Can You Predict a Recession?

What if everything you’ve been told about recessions is wrong? On this episode, Ravi Gupta sits down with economist Tyler Goodspeed to challenge the classic “boom and bust” narrative—arguing that downturns aren’t inevitable consequences of excess, but the result of unpredictable shocks like energy crises, policy mistakes, or global events. Drawing on data stretching back to the 1700s, Tyler makes the case: “economic expansions don’t die of old age—they’re murdered”—and that trying to time the next crash may be a losing game. It’s a sharp, perspective-shifting conversation that reframes how the economy actually works—and what truly puts it at risk. Tyler Goodspeed’s Recession ----------- Leave us a voicemail with your thoughts on the show! 201-305-0084⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow Ravi at @RaviMGupta Notes from this episode are also available on Substack: https://thelostdebate.substack.com/ Read more from Ravi on Substack: https://realravigupta.substack.com  Follow The Branch at @thebranchmedia Listen to more episodes of Lost Debate on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-lost-debate/id1591300785 Listen to more episodes of Lost Debate on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7xR9pch9DrQDiZfGB5oF0F Listen to Where the Schools Went: https://thebranchmedia.org/show/where-the-schools-went/