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Revisiting Your FIRE Plan: Navigating Lower S&P 500 Predictions

An episode of the Early Escape: FI & RE Guide podcast, hosted by Jake Carson and Lily Morgan, titled "Revisiting Your FIRE Plan: Navigating Lower S&P 500 Predictions" was published on October 23, 2024 and runs 7 minutes.

October 23, 2024 ·7m · Early Escape: FI & RE Guide

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In this episode of Revisiting Your FIRE Plan, Jake Carson and Lily Morgan dive into recent projections from Goldman Sachs analysts predicting that the S&P 500 will yield an annualized return of just 3% over the next decade. With this stark contrast to historical averages and the last decade’s gains of 13%, many aspiring FIRE achievers may need to rethink their strategies and adjust their calculators. We discuss the implications of these lower return expectations, alternative investment strategies to consider, and the track record of past predictions by market analysts. If you’re worried about the impact of lower returns on your early retirement goals, join us to explore how to adapt and stay on course for FIRE.

In this episode of Revisiting Your FIRE Plan, Jake Carson and Lily Morgan dive into recent projections from Goldman Sachs analysts predicting that the S&P 500 will yield an annualized return of just 3% over the next decade. With this stark contrast to historical averages and the last decade’s gains of 13%, many aspiring FIRE achievers may need to rethink their strategies and adjust their calculators. We discuss the implications of these lower return expectations, alternative investment strategies to consider, and the track record of past predictions by market analysts. If you’re worried about the impact of lower returns on your early retirement goals, join us to explore how to adapt and stay on course for FIRE.

00 - Preface

Jan 2, 2026 ·10m

01 - Chapter I

Jan 1, 2026 ·6m

02 - Chapter II

Dec 31, 2025 ·8m

03 - Chapter III

Dec 30, 2025 ·14m

04 - Chapter IV

Dec 29, 2025 ·16m

05 - Chapter V

Dec 28, 2025 ·10m

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