Broncos — Muffed

Dobbins was a top-30 per-game back as the number 27 running back in PPR per game, but ranking as the number 43 back in total points tells you availability was the entire ceiling problem. The one on-field weakness the data flags is the passing-down role: a 5 percent target share and minus 5 receiving expected points added left him with almost no PPR floor on weeks the touchdown didn't come.

Sutton's 2025 was a true number-one wide receiver workload that produced a back-end second-tier wide receiver per-game profile — number 13 in total PPR but only number 21 in per-game scoring, because the floor games were genuinely empty. The weakness the data flags: just 222 yards after the catch on 74 receptions, an average of 3.4 — when the deep ball or the touchdown didn't hit, there was no easy-yardage safety net underneath.

Waddle's 2025 was a true number one receiver workload that landed as the number 24 wide receiver in total PPR and the number 27 in per-game scoring — efficient on a per-route basis, but undercut by a boom-or-bust weekly shape with seven games under 10 PPR. Six touchdowns on 100 targets and a 64 percent catch rate point to the real weakness: too many of his looks were low-percentage shots down the field, and the red-zone and short-area volume never showed up consistently enough to stabilize the floor.

Harvey's rookie year landed him as the number 20 running back in total PPR and the number 24 in per-game scoring — a touchdown-fueled, volume-driven campaign where the counting stats outran the efficiency. The data flag is unmissable: minus 204 rushing yards over expected and 3.7 yards a carry mean the ground game was carried by scoring variance, not by moving the chains.

Bo Nix delivered a steady number 7 quarterback finish on total points and a number 10 finish per game — useful, available, and rushing-touchdown-aided rather than a true ascension. The clearest weakness in the data is the accuracy profile: a minus 1.1 completion percentage over expected on a short-area diet with intended air yards under 7.5 means he wasn't earning extra value downfield, and that ceiling cap is what kept him outside the top tier.

Season MVP is Bo Nix — 3,931 yards, 25 touchdowns, plus 63.3 passing expected points added, eight game-winning drives, the engine of a 14-and-3 run. The one thing to fix: the takeaway number. 13 on the year, 22nd percentile, paired with the league's top sack total — that's a defense leaving splash plays on the table. Add four or five more turnovers to that pass rush, and the math in a 10-to-7 title game looks very different.