On The Bump

A quick look at my model for the most MLB wins in March/April market. I walk through how the numbers come together, why the Dodgers come out well ahead of the field, and which teams cluster behind them. A short episode on the quirks of early-season win totals.

Early season betting can be a trap — or a gold mine — depending on how you approach it. In this quick five-minute episode, we break down what the research says about April scoring environments and pitcher strikeout props. Do projections overreact to small samples? And how should bettors handle cold weather and limited pitch counts.We’ll look at the data behind early-season run totals and K markets — and talk about where real edges tend to show up (and where they don’t). If you’re betting MLB in the first few weeks, this is the framework you need before firing.

Pilot episode for On The Bump Major League Baseball betting podcast. This quick trailer introduces the show, the model, and how we’ll break down pitching matchups, totals, and value plays all season long.