PODCAST · business
The Market Chronicles
by Michael J. Kramer
A macro market commentary www.themarketchronicle.com
Episodes
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The CPI Report and Treasury Auctions Threaten To Send Rates Higher
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related...
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Volatility Surges Heading Into The January Job Report
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related...
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Tariff News Causes Market Volatility To Spike
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related...
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The Markets Risk Reward Does Favor The Bulls
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/subscribe Welcome to the Market Chronicles podcast, hosted by Michael Kramer. Stay ahead of the curve with in-depth analysis of the stock market, including S&P 500 trends, bond yields, global currencies, and key indicators like GDP, PCE, and employment reports....
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Stocks Rise As Sellers Exit and Liquidity Drops
Volume levels in the S&P 500 Futures have fallen to their lowest levels since mid-December. Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment...
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Stocks and The VIX Both Rally On The Same Day
Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this...
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Stocks Rally As The VIX, Oil, and Rates Fall
The VIX, Rates, and Oil all fell on Tuesday January 21, 2025 Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott...
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The A Hot CPI Report Threatens Further Bear Steepening of the Yield Curve
In this episode of The Market Chronicles, Michael Kramer dives deep into the latest economic data and market trends shaping the financial landscape. Starting with a detailed analysis of the December jobs report, he unpacks the impressive drop in unemployment, significant labor market revisions…
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Global Surge In Rates Continues, As Demand For Equity Leverage Evaporates
The stock market had a relatively quiet day, with the S&P 500 closing essentially flat, up just 16 basis points. Key focus remains on the 5870 support level, which has been tested multiple times. A breach of this level could signal a larger decline, potentially completing a head-and-shoulders...
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Rates and Inflation Swaps Surge as Stocks Tumble on Hot Economic Data
Today’s episode of Market Chronicles dives into the market’s volatile reaction to stronger-than-expected economic data. Key reports, including the ISM Services Prices Paid Index and JOLTS, revealed persistent inflationary pressures, sending bond yields sharply higher. The 10-year Treasury yield...
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Stocks Give Back Early Gains As Breadth Implodes
In this episode of The Market Chronicles, Michael Kramer breaks down a choppy trading session on January 6, where the S&P 500 closed up 55 basis points after giving back earlier gains. NVIDIA stood out with a 3.5% rise, driving much of the day’s strength, while broader market breadth deteriorated...
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Strong U.S. Data Could Propel 10- and 30-Year Rates Towards 5% This Week
This week on The Market Chronicles, host Michael Kramer dives into the critical economic data that could shape interest rate movements. With key reports like JOLTS, ISM Services, and non-farm payrolls on the horizon, the stage is set for potential breakouts in 10- and 30-year Treasury yields.…
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The Fed's Rate Cutting Cycle Could Be Over After This Week's Data
This week is set to be pivotal for the financial markets as critical economic data rolls in, shaping expectations for the Federal Reserve’s future policy path. Since September, markets have significantly adjusted their rate cut expectations, now projecting fewer than two cuts for 2025. Strong...
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Stocks Crumble Amid Falling Demand For Leverage
Join Michael Kramer on The Market Chronic for an in-depth analysis of today’s market moves, including significant swings in the S&P 500, Nvidia’s pivotal role, and the implications of falling demand for leverage. Stay ahead with key insights on economic data, market sentiment, and what’s next for...
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2025 Market Outlook: Liquidity Challenges and Rising Rates Threaten Equity Stability
Welcome to Market Chronicles! In this episode, host Michael Kramer dives into the latest developments in the financial markets as we begin 2025. Michael discusses the critical factors shaping the year, including liquidity challenges, the Federal Reserve’s reverse repo facility trends, and the...
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Stocks Drop Again As Breadth Erodes Further
Today’s market action highlighted ongoing challenges, with the S&P 500 dropping 1.07% and market breadth continuing to show significant weakness. Of the S&P 500, 470 stocks declined, while only 31 advanced, signaling bearish sentiment. Key breadth indicators, such as the McClellan Oscillator…
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Long-Term Rates Are Breaking Out Ahead of 2025, As Equity Financing Cost Plunge
Michael Kramer of the Mott Capital Chronicles Podcast discusses the week ahead in markets as we approach 2025. With a holiday-shortened trading week and limited economic data, key focus points include housing data, continuing jobless claims on January 2, and the ISM Manufacturing Report on…
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Equity Funding Cost Collapse Amid A Steepening Yield Curve
Stocks closed the week with significant turbulence as liquidity constraints and rising rates continued to pressure the market. The steepening yield curve and climbing long-term rates are placing additional strain on already fragile conditions. Questions are mounting about whether this is the…
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Demand For Equity Leverage Plunges
In this post-holiday market update, the S&P 500 remained flat amid light trading, with futures volume reflecting the season’s subdued activity. Treasury yields fluctuated, with the 10-year settling at 4.59% after a strong seven-year auction, signaling continued investor interest in U.S. debt....
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Stocks and Rates Rise As The Yield Curve Continues to Steepen
The S&P 500 rallied by about 75 basis points today, but it remains a market where solid breadth is lacking. Breadth was notably weak in the morning, though it improved slightly as the day progressed. Nvidia emerged as the leading stock, contributing 34% of the day’s gains according to data from…
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Treasury Auctions This Week Could Drive Further Bear Steepening
This holiday-shortened trading week will bring limited market activity, with US markets closing early at 1 PM Eastern on Christmas Eve and fully closed on December 25th. European markets will be shut on December 25th and 26th, while Japan and China will remain open, offering some global trading...
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The Stock Market Faces A Massive Deleveraging Risk
The stock market plunged sharply this week, and I’m here to explain why we might be on the brink of a massive deleveraging event, triggered after a period of eerily low realized volatility. Adding fuel to the fire, margin levels have skyrocketed over the past month, even as reserve balances have...
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The Stock Market Struggles May Only Grow Worse
The Market Chronicles is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. The Dow broke its 10-day losing streak today; however, the bad news is it only finished the day up 0.04%. So, while the streak was broken, it was just...
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The Fed's Rate Cutting Cycle May Already Be Over
Take Advantage of Special Discounts on The Market Chronicles Paid Services As expected, the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points, but the market was caught off guard by the Fed’s positioning regarding future rate cuts. Looking back, it was somewhat obvious. Earlier today, I shared a video for Market...
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Stocks Continue To Melt As Equity Financing Cost Soar
See 2024 Year-End TMC Specials It was another weak day for the markets. The S&P 500 closed lower by 39 basis points, but weakness was more pronounced in the RSP equal-weight index, down 80 basis points. The Dow dropped for the ninth consecutive day, losing 66 basis points. Breadth continues to...
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The Stocks Markets Window May Be Closing
The Market Chronicles is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. The S&P 500 finished the day about 38 basis points higher. It had been up earlier, reaching a peak of around 55 basis points. The index climbed to...
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A Bear Steepener For The Ages Is About To Hit Stocks
See Holiday Specials: The Market Chronicles is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. We have a hectic week ahead. The Fed meeting is on Wednesday, followed by the Bank of Japan meeting on Wednesday night and Thursday...
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Rates, The Dollar, and Inflation May Be Poised For A Big Move Higher
The Market Chronicles is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. The S&P 500 fell today by about 50 basis points, with the NASDAQ down roughly 65 basis points. PPI came in slightly hotter on the headline numbers, but…
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Stocks, Rates, Dollar, and Volatility All Rise
To hear more, visit www.themarketchronicle.com
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VIX Index Rises As Stock Finally Cracks
The Market Chronicles is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Today, we saw the S&P 500 fall by about 60 basis points, while the Nasdaq 100 declined by approximately 85 basis points. Nvidia was the leading stock,...
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Volatility May Be Returning To A Stock Market Near You
Audio Update only To hear more, visit www.themarketchronicle.com
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many episodes does The Market Chronicles have?
The Market Chronicles currently has 31 episodes available on PodParley. New episodes are automatically indexed when they're published to the podcast feed.
What is The Market Chronicles about?
A macro market commentary www.themarketchronicle.com
How often does The Market Chronicles release new episodes?
The Market Chronicles has 31 episodes. Check the episode list to see recent publication dates and frequency.
Where can I listen to The Market Chronicles?
You can listen to The Market Chronicles on PodParley by clicking any episode. We provide an embedded audio player for direct listening, and you can also subscribe via your preferred podcast app using the RSS feed.
Who hosts The Market Chronicles?
The Market Chronicles is created and hosted by Michael J. Kramer.
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