EPISODE · Oct 8, 2014 · 36 MIN
038: Can We Predict the Future?
from Constellation: Making the Graphic Novel · host Constellation
This week’s podcast asks about the benefits and problems associated with both hard “mathematical” prediction and soft “storytelling” prediction. We discuss the limits of mathematical prediction in terms of theory, randomness, chaos, and non-computability. We discuss the limits and benefits of storytelling and scenario planning as predictive tools as well, and we also discuss the self-reference […]
What this episode covers
This week's podcast asks about the benefits and problems associated with both hard "mathematical" prediction and soft "storytelling" prediction. We discuss the limits of mathematical prediction in terms of theory, randomness, chaos, and non-computability. We discuss the limits and benefits of storytelling and scenario planning as predictive tools as well, and we also discuss the self-reference problem, which can apply to both types of prediction. Finally we discuss the fictional discipline of psychohistory, and wonder whether truly working prediction machines could exist without lacking transparency.
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038: Can We Predict the Future?
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