EPISODE · Sep 3, 2016 · 36 MIN
034 NFL bets/ making good forecasts
from Mike's Notes · host Mike's Notes
Does Bill Simmons make super forecasts? Let's look at his NFL podcast preview and see. We'll look at: 1/ Finding good value and not obvious winners. 2/ Stay away when things are too hard. 3/ Mean reversion when randomness abounds. 4/ SITG. 5/ Invert (always invert!). 6/ What are the full range of outcomes?
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034 NFL bets/ making good forecasts
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