PODCAST · leisure
Slabnomics
by Matt
Finance-Bro turned Card Bird explores the intersection of collecting, investment, and market theory for sports cards. Think Financial Analyst meets Sports Card Collector.New Episodes drop Tuesdays @ 7 AM CST.
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54
Don't Buy New Card Releases!
Here's why it's a bad investment every time. Only on Slabnomics. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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53
Modern Cards Are Overvalued (Value vs. Growth)
174 of my own card flips: Vintage won 62.7% of the time. Modern won 40.7%. Value Premium, What cards are most like value stocks and growth stocks, and how to tilt a portfolio. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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52
How To Read the Card Market Like a Wall Street Analyst
Seven Card Ladder charts. Three years of price and volume. Seven different cycle stages.This episode applies the Wyckoff Method, the 100-year-old framework finance uses to read market cycles, to the sports card market. The three laws. The four stages. The Composite Operator. Then chart by chart through Low-End, Mid-End, High-End, Baseball, Basketball, Football, and Soccer. By the end you'll know which segments are still early, which are running hot, which are showing distribution warnings, and what to do about each one in your portfolio. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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51
The Process I Use to Find Undervalued Cards (And the 4-Month Hunt I Walked Away From)
This is the first time I've walked through the full Slabnomics process from start to finish. Post-mortem to pattern recognition to filter to hunt to execution decision. End to end, with one real trade as the worked example. I talk about:Post-mortem methodology and tag-based pattern recognitionThe four-tag rule for win-rate stackingMLD framework applied to a current superstar's valuationSupply structure analysis on Prizm World Cup Silver parallelsAlpha decay and the half-life of an information edgeEnjoy the episode and share it with a friend! Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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50
Why You See "Buying, 80%" (And What to Do About It)
Every Facebook card group has the post. Cash in hand. Buying at 80% of comp. Same wording, different accounts, every week.Nobody asks where the 80% came from. Today we do.This episode walks through the why of that number, the three cognitive biases that keep sellers accepting, and two practical things to do so we can stop seeing those posts.Why this practice preys on the very people we should safeguard for the long term good of The Hobby: New Entrants. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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49
The Discoverable Market: Why Cards Aren't Like Stocks
Both sides studied the stock market. Nobody applied this to cards. Until now.In this episode of Slabnomics, we introduce the Discoverable Market framework and make the case that the card market is neither efficient nor random. It's exploitable. The information exists. Most people just aren't using it.✅ What the Efficient Market Hypothesis actually means✅ The 3 conditions required for market efficiency✅ Why collector behavioral errors aren't randomThe card market is newly becoming a real market. The frameworks that explain its behavior are barely being applied. The information required to price these assets correctly is freely available — and widely ignored.That's the definition of a discoverable market. The question is whether you want to do the work. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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48
Negotiation and How to Get Leverage in Sports Cards
Most card collectors think negotiation is just haggling: subtract from the sticker price, meet in the middle, done. It's not. In this episode, Matt breaks down the actual framework behind why deals happen and why they don't using Chris Voss's tactical empathy principles applied directly to the card market. You'll hear both sides of a real card show weekend: a buy that closed at his number and eight cards that didn't sell and why both outcomes were exactly right. Leverage is the only variable that matters. Your job is to understand whether you have it. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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47
Diving into Liquidity: 3 Types and How To Exit the Pool
This episode applies institutional liquidity frameworks to the card market. Three types of liquidity and what each one means for your portfolio. Why soccer trades like a two-buyer auction room despite 91% index gains. How price slippage destroys your comp stack when you hold multiples and list them sequentially. The difference between a market that is moving and a market that is coasting on inertia. And the exit framework that captures the middle of a move without the ego of trying to sell the peak.Topics: Sports card liquidity explained • Price slippage and comp arbitrage • Why thin markets move violently • Spotting trend exhaustion • Scale out exit strategy • Time stop discipline • World Cup sell window mechanics • Card Ladder price accuracy Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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46
Financial Inertia: What Breaks the Card Market
Have you ever been right about a card and watched the market ignore you for months? This episode breaks down the hidden architecture driving card prices. Not the surface-level "supply and demand" explanation, but the actual forces underneath: the psychological biases that keep incorrect prices in place far longer than they should, the structural mechanics that used to prop up modern sets but largely don't anymore, and the specific signals that tell you when inertia is about to break (in either direction).The episode closes on the macro demand picture — where the center of gravity in this hobby is actually shifting, why the high-end and low-end are now operating by completely different rules, and what the generational handoff means for which cards have durable long-term appeal versus which ones are consumer products wearing an investment thesis. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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45
Becoming the Card Show Oracle
Most people walk into a card show with a feeling. A vague sense of what looks good, what seems reasonably priced, what a dealer's enthusiasm is worth. This episode is about the gap between walking a show with a framework and walking one with a feeling, and what that gap costs you over time. From there, the episode gets concrete. Nobel Prize-winning economist George Akerlof's "Market for Lemons" explains why card shows can be structurally inefficient. Matt walks through a real decision from the Dallas card show, a 2009 Topps Chrome Jeter gold /50 in an SGC 10, and exactly which factors made it worth a serious look while the Jordan Fleer rookie two tables over didn't.Topics Covered:Why choice overload degrades decision quality — and how most retail investors fall into the same trapThe Fama-French three-factor model and what a card market equivalent actually looks likeGem rate, set tier, population trend, and price-to-comp as measurable card factorsGeorge Akerlof's Market for Lemons and why information asymmetry is the real game being played at every card showSlabnomics as a filter, not a prediction machine: how to walk into any room with a bias-resistant, repeatable process Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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44
Return of the King: Topps Chrome
Topps Chrome Basketball is back, Fanatics owns the licenses to all three major American sports leagues, and the hobby is generating real noise. But this isn't a hype story. It's a supply structure event, and those play out differently than people expect.In this episode, we walk through the history of Topps Chrome refractors, the gem market cap data behind the LeBron James 2003 rookie, how Panini multiplied parallels from 11 to 80+ variations and what that did to base card values, and what it actually means that the Panini Prism era is now a permanently closed chapter. We also look at the retail math on modern wax boxes, the football refractor population counts that will surprise you, and what all of this means for collectors already positioned in Prism cards of legitimate stars.The supply structure just shifted. Here's how to read it. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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43
Sports Card Sets: Top 1% Controls 99% of Value
What Gem Market Cap is and why it matters (PSA 10 population × last sale price)Applying stock market logic (market capitalization) to sports cardsAnalysis of 30 Panini Prizm sets (13 basketball, 13 football, 4 soccer)Total PSA 10 base & silver value across sports (~$75 million)Basketball vs Football vs Soccer capitalization comparisonThe Grubbs Test (3 standard deviation outlier detection)Jenks Natural Breaks algorithm for tier classificationThe “Brandon Miller problem” and contextual scaling distortionIcon Tier vs Franchise Tier vs Field classificationVictor Wembanyama’s 2023 Prizm Silver dominance (83% of set value)Luka Dončić’s high-liquidity population model (20,000+ PSA 10s)Patrick Mahomes’ 2017 Prizm Silver dominanceKylian Mbappé’s 2018 World Cup market shareTom Brady 2012 Prizm Silver extreme scarcity exampleLeBron James 2012 Prizm Silver ultra-low populationHigh-volume liquidity vs extreme scarcity paths to icon statusLayer 1 Set Tiering: ranking entire sets by total capitalizationCornerstone vs Mid Tier vs Fringe setsWhy generational icons elevate entire productsThe Pareto Principle in modern sports cardsWhy 99% of cards have minimal long-term financial gravity Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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42
I Found The Most Undervalued Cards in the Hobby
Grading has a structural mispricing that represents one of the most compelling arbitrage opportunities in the sports card market. This episode breaks down the population data, valuation multiples, and market mechanics that explain why.Key Analysis:*PSA 10 to BGS 10 Pristine population analysis using 1989 Upper Deck Ken Griffey Jr as case study*Why the 39x rarity differential only translates to 1.79x price premium (and why this is broken)*How the junk parallel era created supply fatigue in modern cards*Why Pokemon collectors are driving Beckett population growth*The impact of 1,000 new millionaires per day on collectibles liquidity pools*Comparison of PSA 9 to PSA 10 multiples vs PSA 10 to BGS 10 multiplesPopulation Data Discussed:1989 Upper Deck Ken Griffey Jr Star Rookie: 4,357 PSA 10s vs 113 BGS 10 PristinesPSA 9 to PSA 10 population ratio: 7.85xPSA 9 to PSA 10 value multiplier: 12.37xPSA 10 to BGS 10 Pristine population ratio: 39xPSA 10 to BGS 10 Pristine value multiplier: 1.79x (the mispricing)Market Context:This analysis builds on previous Slabnomics research showing how grading populations exploded from 5 million PSA 10s (1991-2019) to 36 million total PSA 10s through 2025. The same supply dynamics that killed PSA 9 values in ultra modern parallels are now creating opportunity in Beckett pristine grades as the market bifurcates between institutional collectors and retail buyers.Relevant for collectors interested in:Sports card investing, grading company analysis, vintage card markets, alternative asset allocation, BGS vs PSA comparison, population report analysis, long term hold strategy, Ken Griffey Jr rookie cards, 1989 Upper Deck baseball, Beckett black label, Pokemon TCG grading trends, sports card arbitrage opportunitiesResources Mentioned (Found on Instagram @Slabnomics):PSA Population Report dataBeckett grading registry growthState of the Hobby 2025 analysis Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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Meta-tagging 311 Sales: Lessons My Sports Card Portfolio Taught Me
I analyzed every trade I made over 10 months in one of my buckets:311 sales, $55,000 deployed and fed it all into Claude AI to find patterns. The result was a complete rebuild of how I think about sports card portfolio construction. Using meta-tags to track performance across player tier, set quality, rarity, and card type, I discovered that sets really do matter, and GOATs matter most in soccer. The finance brain wanted diversification across mid-cap players and international markets...the data said concentration in quality beats spreading thin. With the 2026 World Cup approaching, this analysis revealed exactly what to buy, when to sell, and why timing catalysts matters more than outcome gambling. Includes operational principles, meta-tagging methodology. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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40
Prizm Comparison Across Sports
In this episode of Slabnomics, I pulled every single Panini Prizm base and silver parallel for both players: Lebron James and Lionel Messi. I compared PSA 10 populations, last sale prices, and a metric I'm calling Gem Market Cap. What I found shook me.This episode covers:How supply, demand & price discovery work differently in cards vs traditional marketsThe MLD Valuation Framework (Market, Legacy, Design)What "Lowest Common Denominator" analysis means for cross-player comparisonWhy base cards and silver parallels serve completely different marketsGem Market Cap: applying stock market thinking to sports cardsWhy Pokemon's explosion is a preview of what's coming for soccer📩 Free weekly newsletter — Comped by Slabnomics: https://slabnomics.com Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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39
Player Archetypes and Valuation
What makes a card valuable—not expensive, but valuable? Matt shares the questions driving his research: Can sets tell us a player's lowest common denominator? Which archetypes have the most seasonal volatility? How do sports card markets mature as alternate assets? From GOAT multipliers to post-hype sleepers, generational prospects to position-specific volatility bands—the frameworks being built behind the scenes at Slabnomics. No deep dives this week, just the questions that will define future episodes. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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38
Why Your Cards Sell for Less (Auction vs BIN Breakdown)
After breaking down PSA 9 and Beckett findings on Instagram last week, this episode returns to fundamentals: how to actually make money in sports cards.You'll Learn:The MLD Framework (Market, Legacy, Design) for valuing any card in 60 secondsThe Rule for Auction vs BIN... and when to break that ruleThe velocity of money principle: fast nickels vs slow dimesHow to identify demand windows and downshiftsSpeculation vs investment: knowing which bucket your cards belong inThe data is clear: sellers using auctions get 14.4% more than Buy It Now listings*. But there's a catch—and it matters for high-value cards. This episode breaks down when to use each strategy, how to ride attention cycles, and why capital that isn't working for you is working against you.Weekly frameworks like this? Subscribe to Comped: a newsletter breaking down card market data every Saturday. Free signup @ Slabnomics.com#sportscards #cardcollecting #investing #slabnomics #ebay #soccercards #auction #cardflipping #MLD #velocityofmoney *"Auctions versus Posted Prices in Online Markets," published by Liran Einav, Chiara Farronato, Jonathan Levin, and Neel Sundaresan. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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37
PSA 9 is Dead. All Hail Gem Mint 10
Is the PSA 9 dead? I dove into the data across three eras (vintage, modern, ultra-modern) and four sports (baseball, basketball, football, soccer) to find out when PSA 9s hold value, and when they're just an expensive failure certificate.The numbers are staggering: PSA created 31 million new 10s since 2020, compared to just 5 million total from 1991-2019. In 2025 alone, 6.5 million new PSA 10s entered the market. When gem rates hit 60-70%, the 9 becomes meaningless.In this episode:Why vintage PSA 9s command massive premiums over rawWhy modern PSA 9s (Luka, Ohtani, Mahomes, Messi) are collapsing to 2x multiples regardless of scarcityWhy Wembanyama has MORE PSA 10s than 9s and what that means for the hobbyThe one number that determines if your PSA 9 has valueActionable advice on when to grade, when to hold 9s, and when to crack and sell rawThe thesis: It's not about the sport. It's not about the player. It's not even about the era. It's about the gem rate. Know your gem rate, Know your market multiplier.Keywords: PSA grading, PSA 9 vs PSA 10, sports card investing, gem rate, card grading strategy, vintage cards, modern cards, Wembanyama, Luka Doncic, Shohei Ohtani, Patrick Mahomes, Lionel Messi, soccer cards, basketball cards, baseball cards, football cards, alternative investments, collectibles market Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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36
A Rising Tide Does NOT Lift All Cards
The market doesn't reward truth, it rewards timing.In this episode of Slabnomics, I break down the concept of DEMAND WINDOWS and why understanding the direction of capital flow is the key to profiting in sports cards in 2026.Key insights from this episode:→ Why "a rising tide lifts all boats" is WRONG for card investing→ The supply absorption capacity concept explained→ Sport-by-sport breakdown: Soccer, Basketball, Football, Baseball, Pokémon→ Why vintage Pokémon acts like bonds in your portfolio→ The "Studs and Duds" strategy for 2026→ My 4-question checklist before ANY purchaseThis episode builds on last week's State of the Hobby data analysis—now with actionable strategies you can implement immediately.📊 THE CHECKLIST (from this episode):1. What tier is this card in?2. What direction is demand flowing in this market?3. Has this tier received capital or is it waiting?4. Am I positioned ahead of the flow or behind it?🔗 CONNECT:Instagram: @slabnomics Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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35
Why Billionaires Are Buying Cards (And What It Means for You)
State of the Hobby 2025Everyone keeps saying this is 2021 again. They're wrong. And if you're positioning like it's 2021, you're going to get hurt. I spent weeks treating the card market like an equity analyst treats a stock: pulling index data, PSA submission numbers from SEC filings, volume metrics by price tier. What I found changed how I'm positioning for 2026. In this episode: THE CORE INSIGHT, THE PSA PROOF, THE DEMAND SHIFT, CATEGORY BREAKDOWN (by sport+Pokemon), THE BILLIONAIRE SIGNAL, MY POSITIONING Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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34
PSA Buys Beckett/The Importance of Sets and Cycles
PSA has officially acquired Beckett, and this is more than breaking news. It’s a structural shift in the sports card market.In this episode of Slabnomics, we break down what the PSA–Beckett acquisition actually means for collectors, investors, and flippers. We zoom out to examine where we are in the market cycle, explain why this moment signals consolidation, and then zoom all the way in to the microeconomics of cards and sets...the containers that ultimately determine long-term value.This episode is designed to help you make better financial decisions in sports cards, not chase headlines.🧠 What You’ll Learn in This Episode🔹 PSA Buying Beckett and Why This Matters🔹 Market Cycles Explained 🔹 Why Consolidation Changes Everything🔹 Sets as Market Containers (Micro View)🔹 Who Wins During Consolidation🔹 What to Avoid 🏆 Key TakeawayUnderstanding where we are in the cycle helps you position ahead of the market instead of reacting after the fact. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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The Future of Sports Cards: Data, AI & Discovery Ft. Tyler ‘TPott’ Nethercott
In this episode of Slabnomics, I’m joined by Tyler “T-Pott” Nethercott: Senior VP of Product at Sports Card Investor and one of the key minds behind the Market Movers app.Tyler walks through his journey from banking, risk analysis, and SAP data projects into building one of the most important sports card data platforms in the hobby. From there, we dive deep into what actually separates successful investors and collectors from everyone else: critical thinking, probability, and good decision-making frameworks.We talk about:The early days of Market Movers, beta testing, and building a massive card databaseWhy critical thinking & problem solving beat “knowing every checklist”Using floor, ceiling, probability, and opportunity cost to guide card buysHow Market Movers thinks about roadmapping, parity vs differentiation, and user feedbackThe future of AI, exploration, and augmented discovery in sports card appsHow to find mispriced opportunities by understanding why certain cards are expensive and applying that logic to overlooked segmentsThe difference between collecting what you like and investing in what others like and will like laterIf you’re serious about sports card investing, want to get smarter with data and tools, or you’re curious how AI might change the way we search for and value cards, this conversation will give you a ton to think about.This episode is for you if:You want to level up from beginner to intermediate (or beyond) in the hobbyYou care about sports cards as an alternative asset classYou want frameworks, not just “buy this card” callsConnect:Follow Tyler on YouTube: @MarketMoversFollow me and Tyler on Instagram: @Slabnomics, #drummondcardcollectorWatch full episodes on YouTube: SlabnomicsIf you enjoyed this episode, please:Follow the show on Spotify or Apple PodcastsShare it with a friend who loves data, tools, and nerdy hobby talkWhether you’re investing or collecting… Keep building. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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Time is Money in Sports Cards
Over the last few episodes, I walked through my first full year of selling sports cards...my wins, my mistakes, and what I learned in buying, selling, and grading. Today is different. This one is slower, more reflective, and honestly one of the most important frameworks I’ve shared: How time actually works in the sports card market.In this episode I cover:Market cycles & engineered scarcityWhy we’re living in an era of engineered scarcityHow Kabooms became the “reserve currency of flippers”Why bull markets push money into SSPs and inserts… until liquidity tightensRisk-on vs risk-off and the flight to safetyWhat happens when geopolitical risk and macro events flip the switchHow smart money quietly rotates out of hype and into safer stores of valueWhy modern parallels get hit first when the music stopsThe three time taxes on every card you buyNarrative decay – media hype, attention, and the slow fade when storylines dieOpportunity cost – what you can’t buy because your money is stuckLiquidity risk – getting trapped in illiquid players, sets, or parallelsVelocity of money vs “being right”Why I’ll take 20% in two weeks over “maybe 100% in six months”When it makes sense to break your own rules and let winners compoundHow to recognize when an investment thesis is dead and it’s time to take the lossUsing your 1,440 minutes like capitalWhy time is your second balance sheet—right next to your cashHow to audit your strengths/weaknesses and build a trading journalThe system I use to log every purchase and sale, and find patterns in my own behaviorBuying back your time with consignmentIf you’ve ever:Sat on a cold prospect hoping “it gets back to what I paid”Felt stuck with cards you don’t love, but don’t want to lose onWondered how to balance time, capital, and attention in this hobby…this episode is meant to be a reset button. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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1 Year of Selling Sports Cards: Grading (Final Part)
We wrap the mini-series with grading—the alchemy of the hobby when used correctly. I share the actual ledger: 1,127+ cards graded, $20K+ in fees/shipping, PSA (525 cards; ~$11.7K) and SGC (602 cards; ~$9.5K), and why I’d only re-submit ~21% (PSA) and ~17% (SGC) today. You’ll get a pre-grading checklist, a tier/upcharge strategy that protects cash flow, and post-mortems on failed CGC→PSA and BGS→PSA arbitrage.You’ll learnWhen a card shouldn’t be graded PSA vs SGC vs BGS vs CGC—where each fits nowHow to choose service tiers Why speed can trump top-end value for flip cycles (compounding ROI)A practical pre-grading system Why most crossovers disappointThe mindset shift: buy raw as if it stays raw; grading is bonus leverage, not a plan Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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1 Year of Selling Sports Cards: Selling (Part 2)
Following Part 1 (buying), this episode breaks down the sell-side of my first year—$98K on eBay—and the exact lessons that moved the needle: how to seed early feedback, how to structure PWE vs. bubble mailer shipping (and when to use non-machinable stamps), the true cost of fees & promoted listings, and a negotiation framework so you stop caving under pressure. We also cover budgets to avoid forced sales, when wax/singles make sense (rarely), and why multi-market selling unlocks faster exits.You’ll learnA clean new-store launch checklist (so the algorithm finds you)Shipping by value: PWE under ~$20; bubble + guards over ~$20Fee math and when your target price needs ~20% headroomBoundaries & focus to raise ASP and reduce time drainA negotiation template (anchor, comps, “happy number,” walk-away)Budgeting to keep control of timing (no panic auctions)Wax vs. singles: patience, demand windows, and why most plays underperformProspecting as a portfolio + buy/sell journalingWhich marketplace fits which card (and why)Key TakeawaysFeedback first → visibility → sales velocityRight shipping method = higher margins + fewer headachesModel fees before listing; price to a happy number and stick to itBudgets protect you from selling at the wrong timeSell where the buyer already is (channel-card fit) Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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1 Year of Selling Sports Cards: Buying (Part 1)
In this opener to my “Year 1” mini-series, I break down everything I learned on the buy-side of the sports-card game—what worked, what wasted money, and how to buy with exits in mind. From the Spain/Messi spark to my first PSA submission (and why it lost), we cover pre-grading, avoiding “rarity for rarity’s sake,” the meaning of liquidity, negotiating bulk discounts, timing buys around seasonal cycles, and using hype as a catalyst—not a crutch.You’ll learnWhy pre-grading and note-keeping beat wishful thinkingHow to identify motivated sellers and structure bulk discountsA clean framework for liquidity-first buying (picture the exit)Seasonality: offseason entries → on-season exitsThe “Sleep On It” rule to avoid impulse buysKey TakeawaysLiquidity beats rarity: buy what you can actually sellSpend $3 on pre-grade to save $22 bad subsBundle to capture extra 10–15% discountSell into visibility; don’t chase the topTrack predictions vs results—process compounds edgeFollow & SupportInstagram: @slabnomicseBay: The_Canary_CardsYouTube: Slabnomics Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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28
The Barcelona Messi Rookie Treasure Hunt
sourcing at the nucleus, grading for ROI, and dodging fakes.I unpack the full playbook from my Barcelona trip to find Messi rookies: why Campió (Catalan) issues matter vs Campeón (Spanish), the true 71 Bis story (third-edition BIS replacement → lower print + set-builder demand), and how Europe’s historic grading friction (pre-PSA EU) created today’s raw opportunity. I walk through Facebook ad targeting (40–55 men), peñas/outreach, euro/Bizum constraints, Spain-specific negotiation dynamics, and a fake-spotting checklist (stock, color, honeycomb, album lines). Final haul: 30 Messi rookies; 21 submitted to PSA with conservative grade bands and clear ROI math. Four raws sold in 24 hours—why liquidity + velocity matter more than perfection.What you’ll learnMessi rookie taxonomy: Campió vs Campeón, Mundicromo, Mega Cracks 71 BisWhy 71 Bis commands a premium (edition logic + set behavior)Field-tested fake detection & condition cheats (71 Bis vertical lines, Mundicromo centering, Barca edge flaking)PSA EU tailwinds & raw-to-graded arbitrage mathFacebook customer-gen for vintage holders (copy, images, ranges)Negotiating in Spain: firm anchoring, when to walk, bulk structuringCash, euros & Bizum realities for high-ticket dealsResults: what I bought, what I passed on, expected grades, grading cost stack, quick flipsTimestamps 00:00 Thesis & timing 06:05 Rookie map (Campió/Campeón/Mundicromo/71 Bis) 13:10 Grading friction → opportunity 16:20 Lead gen (FB ads, peñas, kiosks, radio) 22:28 Payments, euros, Bizum limits 29:40 Negotiations that work in Spain 34:18 Fake-spotting checklist 43:15 Purchase breakdown & PSA plan 49:30 Fast flips, velocity, and next stepsLinks / Mentions – Shoutouts: Albert Pastor, Sebas (@gradingclub), Hooked on Soccer Cards, Sacc Cards – Follow: @slabnomics • eBay: The_Canary_Cards Messi rookie, Mega Cracks 71 Bis, Campió, Campeón, Mundicromo, PSA grading, soccer cards, Barcelona, sports card investing, raw to graded, card flipping, population counts, fake detection, Facebook ads, World Cup 2026.Hashtags #Messi #SoccerCards #MegaCracks #PSA #CardInvesting #Barcelona #Slabnomics Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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Why This World Cup is Different Ft. SACC Cards
Welcome to Slabnomics, where we help sports card enthusiasts make better financial decisions about sports cards.In this episode, host Matthew Worley sits down with Anthony from @Sacccards to talk about the soccer card market - Why this world cup is different from the last one held in America in 1994, what changes he sees as a coach and consultant for youth soccer, and how that meshes with his love of soccer card collecting.They dive into:The pulse of the 2025 sports-card marketCurrent misconceptionsHow this may be a black swan moment for the soccer card industryHow far can USA go?A suprising prediction for the winner.🎧 Listen wherever you get your podcasts: Spotify | Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Buzzsprout💬 Join the discussion: Instagram → @slabnomics Guest → @sacccards#SportsCards #CardInvesting #Slabnomics #Sacccards #PSA #CardShows #SportsCardMarket #Collecting #Investing #HobbyTalk #TradingCards #SportsCardPodcast Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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26
How Top Sellers Win in Sports Cards Ft. Trike Cards
We get tactical on where to sell (COMC/eBay/shows), how to negotiate, when grading pays, and building a seller’s system that wins in any market. Themes: liquidity > hype, plan the exit, cut losses, protect reputation.Highlights:COMC flow vs. liquidity: when “no work” wins, when it doesn’tNegotiation that converts (and why “what’s your best?” kills deals)PSA strategy, turnaround math, and stacking velocityRarity vs. demand: why some “rare” cards don’t moveTiming catalysts (World Cup, case hits) and set premiums (Prizm/Flawless)The seller’s checklist: downside, upside, plan, buyer profile, exitGuest: Trike Cards (IG@TrikeCards/Ebay: trikecards/YT:TRIKE Sports Cards) Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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Liquidity 101: When To Get Out of Sports Cards
In this episode of Slabnomics, host Matt Worley breaks down one of the most misunderstood concepts in the hobby — liquidity — and why it separates collectors who profit from those who get stuck holding bags.You’ll learn how market velocity, price discovery, and consolidation cycles drive card prices across every tier — from high-end grails to $20 slabs — and why understanding liquidity is the ultimate advantage for sports-card investors.Matt explains how sales velocity, buyer pools, and timing exits determine whether your portfolio compounds or stalls, drawing parallels between the card market and financial market theory. If you’ve ever wondered when to sell, when to hold, and why the whales always move first, this episode is your blueprint.Whether you trade soccer cards, football cards, basketball cards, or baseball cards, Slabnomics teaches you how to think like a market operator — not a speculator.👉 Topics Covered:What liquidity really means in sports cardsHow high-end sales spark mid-tier and low-end market movementThe link between sales velocity and compound returnsWhy consolidation is a natural part of every collector’s journeyFrameworks for smarter buying and faster selling🎧 Listen to Slabnomics — where collecting meets investing and market theory for the modern hobbyist. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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24
How to Understand Changing Markets Ft. Ryan Alford
On this episode of Slabnomics, Matt sits down with Ryan Alford — serial entrepreneur, marketing titan, and host of “Right About Now” and the new “Trading Cards & Collectibles” podcast — to talk hobby growth, storytelling, and where the market is headed next.🔑 What you’ll learn• How a Walmart pack rip with his four sons pulled Ryan back into the hobby• The attention economy: why “document, don’t overproduce” wins on YouTube/shorts• Collecting vs. investing: intention, PC boxes, and building value on purpose• Blue-ocean opportunities in storytelling (beyond comps and breaks)• 12–24 month outlook: Fanatics/Topps vs. Panini licensing impacts on football, basketball, baseball (and how marketing changes demand)• Teaching kids business through cards: e-commerce, content, and flipping fundamentals🧩 Episode highlights• Nostalgia + new money + family time = hobby tailwinds• The real role of attention (and why the least-expected videos often pop)• Why storytellers (not just breakers) will win the next wave• Market structure matters: licensing, autographs, and league alignment• Collect first, profit second — how to keep both lanes healthy⏱️ CHAPTERS0:00 Intro — who is Ryan Alford0:54 Back into cards via a Walmart rip (family story)3:21 First big hits 5:00 Why it clicked now for the kids + business lessons8:19 Macro tailwinds & mainstream attention10:39 NFL chat + fandom11:51 The attention economy explained (smartphone + 5G + platforms)15:24 Creator reality: what actually breaks through15:59 Why launch a hobby podcast (access + audience)18:56 Authenticity over perfection21:55 Storytelling as blue ocean in the hobby24:49 Identity and collecting26:56 Collecting vs. investing (intention matters)31:28 Business lens: treating cards like a market you love31:43 The next 1–2 years: Fanatics/Topps vs. Panini35:49 Consumer outcomes & bigger players entering36:42 Marketing: why Fanatics changes the game37:58 Wrap + takeaways38:25 Where to find Ryan38:55 Sign-off👤 GuestRyan Alford — @RyanAlford • RyanAlford.comPodcasts: “Right About Now” (marketing/business) • “Trading Cards & Collectibles Podcast”🎙️ HostMatt (Slabnomics) — slabnomics.com • @Slabnomics across platforms👇 Join the conversationWhat’s your best family pack-rip memory — and are you collecting or investing this season (or both)? Drop it below and tell us why.👍 If this helped: like, subscribe, and hit the bell.🗞️ Get the Slabnomics newsletter: slabnomics.com🎧 Listen on Apple/Spotify: search “Slabnomics” Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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23
🚨Huge New Comp, Bubbles, and a Cheatsheet on 2014 Prizm Pricing
Slabnomics is here to help sports card enthusiasts make better financial decisions.In this practical, numbers-first workshop, Matt breaks down how to evaluate cards using real comps, pop data, and market velocity—through the lens of the foundational 2014 Panini World Cup Prizm set. We compare soccer vs. football Prizm set values, dissect the Messi/Ronaldo “Matchups” grails, and map how domino sales (Fanatics Collect, eBay, Goldin) become forward indicators for the next leg up.What you’ll learnSet-level valuation: Why 2014 WC Prizm’s total auction value outpaces 2012 Prizm Football—and what a “top-heavy” soccer market really means.Card-level pricing logic: How silver, blue, red, and unnumbered Pulsars behave across Messi, Ronaldo, and Matchups—including why Matchups silvers command a monster premium.Population + rarity effects: How PSA pop growth (e.g., Messi silver 10s 21 → 39) changes pricing power and where scarcity still bites (e.g., Matchups red /149 with ~12% gem rate).Forecasting with comps: Using anchor comps (2020–2022) + soccer index levels to normalize time periods and project next sales (e.g., Messi Silver PSA 10, Matchups PSA 10s).Bubbles vs. tailwinds: Why today’s run-up is not COVID 2.0—and how World Cup demand + Fanatics era liquidity filter down from whales to the rest of the market.Practical buy/sell timing: Which signals to watch (domino auctions, pop stability, color-match premiums) and why liquidity windows beat “top-tick” fantasies.Chapters00:00 Intro: Why a practical valuation workshop 02:10 How to navigate PSA set pages to assess full-set value 05:12 2014 WC Prizm vs 2012 Prizm Football (total auction value shocker) 08:30 Building the Messi/Ronaldo/Matchups spreadsheet (silvers, blues, reds, Pulsars) 14:20 Silver PSA 10s: $34k Matchups vs $17k Messi vs $7.2k Ronaldo (timing-adjusted) 19:45 Pop growth & rarity: why some 2021 comps look “off” (and how to normalize) 24:10 Live indicators: Fanatics Collect Messi Silver 10; Goldin Matchups silver/red 30:05 Bubble talk vs sector tailwinds (World Cup, Fanatics, whales → mid-tier) 36:20 Playbook: spotting the next domino and managing exits 41:30 Recap + where Slabnomics is taking this (site + tools)Tools & sources referencedPSA population + set pages for total auction valueCard Ladder index levels for time normalizationFanatics Collect / Goldin / eBay for live compsGemRate for pop-growth contextWho this is forCollectors and investors who want data-driven conviction on soccer’s flagship set; anyone deciding between holding grails vs. compounding velocity in the Fanatics era.Call to actionJoin the Slabnomics waitlist for the spreadsheet + ongoing dashboards: Slabnomics.comSubscribe for surprise drops and follow-up comp breakdownsInstagram: @slabnomics 2014 Panini Prizm World Cup, Messi Ronaldo Matchups, Messi Silver PSA 10, Ronaldo Silver PSA 10, 2012 Prizm Football set value, PSA population report, GemRate pop growth, Card Ladder index, Fanatics Collect auction, Goldin Auctions, soccer card market 2025, monetary velocity cards, color-match premium, numbered parallels, Pulsar / Blue / Red Prizm. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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22
Creating Hobby Content: Behind the Scenes Ft. Stockn_trade
In this episode of Slabnomics, Matt sits down with Raul Bustamante — better known as Stockn_Trade on Instagram — to talk about sports cards, content creation, and the evolving market. Raul shares how his background as an actor helped him bring authenticity and humor into the hobby, why being yourself always wins against the algorithm, and how he went from collecting baseball and basketball to diving headfirst into soccer cards.We explore:Raul’s content journey, from COVID hobbyist to one of Instagram’s most creative voices in the card world.The importance of authenticity in content and collecting, and why younger audiences spot fakes instantly.The rise of soccer cards, Erling Haaland’s “Shaquille O’Neal effect,” and how market cycles around the World Cup create unique buying and selling opportunities.Insights into the delicate ecosystem of the hobby — collectors, flippers, breakers, and repacks all playing vital roles.Why timing, liquidity, and strategy matter more than hype when navigating card markets across sports.If you’re a collector, flipper, or creator looking to grow in the hobby, this episode is packed with lessons on authenticity, market cycles, and building content that resonates.👉 Follow Raul on Instagram & TikTok: @stockn_trade 👉 Subscribe for more episodes of Slabnomics covering sports cards, investing, and market psychology.sports cards podcast, soccer cards, Erling Haaland cards, Messi rookie, sports card investing, content creation tips, Instagram sports card creators, StockN_Trade interview, card market cycles, World Cup card investing, Raul Bustamante Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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21
Elite Collecting Moves Ft. RodmanPC
How Scarcity, Timing, and Community Built an Elite Sports Card CollectionRigorous, candid, and collector-first. In this Slabnomics episode, Matt sits down with RodmanPC—a Honduras-based super-collector with one of the strongest Lionel Messi collections in the world—to break down how he pivoted from Michael Jordan 90s inserts to modern soccer grails. We cover the realities of collecting internationally (ShipMyCards, Card Hobby storage), building trust for private deals, and why consolidation into true grails beats stacking mid-tier slabs.You’ll hear how Rodman mapped Jordan’s market structure (BGS 9.5, 90s inserts) onto Messi’s ecosystem (Topps Chrome Gold /50, Red /10, Superfractors 1/1, and ultra-scarce Barcelona game-used patch autos), and why scarcity + global demand make Messi’s top cards structurally different from high-pop Jordan rookies. We also dig into market cycles—why he prefers bear markets, how to time buys around the World Cup 2026 window, and why educated capital is holding, not dumping.What you’ll learnHow an international collector builds reputation and executes big deals despite logisticsThe exact pivots from Jordan to Messi: scarcity, print runs, and category leadershipWhen to buy/sell around major events (“buy the rumor, sell the news”)Why small group chats and community intel create real edgeThe case for consolidation: 10–50 slabs → 1 grailKey topics Messi cards, Barcelona game-used patch autos, Topps Chrome Gold/Red/Superfractor, Mega Cracks vs 1986 Fleer pop math, private transactions, ShipMyCards, Card Hobby, Chris McGill (HOJ) stories, price discovery, Fanatics Fest, World Cup 2026 effects, timing cycles after NFL/NBA seasons.Chapters 00:00 Intro & Honduras collector reality 02:00 Logistics: ShipMyCards, Card Hobby, bulk shipping 03:30 Community edge: group chats, private deals, HOJ story 10:30 Pivot: Jordan → Messi (scarcity framework) 18:30 Market structure: Golds, Reds, 1/1s, game-used patches 19:50 Cycles: spikes, dips, and auction dynamics 29:30 Playbook: consolidation and World Cup timingIf you enjoy data-driven card strategy—subscribe and share this with a collector who's not afraid to make moves. lionel messi cards, messi superfractor, barcelona patch auto, mega cracks 2004, michael jordan inserts, bgs 9.5, prism gold, prism blue color match, soccer card market, world cup 2026, fanatics fest, private deals sports cards, shipmycards, card hobby, slabnomics Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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20
Investing vs. Collecting Ft. Jeremy Lee of Sports Cards Live
Welcome to another episode of Slabnomics, where sports cards meet finance, collecting, and market theory. Today’s special guest is Jeremy Lee, host of Sports Cards Live and one of the most respected voices in the hobby. With thousands of hours of content logged, Jeremy brings unmatched insight into how collectors balance passion with financial decisions.In this conversation, we cover:How to think about sports cards as an alternative asset classThe balance between collecting vs investing (and why intention matters)Jeremy’s concept of “flight collecting” vs traditional set collectingThe pitfalls of grading companies, PSA 9 vs PSA 10 premiums, and why eye appeal matters more than the labelLessons from 45+ years in the hobby, from vintage Grails to modern hype cyclesFrameworks for diversification, liquidity, and timing your exitsWhether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting your collection, this episode will give you practical frameworks to make smarter financial decisions in the sports card market—without losing the joy of collecting.🔔 Subscribe for more conversations on sports card investing, market cycles, and collector psychology. 📈 Follow Slabnomics on Instagram: @slabnomics 🎙 Listen on Spotify & Apple Podcasts: Slabnomics 📺 Jeremy Lee: Sports Cards Live on YouTube | Instagram @jlee_sportscardslive#SportsCards #Slabnomics #JeremyLee #CardCollecting #PSA #Investing #SportsCardMarket #CardLadder #AlternativeAssets #SportsCardInvesting Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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19
Explaining Alpha and the 82.5% Gain in Soccer Card Market
Solo Pod - Slabnomics helps sports card enthusiasts make better financial decisions.Is soccer’s card market in a real bull run—or just riding a rising tide? In this Slabnomics episode, Matt breaks down alpha vs. index returns, shows how to use CardLadder indices as a benchmark, and dissects why soccer is outpacing other sports. We compare Messi 71 BIS and Ronaldo 2002 Mega Craques rookies, first-year Kabooms (2017 Messi/Ronaldo vs. 2013 LeBron/Kobe), population counts, comps, and price discovery in an illiquid market.What you’ll learnHow to measure alpha: CL50 vs. sport-specific indexes (soccer vs. baseball/football).Why World Cup 2026, Fanatics’ marketing, and cultural momentum matter for soccer cards.Using indexes to avoid self-congratulation in a bull market.How to sanity-check comps, spot pump-y prints, and triangulate value (supply, demand, pops).Deep dives: Messi 71 BIS (PSA 10) run-up; Ronaldo Mega Craques (PSA 10) price discovery; 2017 Kaboom Messi/Ronaldo vs. 2013 LeBron/Kobe.Why liquidity concentrates at the top (GOATs) and what that means for risk/reward.Follow & share If this helped you think more clearly about soccer cards, share it with a friend and hit Subscribe. IG: @slabnomics Disclaimer: Educational content only. Not financial advice.TAGS / Keywords: soccer cards, Messi 71 BIS, Ronaldo 2002 Mega Craques, kaboom Messi, kaboom Ronaldo, kaboom LeBron, kaboom Kobe, CardLadder index, CL50, sports card investing, price discovery, population report, PSA 10, BGS 9.5, comps, World Cup 2026, Fanatics, Tom Brady hobby, emerging markets, liquidity, alpha vs betaHashtags #SoccerCards #SportsCards #Messi #Ronaldo #Kaboom #PSA10 #CardLadder #WorldCup2026 #SportsCardInvesting #Alpha #PriceDiscovery #FanaticsWeekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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18
Compounding Secrets Every Card Collector Misses Ft. @Iowa_Dave_Sportscards
Ft. Dave Schwartz (@Iowa_dave_sportscards), Host of the Shallow End Podcast.🎙️ Slabnomics helps sports card enthusiasts make smarter financial decisions. In this episode with Iowa Dave, we explore how compounding knowledge builds like compounding money, why failures are tuition, and how to stick to an investment thesis so you don’t miss the next Shohei Ohtani, but maybe more potently so you don't lose joy in what you do. Keywords: sports card investing, sports card financial lessons, card collector investing tips, compounding secrets sports cards, compound interest explained #CompoundingSecrets #CardCollector #SportsCardInvesting #Slabnomics #SportsCards #CollectingTips #SportsCardPodcast #FinancialDecisions Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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17
Scouting Card Prospects Ft. Cajun Cardboard
Don't forget to like and subscribe, it helps the channel tons! 🐤In this episode of Slabnomics, host Matthew Worley sits down with Cajun Cardboard (Bryan Denison) to talk about his incredible journey through the sports card hobby. From flipping raw Giannis Antetokounmpo Prizm rookies and Luka Dončić cards to building one of the most respected collections of Michael Jordan inserts, Bryan shares hard-earned lessons on consistency, strategy, and long-term collecting.We dive into:*Why consistency in content has fueled Cajun Cardboard’s YouTube growth *Market cycles, liquidity windows, and how new money from breakers and repacks is reshaping the hobby.*Why only “one-name players” (Luka, Tatum, Cade, Messi, Ronaldo) truly sustain card value.*Card Scouting for the best player on their team only*Matt's Soccer Mount Rushmore that will enrage 3.5 Billion peopleWhether you’re a collector, investor, or soccer card speculator, this conversation offers both caution and opportunity. Learn why Michael Jordan inserts remain bulletproof, why Messi’s 2014 Prizm Gold PSA 10 may be the “Mickey Mantle of soccer,” and how to think about timing, liquidity, and legacy in today’s market.Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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16
Flipping Fundamentals Ft. Ryan from Cardboard Profit
-Ryan Sever, Author of Cardboard Profit is on to talk about investment opportunites and strategies in sports cards.-Time>Money spectrum-Fast nickels-Anchor biases and falling knivesWeekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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15
Slabnomics Deep Dive: How to Value Messi With Brady
Slabnomics: The intersection of collecting investment and market theory for sports cards. -Market Inefficiencies & Conviction - Cross-Market Comparisons How do we use Tom Brady's sports card market to evaluate Messi's for cards with old comps?- Liquidity, Scarcity, and Pricing Power - Valuation Convergence & Mispricing - Using Outcomes and Catalysts.Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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14
What it Takes to Build a Marketplace Ft. Mark Hill of MyCardPost
What does it take to build a business in the sports card world? Hear Mark's story on one of the most daunting undertakings in any industry: building a marketplace. Mark recounts the journey of MyCardPost, what it took to start, build, and scale a Fee-free app with 14k members and over $3.4M in deals done.Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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13
5 Selling Secrets
Practical Buying/Selling tips from the National and SoCoExpo.These will help you be better on both sides of the table.Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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12
A Sports Card Stream of Consciousness
Talking about The National, The Soco Expo, Making your own luck through preparedness, and market trends and evolutions. Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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11
House of CardLadder Ft. Chris Mcgill
Welcoming on Chris Mcgill (@Chris_HOJ) to talk OG sports card podcasting in 2018 with House of Jordans, the origin story of Card Ladder, how to become a podcasting data analyst music producer CEO.We discuss the team at Card Ladder, Underused Tools, Market Dynamics and philosophies, and a peak behind the podcasting curtain.Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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10
Easter Egg Episode: Reverse Mailbag
Bonus episode of Slabnomics with questions for you to choose from. Questions center around strategy, buying, selling, and brand.Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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9
Breaking Bank: How Essential are Velocity and Liquidity?
A solo show highlighting money velocity, liquidity, risk, greed, and how to apply mental models in the intersection of sports card collecting, investment, and market theory.Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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8
Data Mining and Practical Takeaways Ft. Gemrate
Ryan, Founder of Gemrate is on to talk graders, the direction of the hobby, and hidden opportunities.Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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7
My Story: How I Got Here
Learn from my mistakes entering the hobby...hear about how I got here and where I'm going.Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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6
Using Psychology For Better Sports Cards Decisions
-a word on Biases and Habits-5 Biases to avoid-4 Psychology plays to profit from-Buying in offseason the life hack to stay logical?Weekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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5
The Sleeping Soccer Storm Ft. Scott @thesocoexpo
-First interview for Slabnomics featuring Scott, cofounder of the Soco Expo @thesocoexpo: THE sports card show for Soccer enthusiasts.-What's the soccer market look like and what can we expect from the World Cup?-How does one even start something like this?and moreWeekly Newsletter Signup: Slabnomics.com🎥Youtube📸Instagram
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