GeopoliticalRisk #Commodities #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
What this episode covers
Gold has dropped 2.5 percent in the past five days to $4,361 per ounce, and mining stocks are getting crushed — the GDX ETF is down 8.1 percent. Lucas and Luna examine the disconnect: with missile tests in the Strait of Hormuz and a falling dollar index, why isn't gold rallying? They trace the answer to two forces: a hidden liquidity crunch in the futures market as margin calls ripple through commodity desks, and a rotation into cash-driven by the Nasdaq's 4.2 percent weekly slide. Lucas brings in the data on open interest in COMEX gold futures, which fell 12 percent in May even as prices were still climbing. Luna challenges the traditional 'safe haven' narrative, pointing out that the dollar's decline this week actually accelerated the gold sell-off as leveraged traders unwound positions to cover losses elsewhere. They also tie it to broader market signals: the S&P 500's nine-week winning streak is ending, and the VIX is spiking. The episode closes on the question of whether this is a buying opportunity or the start of a deeper correction in precious metals. #Gold #PreciousMetals #IranTensions #StraitOfHormuz #LiquidityCrunch #MarginCalls #COMEX #FederalReserve #DollarIndex #Nasdaq #GDX #SafeHaven #MarketCorrection #GeopoliticalRisk #Commodities #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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Why Gold Is Falling Despite Iran Tensions
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