Crisis Compass

Hello everyone. Today, we are once again together for the 10th episode of the Crisis Compass program, prepared by ORSAM’s North and East Africa Studies Coordination Unit. In today’s broadcast, we will examine the political, military, and diplomatic developments that stood out in Libya, Sudan, and Somalia in December, together with the balance of forces on the ground and their regional implications.

On today’s Crisis Compass, we first turn our course toward Libya.The first notable development in Libya in November was the announcement by the High National Elections Commission that it would be ready to hold presidential and parliamentary elections by mid-April 2026, provided that the necessary financing and security are ensured. This marks, for the first time in a long period, the indication of a clear target in terms of an electoral timetable in Libya. In addition, the agreement reached between the High Council of State and the House of Representatives regarding the mechanism for selecting the leadership of critical institutions such as the High National Elections Commission, the National Anti-Corruption Commission, and the Administrative Control Authority can be read as a form of “minimum institutional consensus” aligned with the Berlin Process and the UN roadmap. Contacts between the United Kingdom and the High National Elections Commission concerning the third round of municipal elections, as well as statements by the European Union supporting the electoral process, also demonstrate that international backing remains active.

Hello and welcome back to the eighth episode of the weekly Libya, Sudan, and Somalia agenda analysis podcast, prepared under ORSAM’s North and East Africa Studies Coordination Unit as part of the “Crisis Compass” program. In today’s episode, we will cover the prominent political, military, and diplomatic developments in Libya, Sudan, and Somalia during the month of October.We will evaluate the developments in Libya as of October 2025, through the lens of the country's fragile stability equation, along four main axes: domestic politics, the election process and foreign policy, security and military dynamics, and developments in the economy and energy sectors.

Hello, we are back with the 7th episode of the weekly Libya, Sudan, and Somalia agenda analysis podcast prepared by ORSAM's North and East Africa Studies Coordination Unit as part of the “Crisis Compass” program. In today's broadcast, we will discuss the prominent political, military, and diplomatic developments in Libya, Sudan, and Somalia in September. 

Our analysis will address each country through the lenses of electoral dynamics, relations with armed groups, foreign involvement, and institutional capacity, and assess how these factors collectively influence the regional security architecture within a broader strategic framework. 

Hello, and welcome to the weekly agenda analysis podcast on Libya, Sudan, and Somalia, prepared by the department of the North and East Africa Studies at ORSAM as part of the ‘Crisis Compass’ program. I am Hasna Jebel Abagero, and in today’s episode, we will analyze the key political, military, and diplomatic developments in these three countries between August 10 and 16, 2025.

🎙The first episode of our Crisis Compass podcast series is now available! 🔎Weekly North and East Africa Podcast   🗓August 3–9, 2025