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PODCAST · business

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

  1. 268

    America’s $205 Billion Government Fund You’ve Never Heard Of | Conor Coleman, Head of Investments at Development Finance Corporation (DFC)

    Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn Conor Coleman, Head of Investments and Chief of Staff at the Development Finance Corporation (DFC), joins Monetary Matters to explain the DFC’s capacity as the international investment arm of the United States Government and its central role in economic statecraft. He and Jack discuss the Ukraine Mineral Deal, Strait of Hormuz Reinsurance Program, as well as several other deals and programs around the world that the DFC is involved in. Recorded June 8, 2026. Development Finance Corporation (DFC) website: https://www.dfc.gov/ DFC Project Data: https://www.dfc.gov/what-we-do/active-projects U.S.-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund: https://www.dfc.gov/investment-story/investing-ukraines-reconstruction-and-americas-security “US Agency to Own 20% of Graphite Miner Syrah in Critical Minerals Push”: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-26/us-agency-to-own-20-of-graphite-miner-syrah-in-critical-minerals-push ____ Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today.  Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs  CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn  This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results.  For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing.  CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT.  PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.

  2. 267

    “Sleepwalking into Crisis”: Why The Oil Market Hasn’t Imploded Yet | Kpler’s Matt Smith

    Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack sits down with Matt Smith, the Director of Research at Kepler, to analyze how the global oil market is sleepwalking into a major supply crisis four months into the Iran war conflict. With the Strait of Hormuz closed for over three months, approximately 11 million barrels per day of crude supply have been removed from the market, forcing a global reduction of 9 million barrels per day in refinery runs. Smith explains that China's sudden decision to halt buying and scale back its own refinery operations temporarily freed up 4.5 million barrels per day for the global market, masking the true severity of the physical shortage. Meanwhile, the United States has acted as a primary buffer by heavily exporting refined products overseas, which has caused domestic inventories—particularly at the Cushing pricing hub—to deplete rapidly toward critical operational bottoms. Despite these deep structural deficits, headline benchmarks remain under $100 due to seasonal demand lulls and political interventions, leaving the trading market in a temporary state of complacency. Ultimately, Smith warns that a major market breakdown could occur as early as July when these dwindling stockpiles finally run dry and force a dramatic price response. This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today.  Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs  CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn  This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results.  For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing.  CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT.  PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.

  3. 266

    The AI Chip Bubble: Why South Korea & Taiwan Are In the Danger Zone | Michael Fritzell | Asian Century Stocks

    In this episode of Other People’s Money, host Max Wiethe sits down with Michael Fritzell, author of Asian Century Stocks, to break down the massive valuation divergence playing out across Asian equity markets. Michael explains why he believes the skyrocketing AI and memory chip sectors in South Korea and Taiwan have entered dangerous bubble territory, fueled by unsustainable profit estimates that ignore looming Chinese supply. Instead of chasing the tech hype, he highlights the massive upside hidden in overlooked South Korean small caps and Japanese growth stocks that are trading at single-digit multiples despite solid fundamentals. Tune in to discover how corporate governance reforms, insider buying trends, and a forming "New Cold War" are creating the ultimate stock-picker's market. Read Asian Century Stocks: https://www.asiancenturystocks.com/ Follow Michael on X: https://x.com/MikeFritzell Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Korea Chip Bubble Warning 00:42 Why Asia Diverges Now 02:26 AI Mania Hits Korea 04:37 Bubble Case for Memory 06:40 China Supply Response 09:18 Memory Versus Logic Chips 11:33 Speculation on the Ground 13:41 Western Investors Pile In 15:44 Japan Reforms and Yen Boom 18:26 Korea Governance Fixes 24:20 Korea Small Cap Hunting 25:45 K Beauty and Cultural Exports 30:52 Finding Ideas Before The US 31:57 Nintendo Versus Memory Costs 33:19 Nintendo Release Drought 35:36 Switch 2 Execution Questions 37:39 Family Console vs Roblox 38:25 Iran War Energy Shock 41:50 India & China Underperformance 45:17 China Crackdowns Risk 50:42 The China Gray Zone Trade 54:25 New Cold War Lines 56:54 Hunting Value Across Asia 01:02:19 Reforms and Value Programs 01:04:06 How Much to Allocate to Asia 01:07:41 Where to Follow Michael

  4. 265

    Overvaluation Meets Macro Risk: Why This Massive Asset Manager is Getting Bearish | Jim Masturzo | Research Affiliates

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack Farley sits down with Jim Masturzo, Chief Investment Officer at Research Affiliates, to discuss the changing macroeconomic landscape and the underlying flaws of the traditional 60/40 portfolio. Masturzo explains that the recent positive correlation between stocks and bonds requires investors to find true diversifiers, though he still sees tactical opportunities in trading range-bound bond yields. The conversation explores the AI-driven market narrative, with Masturzo highlighting that the U.S. market is significantly overvalued at a CAPE ratio of 40 and examining the resulting ripple effects on software stock valuations. Finally, he details his bullish conviction trade on commodities amidst severe geopolitical supply chain risks and introduces his firm's new fundamentally weighted RAFI Growth Index. Follow Research Affiliates on X: https://x.com/RA_Insights Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Market Overvaluation Setup 00:53 Meet Jim Masturzo 01:23 60 40 Under Pressure 02:50 Finding True Diversifiers 06:24 Why Yields Stay Bounded 11:29 Government Backstops And YCC 14:09 Fed Balance Sheet Fears 17:28 Sponsor Break HFGM 19:44 Range Intact Tactical View 25:26 Private Credit Shift Risks 28:36 Stocks Rally And AI Narrative 33:31 CAPE Valuations Explained 36:19 Earnings Growth Skepticism 39:00 AI Adoption Reality Check 45:53 AI Investing Limits 49:26 Why Earnings Forecasts Fail 54:18 SaaSpocalypse and Risk Framework 01:02:37 Valuation Multiples and GAAP Focus 01:06:44 Conviction Trades Commodities and Bonds 01:14:38 Research Affiliates and RAFI Indices 01:16:21 Fundamental Growth Index Explained

  5. 264

    How This Real Estate Investor is Betting on an AI Boom (It’s Not Data Centers) | Tom Shapiro

    Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://fundrise.com/mm In this episode of Other People's Money, GTIS Partners founder and CIO Tom Shapiro breaks down how massive macroeconomic shifts, including AI and inflation, are reshaping the global real estate landscape. He explains why his firm is heavily betting on a San Francisco recovery driven by the booming AI sector, and how they are scooping up properties at steep discounts to replacement costs. Shapiro also details the severe oversupply challenges currently stalling popular Sun Belt cities, alongside the firm's strategic push into industrial logistics to capitalize on domestic reshoring trends. Finally, he shares decades of expertise on navigating the complex Brazilian real estate market, offering a masterclass on global investment strategies in a high-interest-rate environment. Learn more about GTIS Partners: https://www.gtispartners.com/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:30 Macro Shocks and Inflation 02:30 AI Disruption Risks 04:27 Tracking Jobs and Households 06:09 Immigration and Rate Politics 08:03 Build to Rent Bill Fallout 11:57 Affordability and Mortgage Rates 14:41 Fundrise Income Fund 16:36 Regional Winners and Losers 17:12 Sun Belt Oversupply Pain 19:57 San Francisco Comeback Thesis 24:35 AI Occupancy and Investment Plays 28:28 Picking Buildings Block by Block 30:02 Picking the Right Building 30:21 Safety and City Recovery 33:39 AI Jobs and Office Demand 35:17 Froth and Real Revenues 37:39 Data Centers NIMBY Debate 39:54 Reshoring and Warehouse Boom 44:09 Real Estate Capital Markets 49:07 Why Brazil Worked 52:46 Brazil Rates and Currency 55:15 Politics and China Pull 58:44 US Outlook and Wrap Up

  6. 263

    Things Are Going to Get Even Crazier: The Macro Regime Shift | Andreas Steno Larsen

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm Andreas Steno Larsen, macro researcher from Real Vision, joins Max Wiethe on Other People’s Money to discuss the shifting macro regime where inflation has returned and is pushing US Treasury yields over 5%. They discuss the market’s expectation for interest rate hikes and how the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh will react to this environment. They also discuss the other dominant force in markets right now, the AI buildout. Steno Larsen argues that things are going to get crazier before the cycle turns later this year, but in the meantime the shortages in the AI supply chain are creating unappreciated winners in the technology sector. Follow Andreas Steno Larsen on X: https://x.com/AndreasSteno Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:50 Inflation and the Big Macro Shift 01:43 Transitory Inflation Debate 04:19 Bond Trade Timing 06:13 Steep Curve Playbook 09:41 Why Steepening Helps 12:24 Strong Dollar EM Risk 14:35 HFGM Unlimited Funds 16:51 India Data Versus Rupee 18:24 Energy Supply Countdown 21:23 LatAm Underperformance 23:27 AI Inflation Link 26:52 Korea Semis Surge 28:26 Momentum with Earnings 30:39 Quantum Hype Warning 32:24 Semis Cycle Peak Question 34:47 Late Cycle Winners Flip 39:01 IPO Supply and Rotation 43:35 Valuation Metrics Reframed 46:11 Hidden Scarcity Trade 49:21 Goods Inflation Returns 51:15 AI Jobs and Robotics 54:07 White Collar Disruption Map 59:53 LLMs and Bad Facts 01:04:47 Momentum vs. Value Edge 01:06:15 Rapid Fire Outlook and Wrap

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    What Doomer Narratives Miss About Private Credit | John Cocke of Corbin Capital

    John Cocke, Deputy Chief Investment Officer at Corbin Capital, joins Jack to discuss the world of private credit. With so much discussion over the asset class, John provides some much-needed context. While there are some areas of concern, John rejects the doomer narratives commonly seen on social media and sees opportunity on the horizon. Jack and John also discuss data center financing and the important, yet often missed, details of the private credit space. Recorded on May 15th, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow John Cocke on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/john-cocke-8319295/   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez   Check Out Jack & Max on the MTS Livestream: https://x.com/MTSlive

  8. 261

    A Basel III Deep Dive | What to Know About How It Will Transform Banking Globally

    Chen Xu, counsel at Debevoise & Plimpton, joins Jack to discuss the Basel III framework and endgame. The Basel III framework is extremely important to the future of banking and credit. Few people are as qualified to explain this complex agreement more than Chen Xu. Chen explains what Basel III is and how it will affect many different areas of the financial world. Recorded on May 1st, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Chen Xu on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/chen-xu-a483b75/ Read Chen’s Publications https://www.debevoise.com/chenxu/?tab=insightsandpublications   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez   Check Out Jack & Max on the MTS Livestream: https://x.com/MTSlive

  9. 260

    Why Andy Constan Says The AI Bubble is in Earnings, Not Price

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm Monetary Matters is now streaming daily as part of Monitoring the Situation. Join us live on X and YouTube from 4 to 5 PM ET Monday through Friday @mtsituation for live interviews and analysis breaking down the market’s most important situations. This is recording of a recent live interview from MTS. Veteran macro trader Andy Constan joins Monetary Matters live on Monitoring the Situation to discuss why he has 100% confidence that AI stocks are in a bubble. The nuance though is that unlike most bubbles, where the bubble is in unsustainable prices with no earnings, this is a bubble in unsustainable earnings that will eventually fall and make the current somewhat reasonable prices look lofty in hindsight. Constan highlights metrics like the $400 billion in S&P 500 earnings expectations and the over 60% of that is supposed to accrue to AI winners, and argues that based on projected GDP growth that their simply “isn’t enough pie for all of the S&P 500 to eat” without it coming other very important areas of the economy. Follow Andy Constan on X: https://x.com/dampedspring Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Earnings Bubble Thesis 01:22 Defining a Bubble Regime 04:02 Past Bubbles and Patterns 07:57 Why PE Looks Normal 08:57 GDP Pie Math Reality 13:06 Unlimited ETFs HFGM 15:23 AI ROI and Inflation Risks 18:34 Three Cohorts Funding Compute 23:36 What a Real Pop Looks Like 28:22 Timing and Investor Discipline 30:27 Trading It Collars Not Shorts 33:13 Closing and Sign Off

  10. 259

    “You Don’t Sell Blow-offs” | Andrew Perry on Bullish Technicals of U.S. Stock Market, “Dangerous” Period for Global Equities, and Bull Case for Agricultural Commodities

    Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack sits down with veteran macro investor Andrew Perry of Macro Pillars. Perry provides a bullish technical outlook for US stocks, offering specific targets for the S&P 500 while warning against shorting the current momentum on a nominal basis. The discussion explores strategic pair trades, specifically being long US equities while shorting energy-dependent nations like Australia and Germany. Perry also explains the macro drivers behind his long positions in agricultural commodities—including corn, wheat, and soybeans—driven by fertilizer stress and geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz. Listeners will gain deep insights into why the MOVE index and US Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcements (QRA) are more critical indicators of market liquidity than the traditional VIX. Finally, Perry details the specific yield curve shifts, moving from bear to bull steepeners, that will signal the next major recessionary trade. Recorded May 11, 2026. This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today.  Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs  CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn  This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results.  For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing.  CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT.  PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.  Sources  • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports.  • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary.  • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date).  Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC.  5324752  Sourcing Index  • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports.  • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary.  • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date).

  11. 258

    Lyn Alden on Macro Consequences of AI and The Stolgard Incident (Monitoring The Situation Replay)

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm Jack Farley and Max Wiethe host Lyn Alden to explore the profound economic shifts driven by AI and the semiconductor industry. Alden compares the current rise of autonomous AI agents to the blue-collar manufacturing shifts of the 1980s, expressing continued bullishness on semiconductors due to physical bottlenecks and immense compute demand. She cautions that while tech hyperscalers remain dominant, their massive capital expenditure requirements and lower switching costs may lead to lower returns on invested capital than seen in previous decades. Regarding digital assets, Alden remains constructive on Bitcoin and moderately bullish on stablecoins, which she views as a vital tool for providing "offshore" banking utility to global users with smartphones. The conversation also highlights a "two-speed" or "K-shaped" economy where record-high stock prices diverge from record-low consumer sentiment due to stagflationary pressures and heavy fiscal spending. Finally, Alden discusses her science fiction novel, “The Stolgard Incident,” which envisions a semi-dystopian 2070s where society grapples with ubiquitous AI, virtual reality escapism, and widening wealth gaps. This originally aired on Monitoring The Situation in late April, see below to tune in.  Follow Lyn Alden on X https://x.com/LynAldenContact Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96Follow Monitoring The Situation (MTS) on X https://x.com/MTSlive Lyn Alden’s book, “The Stolguard Incident,” https://www.amazon.com/Stolguard-Incident-Lyn-Alden/dp/B0GNS9MYB5/ref=sr_1_1?adgrpid=193521879551&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.RJbicCTYIekTrz-Xcqzk7A.nC6zf8DffI2xHZBeqYOHUm48fMahUhOyxmiEmcenTBU&dib_tag=se&hvadid=789707336866&hvdev=c&hvexpln=0&hvlocphy=9060354&hvnetw=g&hvocijid=17622433326543445596--&hvqmt=e&hvrand=17622433326543445596&hvtargid=kwd-2473232811348&hydadcr=17070_13576050_1647189&keywords=the+stolguard+incident&mcid=b89d146b19ee37e6bc43fd9ecdb6775a&qid=1778698355&sr=8-1  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  12. 257

    Lending Where the Banks Won’t Go: What’s Fueling Europe’s Growing Real Estate Private Credit Market?

    Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://fundrise.com/mm In this episode of Other People's Money, Thomas Lloyd-Jones, Co-founder and CIO of Zenzic Capital, joins the show to unpack the nuances of the real estate private credit market. He explains how the media often conflates direct lending with the broader asset class, overlooking real estate and asset-backed lending. Lloyd-Jones details how increasing banking regulations are forcing traditional lenders to retreat, creating a widening gap for opportunistic credit funds to step in. This podcast is for informational purposes only and not an inducement to invest with Zenzic Capital. Zenzic Capital’s investment products are limited to professional clients only. The information within this podcast should not be relied upon as tax, legal or investment advice. Learn more about Zenzic Capital: https://zenziccapital.com/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:52 Private Credit Breakdown 03:32 BDCs And Redemptions 06:35 Allocation Failure Debate 08:47 Regulation and Fragmentation 12:07 Basel III Shift 14:10 Fundrise Income Fund 15:10 Systemic Risk and Leverage 17:36 Banks’ Retreat is Opportunity 20:56 Good vs. Bad Risk Premia 24:39 Senior Finance 28:44 Downside Protection and Spotting Bad Deals 37:48 Macro Matters for Exits 40:13 Finding Fixable Distress 43:22 Geopolitics and Rate Shock 47:01 Preferred Equity Playbook 51:49 When Development Risk Pays 54:52 Student Housing Reality Check 59:40 Macro Allocation Framework 01:01:59 Conclusion

  13. 256

    Why Generative AI Still Can’t Trade | David Wright on How Quant Alpha Actually Is Done With Machine Learning, Decision Trees, and Gradient Boosting

    To learn more about Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF ($PQUS), click here: https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/  This interview is brought to you by Pictet Asset Management. To learn more about Pictet AI-Enhanced  International Equity ETF ($PQNT), click here: https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/ Jack Farley sits down with David Wright, co-head of Quantitative Investments at Pictet Asset Management, to  discuss the machine learning techniques his team uses in their $30 billion quant franchise, and the degree to  which AI has impacted serious quantitative investing. Wright explains why he prefers to utilize many decision trees and use gradient boosting rather than Generative AI to generate return forecasts, citing the need to avoid  "hallucinations" and ensure models remain interpretable. The conversation explores their sophisticated  investment process, which analyzes over 400 features, including accounting data, market trends, and analyst  sentiment, to predict relative stock performance over 20-day horizons. These strategies, which now are included  in new ETFs $PQNT (Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF) and $PQUS (Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity  ETF) are designed as "passive replacements," aiming to maintain a Beta of 1.0 while aiming to deliver an  additional 1–2% annual outperformance over the relevant benchmarks, S&P 500 and MSCI EAFE indices. Finally,  Wright addresses the common "black box" misconception of quantitative finance, advocating instead for a "crystal  box" approach that provides full transparency into the economic rationale behind every trade. Recorded April 21,  2026. For important information about the fund, please click: https://etf.am.pictet.com/”  Important Information  Before investing, carefully consider the fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and  other information can be found in the fund’s prospectus or, if available, the summary prospectus, which  may be obtained by calling (855) 994-4778 or visiting www.pictet.com/etf. Read it carefully before investing.  (In Italic or Bold)   Investing in Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) involves risk, including possible loss of principal. The fund's principal  investment risks include Artificial Intelligence Models and Data Risk, Non-Diversification Risk, Convertible  Securities Risk, Rights and Warrants Risk, Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Risk and Sustainability & ESG  Data Risk. For additional information about these and other fund risks, please refer to the "Principal Investment  Risks" section of the prospectus.  ETFs are subject to additional risks that do not apply to conventional mutual funds, including the risks that the  market price of an ETF's shares may trade at a premium or discount to its net asset value, an active secondary  trading market may not develop or be maintained, or trading may be halted by the exchange in which they trade,  which may impact an ETF's ability to sell its shares. Shares of any ETF are bought and sold at market price (not  NAV) and are not individually redeemed from the ETF. Brokerage commissions will reduce returns.  Foreside fund services, LLC, distributor.  Definitions of terms used in the interview:  1. S&P 500 Index  The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500) is a market-capitalization-weighted index of 500 leading publicly  traded companies in the United States. It is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities.  Because it is weighted by market value, larger companies have a greater impact on the index's performance than  smaller ones.  2. MSCI EAFE Index  The MSCI EAFE Index is a stock market index that tracks the performance of large- and mid-cap securities  across developed markets around the world, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The acronym stands for Europe,  Australasia, and the Far East. It is commonly used as a benchmark for international equity funds. 3. Alpha  Alpha represents the "excess return" of an investment relative to the return of a benchmark index. It is a measure  of performance on a risk-adjusted basis. "Positive Alpha: indicates the investment outperformed its benchmark  after accounting for risk and "Negative Alpha" indicates the investment underperformed relative to the  benchmark.  4. Beta  Beta measures the volatility—or systematic risk—of a security or portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole  (usually the S&P 500, which has a Beta of 1.0) A Beta > 1.0 indicates the investment is more volatile than the  market (e.g., if the market rises 10%, the investment might rise 12%) A Beta < 1.0 indicates the investment is less  volatile than the market (e.g., if the market falls 10%, the investment might only fall 8%).  5. Basis Points (bps)  A Basis Point is a standard unit of measure for interest rates and other percentages in finance. One basis point is  equal to 1/100th of 1%, or 0.01%.

  14. 255

    Finding the Market’s Most Overlooked Macro Themes and Profiting from Global Volatility | Harris Kupperman

    Monetary Matters listeners can save $1000 on their first-year subscription to KEDM Research with coupon code mm2026: https://kedm.com/?add-to-cart=4175&apply_coupon=mm2026 Harris Kupperman and Roderick van Zuylen join Monetary Matters to discuss the intersection of thematic macro trends and event-driven catalysts. They dives deep into the severe supply-demand imbalances creating massive tailwinds for the refining industry, alongside the political shifts making Latin American equities a highly lucrative trade. They also discuss the rising volatility driving commodity brokers like Marex, and why the eldercare sector is primed for a breakout due to a halt in new facility construction. Follow KEDM Research on X: https://x.com/KEDM_COM Follow Harris Kupperman on X: https://x.com/hkuppy Follow Roderick van Zuylen on X: https://x.com/roojoo3 Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:10 Refiners Theme Setup 02:06 Why Cracks Tightened 05:18 Picking Refiner Winners 08:26 Earnings Path Dependence 14:22 Analyst Estimates Mispriced 17:54 Latin America Tailwinds 20:57 Brazil Financials Bet 24:01 Finding Mispriced Setups 30:28 KEDM Offer 31:15 Long Vol Through Brokers 34:03 Marex and Stonex Tailwinds 34:33 Macro Drivers of Volumes 36:11 CFO Hedging Incentives 37:57 Prediction Markets Opportunity 39:32 Eldercare Theme Setup 44:53 When Themes Meet Catalysts 46:17 Investor Days as Signals 48:45 Fallen Angels Returns 53:15 AI Automation for Monitors 54:23 CEO Pay as a Tell 55:26 US Consumer Weakness This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice. Any views expressed are the personal opinions of the speakers and do not necessarily reflect the views of their employers, affiliates, clients, or any related parties. Listeners should conduct their own research and consult their own advisers before making any investment or financial decision. The appearance of any speaker, guest, company, product, or service on this podcast does not constitute an endorsement, recommendation, or approval by any participant or third party. Any investments discussed are illustrative only and are not intended to reflect any actual portfolio. Examples are meant to show aspects of an investment approach, and while some may highlight successful trades, not all trades are successful or profitable.

  15. 254

    Warren Pies: The Scramble for Compute Cures All Ills | Two Wolves of “Hockeysticking Earnings” and Hormuz Oil Shock (Plus Caliban)

    Request Access to Free Trial to Caliban, Warren’s new AI-powered research tool that automates complex data sourcing & institutional-grade charting for investors: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/monetary-matters In this episode, Warren Pies, founder of 314 Research and Caliban, joins the show to analyze the "two wolves" currently battling for control of the market: the transformative power of AI and the historic oil crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. Pies details how an "agentic explosion" in AI and a massive scramble for compute are fueling an unprecedented earnings boom, with proprietary data showing that frontier models like Mythos are driving a legitimate, if lopsided, market advance. On the flip side, we explore the terrifying 10-million-barrel-per-day oil deficit caused by geopolitical blockades and why "managed demand destruction" has been the only force keeping prices from skyrocketing past $200. Despite these risks, Warren remains fundamentally bullish on equities, arguing that the AI-driven CapEx cycle and resilient fiscal stimulus are powerful enough to help the S&P 500 look through the energy nightmare. We also get an exclusive look at Caliban. Finally, Warren shares his tactical portfolio positioning, explaining his strategy for staying overweight in both stocks and oil commodities while remaining underweight in fixed income. Tune in to see how the S&P 500 reached the 7,000 target predicted in 2024 and why Warren believes the path to 8,000 remains intact. Recorded May 1st, 2026.

  16. 253

    Why Fundamentals Fail the New Economy | Jacob Pozharny on “Sentiment” Analysis’ Role in New Economy Stocks

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of "Monetary Matters," Jacob Pozharny, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Bridgeway Capital Management, explains why traditional fundamental analysis often fails "new economy" stocks due to the rise of intangible assets like R&D and customer relationships. He details a bifurcated investment strategy that utilizes advanced sentiment analysis for high-tech sectors while maintaining a classic fundamental approach for "old economy" industries. The discussion highlights how the 2026 Iran war is currently creating significant market dislocations in global energy and shipping, offering unique "alpha hunting" opportunities identified through proprietary textual analysis of earnings calls. Pozharny argues that the most effective stock picking occurs in less efficient mid-cap and small-cap markets outside the U.S., where the potential return spread is significantly wider than in the S&P 500. Finally, he outlines his firm's market-neutral approach to building idiosyncratic return streams that remain uncorrelated to broader market direction by leveraging unique data such as buy-side borrow availability. Jacob is portfolio manager of Bridgeway Global Opportunities Fund (BRGOX). Recorded April 16, 2026. Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Disclaimer for today’s sponsor, Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: Past performance is not indicative of future results. An investment should not be made based solely on returns. Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest which can be found on unlimitedetfs.com/HFGM.  Distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC

  17. 252

    Jim Bianco on Division at the Fed and Jerome Powell’s Controversial Decision to Stay

    Monetary Matters is now streaming daily as part of Monitoring the Situation. Join us live on X and YouTube from 4 to 5 PM ET Monday through Friday @MTSituation for live interviews and analysis breaking down the market’s most important situations. This is recording of a recent live interview from MTS. Jack Farley and Max Wiethe interview Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. The discussion covers Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's controversial decision to stay on after Kevin Warsh becomes Chairman. Bianco highlights the shift towards independent voting at the Fed, pointing to a recent dissents focused on easing bias language. Bianco also explores the economic impact of the continued blockage of the Strait of Hormuz and shares his market outlook, predicting elevated oil prices and trending higher interest rates. Follow Jim Bianco on X: https://x.com/biancoresearch Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:10 Powell Stays Controversy 02:24 Fed Independence and Dissents 03:57 Investigation Deal Explained 09:04 Easing Bias Forward Guidance 13:55 Supreme Court and Fed Upheaval 19:20 Earnings and Market Reaction 21:47 Oil Shock and Inflation Debate 25:47 Warsh Era Fed Outlook 32:13 Strait of Hormuz War Fallout 39:11 Trades for a Protracted War 41:30 Wrap Up and Where to Follow

  18. 251

    SpaceX IPO: Why This Hedge Fund Manager is Fading the Hype | Moez Kassam

    Monetary Matters is now streaming daily as part of Monitoring the Situation. Join us live on X and YouTube from 4 to 5 PM ET Monday through Friday @MTSlive for live interviews and analysis breaking down the market’s most important situations. This is recording of a recent live interview from MTS. Hosts Jack Farley and Max Wiethe are joined by Moez Kassam, the Chief Investment Officer of Anson Funds. Moez breaks down his strategy for generating alpha by acting as a contrarian and fading the crowd during times of rampant market speculation. In this episode, we cover: • The SpaceX IPO Rumors: Moez discusses the potential mechanics of the largest expected IPO in history and the rumors of early investor unlocks. He also details the "Day 9" trading strategy surrounding Nasdaq index inclusion. • The Massive Cannabis Opportunity: Learn why Anson Funds believes the U.S. cannabis sector could see a 400% move in a few years. Moez breaks down the DEA's descheduling process and the elimination of the restrictive 280E tax code. • Software and Activism: Why the indiscriminate selling of software stocks has created a massive opportunity for free cash flow investors and activist campaigns. • Navigating Emerging Tech: A candid assessment of AI, Space, and Quantum technologies. Moez explains why Quantum is facing a massive discount rate and why investors should be wary of the "me-too" space stocks. • Crypto & Private Credit: Insights from the recent Trump Crypto Conference and why the extreme negative sentiment around private credit makes its 10-15% yields highly attractive. Follow Moez Kassam on Instagram: @munchingmoez Follow Moez Kassam on X: https://x.com/MunchingMoez Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 02:10 SpaceX IPO Setup 05:49 Index Inclusion Trade 07:21 S-1 Filing Reality Check 08:32 Elon Rolls Up Businesses 12:12 Shorting Space Me Toos 13:35 AI, Space, Quantum Hype 16:18 Software Selloff and Activism 18:42 Cannabis Contrarian Bet 21:44 Descheduling Mechanics 24:30 AI & Semis: Crowded Trade? 26:10 Crypto Mood Shift 29:29 Media Activism Plays 31:16 Software Cash Flow vs Hype 34:49 Measuring Market Sentiment 37:51 Bitcoin Crowd Psychology 40:06 Shipping and Energy Contrarian 41:16 Canada: Gold & Oil Pulse 43:35 Process Over Predictions 45:50 Private Credit Negativity 46:34 Outro

  19. 250

    From Soros to Old Farm: How to Identify the Market’s Top Thematic Risk-Takers | Kieran Cavanna | Old Farm Partners

    This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Kieran Cavanna, the founder and CIO of Old Farm Partners and former head of external managers at Soros Fund Management joins Other People’s Money to break down his high-conviction approach to thematic investing, explaining why "making the main thing the main thing" is the secret to capturing outsized returns in the public markets. From his time working under legendary macro investor Scott Bessent to his current focus at Old Farm Partners, Kieran shares how he identifies "asymmetric" opportunities where the upside is massive and the downside is protected. If you've ever wondered how the world’s most sophisticated allocators source managers and structure co-investments to beat the market, this is an interview you can't miss. Listen to the Thematic Investors Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTSvmgAOiFVttgxmUaO4hSgMxutOwyS9T Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:17 Soros External Managers 03:36 What Makes Great Managers 07:01 Spotting Skill Vs Luck 08:47 Risk Management 12:37 Geography and Benchmarks 15:21 Style Drift and Communication 18:57 Fees and Multi Strat Debate 22:30 Spinouts and Independence 26:47 Co-Investing in Public Markets 30:06 Allocator Base and Drawdown Focus 31:12 Family Office Allocators 32:13 Private Credit Shift 36:57 Big Launches Small Wins 38:40 AI CapEx Main Event 41:26 Defense Tech Next Theme 42:44 Asymmetry Not Binary 44:51 Cross Sector Blind Spots 49:51 Crowded Trades Unwind 52:58 Macro Themes Bottom Up 57:37 Risks and Hedging 59:42 Thematic Investors Podcast

  20. 249

    “Overblown” Sell-off in Software Loans | Matthew Bloomfield on Public BDCs (Business Development Companies) and Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs)

    This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners   Matthew Bloomfield, President of Palmer Square Capital BDC, joins Jack to discuss structured credit markets. With fears rising over private credit defaults, it is important to listen to voices like Matthew. Matthew dives deep into the nuances of business development companies (BDCs), collateralized loan obligations, A.I. disruption, and private credit. He brings with him years of domain specific expertise on credit markets and is an incredible resource for those looking to become more acquainted with the minutiae of the credit industry. Recorded on April 14th, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Matthew Bloomfield on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/matt-bloomfield-66433932/   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  21. 248

    Navigating the SaaS Apocalypse: Why AI Disruption is Mispriced | Deiya Pernas | Pernas Research

    Monetary Matters listeners can save 20% on their first-year subscription to Pernas Research: http://pernasresearch.com/monetarymatters Software stocks have plummeted as the market prices in existential threats from AI capabilities and the rise of "vibe coding". In this episode, Deiya Pernas of Pernas Research explains why he believes the market is entirely misjudging the resilience of smaller SaaS companies. He argues that real-world integrations, enterprise-grade security, and privileged API access create powerful moats that simple code generation cannot easily replace. Pernas also reveals a previously multi-billion-dollar enterprise company that he sees 100% upside in over the next 12 months. Tune in to discover how to navigate the current "SaaS apocalypse" and identify mispriced opportunities in the market. Follow Pernas Research on X: https://x.com/pernasresearch Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 SaaS Apocalypse Setup 00:43 Pernas Research Offer 02:02 Software’s Second Leg Down 04:21 What Really Disrupts 07:23 Spotting Real Pivots 08:58 Valuations Hit 3x EV/Sales 11:27 When Sentiment Flips 14:03 Real World SaaS Focus 15:32 Vibe Coding Reality Check 17:52 Research Tools and Hiring 19:09 Pernas Research Offer 22:57 Sprout Social Pitch 25:37 Moat via API Access 28:12 Competition and TAM 32:16 Sprout Growth Outlook Ahead 33:49 Stock Comp Debate 36:57 3 More Bullish Stocks 38:33 Xometry Marketplace Explained 44:57 Xometry Scaling and Profit Path 46:04 Remitly vs. Wise 49:11 Migration Theme and Risks 52:29 Policy Shock and Risk Mindset 55:22 Portfolio Volatility Playbook 59:11 Conclusion

  22. 247

    Banks' “Considerable” Exposure to Private Credit | Chris Whalen on Banks’ Loans to NBFIs, Plus CRE, Gold, and Payments

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode, banking specialist Chris Whalen joins Jack to unpack the hidden risks within recent bank earnings, focusing heavily on the sector's exposure to private credit and non-depository financial institutions. Chris explains how the widespread use of off-balance-sheet special purpose vehicles obscures the true level of risk, warning that regional banks could face significant pain as troubled private credit debt is forced into equity. The conversation also explores the ongoing turmoil in commercial real estate, noting that while premium properties remain insulated, older buildings and specific markets like Chicago are suffering steep valuation discounts. Shifting to asset protection, Chris details his bullish stance on precious metals, highlighting gold as a crucial global monetary trade and silver as an industrial necessity currently facing acute supply shortages. Recorded April 17, 2026. Follow Chris Whalen on X https://x.com/rcwhalen Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Disclaimer for today’s sponsor, Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: Past performance is not indicative of future results. An investment should not be made based solely on returns. Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest which can be found on unlimitedetfs.com/HFGM.  Distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC

  23. 246

    Financial Repression, Pt. 1 | Professor Hanno Lustig on Hidden Taxes, Fiscal Sustainability, and Japan’s Debt Puzzle

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of Monetary Matters, Stanford University finance professor Hanno Lustig dives deep into the hidden mechanics of financial repression and fiscal sustainability. Professor Lustig explains how governments historically use financial repression to fund themselves at artificially low interest rates, shifting the economic burden away from taxpayers and onto everyday bondholders and savers. The conversation then centers on Japan's debt puzzle, exploring how the nation has sustained a debt-to-GDP ratio of over 200% without triggering a severe fiscal crisis. By consolidating the balance sheets of the Japanese government and the Bank of Japan, Lustig reveals that the public sector has been executing a massive, highly leveraged carry trade. This bold strategy involves funding operations by issuing bank reserves at near-zero interest rates and reinvesting those funds into higher-yielding foreign currencies and risky global equities. While this financial engineering has generated immense returns for the government, it operates as a hidden, regressive tax that heavily penalizes financially unsophisticated citizens who hold basic bank deposits. Finally, as inflation forces the Bank of Japan to abandon yield curve control and raise interest rates, Lustig warns that this carry trade could violently unravel, offering a cautionary tale for other indebted Western economies. Recorded April 8, 2026. Hanno Lustig’s Research discussed in interview: “What About Japan?”: https://www.nber.org/papers/w31850 “Japan’s Debt Puzzle: Sovereign Wealth Fund from Borrowed Money”: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.20251452 “Safe until crisis: What 300 years of wars reveal about government debt safety”: https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/safe-until-crisis-what-300-years-wars-reveal-about-government-debt-safety Hanno’s ‘Stack: https://thetwocents.substack.com/ Follow Hanno Lustig on X https://x.com/HannoLustig Follow Jack Farley on https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Disclaimer for today’s sponsor, Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: Past performance is not indicative of future results. An investment should not be made based solely on returns. Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest which can be found on unlimitedetfs.com/HFGM.  Distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC

  24. 245

    "I Don't Believe the Stagflation Narrative": How the Strong Consumer and AI Tailwinds Shape Sean Emory's Bullish Blueprint | Avory & Co

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm In this episode of the OPM podcast, Avery and Co. founder Sean Emory explains why he firmly rejects the stagflation narrative and believes the consumer remains in fine shape. Emory argues that despite the psychological impact of higher gas prices, strong tax refunds and a stable housing market are continuing to support consistent consumer spending. He breaks down how this stable macroeconomic view aligns with his fundamental investment approach, detailing high-conviction bets on consumer-oriented companies like Clear Secure and First Watch. The conversation also explores how Emory leverages these macro insights alongside bottom-up analysis to identify long-term value in technology platforms such as Block, Zoom, and Omnicell. Listen to Avory’s Podcast here: https://www.avory.xyz/insidescooppodcast Follow Sean Emory on X: https://x.com/_SeanDavid Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:26 Avery Investing Style 02:56 Oil Shock Consumer Check 06:27 Housing Inflation Outlook 10:37 K Shaped Economy 13:50 AI, Employment, and Flows 18:06 Pictet AI-Enhanced Equity ETFs 19:41 Using AI for Investment Research 28:12 How AI is Making Trading More Short Term 31:09 Block ($XYZ) Investment Thesis 36:26 Zoom ($ZM) Investment Thesis 43:35 Defining Small Caps 45:57 Omnicell ($OMCL) Investment Thesis 53:42 Zillow ($Z) and Airbnb ($ABNB) Investment Thesis 54:58 Zillow Flywheel Explained 01:02:02 Housing Catalysts 01:04:30 Waiting Out AI Valuations 01:07:31 SpaceX IPO Speculation 01:09:31 Outro

  25. 244

    "The Best Time to Invest": How AI Disruption is Reshaping Software Valuations | Ben Topor | Titan Capital Partners

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Max Wiethe sits down with Ben Topor, founder of Titan Capital Partners and author of Decoding the Software Landscape, to unpack the seismic shifts happening in the tech investment world. Topor explains how AI is commoditizing the software application layer and shares why the recent correction in software valuations makes this a prime time to invest. The conversation also delves into the booming secondary market, the structural differences between US and Israeli tech hubs, and how startups can build unbreachable AI-proof moats through distribution and proprietary data. Finally, Topor reveals the strategic tactics founders use to outmaneuver tech giants by moving in silence and misdirecting competitors. Follow Ben Topor: https://x.com/ben_topor Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 02:10 Mapping the Software Landscape 03:45 What AI Changes in Software 09:13 AI Led M&A Wave 13:36 Valuations and Timing 15:34 Secondaries Liquidity Thesis 17:33 Pictet AI-Enhanced Equity ETFs 19:08 How Titan Buys Secondaries 21:07 Why Companies Stay Private 23:00 Finding Category Leaders 26:47 Reading Financial Symptoms 28:37 Mispriced Gems or Turnarounds? 31:25 Exit Paths Today 35:17 Investing in Israel 38:16 Cybersecurity Edge 41:08 Too Much Capital 43:38 AI Proof Moats 45:17 What Counts as Data 46:40 Private Credit Risks 50:36 Down Rounds Reframed 53:51 Titan’s Value Add 57:18 Competitive Maneuvering 01:02:37 Conclusion

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    Private Credit “Doom” Narrative On Shaky Foundation? | Michael Haynes On Why Retail Outflows Are Real But Credit Foundations Are Solid

    This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners  Michael Haynes, Head of Private Credit at Beach Point Capital Management, joins Jack for a discussion of private credit. Michael explains the nuances of the asset class and why he sees panic around it as overblown. Recorded on April 2nd, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Michael Haynes on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-haynes-9550b295/   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  27. 242

    Why Emerging Markets are Finally Outperforming Developed Markets | Robert Koenigsberger | Gramercy

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Emerging market outperformance is turning investors’ heads and in this episode of Other People’s Money, Robert Koenigsberger, CIO and founder of multi-billion dollar EM alternative asset manager Gramercy, explains why the macro environment has emerging markets looking more developed than some developed markets, particularly in how swiftly their central banks acted to combat inflation. He also explains how passive index investing can do damage to an emerging market portfolio and why the typical EM approach focusing on exposure is all wrong. Koenigsberger also dives into the structural advantages of emerging market private credit over its developed market counterparts, emphasizing the importance of local networks, senior secured collateral, and having a positive influence on corporate governance. Follow Robert Koenigsberger on X: https://x.com/GramercyRK Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:36 Pictet AI ETFs 01:54 How EM Investing Evolved 02:48 Why EMs Outperformed 04:08 Debt vs Equity Returns 06:09 Policy Convergence EM vs. DM 08:33 Diversifying Beyond Dollar 11:30 EM Private Credit 14:57 Pictet AI ETFs 16:32 Why Borrowers Choose Private 21:06 Defining EM Alpha 25:23 Index Construction Pitfalls 28:57 True Distress and Asymmetry 33:14 China Property Deep Value 35:15 Picking Winners at Five Cents 38:33 Sovereign Timing Checklist 40:07 Sanctions and “Uninvestibility” 43:37 Structuring Downside Control 44:58 Creditor Groups Collaboration 48:55 Restructuring Deal Template 50:23 Warrants Windfalls Risks 53:19 Governance in Private Credit 59:02 Underwriting People Networks 01:02:43 Hedging Without Shorting 01:05:49 Allocator Case for EM Credit 01:08:40 Liquidity Myths and Cycles

  28. 241

    “Books Will Be Written” About This Shipping Market | Ed Finley-Richardson of Misadventures in Shipping on War-Induced Oil Tanker Mayhem, Squeeze for Asiabound Refined Products, and Persian Gulf “Feeding Frenzy” Scenario

    Listeners can get 20% off Misadventures in Shipping subscriptions through April 17th here: https://edfin.substack.com/monetary Subscription includes access to Substack research pieces and private Twitter (X) account. ____ In this episode, Ed Finley-Richardson of the Misadventures in Shipping Substack joins Jack to break down how the Middle East conflict is creating unprecedented chaos (and massive profits) in the global shipping industry. With the ongoing disruptions near the Strait of Hormuz, global trade routes are being radically redrawn, forcing massive surges in spot market freight rates. Ed explains why smaller "MR" product tankers carrying refined fuels from the U.S. Gulf to Asia are currently minting fortunes, while very large crude carriers (VLCCs) prices are moderating after a surge that pre-dated the Iran War because of the aggressive actions of a certain Korean businessman. We dive deep into the specific tanker stocks positioned to capture this volatility, analyzing the fleets, corporate governance, and dividend potentials of major players like Frontline, International Seaways, and DHT Holdings. Listeners will learn about the counterintuitive economic forces unique to maritime trade, where logistical inefficiency directly drives margin expansion for shipowners. Finally, Ed lays out his "feeding frenzy" scenario—a potential massive logistical traffic jam that could occur if the straits reopen, proving exactly why books will be written about this generational shipping market. Recorded April 2, 2026. Pieces discussed from “Misadventures in Shipping”: “Bauxite (3): Why China is ‘locked in’ to Guinea as their main supplier” (March 14, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/bauxite-3 “Hummus Fallout: A de facto Strait of Hormuz 'closure' is leading to a crescendo of panic” (March 6, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/hummus-fallout “Atlantic MR Bonanza: Who Benefits Most?” (March 20, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/atlantic-mr-bonanza-who-benefits “Iron Ore: Indexes, Inventories” (April 3, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/iron-ore-indexes-inventories “DHT — How At Risk from Hormuz Fall-Out?” (March 10, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/dht-how-at-risk-from-hormuz-fall “The Strait of Hormuz & Tankers (1)” (April 4, 2024): https://edfin.substack.com/p/hummus-fallout “VLCC S&P Rumor — 10 Vessels Sold” (January 7, 2024): https://edfin.substack.com/p/vlcc-s-and-p-rumor-10-vessels-sold “VLCC Period Charter Modeling” (February 26, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/vlcc-period-charter-modeling Follow Ed Finley-Richardson on X https://x.com/ed_fin Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

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    Why $200 Oil Won’t Spike Inflation to 9% | Anna Wong on Recession Probability, PCE vs CPI, and Fed Reaction Function In A Scenario of Soaring Energy Prices

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm In this episode of Monetary Matters, Bloomberg Chief US Economist Anna Wong explains why surging oil prices are unlikely to trigger a repeat of the 9% inflation seen in 2022. Wong argues that even if oil reaches $200 per barrel, headline CPI would likely peak near 6% before declining due to "base effects" and a lack of the excess consumer savings that fueled previous price spikes. She highlights the reality of "demand destruction," noting that sustained $100 oil would sap nearly $2,000 in spending power from the average American household. Despite these pressures, Wong does not view a recession as her base case, citing the offsetting support of expansionary fiscal policy and increased domestic production in the energy and defense sectors. The discussion also explores why the Federal Reserve should "look through" these commodity shocks, particularly as core PCE remains influenced by more persistent issues like the AI-driven memory chip shortage. Finally, Wong compares our current macro landscape to the 1970s, suggesting that while the situations "rhyme," a full repeat would require a much larger surge in government-driven demand. Recorded March 31, 2026 Follow Anna Wong on X https://x.com/AnnaEconomist Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  30. 239

    The Psychology of Market Champions: Inside the Minds of Point 72 & Citadel Portfolio Managers | Dr. Gio Valiante

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Join Max Wiethe on "Other People's Money" as he sits down with world-renowned performance coach Dr. Gio Valiante. Dr. Valiante has spent decades coaching elite performers, from PGA Tour champions like Jordan Spieth to legendary portfolio managers at Point 72 and Citadel. In this deep-dive podcast, Dr. Valiante pulls back the curtain on the psychology of the world’s most successful investors. He explains that top traders operate with the discipline and optimization of elite athletes—"investor athletes"—who must manage fear, detach from ego, and master their environment. Follow Dr. Gio: https://x.com/GioValiante Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:42 Pictet ETFs 00:55 Why Pods Took Over 03:04 Culture and Incentives Matter 05:19 Fear in Trading Explained 08:53 Embarrassment and Risk Aversion 12:03 Playing to Win vs Not Lose 13:21 Elite Funds Audit Process 14:34 Regret and Missed Trades 19:21 Pictet AI ETFs 20:56 Detaching from Short Term PnL 22:21 Weekends Recovery for PMs 24:15 Handling Weekend News Cycles 28:41 Regulation Favors Big Platforms 32:30 Spinoffs Vs Bootstrapping 33:29 Bootstrapped Edge 34:33 Leaving Pod Shop Reality 36:05 Situated Cognition Explained 37:55 Culture Sparks Ideas 39:43 Mandates and Opportunity Cost 41:17 Ego Identity and Seat 45:04 Capital Cycles Perspective 48:46 Entitlement Versus Humility 54:39 Performance Hierarchy 57:57 Why Hedge Funds Matter 01:00:18 Masters Picks and Wrap 01:01:54 Pictet AI ETFs

  31. 238

    The 2026 Private Credit Liquidity Crunch | Leyla Kunimoto on Redemptions in Semi-liquid Vehicles, Private/Public BDCs, and the Future of Alternatives

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm In this episode, Jack sits down with Leyla Kunimoto, founder of Accredited Investor Insights, to discuss her journey into private markets and the ongoing "democratization" of alternative assets. The conversation explores the rise of "evergreen" or semi-liquid structures, which allow retail investors to bypass the traditional "J curve" by deploying capital almost immediately. Leyla provides a detailed look at the current wave of redemption requests hitting major private credit funds like Cliffwater and Blackstone, explaining the mechanics of 5% quarterly caps used to prevent the fire selling of assets. She further breaks down the risks associated with Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) and the rise of "shadow defaults" through payment-in-kind (PIK) interest toggles. The interview highlights why Leyla currently prefers publicly traded Business Development Companies (BDCs) over private ones, noting the potential arbitrage available when public shares trade at a significant discount to their net asset value. Finally, Leyla shares why she is far more bearish on private equity than private credit, citing the asset class's extreme opaqueness and junior position in the capital stack. Recorded March 29, 2026. Accredited Insight: Cliffwater Part 1: https://www.accreditedinsight.com/p/cliffwater-corporate-lending-fund Cliffwater Redemptions: https://www.accreditedinsight.com/p/cliffwater-corporate-lending-fund-d4c Follow Leyla Kunimoto on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/lkunimoto/ Follow Leyla Kunimoto on X https://x.com/LeylaKuni Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  32. 237

    How the Iran War Reshapes the Sovereign Debt Landscape | Sovereign Debt Expert Lupin Rahman

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm   Former Head of Sovereign Credit at PIMCO Lupin Rahman joins Jack to discuss sovereign debt and its peculiarities. She explains why its technicals can differ significantly from fundamentals, the growth of emerging market debt, and risks to consider when investing in these assets. Jack and Lupin also discuss the important conflict in the Middle East and what it means for markets across the world. As an expert in both sovereign debt and emerging markets, Lupin is an important voice to consider when assessing global fixed income markets. Recorded on March 16th, 2026.   Lupin Rahman’s Book https://www.amazon.com Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Lupin Rahman on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/lupin-rahman/   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  33. 236

    Headline Indices Are Masking Market Stress | Liz Ann Sonders on the Case For Quality Stocks During An Oil Shock

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm In this episode of Monetary Matters,  Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab’s Chief Investment Strategist, explains how 2026 presents an "analytically rich" environment where headline indices are currently masking significant underlying market stress. She notes that while the S&P 500 shows a modest drawdown, the average stock is seeing much steeper declines, reflecting a period of intense "rotation and churn" triggered by the war in Iran and a spike in oil prices. Sonders highlights a critical shift in investor behavior, where the previous year's preference for non-profitable speculative stocks has flip-flopped in favor of a "quality" factor centered on stable profitability and strong balance sheets. She draws parallels to the 1990 period, warning that the lack of alternate routes for oil through the Strait of Hormuz could lead to sustained economic demand destruction. Despite these geopolitical shocks, Sonders observes that forward earnings estimates for the tech and energy sectors remain surprisingly resilient, though she anticipates downward revisions as reporting season approaches. Ultimately, she reminds investors that in such a volatile cycle, "better or worse" as a leading indicator often matters more to the market than whether the data is objectively "good or bad". Recorded March 24, 2026. Pieces referenced: “Dire Strait: War's Impact on Stocks”: https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/dire-strait-wars-impact-on-stocks “Schwab Market Perspective”:  https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/stock-market-outlook “Smoke on the Water…Fire Under the Surface”: https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/smoke-on-waterfire-under-surface Follow Liz Ann Sonders on X https://x.com/LizAnnSondersFollow Liz Ann Sonders on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/lizannsonders/ Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Investing involves risks, including the possible loss of principal. Because these ETFs rely on an AI-driven model, the strategy may not perform as intended. International and U.S investments may involve additional risks such as currency, political, or regulatory developments. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Funds before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information and may be obtained by visiting www.pictet.com/etf. Read it carefully before investing. Distributed by Foreside Fund Services.

  34. 235

    “Not Until May” The Real Timeline for Controlling the Strait of Hormuz | Nadia Martin Wiggen Svelland Capital

    Learn more about Teucrium’s CORN ETF (CORN) here: https://teucrium.com/corn Nadia Martin Wiggen, Director at Svelland Capital joins Other People’s Money for a timely update on energy and shipping markets in light of the “5-day pause” Truth Social post that sent equity markets ripping higher and oil prices dipping lower. She explains why Svelland Capital believes May is the real timeline for controlling the Strait, how refining margins and refined product hoarding create a persistent bid for oil and gas, and how global energy supply chains have shifted with many ships sailing well outside of typical trade routes in their quest for alternative sources of oil. She also touches on how a protracted crisis would harm Asia, Australia, and emerging markets the most. Svelland Capital: https://www.svelland.com/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today. Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the respective Fund Prospectus before investing. CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds, which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading, LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT. PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:46 Reaction to Trump Announcement and State of the Strait 01:57 Strait Reality Check 05:53 Oil Flows and Bottlenecks 09:32 Asia Scrambles for Supply 12:55 China Refined Export Ban 14:01 Demand Destruction Thresholds 15:05 Military Path to Reopen 17:09 CORN Mid Roll 18:46 New Oil Price Floor 21:28 Broader Market Repricing 25:06 Shipping Rates and Europe Pull 27:33 Export Bans and Hoarding Spiral 30:11 US Refining Edge and Australia 34:37 LNG Shortfall and Europe Risk 41:00 Long Term Diversification 41:33 Trading Signals and Logistics 45:16 Most Vulnerable Products

  35. 234

    A Fertilizer Crisis is Brewing (Quickly) | StoneX’s Josh Linville on How Iran War & Strait of Hormuz Closure Has Shut of Critical Fertilizer Chemical Feedstocks That Threaten Global Grain Supply

    Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters, StoneX Vice President Josh Linville explains how the Iran War and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have triggered a global fertilizer crisis that is currently crippling agricultural economics. With urea prices effectively doubling in just a few months, Josh warns that the market is facing a supply shock far more severe than the 2022 crisis because current grain prices aren't high enough to offset these surging input costs. The geopolitical bottleneck in the Persian Gulf has effectively sidelined three of the world's top ten urea exporters, removing enough nitrogen from the market to cover nearly the entire US corn crop. Beyond shipping delays, recent attacks on energy infrastructure in Qatar and Iran have caused structural damage that experts estimate could take three to five years to fully repair. This massive loss of production capacity, combined with a lack of global stockpiles, means the market must now find balance through aggressive demand destruction. Consequently, the price floor for critical fertilizers has likely been raised for the remainder of 2026, forcing farmers to make difficult choices about planting and yields. Join us as we explore the long-term implications for global food security and why the current "bleeding red" financial state of farming might lead to higher agricultural commodity prices. Recorded March 20, 2026. Follow Josh Linville https://www.stonex.com/en/market-experts/josh-linville/ Josh Linville on X https://x.com/JLinvilleFert Josh Linville on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/joshua-linville-9555a711 ______ This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today.  Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs  CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn  This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results.  For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing.  CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT.  PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.  Sources  • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports.  • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary.  • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date).  Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC.  5324752

  36. 233

    “This Is The End of The Oil Market As We Know It” | Rory Johnston on How $300 Oil Could Trigger Depression If De-Escalation Does Not Occur In Iran War

    20% discount to annual subscription to Rory Johnston’s Commodity Context: https://www.commoditycontext.com/monetarymatters In this urgent episode of Monetary Matters Today, Jack sits down with Rory Johnston of Commodity Context to break down the unprecedented global oil shock caused by the ongoing war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. With 20 million barrels of daily flow disrupted and 9 million barrels of confirmed production shut-ins across the Middle East, Johnston warns that the market is facing a supply loss multiple times larger than the 2022 Russian invasion fears. They explore the timeline of global impact, the looming threat of operational shutdowns for Asian refineries, and why Johnston believes political de-escalation by President Trump is the only way to avoid $200+ oil and a global economic depression. Recorded March 19, 2026. Pieces discussed:  Oil & Iran War Context Weekly (W11) (March 13 2026) https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/ocw11w26 “No End in Sight,” March 12, 2026: https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/no-end-in-sight Oil and the Iran War Context Weekly (W10), March 6, 2026: https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/ocw10w26 North American Oil Data Deck (March 4, 2026):  https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/north-american-oil-data-deck-march-2026 “Strait to the Point on Iran (March 2, 2026)”:  https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/strait-to-the-point-on-iran Follow Rory Johnston on X: https://x.com/Rory_Johnston Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  37. 232

    “We’re Just Getting Started” | Bob Elliott on Why The Oil Shock Is Not Fully Priced In To Markets

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack Farley and Max Wiethe are joined by Bob Elliott, Chief Investment Officer at Unlimited Funds, to discuss the economic fallout of the recent conflict and surging oil prices. Elliott explains that the massive spike in oil prices—which recently topped $110 for Brent and $150 in Oman—will inevitably reduce consumer spending power, fuel higher inflation, and drag down real economic growth. He argues that both the stock and bond markets are currently mispricing this risk, making a strong case for that both asset classes could struggle as yields rise. Furthermore, Elliott dismisses the Federal Reserve's 2026 inflation target of 2.7% as wildly unrealistic, warning that persistent inflation will keep the Fed from cutting rates anytime soon. Finally, Jack and Max preview their upcoming interviews with industry experts to further unpack the disruptions to global oil production, fertilizer supply chains, and shipping. Recorded afternoon of March 18, 2026, after FOMC meeting. Follow Bob Elliott on Twitter https://x.com/BobEUnlimited Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  38. 231

    Stock Market on Shaky Foundations | Blind Squirrel Macro’s Rupert Mitchell on IPO Supply, Oil, and Private Credit

    Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack sits down with Rupert Mitchell of Blind Squirrel Macro to unpack why the foundations of the current US stock market bull run might be crumbling. Mitchell details his transition to a 50% cash and gold portfolio, warning that a looming wave of jumbo IPOs and cracks in the private credit markets could severely disrupt equity liquidity. He also shares his actionable bearish thesis on vulnerable sectors, revealing why he is actively shorting SaaS businesses, boutique M&A banks, and overvalued fast-casual restaurant chains. On the bullish side, Mitchell explains his custom "Shiny Acorns" strategy for investing in gold miners without taking on jurisdiction risk, alongside his continued allocation to long-lived Canadian oil assets and US refiners. Tune in for a masterclass on macro positioning during times of elevated market volatility and consumer uncertainty. Recorded March 9th, 2026. Blind Squirrel Macro research: https://t.co/mgOvPYwOAi Follow Blind Squirrel Macro on Twitter https://x.com/SquirrelMacro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez SOYB Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/soyb Investing in SOYB involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodity investments are subject to significant volatility. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Teucrium Soybean Fund before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information about the Fund. This material must be proceeded or accompanied by the prospectus. The prospectus is available atteucrium.com/soyb. Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC. TUCRM-5281845-03/26

  39. 230

    The Ultimate Hard Asset: American Farmland and The 300-Year Water Supply Hidden Underneath It | Chris Morris LandFund Partners

    Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb In this episode of Other People's Money, Max sits down with Chris Morris, President of LandFund Partners, to explore why they believe U.S. row crop farmland is the ultimate hard asset. Chris details how farmland performed as a portfolio diversifier during the Great Financial Crisis and explains why the relative value compared to other regions and essentially free access to 300-years of groundwater them has focusing on the U.S. Mid-South region. He highlights global water scarcity, food security, and inflation as macro drivers for this farmland, but he also argues that rising values and yields from technological improvements and increased demand for non-farming purposes like solar power are how they have delivered S&P 500 beating net returns since 2021. LandFund Partners website: https://www.landfundpartners.com/ Follow LandFund Partners on X: https://x.com/LandFundLP Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:40 Teucrium SOYB 01:00 Investing in Farmland 04:26 Diversification and Correlation 06:07 Real Assets and New Macro Risks 09:13 Scarcity and Water Thesis 10:48 Protein Demand Multiplier 12:45 How Farmland Returns Work 15:00 AI and Renewable Energy 15:41 Teucrium SOYB 17:02 Community Impact and Ethics 20:21 Who Buys Farmland? 22:47 Why the Mid-South 26:33 Valuation Gap Explained 28:25 Water Rights and Water Scarcity 35:06 Solar Leases Beat Crops 39:23 AI Boosts Farm Profits 42:22 Regenerative Farming and the Three Fs 44:35 Iran Conflict Inputs and Crops 48:26 Subsidies and Rent Security 54:02 Fund Focus and Growth Plans 57:30 Conclusion SOYB Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/soyb Investing in SOYB involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodity investments are subject to significant volatility. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Teucrium Soybean Fund before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information about the Fund. This material must be proceeded or accompanied by the prospectus. The prospectus is available atteucrium.com/soyb. Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC. TUCRM-5281845-03/26

  40. 229

    “Deflationary Bust” A Risk From AI | Alex Gurevich’s Bull Case on Rates, “Perfect Trade” Potential in Japan, and The Risk of Artificial Intelligence Poses to Labor Market

    In this interview, Alex Gurevich of HonTe Investments outlines his macroeconomic outlook, highlighting a particularly bullish stance on the platinum and palladium markets because they historically follow long cycles that lag behind gold and silver. He predicts that the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence will initially act as a deflationary headwind, potentially automating away 20% of jobs by the end of the decade and permanently eliminating certain white-collar economic activities. To combat this impending deflation and job loss, he anticipates that the Federal Reserve will be forced to drastically cut short-term interest rates—possibly down to zero—alongside the introduction of massive government stimulus. Because of this dynamic, Kovich views being long on short-duration bonds as a "dominant trade" that can succeed under multiple economic outcomes, though he remains uncertain about the trajectory of long-term rates and therefore favors a steeper yield curve. Furthermore, he envisions a long-term AI-driven prosperity boom but warns that the massive compute power required will inevitably lead to a severe global energy bottleneck. As part of this AI infrastructure build-out, he specifically notes that there will not be enough copper on the planet to support the necessary power demands. Alex’s Book, “The Next Perfect Trade: A Magic Sword of Necessity”: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GBYXNLD4?tag=scribemedia0a-20&th=1&psc=1&geniuslink=true Follow Alex Gurevich on Twitter https://x.com/agurevich23/with_replies Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  41. 228

    Could the Iran War Cause a New Oil Crisis? | FT's Chief Economics Commentator Martin Wolf

    Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator at the Financial Times joins Jack for a frank and important discussion on the war with Iran. Jack and Martin delve into the economic consequences of a prolonged war in Iran, particularly with regards to the Strait of Hormuz being affected by the war. In short—war with Iran could be a nightmare scenario for the world economy with few if any benefits for the U.S. and most of the world. Recorded on March 11th, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Martin Wolf on Twitter https://x.com/martinwolf_ Read Martin in the FT https://www.ft.com/content/dab7d625-77f8-40ff-aeb9-451f81772125 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  42. 227

    Joseph Stiglitz: Higher Oil and Food Prices From Iran War Risk 1970s-Era Stagflation

    Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb Nobel Laureate in Economics Joseph Stiglitz (who holds highest #1 D-Index than all other Economists in the world) joins Jack to discuss the recent war in Iran, artificial intelligence, and his macroeconomic views. Dr. Stiglitz warns that the conflict in Iran is likely to have much more serious consequences for the U.S. & world economy than the Trump administration expected. In particular, the disruption of energy production could very well create an energy crisis similar to the one seen in the U.S. in the 1970s. Jack and Dr. Stiglitz also discuss Stiglitz’s work, including the recent The Road to Freedom, which touches on inequality, the cost of war, and economic freedom. Finally, they go over the effects of AI on employment and what the collapse of an AI bubble would mean for the economy. Recorded on March 9th, 2026. Professor Stiglitz’s The Road to Freedom https://wwnorton.com/books/9781324074373 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Professor Stiglitz on Twitter https://x.com/JosephEStiglitz Follow Professor Stiglitz on Bluesky https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:esniasaciq3ecprflyir2h3y  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez SOYB Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/soyb Investing in SOYB involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodity investments are subject to significant volatility. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Teucrium Soybean Fund before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information about the Fund. This material must be proceeded or accompanied by the prospectus. The prospectus is available atteucrium.com/soyb. Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC. TUCRM-5281845-03/26

  43. 226

    Michael Howell: Markets On “Nervous Knife-Edge Equilibrium" As Global Liquidity Momentum Has Peaked

    Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm In this episode, Michael Howell of Capital Wars and Global Liquidity Indexes discusses why the global liquidity cycle has peaked and is beginning to slow down in early 2026. This shift suggests that investors should pivot toward defensive assets, as the "everything bubble" transitions into a regime where liquidity is tighter relative to growing debt. Howell explains that while the US economy remains fundamentally strong, this strength may ironically act as a headwind for Wall Street by absorbing liquidity into the real economy. He identifies China as the primary driver behind the current surge in gold prices, noting their decoupling from Western cycles as they print money to manage significant debt burdens. Consequently, he highlights Chinese technology stocks and precious metals as unique areas of opportunity in an otherwise cautious market environment. Finally, Howell warns that the "canary in the coal mine" for this liquidity downturn is Bitcoin, which has historically shown extreme sensitivity to shifts in global liquidity momentum. Follow Michael Howell on X https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96 Capital Wars Substack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  44. 225

    The Economic Effects of Technological Disruption & Artificial Intelligence | Nobel Laureate in Economics Peter Howitt

    Recent Nobel laureate in economics Peter Howitt joins Jack to discuss his work on technological disruption and creative destruction. Dr. Howitt explains that technological advancement creates economic growth while also causing workers to lose their jobs and firms to go bankrupt due to obsolescence. This topic is especially relevant today because of the advancement of artificial intelligence technology. Jack and Dr. Howitt examine if artificial intelligence is truly economically different from past technological breakthroughs, the effects of its adoption, and more. Recorded on February 12th, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  45. 224

    Jobless Growth, Euphoria, and a Manufacturing Recovery: How Iran Could Force a Macro Regime Change | Tian Yang

    This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Tian Yang, CEO of quant research platform Variant Perception, joins Monetary Matters to discuss how the benign macro regime might shift in the back half of 2026 should the Iran conflict not produce a prolonged shock. Yang also touches on how that roadmap would likely be altered by a prolonged conflict, the case for a manufacturing recovery, jobless growth, and peak market euphoria in the summer that could ultimately be marked by the generational IPO of SpaceX. Variant Perception: https://www.variantperception.com/ Follow Variant Perception on Twitter: https://x.com/VrntPerception Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Summer Peak Setup 00:54 Benign Macro Regime 02:54 Iran Energy Shock Risks 04:19 US Versus Rest World 06:41 War Duration Scenarios 10:08 Energy Rotation Signals 10:55 Allocation Engine Explained 13:04 CAIA.nxt 14:00 Fast Calls Repriced 18:44 Historical Cycle Analogies 24:08 Jobless Growth Framework 27:42 Shifting Investment Drivers 29:48 Fed Credibility Tightrope 34:35 Housing Disinflation Drivers 38:58 AI Jobs Debate 39:10 Valuation And Terminal Value 42:28 Capital Cycle Framework 46:31 Semis Versus Software 47:22 Regional Banks Inflection 50:06 Sovereignty Investing Thesis 56:20 Energy and Reindustrialization 59:26 Gold as Risk Off 01:01:20 Conclusion

  46. 223

    How Legendary Resource Investor Rick Rule is Investing for a 10-Year Bull Market

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Legendary resource investor Rick Rule, founder of Rule Investment Media, explains why he anticipates a 75% decline in US dollar purchasing power over the next decade. Rule breaks down his recent move to sell a significant portion of his silver holdings to rotate into silver miners, highlighting the massive valuation arbitrage currently available in the sector. He provides a masterclass on the "best-of-the-best" royalty and streaming companies and why he thinks streamers are going to make more deals than ever. He also outlines his top criteria for resources stocks in the mining and oil & gas sectors. Rule Investment Media: https://www.ruleinvestmentmedia.com/ Follow Rick Rule on Twitter: https://x.com/RealRickRule Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 00:53 10 Year Metals Thesis 04:38 Contrarian Investing Rules 07:15 What Starts Bull Markets 10:22 Selling Silver For Miners 14:04 Pictet’s PQNT 16:57 Why Royalties Win 20:00 Big Streaming Deals Ahead 23:58 Valuation Arbitrage And M&A 27:02 Gold Linked Bonds And Credit 30:08 Elemental EMX Merger Synergies 34:11 Altius The Resource Allocator 36:22 Lithium DLE Threat 37:11 Altius Beyond Royalties 39:38 What Makes Great Majors 41:03 Recycle Ratio Explained 45:01 Efficiency Beats Optionality 47:10 Top Picks and M&A Logic 51:58 Jurisdiction Risk Reality 55:12 California Politics and Oil 59:19 Non Producers Highcroft 01:02:29 Snowline and Globex Views 01:06:15 Canadian Oil Royalties 01:09:55 Conclusion

  47. 222

    “A Huge Problem for Everybody” | Paul Krugman on Currency Devaluation, Artificial Intelligence, Kevin Warsh Nomination, & More

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Distinguished economist Paul Krugman joins Jack to discuss the devaluation of the dollar, the nomination of Kevin Warsh, artificial intelligence, and much more. Dr. Krugman brings his expertise to give cogent and intelligent answers on important economic questions of our time. Recorded on February 6th, 2026.   Follow Paul Krugman on Substack https://paulkrugman.substack.com/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  48. 221

    The “Climax Top” In Gold & Silver | Milton Berg, Turning Point Master, on Precious Metals, Bitcoin, and Disturbing December Warning In Stocks

    Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm Recorded in February 6th 2026, technical analyst Milton Berg returns to discuss his market outlook after correctly predicting the major market bottom in April 2025. Although his long-term retail model remains 100% long equities until a specific 8% drawdown occurs, Berg reveals that his institutional portfolio is currently net short across major indices. This bearish institutional stance is driven by rare technical anomalies, including a "disturbing" volatility signal from December and a historic "island reversal" pattern in the Russell 2000. Berg admits the current market is tricky, noting that recent strong buying action might force him to cover shorts, though he remains skeptical of the rally's breadth. Turning to commodities, Berg states he is bearish on gold and silver, having shorted them near their late January highs due to signs of a "climax top" and extreme overvaluation relative to inflation. He also provides a critical assessment of Bitcoin, arguing it holds no intrinsic value and pointing out that it recently failed to hold critical technical support levels. Throughout the discussion, Berg emphasizes that his methodology ignores standard economic narratives in favor of identifying rare volume and price occurrences that signal market turning points . Finally, he introduces a new service for individual investors designed to capture the bulk of bull markets while neutralizing emotional decision-making. As Jack notes in the beginning, Milton has since turned from net short to net long U.S. stocks for institutional clients. About Milton Berg Edge: https://miltonbergedge.com/ Follow Milton Berg on X https://x.com/BergMilton Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez DISCLAIMERS and DISCLOSURES for Milton Berg Edge   This Newsletter contains hypothetical performance results. Please carefully review and consider the following disclosures.  Important Disclosure Information Milton Berg Edge is a newsletter (“Newsletter”) owned and published by Milton Berg Advisors, LLC, doing business as “Milton Berg Edge” (“MB Edge,” “firm,” “we,” “our,” and “us”). Milton Berg Advisors, LLC is registered as an investment advisor in the States of Florida and New York. Registration as an investment advisor does not imply any level of skill or training. The Newsletter is a subscription based publication that contains (i) our general commentary and opinion on broad-based market trends and other factors affecting the domestic investment markets in the United States; (ii) answers and reactions to subscriber submitted questions and comments; and (iii) the actual trading activity and net performance of our proprietary investment model (as traded within an account that is actively managed by the firm) and the backtested performance of the model (the “Model”). The contents of the Newsletter and our website (“Website,” and collectively with the Newsletter, the “Content”) are for informational and educational purposes only. No portion of the Content should be construed as investment advice or recommendations tailored to the financial circumstances, investment needs, objectives, and/or limitations of any particular subscriber. Investing in securities involves the risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

  49. 220

    Why Carson Block Won’t Short AI Names Until the IPOs Begin & Muddy Waters’ Pivot to Long Resources Stocks & S&P 500 Momentum

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Carson Block, founder of Muddy Waters Capital joins Monetary Matters to discuss why they aren’t rushing to short AI pretenders and fakers until more supply of speculative companies hits the market from big IPOs. They also discuss the increasing dominance of flows over fundamentals in US markets and abroad and Muddy Waters expanding investment focus including: metals and mining stocks, Vietnam, and momentum strategies. Follow Muddy Waters on Twitter: https://x.com/muddywatersre Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 01:44 AI and Market Speculation 05:14 Challenges in Short Selling AI Stocks 17:58 Pictet PQNT 19:09 AI Pretenders 21:41 Mining Investments and Strategies 36:51 Red Flags in Investor Presentations 39:07 Geopolitical Considerations 40:15 Fraud in Chinese Companies 49:43 Vietnam and India Investment Opportunities 59:05 Momentum Strategy in the S&P 500 01:05:07 Activist Short Selling and Future Plans

  50. 219

    Why Silver Is Flowing East | Alex Campbell on Solar, Scarcity, and the Six-Sigma Silver Crash (Plus: SaaS & AI)

    This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Alexander Campbell, founder of Rose AI and former head of commodities at Bridgewater, joins the show to dissect the structural drivers behind the silver market and the transformative potential of artificial intelligence. Campbell details the "Silver Squeeze" thesis, attributing the metal's volatility to a combination of inelastic industrial demand from solar manufacturing and speculative capital flight out of China. He clarifies complex market dynamics, specifically the "Shanghai Premium" and the logistical friction involved in moving physical metal between Western and Eastern exchanges. Shifting to technology, Campbell warns of an impending "air pocket" for traditional software stocks, arguing that AI agents will disrupt companies that function primarily as "a database and a front end". He outlines a future defined by local compute and open-source models, predicting that value will accrue to data ownership and physical hardware rather than legacy SaaS applications. The conversation concludes with Campbell’s macro strategy of being long the "world of stuff" and data while betting against the "economy of paper" amidst de-globalization. Recorded February 2, 2026. Alex’s pieces: “Silver: The Only Money That Generates Electricity”: https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/silver-the-only-money-that-generates “The Silver Squeeze”: How Solar Threatens a Decade of Deficits https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/the-silver-squeeze “When You Feel Pain, Remember to Reflect”: https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/when-you-feel-pain-remember-to-reflect “The Protection Portfolio: September 2025”:https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/the-protection-portfolio-september Follow Alex Campbell on X https://x.com/abcampbell Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96 World Silver Survey 2025:https://silverinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/World_Silver_Survey-2025.pdf November 2025 Interim Market Review: https://silverinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Silver_Institute_Silver_Interim_2025.pdf Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

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ABOUT THIS SHOW

Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

HOSTED BY

Jack Farley

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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

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