Russia Goes South

This episode examines Russia’s growing influence in Africa, focusing on its quest for access to key mineral resources such as uranium and gold and its establishment of strategic partnerships with countries including the Central African Republic, Mali, and Niger. Russia uses military support, private military companies, and economic deals to increase its geopolitical influence, often against declining Western influence. In addition to mineral extraction, Russia invests in educational and technical programs to strengthen long-term ties with African countries. Ultimately, Russia’s actions aim to secure resources and change the global geopolitical landscape.

Russia is actively expanding its military presence and influence in the Middle East and Africa, in particular through the establishment of a naval base in Sudan and seeking to maintain access to bases in Syria. Moscow is also deepening military and nuclear cooperation with Iran, receiving military assistance from it and expanding cooperation in the field of nuclear energy. Iran is becoming an important transit point for Russian military aviation. In addition, Russia is increasing military ties with North Korea, which supplies it with significant quantities of ammunition and artillery systems for the war in Ukraine. These actions, including diplomatic efforts, indicate a strategic strengthening of Russia's positions in these regions and its desire to resist Western influence.

This episode discusses the restoration of Russia's influence in Africa through the Wagner PMC (or its successor, the African Corps) after the death of Prigozhin. Mercenaries are being actively recruited and sent to various countries, notably Mali, where, despite losses, Russia's position remains strong. The Kremlin uses not only military force but also "soft power" - disinformation and pro-Kremlin media. Africa is becoming a key element of Moscow's global strategy, especially against the backdrop of the loss of influence in Syria. However, there are problems with command, logistics, and personnel shortages, which cast doubt on the long-term prospects of the Russian presence.  

This debut episode discusses Russia’s growing influence in the Middle East. It examines how Moscow is expanding its presence in Syria and Libya, using military leaders, ports, and arms deals. The episode highlights the partnership between Russia and Iran, including nuclear cooperation and arms supplies. It also examines the potential consequences of these actions, such as strengthening ISIS through access to abandoned weapons and Russia’s recruitment of Yemeni fighters.