EPISODE · Nov 26, 2017 · 44 MIN
026. 科幻与未来学(下)
from 科科创意研究室
●少数派报告＝关键报告(2002)●客观预测vs.间接影响vs.直接影响●失败的预测和成功的预测同样重要●预测失败原因之一：说服力的局限●预测失败原因之二：大时代的局限●预测失败原因之三：外推法的局限●两种科学方法：归纳法vs.演绎法●外推法的科幻悲剧：世代太空船●预测未来的两大主轴：变与不变●科幻作品＝虚拟时光隧道●作家的心灵超越时空：《幽明录》的启示●介绍一位未来学家：加来道雄●未来科技三大主轴：人工智能、生物技术、量子物理查看节目原文：https://www.ximalaya.com/sound/59987984
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026. 科幻与未来学(下)
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