PODCAST · news
Market Watch
by BFM Media
Dovish or hawkish? Over or underweight? Bull or Bear? Investor paralysis? We speak to leading local and foreign analyst to find out how the different asset classes and markets will react to the latest news, results and even geopolitical events.
Episodes
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AI Stocks Slide as Inflation Bites
The AI trade is facing renewed scrutiny as semiconductor stocks come under pressure, even as TSMC reports record profits. Meanwhile, US inflation has climbed to 3.7%, driven largely by higher energy prices, while strong retail sales and surging producer prices raise questions about corporate…
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How Bond Traders, Not Central Banks, Are Driving Rates
Inflation Pressures Mount as Fed Decision Looms U.S. September CPI showed renewed acceleration driven by energy prices, with further increases expected into year-end. Real wages are under pressure, with consumer-facing companies including Domino's Pizza and McDonald's already signalling stress....
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US Q3 Earnings Kickoff: JP Morgan, TSMC, Tesla & Netflix
JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs reported strong results, with equity trading particularly robust and consumer credit card use up 10% or more across most institutions, yet every bank's shares fell on the day. David Dietze, Chief Investment Strategist at Dietze Wealth Management Group, examines what…
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Looking Forward To Earnings' Season
Major US banks including Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase are set to report their earnings this week with analysts expecting S&P 500 earnings to surge 30.6% in Q3. Joe Quinlan, Chief Market Strategist, US Trust-BOA Private Wealth Management, shares his insights into what we can expect…
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Wall Street Rallies Despite Mounting Risks
US equities continue to climb despite elevated Treasury yields, persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions keeping oil above US$100 a barrel. With major US banks kicking off earnings season and fresh inflation data due, investors face another test of whether current valuations can be…
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Can Budget 2027 Keep Investors Confident?
With Budget 2027 tabled on the 9th Oct, what will investors need to see to stay confident in Malaysia, especially after foreign funds turned net sellers of Malaysian government bonds in September? Globally, AI-related debt issuance has passed US$575 billion this year, while TSMC’s record…
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US Stock Markets Make Record Targets, But Its Economy Sees Rising Cracks
Goldman Sachs and Citi now see the S&P 500 ending the year somewhere between 7,400 and 8,100, and analysts expect third-quarter earnings to grow by more than 30%. Underneath that optimism, there are warning signs. Distressed loans are at their highest level since March 2020, with tech making up...
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Global Diesel Squeeze: Will Emergency Stock Releases Work?
Faced with severe supply disruptions across the Middle East and Russia, G7 nations have agreed to release 100 million barrels of crude and diesel reserves. But is this enough? Zameer Yusuf, Lead Analyst for Clean Products at Kpler, joins The Morning Run to break down the global diesel crunch. He...
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Asia Faces a New Rates Reality
Weak US jobs data has reduced expectations of another immediate Federal Reserve rate hike, yet long-term Treasury yields remain close to multi-decade highs, creating a difficult backdrop for markets across Asia. Investors are also weighing possible further tightening in Japan and India, continued...
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AI Boom vs 5% Yields: How Long Can Wall Street Rally?
Wall Street reached fresh heights as the Nasdaq hit a new record, yet beneath the surface, investors are navigating rising US Treasury yields, stubborn diesel fuel supply constraints, and sovereign debt jitters across Europe. Joe Quinlan, Chief Market Strategist at US Trust - Bank of America...
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Stocks Rally as the Bond Market Revolts
US equities remain close to record highs despite a surprisingly weak September jobs report, Treasury yields reaching levels not seen in decades and expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise rates again. With the S&P 500 up nearly 13% this year, investors are increasingly confronting a…
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The Rally Few Stocks Are Carrying
The S&P 500 ended the third quarter higher, but the equal-weighted index fell about 4% in September, so the gains came from a small group of stocks. With AI borrowing being tested in the credit market, the dollar at a three-month high and close to US$8 trillion sitting in money-market funds,...
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US Stocks At Near Record High, At A Time Bond Yield Is Rising
Global equities closed the quarter near record highs, even with oil up 40% and the US 10-year Treasury yield above 5.2%. US PCE inflation came in cooler than expected at 3.4%, but rising oil is pulling yields up with it, and Australia is already hiking into 4% inflation. So is the bond market...
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Oil, Yields & the AI Money Machine
Investors head into the fourth quarter facing oil above US$100, elevated bond yields and another crucial round of US inflation and employment data that could shape the Federal Reserve’s next move. Meanwhile, Nvidia’s enormous US$150 billion share-buyback programme is highlighting just how much…
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Is the Worst Over for China A-Shares?
After four brutal years near one-year lows, could China’s mainland stock market finally be quietly carving out a bottom? While the benchmark CSI 300 remains in the red, subtle signs of momentum are beginning to emerge under the surface. Eric Khaw, Senior Portfolio Manager at Amova Asset…
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The Geopolitical Shock That Could Reprice Everything
Higher oil prices, rising Treasury yields and the prospect of further Fed rate hikes are putting pressure on US markets. Joe Quinlan, Chief Market Strategist at US Trust-BOA Private Wealth Management, discusses the risks to corporate earnings, US-China trade and what the latest moves in gold and...
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Will US-China Truce Break After US Midterm Elections?
Despite a temporary US-China agreement on reciprocal tariff reductions and 10-year Treasury yields reaching 5.23%, global markets face mounting pressure from sticky inflation and rising geopolitical tensions. Laurent Lequeu, Independent Market Analyst and Writer of The Macro Butler newsletter,...
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Oil at $106, AI Debt Strain, & Bond Yield Spikes
With Brent crude holding above $100 a barrel and 10-year US Treasury yields pressing past 5.19%, global markets are navigating a complex mix of rising inflation expectations, rate hike pressures, and corporate debt strain. Tony Nash, CEO of Complete Intelligence, joins The Morning Run to unpack...
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Is Higher for Longer Interest Rates Still Bullish For Stocks?
The Fed has raised rates and says they'll stay high for longer, and Treasury yields are at levels not seen in years. So is that bad news for stocks, and does the AI growth story still hold up? We speak to Patrick Chang, Chief Investment Officer, Segments & Propositions at CIMB, about what's…
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Can Asia Withstand Another Rate-Hike Cycle?
The Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan have both raised interest rates, putting renewed pressure on Asian central banks as the US dollar remains strong. Meanwhile, China is grappling with weak domestic demand and record-low loan growth even as the yuan strengthens ahead of Xi Jinping’s meeting…
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Is the AI Rally Really Back?
Wall Street's enthusiasm for the Magnificent Seven seems to be back as the Nasdaq closed at a new record high, but questions remain over AI valuations, infrastructure spending and the concentration of market gains. Joe Quinlan, Chief Market Strategist, US Trust-BOA Private Wealth Management…
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Why Aren’t Healthcare Stocks Keeping Up?
Malaysia’s healthcare sector delivered strong earnings growth in the second quarter, supported by higher patient volumes, rising revenue per patient and growing medical tourism. Yet share-price performance has been mixed, with several major hospital operators underperforming the broader market...
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Are Markets Too Calm About Higher Rates?
US equities remain remarkably resilient despite Treasury yields around 5%, oil above US$100 and the Federal Reserve raising interest rates again. Elsewhere, the Bank of Japan and Reserve Bank of Australia are also tightening policy, while investors await a potentially consequential meeting…
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S-REIT Had Good Earnings, But Bad Share Prices
Singapore REITs came out of the June quarter with stable occupancy, positive rental reversions and disciplined balance sheets. Share prices tell a different story. The REIT Index is still in negative territory year-to-date while the broader STI is up more than 10 per cent, with high interest…
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The Fed Hiked Interest Rates, US Stocks Rallied
The Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in three years, and Wall Street went up anyway. The Nasdaq climbed 1.7% as easing oil prices and softer Treasury yields pulled technology stocks higher, but crude is still above US$100 a barrel and the 10-year is hovering near 4.9%. We ask…
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Fed Rate Hike: Has Kevin Warsh Proven Fed Independence?
Following the Federal Reserve's decision to raise its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, marking the central bank's first rate increase since July 2023, Vishnu Varathan, Head of Economics & Strategy at Mizuho Bank, joins The Morning Run to analyse the broader market fallout. Vishnu...
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The US$11.5 Billion Data Centre Rush
Money is pouring into data centres across Southeast Asia, with more than US$11.5 billion invested so far, according to a new report by Tracxn. Most of that money has gone to just five companies based in Singapore, while the actual data centres are going up in Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand.…
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Japan Equities: AI Boom, Bank Earnings and What Comes Next
Japan's first-quarter corporate earnings season delivered a broad-based beat, with over 70% of companies exceeding market expectations against a typical 55% hit rate. The Nikkei, which peaked up roughly 44% before pulling back, still sits around 27% higher year-to-date. James Ying, Client…
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Can Markets Handle 5% Treasury Yields?
US Treasury yields have crossed the psychologically important 5% level as markets brace for another Federal Reserve rate hike, while persistent inflation, heavy government borrowing and US$100-plus oil add to the pressure. Yet US equities have remained surprisingly resilient despite the...
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Are Markets Heading for a Stagflation Shock?
Oil is back above US$100, bond yields are approaching uncomfortable levels and major central banks are turning increasingly hawkish, raising the risk of a difficult combination of persistent inflation and weaker growth. Meanwhile, investors are weighing whether US Treasuries look attractive at...
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Which Risk Bites Equities First? Oil Above $100 Or Rising Yields?
US equities slipped overnight as Brent pushed above US$100, nearly 30% off its early-August lows, while longer-dated Treasury yields kept climbing despite the Treasury tripling its bond buyback to US$6 billion. Hebe Chen, Senior Market Analyst at Vantage Markets, tells us which of those two...
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Why REITs Are Delivering But Not Rewarding Investors?
Bursa Malaysia's REIT Index has had a roller-coaster year, and unlike the benchmark index it remains in the red — even as the 20 companies it tracks delivered a sturdy set of first-half results, with growth in both revenue and dividends. So why the disconnect? Afifah Ishak, Equity Research…
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With Oil Spikes, Where Are Markets Really Heading?
Global equity sentiment turned lower as oil prices hit their highest in over three months — but tech has been the surprising bright spot through the latest correction. Tony Nash, CEO of Complete Intelligence, joins us to unpack whether this is a buying opportunity, what's driving diesel and…
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Can Malaysia’s Tech Rally Keep Running?
Malaysia’s technology sector has been one of Bursa Malaysia’s standout performers in 2026, fuelled by booming investment in AI, semiconductors and data centres. Second-quarter earnings largely lived up to expectations, but the technology index has since retreated from its highs and valuations...
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China: Exports, Banks and the Yuan
China’s August exports grew 25% from a year ago, accelerating from the previous month. But this stronger than expected performance was based on three categories: integrated chips, computing equipment and EVs. Meanwhile, with the Chinese yuan hitting a three and a half year high against the USD...
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Can Equities Keep Rising as Rates Climb?
Strong US jobs data has kept a September Federal Reserve rate hike firmly in play, testing whether equities can continue performing in an environment of elevated borrowing costs and a resilient economy. In Japan, a stronger yen and speculation over a faster pace of Bank of Japan tightening are…
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Malaysia’s Data Centre Boom Hits Its Limits
Malaysia’s data-centre story is entering a new phase as the focus shifts from building facilities to actually powering, cooling and connecting them. With electricity capacity emerging as a major constraint, alongside water availability and network connectivity, the investment opportunity could...
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Are Markets Ready for Another Rate Hike?
A surprisingly strong US jobs report has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise rates again, putting even greater focus on this week’s inflation data. At the same time, global bonds are reeling from a sharp sell-off, US equities have lost some momentum and semiconductor…
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Oil, Jobs And The Fed's Next Move
US markets closed higher overnight, but the calm hides a lot of tension underneath. Oil has pushed to its highest level since July as the Middle East conflict intensifies, and August payrolls land tomorrow after July's big negative surprise, leaving the Fed staring at a possible stagflation...
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Corporate Malaysia Best Quarter Since 2020
Malaysian corporate earnings for the June quarter came in stronger than almost anyone expected, with more positive surprises and fewer misses than the first quarter. For the first time since December 2020, not a single sector reported earnings that missed expectations overall, helped by strong...
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Can America Grow Its Way Out of Debt?
The G20 has wrapped up against a backdrop of geopolitical tensions, trade disputes and rising global bond yields, with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arguing that economic growth is the best answer to America’s mounting debt burden. Meanwhile, markets are pricing in the possibility of…
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Are Bond Markets Becoming the Bigger Risk?
Fresh US economic data, rising global bond yields and renewed Middle East tensions are giving investors plenty to contend with as September gets underway. Meanwhile, Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole message has kept another Federal Reserve rate hike firmly on the table. With Treasury yields...
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Warsh Puts Rate Hikes Back In Play
Kevin Warsh has used his first Jackson Hole address as Fed Chair to put the fight against inflation firmly back at the centre of monetary policy, raising expectations that another rate hike could come as soon as September. Meanwhile, renewed US-Iran tensions are pushing energy prices higher,...
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Inside Malaysian Banks' Q2 Earnings
Malaysia’s banking sector has just wrapped up its second-quarter 2026 earnings season, offering fresh insights into how the country’s largest lenders are navigating current operating conditions. Chin Jin Han, Research Analyst at Affin Hwang Investment Bank, joins BFM’s Market Watch to break down...
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The Ringgit's Rally Isn't Really About Malaysia
The ringgit has firmed against the US dollar in recent weeks, from around RM4.09 in mid-August to roughly RM4.03 — but how much of that is a Malaysia story, and how much is simply a softer greenback ahead of Jackson Hole? Against the yuan the picture reverses: the ringgit has slipped since May,...
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Warsh's First Jackson Hole, And The Weakening US Dollar
We look at what yesterday's jobless claims say about the US labour market, and what to listen for when Kevin Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole keynote as Fed chair tonight. With Treasury yields easing and the dollar near its weakest since May, we ask whether the worst of the bond turmoil has...
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Nvidia Earnings: Has The AI Trade Peaked?
Nvidia's earnings are once again taking center stage as the AI market barometer, even as tech behemoths commit close to US$700 billion in AI CAPEX this year alone, increasingly funded through debt. Patrick Chang, Chief Investment Officer at CIMB Bank, joins BFM’s Market Watch to unpack what...
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Trade Wars, Bond Buybacks & Jackson Hole
This week equity markets are being dictated by the escalating trade war between the US and Canada while recovering Treasury yields lent some support. David Dietze, Chief Investment Strategist at Dietze Wealth Management Group, shares his thoughts on these developments as well as signals from the...
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Can Malaysia’s Car Boom Keep Going?
Malaysia’s automotive market continues to defy economic uncertainty, with vehicle sales rising nearly 3% in the first seven months of 2026 and the Malaysian Automotive Association expecting another year above 800,000 units. But beneath the headline numbers, the competitive landscape is shifting…
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Can Markets Survive Higher Yields?
Stronger-than-expected US economic data is keeping pressure on Treasury yields and complicating the outlook for interest rates, even as investors await fresh signals from the Jackson Hole Symposium. Meanwhile, a weaker US dollar has supported gold and the Australian dollar, while Nvidia’s…
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
Dovish or hawkish? Over or underweight? Bull or Bear? Investor paralysis? We speak to leading local and foreign analyst to find out how the different asset classes and markets will react to the latest news, results and even geopolitical events.
HOSTED BY
BFM Media
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Dovish or hawkish? Over or underweight? Bull or Bear? Investor paralysis? We speak to leading local and foreign analyst to find out how the different asset classes and markets will react to the latest news, results and even geopolitical events.
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