The Long Hill Report

Our March meeting and a lot of history is going on. The US started a war, and it started it with a murder. We are at war at the behest of another country.Fill that tank up quickly as the prices are rising at the barrel and the pump.It’s a war we did not have to do.Mike loves the Dow, and why shouldn’t he as it’s always up…or was.Now it’s down. The cause, we all know.On the Long Hill Report, Conversations with, we are basically a discussion of the previous month, and it was not bad, considering that February is usually kind of a downer.February saw the first Dow close over 50,000 (and maybe the last).All cancelled now!How will it all end. Will it be our biggest victory since Grenada. Will there be a big victory in Iran parade.The administration does not have a long attention span.Mike was able to come up with some history that’s not to bad. March does have big swings, as we are seeing.And so we had some back and forth, Mike had a chance to go down in history and blew it.Next month, we will have more gallows humor.

Bitcoin dives, gold and silver slide.The Armada goes to Iran, not to close. The Armada in historymight not be the term he wants.Trump and hyperbole is getting old. Does not sound sane. Isit 25th Amendment time?Should we have done it to Biden.As to the market, January was great, with four highs. What is the Dow at this point. It ain’t the old days.Inflation is not good, employment is problematic.See ya next month.

Lotsa news. Maduro seized...constitutional? Trump want Greenland. Senator Tillis... it's nuts.But markets doing well as Mike knows but can't explain, but gives it a try.Watch out for the mid-terms.Oil price not moving.Touch and go, we had the Santa Claus Rally.Yard sale coming at the White House per Mike.Interest rates coming down. Venezuela has highest.Inflation confusing as reports old.Be positive make money.Mike looks at financials and employment.see ya next month.

Dow at another high, Mike happy. Dow of course ain’t what it used to be.¼ point down, with Powell blaming the tariffs for anything bad, self-serving and dig at Trump.Who can figure him out.12 Billion Farm bill.Big manufacturing boom?Won’t miss all the independent agencies.November is historically best month, this year not shabby.December is 2nd best historically, and looking for Santa Claus rally. let’s watch.Mikes okay with the year.On to looking at technicals, Major News, Interest Rates and other news.

October the middler usually in performance, the worst month ever was the crash of ’87. This year surprisingly, it was up. This October saw 7 all time highs.Richard did not pull his usual downer. Bitcoin really dived. Mike’s analogy is Bitcoin is the name brand like Kleenex, so the other cryptos are less than.Mike likes the leading indicators, but not perfect instruments.Too early for next year predictions.and Much more.

Richard dishonorably sandbags Mike with a chart (courtesy ofMTS Observer) that shows where gold vs. the dollar has been going. Mike holdshis own in the discussion, but neither budges.Mike is sticking with the stock market, and for the averageman or woman, that probably is all there is.Mike and I review the usual monthy stuff.

Honeymoon at Graveside Manor is the next production at Pasture Prime Players. Stephanie Seymour will be a first time director. The Pasture Prime Players are not averse to doing the macabre in a fun way. This is Stephanie Seymour’s first directorial outing. Horror writers wants to write his story at a former funeral home on a honeymoon. Steph is here to excite you about the production.

John Small is with us to bring to life the lighthouse and its place in the maritime history here in Massachusetts and the U.S. He is the author of The Small Family Legacy: A Journey of Ingenuity, Sea and Story.The Smalls, on Cape Cod, provided the land and personnel for the early light on the far Cape.In 1786, Congress appropriated the money and the light was built on the Small’s land in 1796.John goes into depth explaining the operational history of the light house which was, early on, family history.The Smalls would interact with a famous American man of letters, Henry David Thoreau.The land was always shifting which John speaks to.The work was boring, except when it wasn’t with storms and wrecks. Was it haunted?In these latter days, the light is automated. John will be coming out with a children’s book on the theme of a lighthouse with a mouse family,

We open with “Free Ghislaine” if no crimes were committed.Things have changed, and it now seems to be the Biden-Trumpadministration.Fed meeting, not yet for change, but discussion.Tariffs still going back and forth. Stock market does not like‘em. Market is afraid of rising prices.Some people like upheaval.Junes have been good last two years. Odd Junes have seengood months for many years.Mike is not cursing Trump. Wait to next month.Nothing spectacular as regards technical and inflation and leadingeconomic indicators. Same on jobless and employment.

Mike is a bit changed since last month when he was ok with the Donald. He is a little more questioning this month. "He's going to accomplish nothing? Otherwise, not bad. Indicators mostly okay.

Wells Jones is back to take up the story of A Line in the Sand. The Seeds of Hope Campers maintain there are people who do their best to stay true to ideals in a complex world. Seeds of Peace is the name of the camp that is given a different name in the book. The response to 911 and its ramifications that Wells met up with in his travels are heartfelt.Can we get A Line in the Sand to Broadway. Progress is being made in a different name.Where will it open?Wells is headed to Havana for the nest book. Much research and time to go down.Ending up with Marcus Aurelius and stoicism as a noble example.

In a special edition of the Long Hill Report, Mr. WellsJones appeared in the studio via Zoom, which was departure for us, and trulyworth it.Mr. Jones came to speak with us about an adventurous talehe and a mate, Miles Spencer, contemplated an adventure, embarked on it, turnedit into a book. The book, being an adventure that actually had to be trainedfor.The two men would retrace the steps of Lawrence ofArabia, camels and all. But first it was the Running of the Bills in Pamplona.Talk about going all out!The book, A Line In The Sand was the result. It isavailable in paperback, audiobook and kindle. I listened to the audiobook twiceand it was more than worth it. The narrator, Edoardo Ballerini, did a greatjob.Please enjoy Part I of Wells Jones and A Line In The Sandinterview. 

We began by noting that neither Mike nor I was elevated to the Papacy on this election day.As the market indices rise, Michael is not as morose as he was last month. He is more hopeful about the Donald.What a difference a month makes.My take: Trump is wild, abrasive, bombastic, but not crazy. He said he beat the Houthis, but they beat him. He knows it and just got the ships out of the way. In the MSM not even his enemies are calling it a defeat.Gus is more confident than moi at this point. No cut? Why, economy okay, unemployment okay…per Mike. Futures market says cut not yet and not in June. Remember Reaganomics as insult until it became a compliment…now, we shall see.The unwashed are under water.It is still a world where you get into your company’s 401K while young is the way to go.April usually best month as that, but not this year.Mike reports the rest of month, so that all in all okay, but not perfect.

On May 8th, we were lucky to have a young gentleman come into the studio for an episode of the Long Hill Report.Gregory, or Greg Downie is a student at Bay Path Regional Vocational Technical High School in Charlton where I am employed casually. He is a serious young man. So, when he asked to come on, we were happy to have him.His origin story is in itself interesting, as is his knowledge about his two countries.We began talking about his origin.His dad is from Beaver Falls, Pennsylvania, and mom was Romanian from the late days of Nicolae Ceaușescu, who was dictator.Greg was born there after the regime ended, and his mom had stories of the period when the country suffered as utilities cut out because the dictator had to repay loans and the regime could not afford to keep the lights on…literally.He discusses the education system, and his and his mom’s experience with it.Ceausescu was murdered, but there were some mixed feelings.Greg commented on the current politics in Romania and how Călin Georgescu was cheated in an election.Gregory also commented about his dad’s religious journey, which led to his becoming an Orthodox priest and eventually meeting his mom.He was well aware of the unique aspect of the Romanian language in the middle of a Slavic sea. He knows of the long history of his ancestral nation.Greg has an interest in history in general and spoke of the life and death of General Patton. Also, he spoke of the Kennedy assassination, which is much in the news lately. His interest is wide.

We began by noting that neither Mike nor I was elevated to the Papacy on this election day.As the market indices rise, Michael is not as morose as he was last month. He is more hopeful about the Donald.What a difference a month makes.My take: Trump is wild, abrasive, bombastic, but not crazy. He said he beat the Houthis, but they beat him. He knows it and just got the ships out of the way. In the MSM not even his enemies are calling it a defeat.Gus is more confident than moi at this point. No cut? Why, economy okay, unemployment okay…per Mike. Futures market says cut not yet and not in June. Remember Reaganomics as insult until it became a compliment…now, we shall see.The unwashed are under water.It is still a world where you get into your company’s 401K while young is the way to go.April usually best month as that, but not this year.Mike reports the rest of month, so that all in all okay, but not perfect.

Conversations With Mike Carnevale April, 2025 2025For the first ten minutes, it was a discussion on the Trump’s tariffs. Mike does not think they are a good idea at all. Richard is of the opinion that the jury is out on this.Mike and I have been meeting for a few years and for most of them, the Turkish Central Bank would raise rates each month would raise rates. They were well into double digits with inflation at high levels. So what’s going in Turkey now? Erdoğan is facing riots. Is this the result of his policies? Who knows, but it may be just more or our dictum, everything eventually reduces to its absurd.The Month:March has been good the last few years, down this one. Worst first quarter since 2022. Last year, a plethora of all time highs, none this year. People with money in money market funds happy.Surprise; yield curve positive. Looking forward to April, best month, but there is “some work to do.”Tech indicators help, but not too much.Tariffs?And more.

We opened with the finding that migrants are not angels and Mass. Gov. Maura Healey is embarrassed that one infiltrated the shelter system with an AR-15 some fentanyl. Her trying to clean it up was like the arsonist deciding it might be time to seek help from the Fire Station.   Gus and I disagree with a tad of passion as to the necessity and form new housing should take in the Commonwealth where everything is done right…or not.   Is there a “we”? We disagree.   Watched Biden’s farewell. A horrible experience I did for the audience. You’re welcome.   Circulation of elites and the modern elites.   California burning, could it happen in forested Nova Anglia?   Insurance should be respected and gamed.   Carter funeral, some comedy. Carter’s collusion with Brzezinski led to no good in history.   Oligarchy on full display at the funeral.   Discussed John Kiriakou’s account Obama’s promise.   Cut out the inauguration and just have the new guy sign and have no long interim.

The December Long Hill Report is a bit late in that we missed the biggest story, the fall of Syria. There is a small discussion later in the episode. We did some bombing using warthog planes to support the insurgency. No good can come of that.   Another story we did cover is how your host blew it. He could have become fantastically rich by betting on a sure thing. We all knew Joe Biden was going to pardon his son despite promises not to. Had I placed everything on that, The Long Hill Report would be saying au revoir.   In pardoning the kid for everything since 2014, Joe was more or less pardoning himself.   Gus explores Chinese history and sees a reflection to our current situation. A discussion ensued about imperial history, ours and the world’s.   Bitcoin hits 100g. Is it real?   Discussion about money ensued. Gresham’s law was investigated.   So, Syria again and our support of the anti-democratic revolution in Georgia.   Out to lunch Joe is not really president.   Blowback is a bitch.   Fellow looks at my book at the farmers’ market and I tell him it’s about American foreign policy from a neutralist point of view. He replies the US can’t survive as a neutralist country. Basically, he was saying we have to steal the natural resources from Russia. Gus and I get into it.   Gus doesn’t like censorship, so we ended the show    

The election happened and the world did not end. Will DJT clean house? Who knows? He will have to make an effort to be more ridiculous than the current administration that welcomed the warmongering neocons into their bosom. Put Brian Hook, a war guy, on State Dept. transition. Election of 2020 had a big weird spike that brings its sanctity into question. NPR ran a non-stop commercial for Harris. NPR should charge the Dems and pay the taxpayer. The state is deep. The plethora of war criminals Can Trump bring off peace? Good luck. January 21, Trump is a lame duck and has freedom to do what he wants. And much more.

There will be no dock strike, and that’s good as Gina Raimondo was not aware one way or the other.   Maybe, someone is on team reality as Ben Rhodes is for abandoning primacy, Jake Sullivan may be too.   Eric Weinstein wonders who is our president? Excellent question. Maybe even the man holding the office wonders that?   The stationery aircraft carrier?   Post WWII, the Brits just bugged out everywhere. Colonialism is, in the end, a waste of time.   Control of the Global South is coming a cropper.   Closing of the gold window changed things.   Stein’s Law: "If something cannot go on forever, it will stop."   Question is, how and when?   And, much more.

The following is on her website:   “She will fight to close corporate tax loopholes that allow corporations to avoid paying billions of dollars in taxes.”   No corporation ever pays one cent in taxes no matter the percentage. All corporate income taxes are, in essence sales taxes.   Hello Paula,   I shall be attending the premier of the horror movie Scary Tales: Dark Walker this Saturday evening at the Holyoke Knights of Columbus.   I shall review and submit it to you.   It would be nice to know if you intend to run it.   Richard   Nadia Milleron is an independent running for Congress in the First Massachusetts Congressional District against Richie Neal.   She has an interesting history as an activist not the least in opposing Boeings failures that led to her daughter's death in a crash in Ethiopia. Her efforts were courageous and tenacious and not without success. In her work, Mr. Neal was less than helpful in the national legislature.   She spoke of her efforts to support domestic manufacturing with trade barriers. Offshored medications have some dangers, so this is important for people in this country.   Each administration has its problems. Citizens need to hold elected official to account.   She spoke to General Electric's pollution and Richard Neal was not stalwart on that issue while supporting foreign wars. Neal is well funded by certain corporate interests.   She addressed the shortage of doctors. There is a bill to increase number of doctors and Richie is absent. Nadia acknowledges we can't afford the wars, and noted FEMA’s failure in the recent hurricane while wasting money on wars. She makes case that we need to grow more food here. It was a wide ranging discussion and we wish Nadia success.

We started with the "Baring of the Fangs." Censorship is coming on heavy from the "progressives." Right to protest? Gaza in this country? October 7 as Tet? Hannibal Directive. Media hypocrisy? Merrick Garland outs himself as a fascist and he could have been a supreme court justice. And much more.

Trump shooting the biggest world historic event this year. More than one shooter? Can't be ruled out. Only reason to vote for Trump, would he clean house at the FBI. What would be the result if Trump had been killed? State actor? big Question. I have said nice things about Putin, Why hasn't he paid me. Scott Ritter, Tulsi Gabbard, Jill Stein being harassed. Why did Liz not go to Netanyahu, but went to Zelensky. Neocons and eternal war, and much more.

The debate debacle. A mass epiphany Biden not a genius, neither is Joe Scarborough. Is it something in the name Joe. Did US personnel get killed manning Uke Himars? Maybe 35? Houthis getting more adept. Peak oil is back, what can we do? Biggest oil waste is the military. Unsanity is the condition of the American bureaucrat.

Trump is guilty. Is it for ripping the band aid off the flesh of the system.   Trump is no gentleman, but he is the villain and among the cool kids lawfare is okay.   The other side, Hillary and the girls, Obama, just the other tribe.   ACA   The system is ridiculous and will continue.   Foreign Policy not understood and probably can’t be by the masses.   Which is why I came up with an electoral reform, actually THE electoral reform that, sadly, is going nowhere.   Does Europe do it better? I’m glad we have oceans on both sides.   The Eisenhower got hit, story is buried. Surface ships are so vulnerable.   Gus references a Greer book as to how at risk the navy.   The rise of the unsane.   The election is a joke in a one-party state.   Big question, which one won’t start nuclear war.   In the Middle East neither candidate is a peace guy.   Foreign power buys the election and it is not Russia.   Anniversary of D Day and why not bring the Russians and Ukrainians to the celebration?   And, much more.  

Anti-Semitic Awareness Act is up to date McCarthyism according to Gus? Police riot at UCLA? Demos back in the 60s, establishment more sympathetic to demonstrators. Judaism and Zionism, are they conflated? A bit of history in how we got to today. Was it justified? Certainly understandable. The Iranians showed the limits of Israeli power. The Dems are getting extreme and MTG said something sensible. Gus noted that symbolic colors have switched in last decades Red was left and Blue was right. Huge bills of many, many pages are ridiculous. US is not a Christian nation, so we should not get involved in the religious wars of other countries. Let’s sail away from our empire.

WEF, Davos annual survey of upper class, and why their messaging is not working but not evil They Conflate small biz with big biz. Yuval’s Useless eaters, why would he be considered a critical worker. Boeing is toast and Eamonn Fingleton is the guy who first got the story. Can’t have a country we are sitting around selling each other insurance. We need an industrial base. Job gains? Not so great as boasted, mostly part time and alien. Dems once the peace party have morphed into the war party. A South American country less corrupt than the Peoples’ Republic of Massachusetts? Uruguay. The banking system, when does it collapse? Gold standard?

Mass Republican, State Committee does not get inflation, but who does? What ballot did you take on primary day? Libertarians got us. Voting is like cheering, which is why system change would be good. Not voting in the town is kinda voting, in that you are a bit satisfied. All the way back to colonial time as per Albion’s Seed. MBTA affordable housing fight. And much more.

After the deaths of three US military, we suggested to Iran they not respond our retaliation. Iran did not buy it and so , maybe wider war?. Like Nam, Afghanistan etc. we won't last. Columnist agreed our policy not working, so the only logical step to bring everything home and pursue a neutralist foreign policy. He did not disagree, but could not see how a neutralist FP could work. Just don't do stupid. Rules based order is propaganda. Your average Dem loves selling weapons. Whatever you want to call us,Oligarchy, Managerial state, we are not "our democracy." Things have to be real bad to contemplate Sortition. Money is government. Is reform possible? The mercenary army is coming.

Mass state revenue sinks. Whaddya expect with a millionaire’s tax . The rich may have been paying something,but when they flee, it’s nada. Gus expresses no sympathy for the plutocracy. Make a tax people are willing to pay. SecDef is missing, a must make movie…nah, they’d never buy it. Yup, Blinken out to lunch. War did not start on 10/7. We need to be a neutral nation and stop choosing sides. A carrier came home so we did not lose that one. Houthis look like they can last. And much more.

As if two wars are not enough, will we have a go at the Venezuelans? A disputed region with a lot of hydrocarbons. The other two wars and noises are being made the Ukes should give over. How can the Ukes have peace and not be owned by Western interests? Zelensky in a snit with top general, what does it mean? Not much more to draft. The Palestine/Israel conflict continues. We’ve sent carrier groups to do what? October 7 similar to Tet. Nobody expected it. Remember the aircraft carrier the Viet Cong sank in Saigon Harbor. Don’t dock the carriers. Houthis attacking. Resistance in Syria and Iraq. Discussion of the ongoing war. Global South supports Hamas, India supports Israel. Congressman Richie Neal is non-responsive. Liz Warren, America’s foremost Karen. Again, there is no “we.” See ya next month.

We met late in November as Gus went to meet rep Richie Neal with 25 constituent for Gaza/Israel cease fire. Richie was not there but a staffer was. Small group, but representative. The newest war could lead to the big one, but no one seems to get it as we have carrier groups where they could start a war. But, do we have to be there? No, prove me wrong. Of course there are resources and the oil and gas off of Gaza. Now there are resource disputes down SA between Venezuela and Surinam. Tet vs. the Hamas incursion. When did the wars start?  Who can know history? News is propaganda.

The sessions topics: We begin with Trudeau’s Nazi snafu, but it’s the Russians. Republican speaker problems. Kind of a mess, but If it stops war, what the heck. Slovaks elect an antiwar guy. Max Boot loves the Uke war because it's war.. Neocons loved war as Republicans and now as Dems. Trump is less a warmonger than Hilary and Biden. Trump sucks the air out of the Democrat room. Government policy does not get where needs to go, but the elite gets something. Peace Democrats? Education, it’s all about the signal. Mostly it is the default babysitter. Inflation ruins families. Companies and jobs other than defense are gone. Next war? Campaign contributions are bribes. Bugging Iran. Russia is not aiming for Cape Cod.

First up, Did Elon Musk save the world by shutting off Starlink? Affirmative action girl and war Democrat Liz Warren is upset about it. Musk did not want to cross a nuclear red line. They seem to all be getting crossed. In other news, that O'Keefe guy who was Project Veritas got one of his lads to interview a Blackstone recruiter who told how easy it was to buy a senator, but we knew that. Which brought up my crusade to eliminate presidential elections via a system of caucuses. Average guy/gal can't know the issues, but they can know something. What is that? That is who is the best among them. For House of Reps, we should substitute sortition. Hank Anderson of Guam capsizing fame makes that case. we're in Africa. And much more.

Public radio goes off the deep end when they have to get John Freaking Bolton to be their attack dog on Trump. Does everything eventually reduce to the absurd. Are tribal societies better? Would you want to live in one? There is no we.

Russia falling apart, or not? The amount of speculation is vast. We have not pronounced ex cathedra on the matter. The war continues, truth is nowhere. Remember when the neocons were GOPers? Now they have slotted into the left side. The money spigot is open and Ukraine is not the only beneficiary. Political correctness is still au courant as real or distraction. Back in history to William the Conqueror and same as it ever was. We return in August.

We begin with the importance of words meaning precisely what they say. We go on to save the statues and save history. Then we discuss the coming hell that that may be AI. Next we get into just who "we" are or are not ,,,maybe. Then it's on to local elections and then the problems with education and districts in receivership.

We looked at local elections and many not contested. Again, what is education. Will Gus write his book. Will Defend the Guard catch on and states don’t let their troops be used by the warmongers. What is capitalism?

We started out discussing the Wall Street Journal reporter arrested by the Russians. Was it spying? He was caught in the tank town. Lately, trading in oil not working for us. Finland quits neutrality. Poland leading with chin. Will the cops in France give over? How about here? Government metastasizes always. Can there be a real free market, and much more.

We started the show with Gus noting the Russkie war machine takes a while to get in gear, but gets to Paris, or at least Berlin. The military is not meeting its quota. Why? commercials. Nuke war, not yet. And, Much more.

We met on Groundhogs Day and no nuclear war yet. The only way Ukraine can win is lose. It is the only way to escape the costs of peace. Zel's gov't is rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic. EU demonizes Russia as a colonizing power, as if no EU country did that.  is the Rand report a signal of defeat? How long do empires last. Corrupt elections, corrupt lobbying, we only have a half out to solve it all.

n January, we began with the speaker battle and its import or non import. How many people vote and what does it mean. Town meetings are only occasionally well attended.  The Senate is not a senate as originally conceived. Is it a joke? Is the question rhetorical?  White supremacy comes in all colors according to the LA Times. We discuss privilege.  Where are the Kennedy files? Reparations? 41 page bills.

The Long Hill Report for December discusses current issues such as Twitter, Matt Taibbi and Musk and free speech. Campaign contributions and "our democracy." The railroading of Julian Assange and other issues.

Gus Steeves joins Richard Morchoe on the November 10, 2022 Long Hill Report. the mid-terms are over and the elections saw the red wave die aborning. Massachusetts saw no surprises and what is the point? None of the above on the ballot would be an excellent reform.

The Nord Stream pipelines were bombed, let's get closer to nuclear war. the war mongering continues. The elections are problematic. the currency is a problem. Do we solve it? OPEC cuts production. Autumn is beautiful here in Nova Anglia, hope the big one does not hit until the leaves are gone.

The reign is over, Winnie and the demise of empire, The US and what have we got out of our involvement. Close the State Department.

This month, we begin by answering the question of why the Norwegian Navy has put barcode on ships. From thence we discuss the Pelosi Taiwan trip and what is the story. Gus brings up the parallels between Russian post 1905 to WWI. We banter back and forth on various subjects such as the Congress due to election cycles can never play the long game and if war is politics by other means, the reverse is true. Can we talk of a big “we” in our national society?

A wide ranging discussion, everything from the ongoing war, new color revolution and the population cliff.

Gus and I discuss the war, deteriorating economy and inflation that goes with that.

Gus and I discuss escalation and the War Democrats