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A recording from Predictive History's live videohttps://predictivehistory.substack.co...

A recording from Predictive History's live videohttps://predictivehistory.substack.co...

In this Thursday, May 28, 2026 lecture Professor Jiang answers your questions.

In this talk to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang reviews all the important ideas from this semester.

In this Thursday, May 21, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students Professor Jiang explains how Putin plans to defeat the American empire.

In this Tuesday, May 19, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the connections between the Freemasons and the AI surveillance state. Notes and References:1. "Morals and Dogma" by Albert Pike2. "Zero to One" by Peter Thiel 3. "What's the Difference between God and Larry Ellison?" by Mike Wilson4. "Between Two Ages" by Zbigniew Brzezinski5. "Empire of AI" by Karen Hao

In this Thursday, May 14, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains why the United States and China will negotiate a grand bargain.

In this Tuesday, May 12, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains why AI will end humanity. Notes and References:1. Empire of AI by Karen HaoPlease consider making a small donation here:https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...Please subscribe to the Predictive History Substack here:https://predictivehistory.substack.co...Dear viewers: I do not monetize my YouTube in order to discuss sensitive topics freely. Please consider making a small donation here:https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehistoryFor my geo-political analysis, please subscribe to my Substack here:https://predictivehistory.substack.com/p/the-us-china-grand-bargainAs always, a reminder that https://www.youtube.com/@PredictiveHistory is my only YouTube channel. Please be aware of AI imitations, and please report them when you can.

In this Thursday, May 7, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the worldview and strategy of the four major participants of World War III. Notes and References:1. Paradise Lost by John Milton2. Anna Karenina by Leo Tolstoy

In this Wednesday, April 29, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Dante constructed the Inferno. Notes and References:1. Dante's Infernohttps://digitaldante.columbia.edu/dan...

In this Wednesday, April 8, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang introduces Dante's Divine Comedy. Notes and References:1. Dante: https://digitaldante.columbia.edu/dan...

In this Wednesday, March 25, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Vergil's "The Aeneid" became the Bible of the Roman Empire. Notes and References:1. Vergil's "The Aeneid" by Robert Fagles

In this Wednesday, March 18, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Vergil inverts Homer.Notes and References:1. Vergil's Aeneid, translated by Robert Fagles

In this Wednesday, March 11, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the power of love.Reference:1. Homer's Odyssey (translated by Robert Fagles)

In this Wednesday, March 4, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the central conflict of the Odyssey.

In this Wednesday, January 28, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the nature of consciousness as depicted in Homer's Iliad.

In this Wednesday, January 21, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Homer created Greek civilization.Reference:1. "Defense of Poetry" by Percy Shelley

In this Wednesday, January 14, 2026 talk to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that to be human is to "hear yourself speak."

What are the Great Books? In this introductory lecture, Professor Jiang explains that the Great Books are meant to help us achieve our true human potential by revealing the secrets of the universe. This semester, Professor Jiang will discuss five Great Books:1. The Iliad by Homer 2. The Odyssey by Homer3. The Republic by Plato4. The Aeneid by Vergil5. The Divine Comedy by Dante

In this Tuesday, April 28, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that 21st century warfare is about turning the civilian population against the state.Notes and References:1. "The Social Contract" by Jean-Jacques Rousseau

In this Tuesday, April 21, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains America's national security strategy, and why this war in Iran cannot end.Notes and References:1. America's National Security Strategyhttps://media.defense.gov/2026/Jan/23...

Professor Jiang answers your questions!

In his June 13, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin concludes his Geo-Strategy course by discussing how to use AI to chart a better future for humanity:In his Foundation series, Isaac Asimov introduces the science of psychohistory. Is it really possible to predict the future by mathematically modeling historical development?By mathematically modeling history, "Cliodynamics" has revealed interesting patterns. For example, Peter Turchin has discovered that it's the "over-production of elites" that drives social upheaval. The advent of AI presents new possibilities for the mathematical modeling of history, and can even help us achieve psychohistory. But to do so would require decades of painstaking research and analysis. It would also mean overturning the entire field of history, and looking at all of the past with a more critical and nuanced eye. Finally, much of this research and development can only happen in a time of global collapse, when all of humanity is united in creating an open, progressive, and democratic future. In his final message to his students, Jiang Xueqin stresses that the future is not something that happens -- it is something that has to be imagined and fought for.

In his June 7, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explores how and why America would fight a second Civil War:Right now, America is suffering three trends that make civil war more and more likely:a.) Increasing political polarization driven by the culture wars and inequality.b.) Breakdown of the narratives that bind America, especially the American Dream and liberalism. c.) Growing distrust of America's national institutions, including the government, media, science, military, universities, and justice system.If Trump wins in November, we can expect riots and civil unrest. If Trump refuses to step down in 2028, we can expect a civil war to blow up.

In his June 5, 2024 class Jiang Xueqin explains Putin's strategic genius:In February 2022 Putin invaded Ukraine. At first, the war did not go well, and the United States had a three-point plan to defeat Putin:1.) Equip Ukraine to defeat the Russian army.2.) Sanction Russia, and cause it to economically implode.3.) Isolate Russia, and turn it into a pariah state.Today, we recognize that this strategy has failed, and Putin is triumphant:1.) The Russian army is dominant in Ukraine.2.) The Russian economy is stronger than ever.3.) Putin enjoys more international influence than ever.Putin's ultimate strategic aim is to destroy the American empire. He will succeed if:1.) America continues to over-extend itself militarily. 2.) America remains addicted to debt. 3.) America becomes increasingly politically polarized.

In his May 31, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explains why Putin is preparing to mobilize Russian society for total war:Putin's favorite philosopher Aleksandr Dugin believes that Russia and the West are fighting Samuel Huntington's War of Civilizations in Ukraine. What does he mean by this? In the late eighties, Francis Fukuyama published his "End of History?" essay, which argued that liberal democracy and consumerism are humanity's best conception of itself, and therefore history has ceased to be a dialectical argument. Both Dugin and Putin believe that Western consumerism is a poison pill that has corrupted Russian society. It has manipulated Russians into betraying their own civilization, and this betrayal has led to political corruption, rampant alcoholism, and a declining population. In the war against Ukraine, Putin has discovered that continuous war can rejuvenate the Russian soul. He is intent on channeling Russia's "warrior" culture to fight against consumerism.

In his May 29, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explains that an American invasion of Iran would be a catastrophic mistake:If Trump were to win a second term, he would likely contemplate invading Iran. While an initial invasion would seem successful, American forces would quickly become bogged down in Iran's mountainous terrain. The American invasion would be similar to Athens' invasion of Sicily in 415 BCE, as described in Thucydides' The Peloponnesian War. Despite its initial successes, the Athenians couldn't re-supply themselves, and their entire expedition was wiped out.This disastrous defeat turned the war in Sparta's favor, and spelled the downfall of the Athenian empire. Could the American empire in Iran suffer the same fate as the Athenian empire in Sicily?

In his May 24, 2024 class Jiang Xueqin examines if Iran President Ebrahim Raisi's death was an accident or an assassination: On May 19, Iran President Raisi's helicopter crashed into the mountains, killing all nine on board. Most experts believe it was a weather-related accident. There are skeptics who believed that powerful forces within Iran stood to gain from Raisi's death. Raisi was expected to become the next Iranian supreme leader, and now Mojtaba Khamenei (the current Ayatollah's second son) is the favorite. Under the current Ayatollah, the 250,000-strong Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) have dominated Iran's economy, politics, and foreign policy. Their critics believe they have inflamed tensions in the Middle East, while causing stagnation and corruption at home. If Raisi were to have become Ayatollah, he would have to attempt to curb the power and influence of the IRGC in order to establish his own authority. Because Mojtaba Khamenei would be inexperienced and unpopular, he would have to rely on the support of the IRGC.This would allow the IRGC to pursue its most ambitious foreign policy goals, which would ultimately force a confrontation between the United States and Iran.

In his Wednesday, May 22 class, Jiang Xueqin explains to his Chinese high school students the strengths and weaknesses of the American military doctrine "Shock and Awe":In 2003, the American military used a revolutionary military doctrine called "Shock and Awe" in its Operation Iraqi Freedom. "Shock and Awe" combined American air supremacy, technological omniscience, and special forces into a deadly package that won the war in three weeks, with less than 200 American casualties. This new doctrine is ultimately a response to the failures of the Vietnam War, in which 58,000 Americans died over eight years. "Shock and Awe" permits America to fights wars quickly, cheaply, and decisively, which avoids public outrage, media scrutiny, and political flip-flopping. As such, "Shock and Awe" is not just a theory of war -- it's ultimately a theory of empire. America can now covertly defend its empire everywhere and anywhere. But "Shock and Awe" also means that America is over-committed, is lacking in strategic discipline, and is overcome with hubris. This may lead America to head into a disaster of its own making.

In his Friday, May 17, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explores who will win the US Presidential election in November: Joe Biden's 2020 coalition of college-educated professionals, minority voters, twenty-somethings, and suburbanites may not hold in 2024. Voters are upset about inflation, illegal immigration, and foreign policy direction.If Trump picks Nikki Haley to be his running mate, he has a very good chance of winning the suburbs, and thus the Presidency.Because of her ties to anti-Iranian organizations, Nikki Haley may become the fiercest advocate for escalation with Iran in the Trump White House.

In his May 15, 2024 class Jiang Xueqin explains to his Chinese high school students the rivalry between Iran and Saudi Arabia:At the beginning of 1979 Saudi Arabia and Iran were friendly with each other. Both were America-aligned oil-exporting monarchies. Iran’s Islamic Revolution was a political earthquake that promised to topple the entire Middle East political order. Ever since Saudi Arabia and Iran have been bitter religious, economic, and geo-political rivals. After America’s 2003 invasion of Iraq Iran seemed dominant. In 2015 Riyadh was shaken to its core when Obama reached a nuclear deal with Tehran. Then Saudi Arabia’s crown prince Muhammad bin Salman won over the Trump White House. Trump made Saudi Arabia his first foreign visit, and scuttled Obama’s nuclear deal. In January 2020 Trump ordered the assassination of Qasem Soleimani, which brought Iran and America to the brink of war.If Trump wins in November, tensions in the Middle East can only promise to escalate.

In his May 5, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explains to his Chinese high school students how empire is eroding the stability and vitality of the American Republic: From 1950-1980, America's manufacturing sector accounted for 40 percent of GDP, employed 30 percent of its workforce, and enjoyed 40 percent of total profits. Today, it's only 10 percent of GDP, and the financial services sector is ascendant. Financial services account for 22 percent of GDP, enjoy 40 percent of profits, and employs 5 percent of America's workforce. This trend has led to income inequality, divisive politics, and economic volatility. Young people feel they are being left behind, the best and brightest are flocking to Wall Street, and corporations are focused more on financial engineering than on innovation. What's driving this trend? America's empire, which is causing foreign money to flood its economy. And as the empire becomes addicted to easy money it may have to fight a war to defend the petrodollar.

In his April 30, 2024 class, Jiang explains the origins and thinking of Christian Zionism, and how it is driving conflict in the Middle East.He argues that while most Christians consider Christian Zionism to heretical, it has the most potential to capture people's imagination due to the instability, uncertainty, and extremity of the times we live in today.

On April 24, 2024, Jiang Xueqin explains to his Chinese high school students Iran's geo-political strategy. Because the United States has military dominance, Iran must conduct asymmetrical warfare, and ask four questions with all its actions:a.) Does this action make my population more confident and united?b.) Does this action help me consolidate trust and solidarity with my allies?c.) Does this action help me win global opinion?d.) Does this action weaken the resolve and solidarity of my enemies? Jiang Xueqin argues that Iran's "Operation True Promise" achieved Iran's strategic objectives, and Iran's strategy matrix will determine all its responses moving forward.

In this Thursday, December 18, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how and why Pax Judaica will come to rule the world. Notes and References:1. Book of Ezekiel, Hebrew Bible2. Observations Upon the Prophecies of Daniel by Isaac Newton3. Structure of Scientific Revolutions by Thomas Kuhn4. The Thirteenth Tribe by Arthur Koestler5. Kill King 33 by James Downard and Michael Hoffman6. Words of the Lord (Jacob Frank)

In this Tuesday, December 16, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the alliance between the British Empire and the Sabbatean Frankists created modernity. Notes and References:1. Coningsby by Benjamin Disraeli2. Assault on Truth by Jeffrey Masson3. The Interpretation of Dreams by Sigmund Freud4. Aetiology of Hysteria by Sigmund Freud5. Fragments of an Analysis of Hysteria by Sigmund Freud 6. Wall Street and the Russian Revolution by Richard Spence7. Letters of Karl Marx8. Letters of Mikhail Bakunin9. Rihland video on the Donmeh:    • Dönme-The Ottoman crypto-jews  

In this Thursday, December 11, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the religious outlook of Jacob Frank. Notes and References:1. The Collection of the Words of the Lord (Jacob Frank), translated by Harris Lenowitz) 2. "Crazy Jane Talks with the Bishop" by William Butler Yeats3. Faust by Goethe

In this Tuesday, December 9, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how transnational capital came to dominate the world.

In this Thursday, December 4, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the Catholic Church became the ultimate empire.Notes and References:1. Albigensian Crusade: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albigen...2. Sasanian Conquest of Jerusalem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sasania...3. The Quran

In this Tuesday, December 2, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Paul created Christianity.Notes and References:1. Gospel of John, New Testament2. Acts of the Apostles, New Testament3. Letter to Romans, New Testament4. Letter to Corinthians, New Testament5. City of God by Augustine

In this Thursday, November 27, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the true teachings of Jesus.Notes and References:1. Gospel of Thomas2. Gospel of Matthew3. Divine Comedy by Dante4. Brothers Karamazov by Fyodor Dostoyevsky

In this Tuesday, November 25, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Rome came to dominate the Mediterranean. Notes and References:1. History of Rome by Livy2. The Aeneid by Virgil3. The Iliad by Homer

In this Thursday, November 20, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how and why Alexander the Great birthed the Hellenistic world.Notes and References:1. Histories by Herodotus2. The Peloponnesian World by Thucydides

In this Tuesday, November 18, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that the Persians constructed the Jewish identity in order to divide and rule the Levant.Notes and References:1. Book of Ezra, Hebrew Bible (Standard Revised edition)2. Book of Nehemiah, Hebrew Bible (Standard Revised edition)Please Support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In this Friday, November 14, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Zarathustra create monotheism. Notes and References:1. Gathas of Zarathustra 2. Poetry of Rumi3. Thus Spoke Zarathustra by Friedrich Nietzsche4. Pablo Vasquez Lecture on Gathas:    • The Gathas, Zoroastrianism, and the Ancien...  5. Zoroaster and the First Enlightenment:    • Zoroaster and the First Enlightenment | Ra...  Please Support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/PredictiveHi...2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In this Wednesday, November 12th lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the Yahwehist gave birth to the Bible as well as the nation of Israel.Notes and References:1. Book of Genesis, Hebrew Bible2. Book of Kings, Hebrew Bible3. Book of J by Harold BloomPlease Support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/PredictiveHi...2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.co...3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In this Thursday, November 6, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Homer gave birth to Greek civilization, humanity's creative peak. Notes and References:1. The Iliad by Homer (translated by Robert Fagles)2. Origin of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind by Julian Jaynes3. The Cosmic Serpent by Jeremy Narby4. Anna Karenina by Leo Tolstoy5. To the Lighthouse by Virginia Woolf

In this Tuesday, November 4, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the Bronze Age global trade network was a proto-capitalistic system, and therefore bound to collapse hard and fast.Notes and References:1. Debt by David Graeber2. 1177 BC by Eric H. Cline3. Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely4. "Power Causes Brain Damage" in the Atlantic Monthly: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/...Please Support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In this Friday, October 31, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that the people of the steppes were history's greatest conquerors because they were the most open, energetic, cohesive. Notes and References:1. The Language of the Goddess by Marija Gimbutas2. The Civilization of the Goddess by Marija Gimbutas3. Sex at Dawn by Christopher Ryan and Cacilda Jetha4. The Horse the Wheel and Language by David AnthonyPlease Support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/PredictiveHi...2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In his Wednesday, October 29, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang proposes a new theory on the birth of civilizations. Notes and References:1. Theogony by Hesiod2. Epic of Gilgamesh 3. Enuma Elish4. Debate between Sheep and GrainPlease support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi... 2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.co...3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang