World on the Brink 2025 - 2030 episode artwork

EPISODE · Jul 25, 2025 · 1H 18M

World on the Brink 2025 - 2030

from Rupp Thought · host Rupp Institute

The global landscape for 2025-2030 is characterized by unprecedented interconnected vulnerabilities and a fundamental shift in the geopolitical and economic order. While traditional safeguards exist, their effectiveness is significantly diminished by new, high-velocity contagion channels and a "Policy Checkmate" that paralyzes central bank responses. The probability of a 1929-scale financial contagion within this timeframe is estimated to be 55-65%, moving from a "tail risk" to a "base case" scenario. This shift is driven by the convergence of extreme financial fragilities, novel technological risks, and a fragmented geopolitical environment.

The global landscape for 2025-2030 is characterized by unprecedented interconnected vulnerabilities and a fundamental shift in the geopolitical and economic order. While traditional safeguards exist, their effectiveness is significantly diminished by new, high-velocity contagion channels and a "Policy Checkmate" that paralyzes central bank responses. The probability of a 1929-scale financial contagion within this timeframe is estimated to be 55-65%, moving from a "tail risk" to a "base case" scenario. This shift is driven by the convergence of extreme financial fragilities, novel technological risks, and a fragmented geopolitical environment.

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World on the Brink 2025 - 2030

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This episode is 1 hour and 18 minutes long.

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This episode was published on July 25, 2025.

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The global landscape for 2025-2030 is characterized by unprecedented interconnected vulnerabilities and a fundamental shift in the geopolitical and economic order. While traditional safeguards exist, their effectiveness is significantly diminished...

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