PODCAST · business
Wages and Prices with Fexingo: Cost of Living, Pay Raises, and Workers' Purchasing Power
by Fexingo
Lucas and Luna examine the real-world tug-of-war between wages and prices, tracking how cost-of-living shifts affect workers' purchasing power across sectors and geographies. Each episode opens with a fresh data point from the latest CPI or average hourly earnings report, then drills into a specific case: a union contract negotiation in Germany, a fast-food wage mandate in California, or a tech layoff wave in India. Lucas brings the macroeconomic framework—real vs. nominal wages, inflation pass-through, productivity growth—while Luna tests it against micro-level stories from grocery budgets, housing markets, and gig-economy income volatility. They avoid partisan cheerleading; instead, they weigh the evidence on whether wage gains are keeping up with rent increases, whether minimum-wage hikes cost jobs or boost demand, and how different income brackets experience the same inflation numbers differently. The conversation stays grounded in named data sources (BLS, OECD, national statistica
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5
What Sticky Services Inflation Means for Your Paycheck
A new data point from April 2026 is quietly driving the gap between your raise and your purchasing power: services inflation. While goods prices have moderated, the cost of services like auto insurance, rent, and medical care continues to climb. Lucas and Luna break down the latest CPI and average hourly earnings figures to show how 'sticky' services inflation is eating real wage gains for workers. They look at why the Fed's preferred core PCE measure remains stubborn, why services inflation is harder to wring out than goods inflation, and what it means for the typical worker's budget heading into summer 2026. A focused, data-driven conversation with one clear takeaway: your raise is real, but it's being silently diverted to insurance premiums and rent checks. #ServicesInflation #StickyInflation #WageGrowth #Paycheck #CPI #CorePCE #AverageHourlyEarnings #Fed #PurchasingPower #AutoInsurance #Rent #MedicalCare #RealWages #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #WagesAndPrices #LucasAndLuna Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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4
How the Iran War Sent Consumer Sentiment to a Record Low
Consumer sentiment hit a record low in May 2026, even as wages finally outpaced inflation for many workers. Lucas and Luna break down the paradox: why Americans feel worse about the economy even when their paychecks are growing. They drill into the latest University of Michigan survey data, the role of geopolitical shocks from the Iran conflict, and the disconnect between macro data and household vibes. Specific numbers on the sentiment index, average hourly earnings, and the ten-year breakeven inflation rate ground the discussion. Plus, how the war is feeding gas price anxiety and what that means for the Fed's next move. #ConsumerSentiment #RecordLow #IranWar #Inflation #WageGrowth #UniversityOfMichigan #Fed #InterestRates #GasPrices #Geopolitics #Economics #EconomicOutlook #RealWages #Spending #RecessionFears #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #WagesAndPrices Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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3
Why Your Raise Vanishes Before You Feel It
Episode 11 of Wages and Prices digs into the gap between headline wage growth and what workers actually take home. Lucas and Luna examine the latest data: average hourly earnings hit $37.40 in April, but the employment cost index and CPI show benefits and inflation eating real gains. They explore how slower turnover and smaller signing bonuses are flattening the wage curve, and why the disconnect between strong labor market stats and record low consumer sentiment makes sense. The hosts use real numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the most recent CPI release to explain the mechanics behind the frustration workers feel. No opinion—just the math of purchasing power in May 2026. #Wages #Prices #Inflation #RealWageGrowth #CPI #EmploymentCostIndex #LaborMarket #ConsumerSentiment #PurchasingPower #AverageHourlyEarnings #WorkerPay #FexingoBusiness #EconomicsPodcast #CostOfLiving #WageData #BureauOfLaborStatistics #Turnover #SigningBonuses Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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2
How Your Paycheck Is Growing Faster Than Prices for the First Time in Years
In this episode of Wages and Prices, Lucas and Luna examine a rare bright spot in the cost-of-living landscape: wage growth is finally outpacing inflation for many workers. Using fresh April 2026 data — average hourly earnings at $37.40, CPI at 332.4 — they break down why this shift is happening, who's benefiting most, and whether it can last. They look at the employment cost index, core inflation trends, and the surprising role of healthcare costs. Plus, a candid moment about how listener support keeps the show ad-free. If you've felt like your paycheck is finally stretching a little further, this episode explains why. #Wages #Prices #Inflation #WageGrowth #RealWages #AverageHourlyEarnings #CPI #EmploymentCostIndex #CoreInflation #HealthcareCosts #PurchasingPower #CostOfLiving #LaborMarket #FederalReserve #EconomicIndicators #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economics Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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1
How Health Insurance Is Eating Your Raise
Lucas and Luna dig into the latest employment cost index data and find that while wages are growing at 3.4 percent annually, employer-paid health benefit costs are rising roughly 6 percent. They walk through why the ECI is the Fed's favorite wage measure, how benefit costs silently erode purchasing power, and what this means for workers who feel like their raise disappears before it hits their bank account. Featuring a close look at the gap between total compensation and take-home pay, plus why the bond market's ten-year breakeven inflation rate of 2.4 percent tells a different story than consumer sentiment headlines. #EmploymentCostIndex #WageGrowth #HealthInsuranceCosts #Inflation #Compensation #WorkerPurchasingPower #FedPolicy #BondMarket #BreakevenInflation #LaborMarket #Economics #Business #Podcast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #CostOfLiving #RealWages #Benefits Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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0
How Consumer Sentiment Hit a Record Low Despite a Strong Labor Market
The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index just hit an all-time low in May 2026, even as the S&P 500 sits near 7,500 and average hourly earnings ticked up to $37.40. Lucas and Luna explore why Americans feel so gloomy: the Iran war feeding inflation fears, the gap between headline CPI and what people actually pay for groceries and rent, and how the Fed's 10-year breakeven inflation rate of 2.40% tells a different story than the sentiment surveys. They also examine whether the wage gains in the Employment Cost Index are keeping pace with real-world costs, and why the disconnect between data and mood matters for the economy going forward. #ConsumerSentiment #RecordLow #InflationWorries #IranWar #FedPolicy #WageGrowth #CPI #BreakevenInflation #LaborMarket #MichiganSurvey #EconomicData #RecessionFears #PurchasingPower #RealWages #StockMarket #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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How the Wage-Price Spiral Actually Works Today
Lucas and Luna dive into the current wage-price dynamic using fresh data from May 2026. Average hourly earnings are up to $37.40, but CPI is at 332.4 and consumer sentiment hit a record low last week. They explore why the classic 'wage-price spiral' hasn't fully materialized, despite rising labor costs. The episode focuses on the role of productivity and corporate margins as a buffer, using recent Federal Reserve research and real-world examples from the retail and manufacturing sectors. Lucas explains how unit labor costs are climbing faster than prices in some industries, while Luna questions whether workers are really feeling the gains. A grounded, data-rich conversation about what's happening beneath the headline numbers. #WagePriceSpiral #Inflation #AverageHourlyEarnings #CPI #ConsumerSentiment #FederalReserve #LaborCosts #Productivity #CorporateMargins #RealWages #UnitLaborCosts #EconomicData #May2026 #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economics #WagesAndPrices #CostOfLiving Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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How the Wage-Price Gap Varies by Occupation Type
In this episode of Wages and Prices, Lucas and Luna dig into a data point that rarely makes headlines: the gap between average hourly earnings and the employment cost index has been widening, and the difference tells a story about which workers are actually seeing raises. Using the latest April data, they show that hourly workers in leisure and hospitality saw 5.2% annual wage growth, while office workers in professional services got just 3.1%. Lucas explains how the composition effect—shifts in who is employed—can make average wages look higher without anyone getting a raise. Luna pushes back on whether the data captures gig workers and the self-employed. They close by discussing what this means for the Fed's next move under new Chair Kevin Warsh. #WageGrowth #EmploymentCostIndex #AverageHourlyEarnings #LeisureAndHospitality #ProfessionalServices #CompositionEffect #GigEconomy #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #April2026Data #WagePriceGap #EconomicData #LaborMarket #Inflation #PurchasingPower #FexingoBusiness #Economics #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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Why Your Paycheck Outruns Prices in Some States
In this episode, Lucas and Luna examine why workers in some states are experiencing faster real wage growth than others, even with national inflation cooling. Using April 2026 data—average hourly earnings at $37.40 and CPI at 332.4—they break down how state-level policies, industry mix, and housing costs create a growing divide. Lucas highlights Washington state, where a $16.28 minimum wage and a strong tech sector have boosted real wages by 3% year-over-year, while Luna points to Florida, where tourism-driven job growth is undercut by rent spikes that outpace raises. They discuss the role of state EITCs and union density, and the episode includes a 10-year breakeven inflation rate drop to 2.39 percent, signaling market bets on easing price pressures. #RealWageGrowth #StateLevelInflation #MinimumWage #WashingtonState #Florida #HousingCosts #UnionDensity #EITC #FederalReserve #InflationOutlook #AverageHourlyEarnings #CPI #BreakevenInflation #CostOfLiving #LaborMarket #WageDisparity #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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Fed Rate Cut Odds as Consumers Keep Spending
With the Dow hitting 50,286 and core PCE still above the Fed's target, markets are pricing in rate cuts that the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh hasn't signaled. This episode looks at the disconnect between consumer spending and central bank caution. Lucas and Luna examine the April CPI print of 332.4, the ten-year breakeven inflation rate dropping to 2.39 percent, and what the bond vigilantes might force the Fed to do in July. They discuss why wage growth at 4.2 percent isn't translating to lower rates and how consumers are using credit to keep the economy humming. A specific, data-driven look at the tension between Wall Street's rate-cut hopes and Main Street's spending reality. #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #InterestRates #Inflation #ConsumerSpending #Dow50000 #WageGrowth #CorePCE #BondVigilantes #RateCuts #Economy #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #WagesAndPrices #CPI #BreakevenInflation #JulyRateDecision Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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Why Real Wage Growth Still Feels Invisible to Workers
Lucas and Luna dig into a frustrating disconnect in the post-pandemic economy: average hourly earnings are up, the employment cost index is rising, but most workers say their paychecks don't feel bigger. The hosts anchor the conversation in fresh April 2026 data — hourly earnings at $37.40, up from $37.35 — and contrast that with CPI at 332.4, which has risen nearly 2% over the same period. They unpack why nominal wage growth can coexist with stagnant purchasing power, focusing on composition effects, industry mix, and the lag between wage adjustments and price increases. Lucas points out that while leisure and hospitality wages have surged, white-collar professional services wages have barely budged, pulling down the average. Luna notes that the median usual weekly earnings of $1,204, last measured in January 2025, are actually trailing inflation when adjusted. They also discuss the 10-year breakeven inflation rate falling to 2.44%, suggesting bond markets expect price pressures to ease — but workers may not feel relief for months. The episode closes with a question about whether the Fed's next move, under new Chair Kevin Warsh, might finally tip the scales toward workers. #RealWageGrowth #PurchasingPower #AverageHourlyEarnings #EmploymentCostIndex #CPI #CoreCPI #BreakevenInflation #FedPolicy #KevinWarsh #MedianWeeklyEarnings #LeisureAndHospitality #WhiteCollarWages #InflationLag #WagePriceSpiral #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #WagesAndPrices Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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Wage Growth Is Real But Your Rent Is Eating It
Lucas and Luna break down the April 2026 earnings data vs. the latest CPI print. Yes, average hourly earnings hit $37.40 an hour. But shelter costs are still running hot, and the core CPI accelerated to 335.4. Luna asks whether workers are really better off than a year ago. Lucas walks through the math: a 4.7% year-over-year wage gain against a 3.4% headline CPI — but the real story is in the basket. They discuss why the Fed's new chair Kevin Warsh is inheriting a tricky trade-off between appeasing bond vigilantes and protecting purchasing power. A focused look at the one number that tells the real story: real average hourly earnings. #WageGrowth #CPI #Inflation #RealEarnings #ShelterCosts #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #BondVigilantes #PurchasingPower #LaborMarket #Economics #CostOfLiving #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #WagesAndPrices #CoreCPI #HourlyEarnings #InflationData Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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The AI Economy Is Rewriting the American Dream for Blue-Collar Workers
In the debut episode of Wages and Prices, Lucas and Luna examine how the AI-driven economy is reshaping the American Dream for blue-collar workers. With the S&P 500 down 1.2% in the past five days and the Russell 2000 falling 3.4%, small caps are getting hammered. Meanwhile, average hourly earnings crept up to $37.40 in April, but CPI hit 332.4, eroding purchasing power. Lucas explains why the AI boom may actually benefit tradespeople and factory workers more than knowledge workers. They reference a recent CNBC headline and discuss how Kevin Warsh's upcoming swearing-in as Fed chair could shift policy. The conversation offers a framework for listeners to understand wage-inflation dynamics without jargon, using specific numbers like the 2.48% 10-year breakeven inflation rate. This episode sets the tone for a show that drills into one concrete angle per episode—no hot takes, just data and smart conversation. #AIEconomy #AmericanDream #BlueCollar #WagesAndPrices #Economics #Inflation #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #BondVigilantes #CNBC #Russell2000 #S&P500 #CPI #PurchasingPower #SmallCaps #InterestRates #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
Lucas and Luna examine the real-world tug-of-war between wages and prices, tracking how cost-of-living shifts affect workers' purchasing power across sectors and geographies. Each episode opens with a fresh data point from the latest CPI or average hourly earnings report, then drills into a specific case: a union contract negotiation in Germany, a fast-food wage mandate in California, or a tech layoff wave in India. Lucas brings the macroeconomic framework—real vs. nominal wages, inflation pass-through, productivity growth—while Luna tests it against micro-level stories from grocery budgets, housing markets, and gig-economy income volatility. They avoid partisan cheerleading; instead, they weigh the evidence on whether wage gains are keeping up with rent increases, whether minimum-wage hikes cost jobs or boost demand, and how different income brackets experience the same inflation numbers differently. The conversation stays grounded in named data sources (BLS, OECD, national statistica
HOSTED BY
Fexingo
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