Why Post-IPO Stocks Beat Indexes in Year One

Lucas and Luna examine a surprising pattern: tech stocks that go public often outperform the broader market in their first year, even when the IPO itself was a down-round or priced below expectations. They dig into the data behind the so-called 'IPO pop hangover' — the idea that first-day gains get given back — and explain why the real story is about float, index inclusion, and earnings beats from companies that under-promised during the roadshow. Using recent examples like Reddit's quiet but steady climb and the strong post-IPO performance of Instacart (Maplebear), they show how the math of supply and demand works in a low-float environment. They also highlight the risk: the 12-month mark, when lockups expire and index funds rebalance, often creates a dip that patient investors can exploit. Recorded June 7, 2026. #PostIPO #TechStocks #IPO #CapitalMarkets #Reddit #Instacart #Maplebear #Float #IndexInclusion #EarningsBeats #Lockup #Roadshow #Underwrite #PublicMarkets #GrowthStocks #Business #Finance #FexingoBusiness Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo