PODCAST · business
The InvestSense Podcast
by InvestSense
InvestSense discuss the latest in portfolio management, economics and investments while joined by leading voices from around the world.Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutionsSubscribe to our weekly newsletter here: <a href="https://aus01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.investsense.com.au%2Finvestsense-insights%3Futm_source%3DPodcast%26utm_medium%3DWeekly&data=05%7C02%7Canesci%40investsense.com.au%7C03ca857e25f94431fa9e08dc25e748e2%7Ce4d3024b004f4df5a3351193d2d9c8a7%7C0%7C0%7C638426922527720361%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=%2Bc5zkCyHfMtOoNAe2ffTm9tOKo5o
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US 30-year yields top 5% as inflation broadens beyond fuel
Markets finished the week in a now-familiar pattern: US equities punched to fresh record highs on AI momentum, oil ground higher on Gulf supply concerns, and inflation re-accelerated across the developed world.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/us-30-year-yields-top-5-as-inflation-broadens-beyond-fuel Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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224
Australia’s budget night, the Macquarie Conference and where real returns come from with Tim Binsted
A lot has happened in a short window. Tuesday night's budget delivered the most significant tax reform package in a generation, and we have spent the last 48 hours working through what it means for adviser practice. The headline measures, replacing the 50% CGT discount with inflation indexation, a new 30% minimum CGT rate from 1 July 2027, and the limiting of negative gearing to new builds, will be canvassed exhaustively elsewhere. We have chosen to stay in our lane and focus on what it changes for multi-asset portfolios and equity selection.Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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223
Last night’s budget, Hormuz and a hotter US CPI print
For Australian advisers the local story is the Federal Budget. Treasurer Chalmers delivered the long-flagged property tax reform: negative gearing now restricted to investment in new builds, and the 50% capital-gains discount replaced with indexation plus a minimum 30% tax rate (also waived for new builds). The 2026-27 underlying cash deficit prints at $31.5 billion (roughly 1% of GDP), a $45 billion cumulative improvement on the forward estimates, though the 2026-27 cash balance remains at 2.1% of GDP. Markets took it in their stride; they are also waking up to the fact that the government is spending more despite the headline tax tightening, exactly the demand impulse Michele Bullock told us she does not want. The NAB Business Survey echoed the point: purchase costs surged to 4.5% in quarterly equivalent terms, three times February's level, while final product prices rose only 1.8%. Westpac consumer confidence fell from 90.6 to 80.1, the largest monthly drop since COVID.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/negative-gearing-hormuz-and-a-hotter-us-cpi-print Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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222
April's record rally meets Sunday's missile strike as the RBA hikes to 4.35%
April was an extraordinary month for risk assets. The Nasdaq surged 16.3%, the Nikkei 16.6%, and the S&P 500 10.8% — both US indices closing at fresh all-time highs on Friday. The DAX added 7.1%, the FTSE MIB 8.9%, and even the ASX managed 3.0%, although it lagged as the RBA's hawkish posture weighed on sentiment. It was the S&P 500's fifth consecutive weekly gain, carrying it above its pre-war level — a rebound driven by a robust US earnings season (84% beat rate across 63% of the S&P 500 reported) and, as Andrew Hunt argued last week, an estimated US$300–400 billion per month in stealth liquidity from the Fed, Treasury and PBOC combined.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/aprils-record-rally-meets-sundays-missile-strike-as-the-rba-hikes-to-4-35 Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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221
Liquidity, Faith and a Coming Reckoning? Andrew Hunt's Macro Outlook
Global equity markets have defied gravity since the Iran conflict erupted and Andrew Hunt of Hunt Economics thinks he knows why. In this week's video, Hunt argues that an estimated $300 to $400 billion per month in stealth liquidity injections is keeping risk appetite alive while the real economy deteriorates. The wave can continue a little longer, but Hunt warns at some point central banks will be forced to choose between supporting asset prices and fighting inflation, and history suggests the transition will be abrupt.Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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220
Oil at US$108, US earnings surge and Europe cracks
The week that was supposed to deliver clarity on the Gulf crisis instead delivered its starkest divergence yet between US and European assets. With Brent crude surging 13% to US$108 — its highest since the conflict began — and the Strait of Hormuz still effectively closed, the transatlantic split in equity markets told a revealing story. The Nasdaq added 1.6% and the S&P 500 edged up 0.7%, buoyed by better-than-expected earnings and a remarkably resilient US consumer. In contrast, the Euro Stoxx 50 fell 2.0%, the FTSE 100 dropped 2.7%, and the ASX shed 2.1%. Japan was the week's standout, with the Nikkei rallying 2.9% on yen weakness and export optimism.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/oil-at-us-108-us-earnings-surge-and-europe-cracks Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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219
The Defence Dilemma: Why Hiding in Bonds Isn't What It Used to Be
The traditional defensive playbook of shifting into government bonds and credit is under serious strain. With interest rate volatility effectively doubling over March and credit spreads offering limited cushion, the usual safe havens aren't behaving like safe havens. Christian Baylis of Fortlake Asset Management explains why cash may be the only truly defensive position right now, and what alternatives exist for portfolios that need more than that.Learn more: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/the-defence-dilemma-why-hiding-in-bonds-isnt-what-it-used-to-be Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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218
In TACO we trust: Equity markets rally for a third straight week
For a third consecutive week, equity markets rallied in the face of a conflict that, on the ground, has barely improved. The S&P 500 rose 4.5% to a fresh all-time high, recouping the entirety of its post-war losses, while the Nasdaq surged on the back of strong early earnings and renewed AI enthusiasm. European bourses gained but have yet to reclaim their pre-war peaks — the Euro Stoxx 50 added 2.2% and the DAX 3.8%, though both remain more exposed to the energy shock than their US counterpart. The ASX 300, by contrast, finished the week roughly flat, held back by a sell-off in the major banks after Westpac and NAB both flagged increased provisioning for bad debts in anticipation of a war-driven economic slowdown.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/in-taco-we-trust-equity-markets-rally-for-a-third-straight-week Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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217
The ceasefire sparked the strongest rally in weeks but it didn't last
The past week was again dominated by the Iran–US conflict, with markets riding a hope-and-disappointment cycle that began with a ceasefire announcement on 7 April and ended with the weekend's talks in Islamabad collapsing into stalemate. By Sunday, President Trump had declared a US naval counter-blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, pledging to interdict any tanker paying an "illegal toll" to Tehran — a marked escalation that sets up an abrupt mood reversal heading into this week's sessions.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/the-ceasefire-sparked-the-strongest-rally-in-weeks-but-it-didnt-lastJoin the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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216
Iran Brinkmanship Dominates as Markets Ride a Rollercoaster Week
Global equity markets ended last week higher, but the gains mask a fair degree of intraweek volatility driven almost entirely by the evolving conflict between the United States and Iran.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/iran-brinkmanship-dominates-as-markets-ride-a-rollercoaster-week Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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215
March tested markets from every angle. Here's where things stand.
March 2026 will be remembered as the month geopolitics seized control of global markets. The US-led military intervention in Iran, which began on 1 March, evolved over four weeks from a shock event that most investors expected to be short-lived into what the IEA has labelled the greatest energy security threat in history. It has redrawn the map for equities, bonds, currencies and commodities in ways that will reverberate well beyond the month's end. Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/march-2026-recap-the-month-that-changed-everything Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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214
The Plumbing is Creaking, But It's Not Quite Time to Run for the Hills with Andrew Hunt
The headlines are alarming. Oil shocks, stagflation talk, investment decisions being deferred. But the case for panic may be premature. The Fed, US Treasury and PBOC have injected extraordinary amounts of liquidity into the global financial system, keeping markets remarkably buoyant even as the real economy deteriorates. Economist Andrew Hunt shares where to watch for signs the signal is turning from amber to red. Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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213
War, Oil and the Spectre of Rate Hikes Define a Brutal Week for Markets
It was a week that began with cautious hope and ended in something close to alarm. Global share markets sold off sharply, bond yields surged, and oil climbed relentlessly as the war between the United States, Israel and Iran escalated well beyond what most investors had been pricing in just days earlier.Learn more www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/war-oil-and-the-spectre-of-rate-hikes-define-a-brutal-week-for-markets Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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212
Who are the disrupted and who are the disruptors with Tim Binsted
The Australian reporting season delivered more beats than misses, with miners and banks leading the way. But the more interesting story played out in software, companies reporting decent numbers only to be dragged back down by broader AI disruption fears. Tim Binsted, Head of Australian Equities shares which businesses have genuine moat friction and where the opportunities might sit as the sector reprices. Learn more www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/australian-reporting-season-wrap-up-robust-earnings-but-software-sector-faces-an-identity-crisis Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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211
The largest oil disruption on record but markets remain resilient
Sixteen days into the US-Iran conflict, markets remain hostage to events in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude has traced a remarkable arc since the assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei on 28 February, surging from $67 to touch $120 on 9 March before settling around $101 at the time of writing. The pattern has become familiar: escalation drives oil higher, a de-escalation headline triggers a sharp reversal, then reality reasserts and prices grind back up. Critically, each cycle is establishing a higher floor.Get access to the graphs www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/the-middle-east-dominates-everything-but-markets-still-resilient Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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210
The "SaaSpocalypse" & where Munro Partners is finding growth
The software sector's reckoning has hit global growth managers hard, some down 15% or more in three months. So how has Munro Partners emerged largely unscathed? Portfolio manager Qiao Ma explains how disciplined risk management and genuine diversification made the difference, and where Munro is finding opportunity now. Learn more www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/shovels-not-software-where-munro-is-finding-growth-now Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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209
Middle East conflict drives oil's largest weekly gain on record and Australian shares' worst week since 2022
What began as a targeted air campaign has rapidly escalated into the defining market event of 2026. Operation Epic Fury, the joint US-Israeli military action against Iran, has entered its second week with no credible diplomatic off-ramp in sight. The Strait of Hormuz — through which roughly 20% of global oil and LNG transits — has been effectively shut for nine days, with tanker traffic at zero and insurers refusing to cover passage. Brent crude surged 28% over the week, its largest weekly gain since 2020, closing Friday at $93 before gapping above $108 on Sunday. WTI posted its biggest weekly gain on record, rising 36%.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/middle-east-conflict-reshapes-the-investment-landscape Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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208
Middle East Conflict: Central banks will probably come to the rescue but watch for cracks in credit
The US-Israeli strikes on Iran have markets running the familiar playbook - oil up, gold up, risk assets down. But Andrew Hunt sees a more nuanced picture. Central banks already have a quarter of a trillion dollars in liquidity ready to deploy over the coming weeks, which may stabilise the immediate shock.Learn more www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/iran-strike-central-banks-will-probably-come-to-the-rescue-but-watch-for-cracks-in-credit Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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207
A volatile February ends with geopolitics front and centre
A volatile February ended with markets caught between competing forces: fading tariff uncertainty, a technology sector in flux, and a sharp geopolitical escalation in the Middle East that has injected fresh risk into the outlook.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/a-volatile-february-ends-with-geopolitics-front-and-centre Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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206
The 2006 parallels as global capital flows reverse with Economist Andrew Hunt
Andrew Hunt's outlook has turned notably more cautious since the previous conversation a few weeks earlier. The core thesis centers on a deterioration in global capital flows into the US, which he sees as the key vulnerability markets have been overlooking.Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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205
The Week the Supreme Court Moved Markets
Whatever else happened in markets last week — and there was plenty — it was all overshadowed by a single event on Friday afternoon. The US Supreme Court, in a 6–3 ruling, struck down the bulk of President Trump's emergency tariffs, finding that IEEPA does not authorise the President to impose import duties. Trump immediately announced a replacement 15% global levy under Section 122 of the Trade Act, though that mechanism carries a 150-day time limit. It is a landmark constitutional moment, and markets are still digesting what comes next.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/the-week-the-supreme-court-moved-markets Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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204
US Inflation cools but tech continues to takes hits
The past week delivered a tale of two markets. On one side, a reassuring U.S. inflation print and a surprisingly strong labour market report suggested the American economy remains on solid footing. On the other hand, a punishing rotation out of technology stocks reminded investors that the AI investment boom carries real risks and that concentration in a handful of mega-cap names can cut both ways.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/the-rotation-trade-gathers-pace Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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203
Markets navigate RBA hike, AI capex jitters and a growing rotation trade
Markets spent the first week of February grappling with an unusually dense set of cross-currents, an Australian rate hike, a crisis of confidence in big-tech capital spending, volatile commodity prices, and a US data picture clouded by the partial government shutdown. But beneath the headline volatility, the more interesting story may be what's happening under the surface: a rotation trade gaining momentum, unstable correlations, and a growing divergence between Australian and global monetary policy that is robbing Aussie diversified portfolios of their traditional currency cushion.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-navigate-rba-hike-ai-capex-jitters-and-a-growing-rotation-trade Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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202
The Case for Emerging Market Consumers with Tassos Stassopoulos
Tassos Stassopoulos, founder of Trinetra Investment Management, has spent over two decades focusing on a different opportunity, the emerging market consumer. Trinetra’s approach has always eschewed the tech-heavy markets of North Asia in favour of economies where domestic consumption drives growth: Indonesia, China, Brazil, Peru, and Chile. The big driver of the emerging market indices recently has been Korean memory chips and Taiwanese semiconductor foundries. These are undoubtedly impressive businesses, but they present a problem: they move in lockstep with U.S. technology giants. For those seeking genuine diversification, looking elsewhere in the emerging world may provide better portfolio diversification.Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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201
January Closes with Gold's Dramatic Reversal
The final week of January delivered a stark reminder that even the most powerful trends can reverse abruptly when the right catalyst emerges. Gold's precipitous 10% fall and silver's eye-watering 30% decline, dominated headlines, yet the month overall proved constructive for diversified portfolios.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/january-closes-with-golds-dramatic-reversal Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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200
The U.S. credit boom and why the PBOC holds the cards with Andrew Hunt
A month after our year-end review, Economist Andrew Hunt's message when we spoke to him earlier this week had sharpened: the U.S. credit boom continues at a blistering pace, but the foreign capital that sustained 2025's rally is becoming erratic. The result is an increasingly binary outlook where timing matters more than ever.Get access to the graphs: https://www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/the-pboc-holds-the-cards-january-2026-update-with-andrew-huntJoin the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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199
Gold Surges and the Dollar Slides as Geopolitical Tensions and Rate Expectations Collide
Markets navigated a turbulent week as the collision of geopolitical uncertainty and shifting monetary policy expectations drove dramatic moves across asset classes, with Australian inflation data adding further fuel to an already volatile mix.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/gold-surges-and-the-dollar-slides-as-inflation-data-cements-australian-rate-hike-expectations Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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198
Navigating Bond and Credit Markets in 2026 with Christian Baylis
In our latest check-in with Fortlake’s Dr Christian Baylis from Fortlake Asset Management we discuss why Australian bonds are offering value, why credit quality matters more than chasing yield and where diversification can still be found in 2026.Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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197
Geopolitics, rotation and early earnings test market confidence
Global markets experienced a turbulent week as investors juggled geopolitical uncertainty, shifting sector dynamics and the early stages of Q4 earnings season.In short:Money kept moving away from big tech into smaller companies.The Russell 2000 outperformed for a tenth straight session while most of the Mag 7 declined. Importantly, more than 300 S&P 500 stocks were higher despite index weakness, showing a shift away from concentrated market leadership.Economic data supported a ‘resilient but uneven growth’ narrative.The U.S. job market remains solid and growth in the UK and Germany surprised on the upside. China met its growth target, but mainly through exports, with consumer spending still weak.Early earnings showed profits are holding up, but valuations are under scrutiny.Big U.S. banks reported decent results, but their share prices barely moved as investors focused on costs and the outlook. A strong result from TSMC was a bright spot for technology stocks.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/geopolitics-rotation-and-early-earnings-test-market-confidenceJoin the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-caught-between-shutdown-relief-and-valuation-reality
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196
Markets start 2026 with momentum but caution is warranted
After a holiday period that saw the traditional Santa rally fail to materialise, 2026 has begun with renewed vigour across global markets. The rotation trade that defined much of 2025 appears to be reasserting itself, with emerging markets and global small caps leading the charge in early January trading.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-start-2026-with-momentum-but-caution-is-warranted Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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195
2025 confounded expectations in one crucial way.
Andrew Hunt speaks with Jonathan Ramsay about how record foreign inflows, led by China, kept markets elevated despite weakening fundamentals. They explore why the composition of those flows has shifted and what early signs of reversal could mean for markets heading into 2026.Learn more: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/2025-year-in-review-part-two-the-year-capital-flows-defied-expectations Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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194
Private credit in Australia under the microscope with Joel Sasim & James Fleiter
ASIC Commissioner Alan Kirkland made it clear at the 2025 Researcher Forum that private credit is now an enforcement priority, with the adviser channel squarely in focus. Done well, private credit plays an important role in the financial system, but ASIC has raised serious concerns around governance, transparency, fees and valuations across a sector that has grown 500% in a decade to more than $200 billion. In this week’s conversation, InvestSense Private Capital Specialist Joel Sasim and Betashares Director of Private Capital Jamie Fleiter unpack what this shift means for adviser due diligence and discuss Joel’s timely new paper on the topic.Watch the video: https://www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/private-credit-a-due-diligence-reckoning-for-australian-private-credit?utm_source=Podcast&utm_medium=WWAWO Download the whitepaper: https://www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/private-credit-in-australia-whitepaper?utm_source=Podcast&utm_medium=WWAWO Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-caught-between-shutdown-relief-and-valuation-reality
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193
Rate Hike Risks Resurface Across Major Economies
The past week delivered a notable shift in market psychology, with investors increasingly grappling with the prospect that the next move for several central banks may be up rather than down, except for in the all important US market. Australian assets bore the brunt of this repricing, though the theme resonated globally.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/rate-hike-risks-resurface-across-major-economies Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-caught-between-shutdown-relief-and-valuation-reality
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192
There’s still opportunity within Chinese macro constraints with Trinetra Investment Management
Economist Andrew Hunt's concerns about China's policy constraints and shifting capital flows paint a challenging macro picture and in the past when the U.S. sneezed Emerging Markets caught pneumonia. Then in the GFC China bucked that trend by pushing the $1.5 trillion spend button. However, this time is different again. Chinese manufacturing PMI remains in contraction, fiscal spending is down sharply year-on-year, the PBOC is becoming more cautious, and credit expansion has been weak. Yet there's an irony embedded in this story: the very scenario Hunt envisages—where Western AI valuations face a reckoning and capital flows become more erratic—may actually favour emerging market equities, particularly those focused on domestic consumption. It was therefore natural for us to triangulate with ‘our people on the ground’ to look at the implications for emerging market portfolios and in this conversation with Tassos Stasopoulos of Trinetra Investment Management. Watch the video: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/there-still-opportunity-within-chinese-macro-constraints-with-trinetra-investment-management Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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191
Central Banks Diverge as Australia Charts Its Own Course
Global markets navigated a complex week as central bank policy paths continued to diverge sharply across regions.In short:What: Australia’s inflation rose to 3.8% and private capex surged 6.3%, removing the case for RBA rate cuts.Why it matters: Higher-for-longer rates put Australia out of sync with global easing and lift funding and borrowing costs.What: The UK budget offered more fiscal room but was overshadowed by leaked OBR forecasts.Why it matters: Markets welcomed the near-term support but longer-term fiscal credibility remains uncertain.What: Japan signalled a possible December rate hike, pushing short-term yields to GFC-era highs.Why it matters: A shift away from ultra-easy policy could redirect global capital flows and lift the yen.What: China’s PMIs contracted again across manufacturing and services.Why it matters: Weakness in China threatens Q4 momentum and raises the likelihood of further stimulus in 2026.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/central-banks-diverge-as-australia-charts-its-own-course Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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190
Why the global economy is on the precipice with economist Andrew Hunt
This week we spoke to our consulting economist, Andrew Hunt, who has just returned from extensive meetings with U.S. investment banks and U.S. officials with an increasingly cautious assessment of global economic prospects. His message: the world may be on the cusp of a severe slowdown, with significant implications for Australian investors.Read the article: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/why-the-global-economy-on-the-precipice-with-andrew-hunt Learn more about Andrew Hunt: https://www.hunteconomics.com/ Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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189
A Week of Two Halves: From Early Weakness to a Late-Week Recovery
Markets endured a turbulent week that ultimately resolved with a more constructive tone. The week began under pressure from uncertainty around Fed policy, delayed U.S. economic data, and geopolitical tensions, before rebounding strongly as rate cut expectations firmed and risk appetite returned.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/a-week-of-two-halves Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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188
AI Jitters Leave Markets on Edge
The past week has been characterised by heightened volatility and risk-off sentiment across global markets, with investors grappling with a unique combination of data uncertainty, inflation concerns, and mounting nervousness ahead of key corporate earnings. The NASDAQ and Russell 2000 have been particularly volatile although other developed markets like Japan, Europe and Australia have ended up in a similar place, around 5% down. Emerging markets and global small companies outside the U.S. were more resilient.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/uncertainty-amid-data-drought-and-tech-jitters Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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187
Markets Caught Between Shutdown Relief and Valuation Reality
Markets ended last week on the back foot as investors became concerned about the extent of AI capex and high U.S. equity valuations before making up all that lost ground on progress of an end to the U.S. Government shutdown. Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-navigate-mixed-signals-as-q3-ends Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-caught-between-shutdown-relief-and-valuation-reality
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186
Cautious Central Banks and Overconfident Markets
Global markets experienced significant volatility over the past week as investors grappled with shifting central bank narratives, record tech valuations, and evolving trade dynamics between the world's largest economies.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/cautious-central-banks-and-overconfident-markets Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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185
Markets Balance Tech Optimism Against Consumer Headwinds as Central Banks Loom
Global markets entered a pivotal week with technology stocks leading gains ahead of crucial earnings reports, even as consumer confidence deteriorated and geopolitical tensions persisted across multiple fronts.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-balance-tech-optimism-against-consumer-headwinds-as-central-banks-loomJoin the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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184
Equity markets have calmed down but gold is anxious
Markets steadied last week despite U.S.–China trade tensions and a government data blackout. The real drama came from gold and silver, which soared to record highs before crashing in their biggest one-day fall since 2020. In Australia, a surprise rise in unemployment shifted expectations toward an RBA rate cut, while U.S. regional banks faced renewed credit concerns. Central banks are diverging globally, with the Fed leaning dovish, Canada wrestling with inflation, and Japan’s new leadership signaling policy change.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/equity-markets-have-calmed-down-but-gold-is-anxious Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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183
An Uptick in Volatility as Markets Navigate Trade Tensions and Policy Uncertainty
Global markets experienced significant volatility over the past week as investors grappled with escalating US-China trade tensions, an extended U.S. government shutdown and diverging central bank policies across major economies.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/indus try-articles/an-uptick-in-volatility-as-markets-navigate-trade-tensions-and-policy-uncertainty Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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182
Markets Navigate Data Blackout Amid Political Turbulence
Markets faced an unusual challenge last week as the U.S. government shutdown entered its seventh day, leaving investors to navigate without key economic data while political instability in Japan and France added to global uncertainty.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industryfenton an-articles/markets-navigate-data-blackout-amid-political-turbulence Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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181
Markets Navigate Mixed Signals as Q3 Ends
The final week of September 2025 delivered a complex tapestry of market movements, with investors grappling with sticky inflation data, geopolitical tensions, and the looming specter of a U.S. government shutdown.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-navigate-mixed-signals-as-q3-ends Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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180
Markets Digest Fed Expectations and Global Growth Concerns
Global markets experienced a slight uptick in volatility overnight but until then the relentless rise of markets had continued their relentless rise.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-digest-fed-expectations-and-global-growth-concerns Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team.
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179
Markets Navigate Fed Expectations Amid Mixed Global Signals
Global markets spent the past week positioning for an increasingly certain Federal Reserve rate cut, though conviction about the magnitude and pace of easing began to waver as stronger U.S. economic data emerged mid-week.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-navigate-fed-expectations-amid-mixed-global-signals Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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178
Markets Split as U.S. Weakens but Australia Holds Firm
Markets faced a week of contrasts as weakening U.S. employment data reinforced expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, while the Australian economy continued to demonstrate surprising resilience. Meanwhile the UK, Japanese and French fiscal and political situations were dominating the headlines for all the wrong reasons. If these were canaries in the coal mine in full voice markets weren’t listening as most overseas markets were up while the local market (mostly banks) went the other way. It is fair to say though that the economic data in all economies is pretty noisy at the moment, to say the least. Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-split-as-u-s-weakens-but-australia-holds-firm Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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177
Markets Navigate Political Uncertainty as Gold Soars and Trade Tensions Escalate
Global markets experienced a week of heightened volatility and diverging performances as political uncertainties overshadowed economic data, with gold reaching new highs while equity markets showed mixed results across regions.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-navigate-political-uncertainty-as-gold-soars-and-trade-tensions-escalate Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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176
Markets Wrestle with Tech Reality Check and Policy Divergence
Global markets experienced heightened volatility in the fourth week of August as technology stocks faced renewed scrutiny over artificial intelligence valuations, central banks charted divergent paths, and political drama tested Federal Reserve independence.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/markets-wrestle-with-tech-reality-check-and-policy-divergence Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
InvestSense discuss the latest in portfolio management, economics and investments while joined by leading voices from around the world.Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutionsSubscribe to our weekly newsletter here: <a href="https://aus01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.investsense.com.au%2Finvestsense-insights%3Futm_source%3DPodcast%26utm_medium%3DWeekly&data=05%7C02%7Canesci%40investsense.com.au%7C03ca857e25f94431fa9e08dc25e748e2%7Ce4d3024b004f4df5a3351193d2d9c8a7%7C0%7C0%7C638426922527720361%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=%2Bc5zkCyHfMtOoNAe2ffTm9tOKo5o
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