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Markets expect the Federal Reserve to deliver its first rate hike in more than three years, testing the relationship between Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and President Donald Trump. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent acknowledged growing caverns over the U.S. deficit as bond yields remain elevated. And energy prices continue to cloud the inflation outlook. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Real or not, Trump's helicopter money drop should alarm by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Listen to the latest episode of Reuters Econ World on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠right-wing populism⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Pressure is mounting on Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent as he testifies before Congress with 10-year yields topping 5%. The Federal Reserve begins a pivotal two-day meeting with markets expecting another rate hike. And President Trump says no new guardrails are needed for AI, even as calls grow to slow development of advanced models. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: AI is too big to slow in a geopolitical race by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Listen to the latest episode of Reuters Econ World on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠right-wing populism⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The chiefs of OpenAI and Anthropic call for a slowdown in AI development amid warnings of existential risk, with OpenAI delaying its IPO until at least next year - raising questions about what a pause would mean for the chip and data center boom. Oil surges back above $108 a barrel after a Houthi attack on the Saudi East-West pipeline and regional talks over the Strait of hormuz collapse. And markets price a 90% chance the Fed raises rates Wednesday. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Oil markets survived the Iran war sprint. Now comes a marathon, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Listen to the latest episode of Reuters Econ World on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠right-wing populism⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is closing non 5%, a level many investors see as a potential threat to stocks. Markets are also waiting for a crucial CPI report that could determine whether the Federal Reserve raises rates next week. And Oracle's results ease concerns that AI spending isn't paying off. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Can Africa seize its moment in the race for critical minerals? by Andy Home Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Listen to the latest episode of Reuters Econ World on ⁠⁠⁠⁠right-wing populism⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

U.S. President Donald Trump says the Iran war won't end before the midterms and is proposing $5,000 checks for every American, raising fresh questions for inflation and bond markets. The European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates again as energy prices climb. And an AI researcher who resigned from Anthropic says the company and its rivals are acting irresponsibly and that the technology could pose a threat to humanity. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Is the dollar policy 'mini Mar-a-Lagos' or Whac-A-Mole?⁠, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Listen to the latest episode of Reuters Econ World on ⁠⁠⁠right-wing populism⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The U.S.-Canada trade war is escalating from tariffs to outright import bans, with Washington blocking roughly a billion dollars' worth of Canadian dairy, alcohol, motorcycles and Bombardier jets. The move follows Canadian retaliatory tariffs and how Ottawa responds next is now the focus of markets and governments around the world. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: In a global economic heatwave, beware financial wildfires, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Listen to the latest episode of Reuters Econ World on ⁠⁠right-wing populism⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Japan's yen surges to seven-month highs as markets price in a near-certain Bank of Japan rate rise, raising fresh questions about the carry trade. Meanwhile, Iran threatens the U.S. with economic warfare as Brent crude approaches $100 a barrel, and strong global data points to a world economy building steam. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Trump's baffling Fed threat could be gift to Warsh, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Listen to the latest episode of Reuters Econ World on ⁠right-wing populism⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A blowout U.S. jobs report for August keeps pressure on the Fed ahead of Friday's CPI print and a rate decision next week. meanwhile, the ECB is set to hike on Thursday, diesel hits record highs, and a far-right party is on the cusp of taking power in a German state for the first time since World War 2. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: China's cruse oil imports stayed weak in August. Can this continue?, Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Listen to the latest episode of Reuters Econ World on right-wing populism. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Fed Chair Christopher Waller is urging policymakers to "give disinflation a chance," lowering expectations for a September rate hike. Investors are now watching the August jobs report for fresh clues on the economy. And record-high diesel prices are adding to inflation worries ahead of winter. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Hedge funds pose greater threat to US Treasuries than China ever did by Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Stocks, bonds and oil are steadier as traders look for clues on the U.S. labor market. The yen is jumping again as speculation builds over possible intervention and higher Japanese interest rates. And Broadcom's latest forecast is reinforcing expectations for years of AI-driven investment. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: US hyperscalers' euro thirst - lifeblood or vampire? by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A global bond selloff is gathering pace as war-driven oil prices add to inflation worries. New Zealand kicks off what could be a month of global rate hikes. And strong earnings from Dell and Palo Alto Networks suggest the AI boom is still powering ahead. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: The 'real' deal - world bonds grind towards higher neutral rates ⁠by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A global bond market rout is deepening as investors fret about rate hikes and worsening fiscal conditions. G20 finance chiefs are gathering as those rising bond yields and Russia's presence at the meeting stir tensions. Plus, Shein shares tumble after a Hong Kong IPO values the company at a fraction of its former worth. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: The America's oil bonanza will outlast the Iran conflict by Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

All eyes are on Jackson Hole as Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces pressure to clarify his thinking on inflation and interest rates. Nvidia's blockbuster outlook reignites the AI trade, lifting tech stocks even as much of the market lags behind. Plus, France's presidential race is brining debt worries back into focus for investors 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: The US needs more aluminum - and it needs it now by Andy Home Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Wall Street rewarded Nvidia after another blockbuster quarter and a bold 2027 growth forecast adding fresh fuel to the AI boom. Investors are watching Jackson Hole after fresh PCE inflation data kept pressure on the Federal Reserve. Plus, oil prices fell as markets bet diplomacy could ease disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Monetarist resurrection, or timely rethink of inflation targeting? by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Hopes that the Strait of Hormuz could reopen are pushing oil prices lower and calming bond markets. Investors are bracing for fresh U.S. inflation data that could shape the Fed's next move. Plus, Nvidia's earnings will test whether Wall Street still believes AI investment can keep accelerating. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Europe's autumn reckoning - bonds, budgets, billionaires by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

U.S. President Donald Trump is threatening 50% tariffs on Canadian-made vehicles, testing one of North America's closest economic partnerships. Washington unveiled its anti-Iran financial crackdown but left key details for later. And investors are looking ahead to Nvidia earnings for clues about whether the AI boom can justify its price tag. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: The US fiscal hole has an AI problem at its core by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mark Carney is vowing dollar-for-dollar retaliation after U.S.-Canada trade talks collapsed late Friday, leaving 50% tariffs on some $20 billion of Canadian imports in place. Oil dips as Scott Bessent prepares to unveil his so-called "economic D-Day" on Iran, with Nvidia earnings and Jackson Hole still to come. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: US refiners face historic stress test as global crisis looms, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Bond markets push Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's buyback strategy to the limit, as yields climb back toward recent highs. U.S. President Donald Trump promises an economic crackdown on Iran as oil prices head for a weekly gain. Plus, Walmart shares tumble after the retailer posts its weakest U.S. sales growth in more than six years. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Solar gives Hungary's power system vital cover from nuclear fallout by Gavin Maguire Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expands bond buybacks to calm a market rattled by rising borrowing costs. Meanwhile, America's debt tops $40 trillion for the first time, underscoring the scale of its funding challenge. Plus, Moderna reports a cancer vaccine breakthrough and sends its shares soaring. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: US relies on tactics, not strategy, to calm angry bonds by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Bond yields hover near multi-decade highs as investors demand more compensation for holding long-term government debt. U.S. President Donald Trump delayed planned tariff hikes on Canadian goods as negotiations on a trade deal continue. And, Chinese robot maker Unitree surges by 600% in its stock market debut, extending investors enthusiasm around AI. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Three midweek thoughts - dodging AI, uber bulls and intervention flub, by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Iran says it is shifting to a "fully offensive" military posture sending Brent crude back above $90 a barrel. Thirty-year bond yields are hitting multi-year highs as markets question the outlook for inflation. Tech giants are pouring money into AI infrastructure even as questions about returns remain unanswered. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Even as market clouds clear, AI investment anxiety still gnaws, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A surprise drop in U.S. retail sales has investors asking whether the American consumer is finally losing steam. As Walmart, Home Depot and Target prepare to report earnings this week, markets look for clues on whether shoppers are merely taking a breather or pulling back more decisively. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump argues higher gasoline prices are worth paying for the war with Iran, while rising Japanese bond yields highlight growing global concerns about government borrowing costs. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Smart tugs and trucks that don't sleep. Automation rewires US transport, Gavin Maguire Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A second straight soft U.S. inflation report sends the S&P 500 to a fresh record and cuts the odds of a September Fed rate hike to roughly one in three. But there's little relief at the long end of the bond market, where the Treasury sells 30-year debt at its highest yield in 25 years, reflecting persistent investor anxiety over deficits and above-target inflation. And in a Reuters exclusive, sources say the Bank of Japan is set to raise interest rates as soon as September and may accelerate its pace of tightening after that. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠⁠ Today's recommended read: Central banks spearhead renewed gold rush, Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Inflation cooled as expected, lowering the temperature around the Fed's next move. The U.S. government just sold 10-year debt at its highest auction yield in nearly two decades, underscoring the rising cost of borrowing. Plus new GDP figures challenge the idea that the UK remains stuck in a low-growth rut. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. ⁠Download the Reuters app here.⁠ Today's recommended read: AI creeps onto Fed radar, but footprint is small so far by Mike Dolan ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Investors push CoreWeave shares higher after the AI cloud company reported strong results and highlighted more than $100 billion in backlogged orders. Meanwhile, markets are bracing for a closely-watched U.S. inflation report that could shape the Federal Reserve's next move. And oil prices continue to climb as Red Sea attacks persist and progress in U.S.-Iran talks remains elusive. 📲 Podcasts, breaking news, and video analysis from the source. Download the Reuters app here. Today's recommended read: Three midweek thoughts - 'magnificent' banks, Japan switch, populism by Mike Dolan ⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nvidia is reportedly working with Wall Street giants on a financing push that could funnel up to $500 billion into AI infrastructure. Oil prices are climbing again as hopes for a breakthrough between the U.S. and Iran being to fade. And traders are once more trusting Japan's resolve to defend the yen as Treasury yields march higher. Today's recommended read: Trump reopens Fed battle at critical time for bond markets by Mike Dolan ⁠ Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

President Trump gives Fed Governor Lisa Cook three weeks to answer mortgage fraud allegations, with the deadline falling just before the September FOMC meeting - raising fresh questions about Fed independence under Chair Kevin Warsh. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy shed 23,000 jobs in July in a surprise miss, though a falling unemployment rate and solid construction gains tempered the reaction. All eyes now turn to Wednesday's CPI print, with oil near $83 a barrel and retail fuel prices still roughly 30% above pre-war levels. Today's recommended read: ⁠China is balancing Asia's crude oil demand by itself, Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A closely watched U.S. jobs report could shape expectations for the Fed's next move on interest rates. Plus, markets are adjusting to a Federal Reserve that is saying less and letting investors do more of the guessing. And, SpaceX weathered a major lockup export without the sell-off many had expected. Today's recommended read: AI could end Wall Street's EPS obsession by Marty Fridson Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A proposed Iran deal that would give Tehrangreater control over shopping in the Strait of Hormuz is keeping oil below $80 a barrel. Gold has posted its biggest one-day gain in six months as investor reassess the outlook for inflation and interest rates. Meanwhile, Wall Street is cautious after weak chip-sector earnings and ahead of a pivotal U.S. jobs report. Today's recommended read: US-Japan action undercuts G7's historic FX role⁠ by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

SpaceX and AMD beat earnings estimates but saw their shares stumble, even as the Dow and S&P 500 hit fresh records and oil prices slide. Plus, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent vows to do "whatever it takes" to help Japan defend the yen. Today's recommended read: Three midweek thoughts - AI job losses, Fed's White knight and K-shaped inflation by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

U.S. manufacturing just posted its strongest growth in four years, adding to signs of economic resilience. Meanwhile, oil traders try to make sense of conflicting signals over potential Iran talks. And markets are questioning whether efforts by Tokyo and Washington will be enough to keep the yen afloat. Today's recommended read: U.S. economy is overstimulated - and bond markets fear it by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The yen jumps after a historic U.S.-Japan currency intervention. Wall Street profits are tracking their strongest growth outside a recession. Plus, oil tumbles as hopes rise for renewed U.S.-Iran talks. Today's recommended read: Iran war ushers in oil refining golden era. It won't last by Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Ethan Plotkin, Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Big Tech's spending on AI has now topped a trillion dollars and investors want to returns. Anthropic's Claude AI hacked three companies during testing. Plus, the yen remains under pressure despite intervention. Today’s recommended read: Europe makes trillion-euro bet to revive its battered industry by Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Read more from ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Amanda Cooper⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Anna Szymanski⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Fed held interest rates steady, but three officials broke ranks and voted for a hike, delivering the "family fight" Chair Kevin Warsh said he wanted. Meanwhile, oil prices climbed after fresh U.S. strikes on Iranian targets. And Big Tech earnings split investors, with Meta and Qualcomm disappointing while Microsoft impressed. Today’s recommended read:⁠⁠⁠ The world's $1.8 quadrillion balance sheet has a simmering problem by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠. Read more from ⁠⁠⁠⁠Amanda Cooper⁠⁠⁠⁠ and⁠⁠⁠⁠ Anna Szymanski⁠⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

SK Hynix's profits surged sixfold and its stock still dropped 10%. The Fed is poised to make its more unpredictable rate decision since 2018. Plus, Microsoft and Meta earnings are up tonight. Today’s recommended read:⁠ Three midweek thoughts - cresting capex, Burnham bounce and Ukraine-Iran by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠ newsletter,⁠⁠ and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠. Read more from ⁠⁠⁠Amanda Cooper⁠⁠⁠ and⁠⁠⁠ Anna Szymanski⁠⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A global chip sell-off rattles tech markets, while oil prices retreat despite tensions in the Middle East. And central banks confront fresh inflation pressures. Today’s recommended read:Central banks can't 'see through' this many inflationary risks, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠newsletter,⁠⁠and check out his columns on⁠⁠Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠. Read more from⁠⁠Amanda Cooper⁠⁠and⁠⁠Anna Szymanski⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Chinese memory chipmaker CXMT soared 500% on its Shanghai debut to become the country's most valuable company at over half a trillion dollars. Meanwhile, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta prepare to report as cash burn concerns weigh on AI's biggest spenders, and the Fed meets Wednesday with oil retreating nearly $10 from above $100 a barrel after a pause in U.S.-Iran strikes. Today’s recommended read: Crude oil futures are pricing market adaptability, not hopeful Iran peace, Clyde Russell. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid ⁠⁠newsletter,⁠⁠ and check out his columns on ⁠⁠Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠. Read more from ⁠⁠Amanda Cooper⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠Anna Szymanski⁠⁠. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo. Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump imposed new duties on 60 trading partners overnight using a forced labor justification, oil is surging past $100 on Red Sea chaos, the Fed heads into next week's meeting more divided than its been in years, and Intel just shattered Wall Street expectations on the back of the AI boom. Today’s recommended read:⁠ Who is funding America’s widening debt with the rest of the world?, Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid&⁠newsletter,⁠&and check out his columns on&⁠Reuters Open Interest⁠. Read more from&⁠Amanda Cooper⁠&and&⁠Anna Szymanski⁠ Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Alphabet's cloud revenue grew more than 80% year on year and the stock still dropped 3%. Tesla burned cash too, positing its first negative free cash flow in over two years. And with Houthi militants now forcing Saudi tankers to turn around in the Red Sea, oil is pushing toward $100 a barrel - giving the ECB a headache it wasn't expecting today. Today’s recommended read:⁠ America's 'mass affluence' is bigger than you think, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid&⁠newsletter,⁠&and check out his columns on&⁠Reuters Open Interest⁠. Read more from&⁠Amanda Cooper⁠&and&⁠Anna Szymanski⁠ Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Japan's yen hits a 40-year low above 163 per dollar, putting Tokyo on intervention watch. Alphabet reports earnings after the bell tonight, kicking off hyperscaler earnings season. And Brent crude climbs again as fighting continues in the Gulf, Saudi tankers are turned back and the U.S. confirms the conflict has cost over $37 billion. Today’s recommended read:⁠Three midweek thoughts - jobs, Fed targets and volatility, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid&⁠newsletter,⁠&and check out his columns on&⁠Reuters Open Interest⁠. Read more from&⁠Amanda Cooper⁠&and&⁠Anna Szymanski⁠ Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Ten days into what was already supposed to be a ceasefire reports emerge of a push to mediate yet another 10-day ceasefire in U.S.-Iran hostilities - leaving markets struggling to keep up. In the UK, bond markets stay relatively calm under new Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who has committed to keeping UK debt stable over time, appointing John Healey as finance minister. And tariffs are back, with U.S. President Donald Trump levying 50% duties on roughly $20 billion Canadian goods including ice hockey gear, in the first use of Section 338 since the Supreme Court struck down his executive order. Today’s recommended read: ⁠Burnham kicks off UK premiership with lucky breaks. Investors hope they last, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid ⁠newsletter,⁠ and check out his columns on ⁠Reuters Open Interest⁠. Read more from ⁠Amanda Cooper⁠ and ⁠Anna Szymanski⁠ Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Crude tops $90 a barrel for the first time since early June as U.S. strikes on Iran enter their ninth day and two tankers are hit in the Strait of Hormuz. Markets are also watching Alphabet's Wednesday earnings, the first of the major hyperscalers to report. Plus, Andy Burnham is formally named Britain's new prime minister and investors wait to learn who will fill the key role of Finance Minister. Today’s recommended read: Forget crude. War pushes refiners to the brink, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Japanese chip stocks lead a broad sell-off in Asian trading as investors question whether the AI spending cycle has peaked. China's Moonshot unveils what it calls the world's largest open-source AI model as President Xi Jinping hosts a global AI cooperation conference in Beijing. And Netflix shares fall after a second consecutive quarter of disappointing sales growth. Today’s recommended read: Trump could get a lesson on Iran from an unlikely source — emus, Clyde Russell Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

SpaceX has fallen back below its $135 listing price and sits more than 30% off its post-listing peak, with insiders expected to begin selling as lockup periods expire over the coming months. The company has yet to confirm a date for its first earnings report. TSMC's record 77% profit jump offers some relief to chip investors after a rocky week. Plus, the British pound climbs to a one-year high against the euro on UK finance minister speculation. Today’s recommended read: Fed flip-flops make case for less talk, Mike Dolan Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Europe's ASML raises its full-year revenue forecast, steadying sentiment around AI infrastructure spending after IBM logged its worst single-day stock drop on record. U.S. core CPI posts its first monthly decline in over six years, easing pressure on the Fed. And volatile markets and a busy IPO pipeline hand the big banks a bumper quarter. Today’s recommended read: China's latest 'shock', German auto pain and the euro/yuan pressure cooker, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A fresh escalation in the Gulf, with Iranian missile attacks on shipping and a U.S. blockade declaration, pushes oil sharply higher and overshadows today's U.S. inflation report. Headline CPI had been forecast to fall below 4%, but with oil re-accelerating, that backward-looking relief may already feel like a moot point. Fed Governor Christopher Waller says core inflation is simply "too high," and markets are now pricing almost a 50% chance of a rate hike as soon as this month. Plus, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces Congress for the first time later today. Today’s recommended read: China blunted Iran war oil shock, but can it do the same for fuels?, Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oil prices surge but traders aren't panicking yet as U.S.-Iran strikes escalate and Iran claims the Strait of Hormuz is closed - even as U.S. Central Command says around 20 ships got through in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, June CPI data drops Tuesday and big bank earnings kick off a week that will test soaring tech valuations. Today’s recommended read: Cheap drones turn energy into the global economy's weak spot, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

SK Hynix hits the Nasdaq today, but can it close the valuation gap with Micron? Also, Japan's Finance Ministry tells its $1.81 trillion pension fund to stop sending money abroad, rattling the yen and Japanese bonds. And Wall Street braces for a brutal Tuesday, with five of the six biggest U.S. banks reporting on the same day. Today’s recommended read: From curiosity to cornerstone - how batteries went mainstream, Gavin Maguire Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oil prices jump after President Trump says the U.S. memorandum of understanding with Iran is "over," while chip stocks see a brief Asia-session rally that quickly fades. And the June Fed minutes signal a divided central bank that's in no rush to act on inflation. Today’s recommended read: Forget TACO. Trump's best Mexican food acronym is TAMALES, Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oil jumps after President Donald Trump says the U.S. ceasefire with Iran is over after the two sides traded attacks overnight. Chip stocks slide as China reportedly considers limiting foreign access to its top AI models and DeepSeek pursues its own chip. And FOMC minutes due later in the day arrive against a backdrop of higher bond yields. Today’s recommended read: Oil refiners' Hormuz windfall may prove short-lived, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices