1-22-25 Are Returns Expectations To 2025 Too High episode artwork

EPISODE · Jan 22, 2025 · 45 MIN

1-22-25 Are Returns Expectations To 2025 Too High

from The Real Investment Show (Full Show) · host Lance Roberts

It isn’t just Wall Street analysts who are optimistic about 2025 returns. Retail investors are the most optimistic about higher stock prices in 2025 by the most on record. Unsurprisingly, that sentiment resulted in the psychological rush to overpay for assets, pushing forward 1-year valuations sharply higher. Lance returns from Houston's winter freeze with commentary on Donald Trump's flurry of executive orders and the importance of the velocity of implementation: Continued government spending (albeit in different areas) effect on the economy, and the impact of immigrant deportations on the labor force. With markets on an upswing, now is a good time to rebalance portfolio risk. Lance relates the story of Mrs. Roberts chasing their dogs chasing rabbits through the snow and muck at 4am. Why businesses and investors are overly optimistic (charts). Lance explores the difference between sentiment vs reality, and how most of the good news is already price-in by markets. How markets are outgrowing the economy (charts). How will government investment influence consumer behavior? Curbing expectations to better manage portfolio risk; Lance reviews historic performance of specific sectors (charts). SEG-1: Post-Freeze, Trump Exec Orders SEG-2a: Chasing Rabbits w Mrs. Roberts SEG-2b: The Difference Between Sentiment vs Reality SEG-3: Why Markets are Outperforming the Economy SEG-4: Curbing Expectations to Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fh09Y8e72pI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?" https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is a Good Time for Portfolio Rebalancing ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwx-EcTqEY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Fiduciary Advisors Can Learn from Jimmy Carter," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEKNkfsiB4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It isn’t just Wall Street analysts who are optimistic about 2025 returns. Retail investors are the most optimistic about higher stock prices in 2025 by the most on record. Unsurprisingly, that sentiment resulted in the psychological rush to overpay for assets, pushing forward 1-year valuations sharply higher. Lance returns from Houston's winter freeze with commentary on Donald Trump's flurry of executive orders and the importance of the velocity of implementation: Continued government spending (albeit in different areas) effect on the economy, and the impact of immigrant deportations on the labor force. With markets on an upswing, now is a good time to rebalance portfolio risk. Lance relates the story of Mrs. Roberts chasing their dogs chasing rabbits through the snow and muck at 4am. Why businesses and investors are overly optimistic (charts). Lance explores the difference between sentiment vs reality, and how most of the good news is already price-in by markets. How markets are outgrowing the economy (charts). How will government investment influence consumer behavior? Curbing expectations to better manage portfolio risk; Lance reviews historic performance of specific sectors (charts). SEG-1: Post-Freeze, Trump Exec Orders SEG-2a: Chasing Rabbits w Mrs. Roberts SEG-2b: The Difference Between Sentiment vs Reality SEG-3: Why Markets are Outperforming the Economy SEG-4: Curbing Expectations to Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fh09Y8e72pI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?" https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is a Good Time for Portfolio Rebalancing ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwx-EcTqEY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Fiduciary Advisors Can Learn from Jimmy Carter," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEKNkfsiB4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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1-22-25 Are Returns Expectations To 2025 Too High

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This episode was published on January 22, 2025.

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It isn’t just Wall Street analysts who are optimistic about 2025 returns. Retail investors are the most optimistic about higher stock prices in 2025 by the most on record. Unsurprisingly, that sentiment resulted in the psychological rush to overpay...

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