PODCAST · news
The Real Investment Show (Full Show)
by Lance Roberts
Here reside the full, unadulterated audio files from the daily episodes of The Real Investment Show
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500
7-17-26 Roth Rules and Dividend Myths
Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty explore some of the biggest retirement and investing questions facing Americans today. We examine how SECURE Act 2.0 is accelerating the "Rothification" of retirement savings, why catch-up Roth contributions remain a powerful planning tool, and what investors need to know about employer Roth matching and the long-term tax implications. We also tackle one of the hottest debates in retirement planning: Are dividend stocks really safer, or are investors being seduced by yield? We examine the arguments popularized by Dave Ramsey and Suze Orman, discuss whether dividends actually provide better retirement income, and explain why total return—not yield alone—should drive long-term investment decisions. Along the way, we'll discuss how today's market environment, disruptive technologies, and changing tax policies could reshape retirement planning for years to come. Plus, we preview our upcoming "Narrative Busters" series, where we challenge some of Wall Street's most widely accepted investment beliefs. 0:00 INTRO 0:19 - Butt stuff & Taxes 3:39 - MAHA & Homeopathy (Health & Wealth are Connected) 5:45 - Secure Act 2.0 & Rothification of America 9:53 - Do Not Stop Catch-up Contributions to Roths 12:58 - Putting Employer Matches in Roth accounts 14:15 - Dealing with Tax Implications (Bending Over) 15:45 - Temperature Technology 19:11 - Take the Pain of Taxes Now vs Later (Will They Tax Our Roths?) 20:23 - The Roth Saga of Peter Thiel 22:48 - The Tax Cascade is Coming 25:05 - Suze Orman, Dave Ramsey Rationale on Dividend Paying Stocks 27:58 - Dividend = Safety? 32:47 - Seduced by Yield 37:00 - If You Want Income... 39:15 - Impact of Disruptive Companies 40:39 - Narrative Busters tease (Which Ghost Buster is Who? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Is Market Leadership Changing?" https://youtu.be/-NtwWZUvZBA ------- Watch our previous show, "Winning Less, Investing Better" https://youtube.com/live/K-mLdepNr6Y?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #RothIRA #DividendInvesting #TaxPlanning #FinancialPlanning
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499
7-16-26 Headwinds, Tailwinds, and Market Risk
Markets rarely move in a straight line. Just like the weather, investing requires understanding both the headwinds that can slow markets down and the tailwinds that can keep the rally moving forward. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the key forces shaping today's investment landscape, including stretched valuations, investor sentiment, earnings expectations, interest rates, liquidity, and the continued influence of artificial intelligence. While several risks deserve close attention, there are also powerful catalysts that could continue supporting stocks in the months ahead. The goal is not to predict the next storm, but to recognize the environment and adjust portfolio risk accordingly. 0:00 INTRO 1:04 - Earnings and AI Exuberance 4:44 - Consolidation Process Continues 6:33 - Have Semi-conductors Earnings Expectations Peaked? 11:03 - Pizza, Pineapple, & Sam Houston's Chili 12:54 - Why Junk Bonds and Junkier Bonds are Trading Fine 16:07 - The Bifurcated Bond Market 18:35 - What Fund Gating Really Means 21:44 - Pay Attention to Credit Spreads 22:54 - Investor Sentiment & GDP Growth 25:53 - When the Yield Curve Was Wrong 29:34 - Headwinds & Forecasts (The Big Tailwind of AI Spending) 33:40 - The Cone of Uncertainty 38:15 - Watch the Indicators 39:57 - Semi-conductors Aren't Looking Good Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/PA0HSeYexfE ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Semiconductor Warning as Markets Climb," https://youtu.be/9PJPUe3i390 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - CPI, Earnings, and Market Risks" https://youtube.com/live/zVjwV7l3kjw ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #Nvidia #MarketOutlook #Investing #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning
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498
7-15-26 Q&A Wednesday - CPI, Earnings, and Market Risks
What if the biggest advantage in today's markets isn't making more trades or winning every debate—but knowing when to step back? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine two powerful ideas: why constantly trying to be "right" can actually hurt investment returns, and how today's financial markets increasingly resemble gambling platforms fueled by constant speculation, options trading, prediction markets, sports betting, and cryptocurrencies. 0:00 INTRO 0:51 - Banks' Earnings Soar on Trading Revenue 3:52 - Markets Continue Gravitating Along Rising 20-DMA 9:00 - Where Was Danny? 11:27 - What Happened w CPI (Bonds Are Always Right) 15:28 - Credit Spreads - Which One to Watch? 17:30 - Market Reaction to Iran War - What will next cause Correction? (How will this impact earnings?) 20:55 - Always expect Correction 27:27 - How to Track Buy-Now, Pay-later Debt? 30:20 - Dealing with Cash 32:51 - When You Have a Loser (explain) 33:38 - What Will Semi-conductors do Without Helium? 36:22 - Will Negative Guidance be a Catalyst for Pullback? 37:10 - Prioritization of Funding Retirement Vehicles 38:53 - IBM Announcement Translation 40:28 - What CPI, PPI Numbers mean (going to Costco) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/zVjwV7l3kjw ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Is Market Leadership Changing?" https://youtu.be/-NtwWZUvZBA ------- Watch our previous show, "Winning Less, Investing Better" https://youtube.com/live/K-mLdepNr6Y?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #Semiconductors #OilPrices #RiskManagement #WealthBuilding
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497
7-14-26 Winning Less, Investing Better
What if the biggest advantage in today's markets isn't making more trades or winning every debate—but knowing when to step back? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine two powerful ideas: why constantly trying to be "right" can actually hurt investment returns, and how today's financial markets increasingly resemble gambling platforms fueled by constant speculation, options trading, prediction markets, sports betting, and cryptocurrencies. 0:00 INTRO 0:54 - Mixed Market & Heightened VIX on Semi-conductors 4:41 - Markets Trying to Breakout of Wedge 9:18 - Candid Coffee Tease 10:01 - The Challenge of Investing in Current Market 12:18 - The Velocity of Information Makes us Worse Investors 18:15 - Being an Unemotional Investor - Be Like Spock 24:08 - Don't Benchmark Portfolio to High Water Mark 24:35 - We've Been Bred to Compete 26:07 - Gamification of Markets - 7 Rules of Poker 29:19 - When Enough is Enough 34:57 - Spotting Bubbles 36:12 - Using AI for Financial Advice 40:54 - AI is Not a Fiduciary 42:55 - Burt's Question on Solo 401k's & Roths Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/K-mLdepNr6Y?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Oil, Chips, and a Market at Support," https://youtu.be/rk3wl-CHUKs ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Spotting Bubbles Is So Hard" https://youtube.com/live/7bEwrd8UCHM ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Poker (Gambling) Can Teach You To Be A Better Investor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/poker-gambling-can-teach-you-to-be-a-better-investor/ 'Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ "Spotting Market Bubbles: Why History Says It’s Nearly Impossible" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spotting-market-bubbles-why-history-says-its-nearly-impossible/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #OilPrices #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BehavioralFinance #LongTermInvesting #RiskManagement #WealthBuilding
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496
7-13-26 Why Spotting Bubbles Is So Hard
Every investor wants to identify the next market bubble before it bursts, but history shows that's far easier said than done. Whether it's technology stocks, housing, cryptocurrencies, or today's Artificial Intelligence leaders, distinguishing a true speculative bubble from a powerful long-term investment trend is one of the greatest challenges in investing. Lance Roberts explains why bubbles are so difficult to recognize in real time, the behavioral biases that cloud investor judgment, and how to manage portfolio risk without relying on perfect market timing. 0:00 INTRO 0:51 - Bank Earnings Kick off This Week 4:50 - Market Complacency is High 11:34 - AI Capex Risk Cuts Both Ways 16:02 - The Multiplier Effect of AI Cap-ex Spending 18:39 - Productivity Growth Illustrated 22:19 - Why Spotting Bubbles is Difficult - The Paradox 24:56 - A History of Stock Market Bubbles 28:00 - Valuations & Market Drawdowns 30:42 - Four Horsemen of Financial Bubbles 34:03 - The Bubble Checklist: Momentum vs Mania 42:53 - How to Stay Invested 46:45 - Order of Liquidation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/7bEwrd8UCHM ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Momentum Meets Complacency," https://youtu.be/h4kEwVr7l-0 ------- Watch our previous show, "Yield Curve Warnings: Signal or False Alarm?" https://youtube.com/live/oFqAQg5DkiI ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Capex Risk Cuts Both Ways In The American Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-capex-risk-cuts-both-ways-in-the-american-economy/ "Spotting Market Bubbles: Why History Says It’s Nearly Impossible" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spotting-market-bubbles-why-history-says-its-nearly-impossible/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #OilPrices #Semiconductor #MarketBubbles #BehavioralFinance #RiskManagement
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495
7-10-26 The Boomerang Generation - When Adult Kids Move Back Home
More families are experiencing the Boomerang Generation phenomenon, with adult children moving back home because of housing costs, student debt, career changes, or other life events. Before saying "yes," parents should understand the financial, legal, and retirement planning implications. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty discuss how you can protect your retirement while helping your adult children, including household expenses, setting boundaries, estate planning considerations, and knowing when financial support helps—or hurts. Whether your adult children are moving back temporarily or never left the nest, having a clear plan can preserve both your finances and your family relationships. Subscribe for more insights on retirement planning, investing, personal finance, Social Security, and building long-term financial security. 0:00 INTRO 0:24 - McCarty's Contaminated Gasoline Tale 1:45 - Texas Stock Exchange Opens 3:35 - The Boomerang Generation - why is it happening? 6:00 - Where Younger Generations Want to Live & Financial Independence 9:57 - The Long Term Care Crisis Impact on Children 14:03 - Homebuilders' Response to Shifting Trends (Tiny Homes) 16:35 - Dealing with Lifestyle Creep 18:14 - Planning for Multi-family Living 20:34 - The Associated Costs of Moving Back Home 23:55 - Planning Pragmatically - Defining Purpose and Process 28:14 - Financial Expectations - Spending Tomorrow's Money 30:06 - Empty-nesting again 32:39 - Establishing Household Ground Rules 36:05 - The Long Term Care Dilemma & Care Giving 38:28 - Importance of Reviewing Insurance Needs - What to do with the Stuff 40:22 - Dealing with Tax Implications (Gifting, Home Purchases, etc) 42:01 - The Sibling Imbalances (Roth Conversions) 47:30 - What's the Exit Strategy; Lawnmowers & Socks 50:20 - The Emotional Impacts of Cohabitation 54:04 - Narrative Busters Tease - The Space-X Narrative, AI Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/gXj-QntdhK0?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday" https://youtube.com/live/ua-paCoNRwo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #BoomerangGeneration #PersonalFinance #AdultChildren #FamilyFinance
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494
7-9-26 Yield Curve Warnings - Signal or False Alarm
Flattening yield curves, violent sector rotations, and shifting market leadership often trigger recession headlines—but do they really predict when markets will peak? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz look at why investors frequently confuse condition indicators with timing indicators. While yield curve flattening and rapid rotations between growth and value stocks can reveal that the market environment is changing, they don't tell you exactly when a recession or bear market will begin. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Markets' Response to Hormuz Limbo 5:54 - Consolidation Patterns Remain Unchanged 11:24 - The Risk of Continuing Iran Conflict 14:58 - The Ambiguous Fed 16:43 - Chip Stocks' Behavior 18:16 - Market Volatility is Low 21:35 - SEC Rules Changes & Liquidity 23:24 - The Japanese Yen & Carry Trade 29:58 - Japan's "Trolly Car" Problem & Risk to U.S. 32:47 - Yield Curve Warnings 37:43 - Long- or Short-duration Bonds? 40:05 - What's the Real Yield? 42:00 - Why Own Bonds Now? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/oFqAQg5DkiI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Breakout Still Waiting," https://youtu.be/hGKaEy7tJiY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Markets, Rates, and Risk" https://youtube.com/live/ua-paCoNRwo ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Flattening Curves And Style Rotations Deceptive Omens?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/are-flattening-curves-and-style-rotations-deceptive-omens/ 'The Low VIX Hides Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-low-vix-hides-fierce-undercurrents/ "The Yen At 40-Year Lows: Should You Care?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-yen-at-40-year-low-should-you-care/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #SP500 #Semiconductors #Investing #YieldCurve #Recession #RiskManagement
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493
7-8-26 Q&A Wednesday - Markets, Rates, and Risk
It's Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts examines whether the momentum-driven rally in semiconductors can continue, how the Iran cease-fire breakdown could affect markets, and what investors should watch ahead of the FOMC decision. We also answer your questions on the differences between the NASDAQ VIX and S&P VIX, whether government policies continue to support elevated real estate prices, investing in Canadian companies through IRAs, the implications of a yield curve un-inversion, portfolio rebalancing strategies, dollar-cost averaging, maintaining the right cash allocation, the rise of inverse ETFs tied to the Magnificent Seven, recent SEC rule changes, and the lawsuit challenging NASDAQ's handling of the proposed SpaceX listing. We also discuss technology versus semiconductor sector leadership and why electricity demand and long-term power contracts are becoming increasingly important investment themes. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - FOMC Meeting Preview - Iran Cease Fire is Done 5:00 - Consolidation Range Continues; Momentum Trade in mostly Semi-conductors 6:58 - Risks from Iran Action 11:34 - Fight to the death & swats in school 14:11 - NASDAQ VIX vs S&P VIX 16:07 - How much of Real Estate prices are supported by Govt.? 17:04 - Canadian Companies in IRA's? 19:12 - Yield Curve inversion & un-inversions & Risk of Recession 26:13 - Mistakes with Cash in Investing (Cash = Opportunity) 29:17 - The Problem with Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) 33:03 - Criteria for Rebalancing Portfolio 38:17 - Mag-7 Inverse ETF 39:42 - SEC Rule Changes 44:54 - The Cash Cushion Has Never Been Thinner 46:13 - Technology vs Semi-conductors as sectors 47:11 - Lawsuit against NASDAQ for fast-tracking Space-X 47:43 - Electricity Contracts Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ua-paCoNRwo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Momentum Cracks, But Markets Hold" https://youtu.be/nO2N4bdLifo ------- Watch our previous show, "Could You Spot a Ponzi Scam?" https://youtube.com/live/36xwcnfxPa0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #Semiconductors #BeforeTheBell #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #FinancialPlanning
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492
7-7-26 Could You Spot a Ponzi Scam?
Could you recognize a Ponzi scheme before it's too late? Most victims believe they're too smart to be scammed—until they're not. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn look at how Ponzi schemes, affinity fraud, and romance scams exploit trust, emotion, and urgency rather than intelligence. From promises of guaranteed returns to online relationships that suddenly turn into investment opportunities, scammers continue to steal billions from unsuspecting investors every year. We'll discuss the warning signs every investor should know, why even experienced professionals fall victim, and the practical steps you can take to protect yourself, your family, and your retirement savings. 0:00 INTRO 0:56 - ISM: Economy is Okay 3:11 - Market Compression & AI Arms Race 9:49 - Trump Accounts for Grandkids? 17:16 - Why Money Doesn't Survive Generations 20:16 - Trump Accounts vs 529's 25:34 - Ponzi Schemes & Scams 29:37 - When It's Too Good to Be True...It Is 31:53 - Investment Scams! 35:58 - Elderly Parents, Trust, & Romance Scams 39:12 - When You have to Become The Parent Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/36xwcnfxPa0 ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Will AI Chip Competition Derail the Rally?" https://youtu.be/QeB5fBrW4yA ------- Watch our previous show, "Margin Debt Myths Investors Should Ignore" https://youtube.com/live/qz2YPAd-qPI ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #ArtificialIntelligence #Semiconductors #Investing #RiskManagement #PonziScheme #InvestmentFraud #ScamAwareness #RetirementPlanning #FinancialEducation
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491
7-6-26 Margin Debt Myths Investors Should Ignore
Does rising margin debt really signal an imminent stock market crash? Not necessarily. Lance Roberts examines why many commonly cited margin debt charts can be misleading, which measures deserve investors' attention, and how leverage should be interpreted within the context of liquidity, economic growth, and market trends. 0:00 INTRO 0:50 - July 4th Recap, FIFA Soccer, & Earnings Season Launch 5:31 - Market Set up for July 9:46 - Market Futures & Economic Surveys 12:23 - Wage Growth as a Leading Economic Indicator 15:10 - Correlation of Wages to Inflation 20:13 - Real Wages' Effect on Economy 22:44 - Margin Debt Risk - The Ratios that Mislead 28:02 - Margin Debt Makes Great Clickbait 30:00 - Margin Debt & Market Cap 33:33 - Indicators that Matter (to the markets) 35:52 - Net Credit Balances 39:11 - Margin Debt vs Personal Savings (cash) 41:16 - What Year-over-year Change Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/qz2YPAd-qPI ------- Watch our previous show, "The Widow's Penalty in Social Security" https://youtube.com/live/iHJLWOZY4NQ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #EarningsSeason #MarketOutlook #SP500 #MarginDebt #Investing #MarketAnalysis #FinancialPlanning
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7-3-26 The Widow's Penalty in Social Security
The loss of a spouse is one of life's most difficult transitions, and for many retirees, it can also result in a significant reduction in Social Security income. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty explain the Social Security "Widow's Penalty," why survivor benefits often leave widows and widowers with less household income, and the planning strategies that can help protect your retirement. We discuss the importance of delaying Social Security when appropriate, planning for life as a surviving spouse, Roth conversions, IRA withdrawal strategies, qualified charitable distributions (QCDs), and estate planning fundamentals that can help preserve wealth for the next generation. You'll also learn why communication between spouses is essential, how the step-up in basis can benefit heirs, why holding assets with large unrealized losses may create unintended consequences, and how thoughtful planning today can reduce financial stress tomorrow. If you're married, widowed, approaching retirement, or helping aging parents prepare for the future, this episode offers practical guidance on protecting both your income and your legacy. 0:00 INTRO 0:19 - America's 250th & Buc-cee's 5:42 - Narrative Busters & Stock Stories 6:48 - Commemorative SS Card 8:16 - American Ingenuity - Automotive Deep Scrub, Carpet Cleaning 12:40 - Widows' Penalty with Social Security 16:30 - How to plan for living single as Senior - Roth Conversions & IRA Withdrawals 18:25 - Importance of Delaying Social Security 22:41 - Importance of Estate Planning Basics 26:23 - Qualified Charitable Distributions to Reduce IRA RMD's 28:45 - Keeping the exemption for Two 31:02 - Importance of Communication - Who's Left Behind? 33:40 - Maximizing w Step Up in Basis - taking the losses before you pass 35:21 - Don't Die with Assets Holding Losses 39:21 - Closing thoughts - Plan Ahead & Catch Up Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/iHJLWOZY4NQ ------- Watch our previous show, "Milton Friedman Was Mostly Right" https://youtube.com/live/qDTBlhH8YGY ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #WidowsPenalty #RetirementPlanning #EstatePlanning #FinancialPlanning
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7-2-26 Why Markets Follow Interest Rates (More Than the News)
Every market rally, pullback, and recession eventually comes back to one powerful force: interest rates. While investors often focus on breaking news and political headlines, the Federal Reserve's interest-rate policy has a far greater impact on stocks, bonds, inflation, retirement income, and long-term investment returns. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain what the Federal Reserve actually controls, why rate cuts have taken longer than many investors expected, and whether the Fed can truly tame inflation. We also discuss how higher interest rates affect retirement planning, the most common interest-rate mistakes retirees make, and what investors should watch as markets continue to react to changing monetary policy. 0:00 INTRO 1:12 - US Soccer & Pepsi Jump Jet Challenge 5:45 - Markets Move Higher 12:08 - Switching from Value to Growth 16:35 - Options Trading Influence 19:17 - Rate Expectations Under Keven Warsh at Fed 22:47 - June Employment Report Preview 26:38 - The Importance of Wage Growth 28:28 - The K-Shaped Economy is Changing 29:24 - The Challenges of Being a Value Investor 32:31 - SimpleVisor Tools for You 35:45 - Looking at the "Lag-7" 37:39 - Reversion to the Mean Explained (again) 40:29 - Margin Debt and Leverage Financing Costs 43:38 - Yen Carry Trade 45:27 - Weather Forcast accuracy & predictions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/BND-She8za0 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Friedman Was Right, Just Mostly Misquoted" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mitton-friedman-was-right-just-mostly-misquoted/ "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Buy Signal or Holiday Trap?" https://youtu.be/Dne95_cl50c ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Your financial Questions Answered Live" https://youtube.com/live/A9mA4FyIAjY ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InterestRates #Investing #MarketOutlook #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #Investing #FIFA #USMT
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7-1-26 Q&A Wednesday - Your Financial Questions Answered Live
It's Q&A Wednesday, where we answer your biggest questions about investing, retirement, the economy, and today's markets. With stocks testing key resistance, artificial intelligence continuing to drive market leadership, interest rate expectations evolving, and retirement planning challenges becoming more complex, investors have plenty of questions. This live discussion with Lance Roberts covers the issues that matter most to your financial future. Whether you're wondering about portfolio positioning, market risk, Social Security, retirement income, taxes, estate planning, or the latest economic headlines, we'll provide practical, evidence-based answers designed to help you make more informed financial decisions 0:00 INTRO 1:03 - Market Rally & Economic Numbers - The Problem with the Data 5:21 - Retail Investors Go Crazy 7:22 - Markets' Climb Above the Moving Averages 11:53 - All Alone & Texas Travels 13:38 - Nikkei Numbers 15:18 - America: The Best Country for Consumers 16:25 - Thoughts on Structured Notes 19:57 - What's Up w Downtrend in Resources? 23:34 - What is "The Mean," and How Is It Figured? 30:11 - Thoughts on the Current Real Estate Sector 35:00 - Natural Gas Mid-stream Companies 38:28 - Rebalancing Long-term Positions 40:19 - RIA Economic Conference and RIA Merch 41:38 - Market Price Factors - How Algorithms Work 43:55 - Dealing w Facts vs Narratives 46:29 - The Housing Affordability "Crisis" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/A9mA4FyIAjY ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Friedman Was Right, Just Mostly Misquoted" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mitton-friedman-was-right-just-mostly-misquoted/ "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Can July Deliver?" https://youtu.be/epuAhNmH-q0 ------- Watch our previous show, "Should You Leave Your 401(k) Where It Is?" https://youtube.com/live/iHJLWOZY4NQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement
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6-30-26 Should You Leave Your 401(k) Where It Is
Should you leave your old 401(k) with a former employer, roll it into an IRA, move it to a new employer's retirement plan, or consider another option? The right answer depends on your goals, investment choices, fees, taxes, and retirement timeline. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine the advantages and disadvantages of each option, including investment flexibility, creditor protection, Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs), fees, and the tax implications that could affect your long-term retirement strategy. We'll also explain why leaving your 401(k) where it is may be the best decision in some situations—and why rolling it over isn't always the automatic choice. If you're changing jobs, approaching retirement, or simply reviewing old retirement accounts, this discussion will help you make a more informed decision before moving your savings. 0:00 INTRO 0:48 - End of June - Start of July 2:25 - Google Goes to DJIA 4:43 - Maintain & Monitor Risk 8:35 - Man Caves & Kitchens 9:18 - I Need to Rollover My 401k to an IRA 15:16 - What to Do with Your 401k 17:04 - What You Lose in an IRA 20:55 - Is This a Bad Time to Invest? 25:57 - Binary Investors 27:33 - Gating Returns in Private Credit Funds 40:18 - Dollar Strength & Precious Metals 43:31 - Why You Should Keep Money in a 401k - vs IRA Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/iHJLWOZY4NQ ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Friedman Was Right, Just Mostly Misquoted" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mitton-friedman-was-right-just-mostly-misquoted/ "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Can Markets Break Out?" https://youtu.be/Cdk3OpxHkd4 ------- Watch our previous show, "Milton Friedman Was Mostly Right" https://youtube.com/live/qDTBlhH8YGY ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #MarketOutlook #401k #RetirementPlanning #IRA #Retirement #FinancialPlanning
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6-29-26 Milton Friedman Was Mostly Right
Was Milton Friedman right about inflation? Yes—but only if you quote the entire sentence. For decades, investors, economists, and financial media have repeated Friedman's famous statement that "inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon." Unfortunately, most stop at the comma, missing the critical qualification that changes the entire meaning. Lance Roberts reveals what Friedman actually meant, why money supply alone does not guarantee inflation, and how velocity, productive capacity, and credit creation determine whether higher prices become a lasting inflation problem or simply a temporary price adjustment. 0:00 INTRO 0:56 - Short Trading Week + EOQ Dynamics 4:16 - Google Joins the DJA 5:33 - Markets Break 50-DMA: What Comes Next? 12:07 - Milton Friedman Was Right (but mostly misquoted) 17:37 - Why is Debt Important? 20:57 - CPI in the '60's & '70's 22:47 - How to Grow Money Supply 26:15 - Money Has to Grow for the Economy to Grow 27:16 - The Importance of Monetary Velocity 34:54 - Quality of Credit Matters more than Quantity 38:22 - Where's All the Money Coming From? 40:50 - Household Cash as % of Total Household Assets 42:32 - The K is Improving 44:15 - Retail MM Fund Balances, Equity Ownership Growth 49:56 - Two America's Behind One Average 51:49 - What to Do? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/qDTBlhH8YGY ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "50-DMA Breakdown: Bounce or Bigger Warning?" https://youtu.be/dzfHi5OoSXw ------- Watch our previous show, "Don't Sweat Social Security," https://youtube.com/live/V4m6knHOW2o?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #Micron #Investing #MarketOutlook #Inflation #MiltonFriedman #FederalReserve #Economics #Investing
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6-26-26 Don't Sweat Social Security
Social Security is back in the headlines, with warnings about trust fund shortfalls, benefit cuts, and proposed reforms creating anxiety for retirees and pre-retirees alike. But before making emotional decisions, it's important to understand what is actually at risk, what Congress is likely to do, and how to build a retirement income plan that works regardless of future changes. Richard Rosso breaks down the latest Social Security concerns, including Larry Kotlikoff's recent warnings, the program's unfunded obligations, and the legislative proposals currently being discussed in Washington. We examine whether claiming benefits early truly protects retirees from future cuts, why delaying benefits can dramatically improve retirement income, and how coordinating Social Security with pensions, savings, annuities, and investment portfolios may help create a more reliable retirement paycheck. And we talk Rhubarb pie. We also review potential reforms, including changes to payroll tax caps, CPI calculations, customer service improvements, workforce modernization, and bipartisan efforts aimed at strengthening the long-term sustainability of the program. Most importantly, we discuss how to run multiple retirement income scenarios so that uncertainty becomes part of the plan instead of a source of fear. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Social Security Cannot Go Away 2:36 - Taking SS Early doesn't guarantee no benefit cuts in 2032 3:27 - Larry Kotlikoff - "Horrific News" 5:50 - Social Security's Unofficial Debt & Coming Legislation 7:57 - Don't Panic: Plan It (Coordination of Benefits) 8:51 - Potential Changes Upcoming - running the scenarios 11:46 - The Best Retirement Combination (Retirement Nirvana) 13:45 - Creating a Paycheck in Retirement - Annuity Structures within 401k's 17:14 - The Benefit of Delaying Benefits - doing the math 18:34 - How Congress Might Make up the Difference 22:40 - Maintaining Standard of Living in Retirement 23:06 - Phasing out cap on SS Payroll Taxes 24:55 - Safeguarding American Families & Expanding SS Act 25:12 - CPI-E 26:31 - SS System Employee Count 28:10 - Making tax deductions permanent 30:04 - Senior Citizens' Freedom to Work act 32:48 - SS Customer Service Act vs upgrading systems 34:02 - The Autofill Act 35:00 - The Bi-partisan Social Security Commission Act 36:09 - Narrative Busters tease Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/V4m6knHOW2o?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Micron #Semiconductors #StockMarket #EarningsSeason #Investing #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #MarketOutlook
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6-25-26 The Micron Report - What's Next for Semi-conductors?
Has Micron's earnings report changed the outlook for semiconductor stocks and the broader artificial intelligence trade? With expectations running exceptionally high following a massive rally in chip stocks, investors are looking beyond headline numbers to what Micron's results and outlook may reveal about future demand, pricing power, and earnings growth across the industry. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss what Micron's report means for semiconductor stocks, market leadership, and the next phase of the AI-driven investment cycle. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:05 - Economic Data Preview & Trump's Gasoline Gaffe 7:00 - Narrow Market Rally Obscures Underlying Weakness 13:02 - Micron Recap 16:32 - Nvidia vs Micron - Comparing the Fundamentals 20:26 - When Will Demand Slow or Supply Catch Up? 21:57 - "Your High Margin is My Invitation" 25:22 - The Law of Large Numbers Will Eventually Apply 28:58 - Calculating the Risk 30:32 - Crude Oil Pricing vs Gasoline 33:04 - Economic Data Preview - What Will Markets Do? 37:27 - Will CPI, PPI Indicators Matter to the Fed Now? 40:54 - Bonds Look Like Gasoline Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Hu6OW8jg_XE ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What's Really Driving This Market? " https://youtube.com/live/b7C0L0Sd2mU ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Semiconductor Rally Hides Market Weakness" here: https://youtu.be/iT0t1C5puiE ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed’s “Forward Guidance” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #Micron #Investing #MarketOutlook #Micron #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #Gasoline #CrudeOil
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6-24-26 Q&A Wednesday - What's Really Driving This Market
Markets can remain resilient longer than many expect, but understanding what is fueling the rally is critical for managing risk and protecting long-term financial goals. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff tackle your questions about what is really driving stocks higher, whether earnings expectations are becoming too optimistic, the risks of narrow market leadership, portfolio positioning in today's environment, bonds, inflation, artificial intelligence, and what investors should be watching next. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - Micron Earnings Day 5:30 - Dollar Rally & Money Flows 6:38 - Markets Break Below Consolidation 10:51 - How We Spend Money 13:23 - Do All IPO's Go Down After Lock-up Period? 18:18 - Where do Foreign Money Flows Come From? 19:21 - What to Do When Markets Feel "Toppy?" 24:32 - Manage Your Money for Risk, not Beating an Index 26:21 - Promises vs Reality 29:19 - Explaining Preferred Stock, Bonds, Shares (& pecking order in Bankruptcy) 33:37 - Can a Continued Rally in the Dollar Impact Markets? 35:31 - Concerned about U.S. Gov't. Debt? 40:27 - Effects of Foreign Money Creation on Domestic Money Flows 44:30 - The Importance of Convexity in a Portfolio 47:39 - Olive Garden vs Italy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/b7C0L0Sd2mU ------- Watch our previous show, "The New Rules of Portfolio Protection" https://youtube.com/live/donQO1t_hLs ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Micron Earnings: The Bar Is Too High" here: https://youtu.be/v7poBC45Le0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed’s “Forward Guidance” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Micron #Semiconductors #StockMarket #EarningsSeason #Investing #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #MarketOutlook
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6-23-26 The New Rules of Portfolio Protection
Markets are near highs, but momentum is slowing, breadth remains narrow, buybacks are entering blackout periods, and investors are looking for ways to participate in gains without exposing themselves to a major drawdown. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn discuss practical portfolio protection strategies that don't require moving entirely to cash. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:58 - End of Quarter Rebalancing Begins 4:25 - Markets to Retest 50-DMA 9:17 - How to Stay Invested Without Getting Burned 14:19 - Take Some Profits & Stay Disciplined 16:10 - Two Camps of Space-X 23:34 - The AI/Industrial Revolution 20:45 - The market is changing how we manage money 27:39 - Avoiding Catastrophic Loss of Capital 30:35 - 15 Rules of Risk Management 31:47 - How to Hedge Your Portfolio 36:21 - The Risk in Trading 40:14 - Bull markets Breed Confidence 43:42 - Be Careful of Narratives vs Market Behavior 45:24 - Remember How You React to Market Downturns (pain) 47:56 - Hedging Your Portfolio is not a Binary Issue Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/donQO1t_hLs ------- Watch our previous show, "hen Money Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed" https://youtube.com/live/UYxvj5axVTQ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Quarter-End Rebalancing Hits Markets," here: https://youtu.be/REkG7SgcVhw ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed’s “Forward Guidance” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #PortfolioManagement #MarketVolatility #Investing #RiskManagement #PortfolioProtection #RiskManagement #RetirementPlanning #InvestingStrategy #WealthManagement
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6-22-26 When Money Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed
Markets remain near record highs, but the technical backdrop is becoming more complex. Strong money flows continue to support asset prices, while a more hawkish Federal Reserve threatens to tighten financial conditions and limit upside potential. Lance Roberts looks at how liquidity, institutional flows, market momentum, and investor sentiment are interacting with Fed policy. We also explore whether technical support levels can withstand higher interest rates, what history suggests when liquidity and monetary policy diverge, and what investors should watch next as markets navigate this critical crossroads. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - FIFA Fever & Setting Up for July 5:32 - Portfolio Rebalancing & Buyback Blackout 11:34 - Alan Greenspan death at 100 16:42 - Markets Trading on Plumbing More than Fundamentals 21:06 - Market Inflows - Where's the money coming fron? 26:45 - Micron Quarterly Preview - Where's the risk? 30:25 - Market Breadth Concerns 32:58 - Where Does the Money Go? 34:51 - Market Mechanics Remain Strong 39:00 - When Everyone Agrees...(Bob Farrell Rule #9) 40:27 - Three Things to Watch 43:12 - The Risks are Real Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UYxvj5axVTQ ------- Watch our previous show, "Black Swans, SpaceX, & Retirement Reality" https://youtube.com/live/Rq8NxfiiG2I ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Pennant: Breakout or Breakdown?" here: https://youtu.be/tYu7hYTjg_g ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed’s “Forward Guidance” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement #Investing #Semiconductors #FederalReserve #AlanGreenspanDeath #KevinWarsh #MarketAnalysis
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6-19-26 Black Swans, SpaceX, & Retirement Reality
Richard Rosso & Jon Penn connect some of the biggest investing stories with the realities of retirement planning. From Elon Musk, SpaceX, and Social Security to Black Swan events and retirement planning, today's discussion explores how investors get drawn into powerful stories, confirmation bias, and headline-driven decisions. We examine why SpaceX is a unique market outlier, the importance of price discovery, and how unexpected events can have a greater impact on portfolios than most investors anticipate. We also cover retirement spending, liquidity, insurance, Warren Buffett's gifting strategy, AI's impact on inflation, and why every retirement plan should prepare for both opportunity and risk. Plus, a preview of our upcoming "Aging in Place Guide" and a teaser for Candid Coffee. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Elon Musk's Trillion Dollars & Fixing Social Security 5:35 - Space-X Mania: Stocks are Stories 7:05 - Black Swans & Outliers 8:32 - Perspective: Financial Planners are the Party Poopers 12:02 - Confirmation Bias & Algorithms 14:53 - Outliers & Wings of the Black Swan 16:52 - Everyone's Retirement is Different 19:03 - Space-X is an Outlier - No Price Discovery 21:16 - The Retirement Smirk 24:24 - Finding Financial Bandwidth in Retirement 26:00 - PREVIEW: "The Aging in Place Guide" 26:31 - Aggressive Spending in Retirement 28:42 - How Warren Buffett Gifted & Conditional Gifting 29:46 - Dr. Phil Reels & Self-imposed Black Swans 31:49 - Having a little Sexy in your portfolio is okay 34:45 - Dealing with Headline Porn 36:02 - Is AI Inflationary or Dis-inflationary? 37:29 - Liquidity is he Greatest Asset You Can Have 38:43 - Black Swans today & Planning for the Worst 46:53 - Candid Coffee Teaser: Being Properly Insured 50:50 - Creating Black Swans 52:46 - Listening to Bulls AND Bears Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Rq8NxfiiG2I ------- Watch our previous show, "Kevin Warsh's First Day at the Fed" https://youtube.com/live/USe3OhTf1FM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #BlackSwanEvents #SpaceX #FinancialPlanning #Investing
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6-18-26 Kevin Warsh's First Day at the Fed
What happens when a new Federal Reserve Chair takes office during a period of elevated market valuations, persistent inflation concerns, and growing pressure on interest rate policy? Lance Roberts discusses what investors should watch on Kevin Warsh's first day at the Fed, including potential shifts in monetary policy, inflation management, interest rates, bond markets, and stock valuations. Will the new leadership signal a more hawkish approach, a more market-friendly stance, or simply a continuation of current policy? Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - A Very Different Fed Presser - Markets Did Not Like It 2:37 - Gobsmacked on America - No Beer in Boston 4:55 - Markets Grapple with End-of Quarter Blues 11:11 - Fattening or Immoral 11:42 - Editing the Fed Statement 13:31 - Kevin Warsh Press Conference clip - Impact of Oil on Economic Data 18:02 - Kevin Warch on 2% Inflation Target 19:55 - Changes in Fed Forward Guidance 23:47 - Fed Initiatives 31:23 - The Magnitude of Change at the Fed 28:05 - The Five Fed Task Forces 32:25 - Fed Communications 34:01 - The Fed Balance Sheet 35:06 - Reliance on More Instant Data 39:09 - Productivity & Jobs 39:29 - The Fed's Inflation Framework 42:08 - How Warsh Will Lead the Fed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/USe3OhTf1FM ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Pennant: Breakout or Breakdown?" here: https://youtu.be/tYu7hYTjg_g ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What Matters Now?" https://youtube.com/live/ZBK984RQuvk ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "May Inflation Print: Why the 4.2% Headline Is an Oil Story," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/may-inflation-print-why-the-4-2-headline-is-an-oil-story/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #PortfolioManagement #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #InterestRates #StockMarket
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6-17-26 Q&A Wednesday - What Matters Now?
Markets have rebounded sharply from their recent correction, but investors are now asking what comes next. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions about the economy, interest rates, inflation, market valuations, bonds, retirement planning, artificial intelligence, geopolitics, and the biggest risks facing investors today. Will the Federal Reserve remain on hold? How could oil prices, earnings growth, and consumer spending impact markets during the second half of the year? Are stocks becoming too expensive, or is the bull market still intact? We break down the latest economic developments and provide practical insights to help you navigate today's rapidly changing environment. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - Markets Selloff, Semi's Consolidate 3:03 - Kevin Warsh Presser Preview 6:41 - Oil Prices Direct Feed Into Economic Data 12:48 - Repricing Stocks to Oil 15:09 - Software Stocks' Catalyst 17:04 - Nvidia Bond Offering & Need for High Quality 19:14 - Momentum Markets in Space Stocks 23:11 - Time to take Profits in Space-X? 26:52 - The Fed's 2% Target 28:44 - WWWD - What Will Warsh Do? 30:19 - Total Bond Funds - Not a great place to be 32:29 - Bonds in a Roth IRA? 34:30 - Shifting Portfolio Allocations 37:36 - Make Sure Allocation Represents Three Things: 40:57 - Why the 60/40 Allocation is Best 45:39 - Is Private Credit Still "a Problem"? 47:05 - Annuities in 401k's? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ZBK984RQuvk ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Oil's Next Move Matters," here: https://youtu.be/EkUK7BwDUC4 ------- Watch our previous show, "SpaceX Mania: What Happens After the Hype?" https://youtube.com/live/Xr1Ut115-xA ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "May Inflation Print: Why the 4.2% Headline Is an Oil Story," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/may-inflation-print-why-the-4-2-headline-is-an-oil-story/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #StockMarket #Inflation #Investing #FederalReserve #EconomicOutlook #WealthManagement
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6-16-26 SpaceX Mania - What Happens After the Hype?
SpaceX has become one of the most anticipated investment stories in modern market history. Between Elon Musk's popularity, the company's technological achievements, and years of speculation about a public offering, investor excitement is reaching fever pitch. But what happens after the hype? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine the lessons to be learned from previous high-profile IPOs, and why some of the biggest investing mistakes occur after the initial excitement fades. We discuss valuation, investor psychology, momentum chasing, and the risks that emerge when enthusiasm becomes disconnected from fundamentals. We also look at the growing speculative interest surrounding leveraged products tied to the SpaceX theme, and why investors should be cautious when Wall Street starts packaging excitement into increasingly aggressive investment vehicles. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - America's 250th Anniversary Time Capsule & Space-X IPO 3:48 - The Bullish Setup Returns 8:18 - Back from Vacay... 9:32 - IPO's & Space-X 12:04 - What Happens Next - the Advantage in Waiting 14:19 - The FOMO Factor 17:53 - What Could Possibly Go Wrong? 19:02 - Has AI Lost Steam? (The New U.S.Industrial Revolution) 21:37 - What's Next After Iran War? (Economic Pressure Index) 24:08 - Two Things Driving Markets: Profitability & Optimistic Earnings Estimates 25:17 - Italian Gasoline Prices 28:38 - Interest Rates, Bonds, & Kevin Warsh at the Fed 33:59 - A Tip about TIPS 35:44 - Why You Should Own Some Bonds 37:59 - The Three Components of Investing: Safety, Liquidity, & Returns 41:01 - Annuities as Bond "Alternatives?" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Xr1Ut115-xA ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Bullish Setup Returns," here: https://youtu.be/ox4_xMsXqt4 ------- Watch our previous show, "Bull Market Pullback - Is the Correction Over?" https://youtube.com/live/csXApjrvlNY?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "May Inflation Print: Why the 4.2% Headline Is an Oil Story," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/may-inflation-print-why-the-4-2-headline-is-an-oil-story/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketUpdate #Investing #ArtificialIntelligence #SectorRotation #SpaceX #ElonMusk #IPO #Bonds #Annuities #KevinWarsh
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6-15-26 Bull Market Pullback - Is the Correction Over
The market finally delivered the pullback we expected, with stocks retreating roughly 4.5% before finding support at the 50-day moving average. Was that enough to reset bullish sentiment, or is another correction still ahead? In this episode, Lance Roberts examines why the 50-DMA remains one of the most important technical support levels during an ongoing bull market and whether the recent decline was simply a healthy pause within a larger uptrend. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:54 - Launching another Holiday-shortened Week 6:17 - Market Pullback Enables Stock Buys 12:26 - Roberts Family Travel Travails 26:55 - Markets Pull Back 35:13 - Bond Yields Now Exceed Yield on Equities 37:42 - Market Analysis Now 40:16 - How to Trade Now (Avoid Narratives) 46:38 - World Cup & Social Media Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/csXApjrvlNY?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "S6-15-26 Bull Market Pullback Held" here: https://youtu.be/rat_wi7b9eM ------- Watch our previous show, "Aging Alone: The Financial, Legal, and Caregiving Plan" https://youtube.com/live/1xGIEPzZgQQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketCorrection #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BullMarket #MarketCorrection
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6-5-26 Aging Alone - The Financial, Legal, and Caregiving Plan
More Americans are entering retirement without a spouse, children nearby, or a built-in support system. Aging alone presents unique financial, legal, healthcare, housing, and caregiving challenges that require proactive planning long before a crisis occurs. Richard Rosso & Devoda Owens discuss the essential steps solo agers should take to maintain independence, protect their finances, prepare for healthcare needs, and create a reliable support network. Whether you are approaching retirement, already retired, or helping a loved one navigate the aging process alone, this discussion provides a practical roadmap for maintaining financial security, personal dignity, and quality of life throughout retirement. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Hate Ball, Nat'l. Donut Day,, & Mummy Beer(!) 5:18 - The Dilemma of Aging in Place 13:55 - Building a Reliable Support Network 16:23 - Creating a Housing Plan for Old Age 19:40 - Proximity to Healthcare 22:25 - Finding Proper Personal Care 26:43 - Legal Prep & Elder Law Attorney 29:05 - Identifying Risks in the Home 32:09 - Preparing for Long Term Care 33:22 - Life 360 & Monitoring technology 35:47 - Having a Purposeful Retirement 36:57 - The Village People 39:28 - Home Care Agencies 40:07 - National Resources 44:34 - Candid Coffee Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Devoda Owens, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/1xGIEPzZgQQ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Single Sector Driving Markets," here: https://youtu.be/mRXYN5YlgdI ------- Watch our previous show, "Muni Bonds for Tax-Free Income in Retirement" https://youtube.com/live/XbYe5BPn8jA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #AgingAlone #LongTermCare #RetirementIncome #FinancialPlanning
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6-3-26 Q&A Wednesday Market Momentum Slows
It's Q&A Wednesday, where we tackle your investing, retirement, market, and economic questions live. Today's topics include whether defense and drone companies remain attractive investments, if weak cryptocurrency performance is a warning sign for broader markets, how Kevin Warsh could impact interest rates and financial markets, and what size correction would warrant deploying additional cash. We also discuss investor psychology, risk versus reward for re-entering markets, whether investors need to put money to work immediately, building income-generating portfolios with municipal bonds, reserve currency concerns, opportunities in micro-modular nuclear reactors, SimpleVisor portfolio positioning, the semiconductor gamma squeeze, saving and investing excess income, the true cost of homeownership, and using options strategies to manage portfolio risk. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 6:27 - Market Acceleration is Slowing 11:57 - Looking at Defense/Drone Companies 13:07 - Is the Poor Performance of Cyber Currencies a Harbinger of Things to Come? 18:24 - Will Kevin Warsh Raise Rates (and how will markets react)? 21:22 - How Large a Correction Would Trigger Cash Deploy,ent? 23:38 - The Problem for Most Investors: Psychology 25:59 - The Risk/Reward Proposition for Re-Entry to Markets 28:53 - Do You NEED to Deploy Capital now? 29:40 - The Start Here Page 33:37 - Building Income Generation Portfolio w Muni's 38:44 - Abuse of Role as Primary Holder of World's Reserve Currency 39:34 - Micro-modular Nuclear Reactor Investments 41:14 - SimpleVisor Portfolios 43:40 - How Can Semi's Be a Gamma Squeeze? 46:59 - Saving 50% of Income - Where to send the rest? 49:51 - The Cost of Home Ownership 52:15 - Selling Calls to Buy Puts? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ppkqABinsxs ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "Risk Management For Retirees: When To Reduce Exposure:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/risk-management-for-retirees-when-to-reduce-exposure/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Markets Need a Breather," here: https://youtu.be/0_dOuwmQFeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Risk Management for Retirees: When to Reduce Exposure," https://youtu.be/MSj51cpXXg8 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BeforeTheBell
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6-2-26 Needs vs. Wants - What Investors Get Wrong
Investors continue to focus on familiar concerns such as the U.S. dollar, bond yields, oil prices, and geopolitical tensions. But are the biggest risks and opportunities actually hiding in plain sight? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn discuss several important questions facing investors, like what market risks and opportunities may be receiving too little attention right now, and why predicting portfolio returns over the next 12 months is an impossible task, and what investors should focus on instead. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:05 - Software & Maga Cap Tech Carry the market 5:08 - Previous Predictions Come to Pass 11:24 - Making Bad Financial Decisions - The Mini Retirement Trend 17:24 - Frugal Living Habits 22:36 - Business-building & Solo-preneurs 24:24 - Time is Your Greatest Asset 27:12 - Faulty Analyses vs the way it was 29:30 - Wants vs Needs - How Peer Pressure Drives Bad Financial Decisions 30:26 - Youth Sports Expenses & Private Equity 32:00 - The Financial Folly of 'Keeping Up w/the Jones' 35:40 - Scholarship Realities 39:18 - What's It All For? 43:07 - Putting Skin in the Game 45:07 - Kids, Credit Cards & Financial Responsibilities Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtu.be/MSj51cpXXg8 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "Risk Management For Retirees: When To Reduce Exposure:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/risk-management-for-retirees-when-to-reduce-exposure/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Software Squeeze Meets Reality," here: https://youtu.be/N5vR32ESAeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Risk Management for Retirees: When to Reduce Exposure," https://youtube.com/live/2d6jS369BWM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investing #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #MarketValuations #WealthManagement #SoftwareStocks #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #MarketAnalysis
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6-1-26 Risk Management for Retirees - When to Reduce Exposure
One of the biggest challenges retirees face is balancing the need for portfolio growth with the need to protect hard-earned savings. With markets near record highs, valuations elevated, and investor sentiment increasingly optimistic, when should retirees consider reducing portfolio risk? Lance Roberts discusses the principles of risk management for retirees and why successful investing is often more about protecting capital than maximizing returns. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - End of Quarter - Looking forward to June & July 3:24 - Hurricane Season Fun 4:51 - Easy Market Breeds Investor Complacency - No One Wants Insurance 11:47 - RIA Website Tour 15:42 - Viewer Email: What to Do As Market Correction Approaches? 17:35 - Get Invested! 19:01 - The Most Important Commodity - Time 20:24 - Risk Management is NOT Market Timing 21:22 - What is the Definition of Risk? 25:28 - Risk Management vs Market Timing 30:16 - The Math of Loss 32:00 - The Myths of Investing 34:45 - Investor Psychology 34:45 - Investor Psychology 38:37 - Write Rules Down 40:09 - How to Get Back In Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/2d6jS369BWM ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "Risk Management For Retirees: When To Reduce Exposure:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/risk-management-for-retirees-when-to-reduce-exposure/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Portfolio Insurance Before the Pullback?" here: https://youtu.be/N5vR32ESAeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Investor Anxiety, Roth Strategies, and Retirement Reality," https://youtube.com/live/ZL8lA-xHlMs ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #PortfolioProtection #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy #StockMarket #RetirementPlanning #Investing #RetirementIncome #FinancialPlanning
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5-29-26 Investor Anxiety, Roth Strategies, and Retirement Reality
Investors continue wrestling with uncertainty, frustration, and the fear of making the wrong move in today’s market environment. Jon Penn & Sarah Buenger discuss why waiting for the “perfect” entry point often keeps investors sidelined, how hindsight bias and regret aversion impact decision-making, and why investing does not have to be an all-or-nothing approach Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - We Don't Sleep so You Can 4:11 - World of Roth Preview & Market Summary 10:15 - How to Get Money Into Roth 13:39 -The Back Door Roth 17:21 - IRS Strategies & Prorata Rule 18:23 - Regular Roth Conversions 20:34 - Super-loading Roths 24:49 - 457 Limitations 25:22 - Mega-Backdoor Roths 27:01 - Not Every Employer Plan Includes Roth 31:35 - 529 to Roth Conversions 30:32 - When the IRS is Your "Business Partner" 33:28 - Rules of Roth & Preferred Order 35:28 - Strategies for Spousal Contributions 37:25 - When the Roth Maths don't Math 38:56 - Inheritance Tax Efficiency Considerations 41:17 - Tax Considerations & Implications in Roth Conversions 43:47 - Pre-Tax vs After-Tax considerations Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ZL8lA-xHlMs ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "AI Productivity And Innovation: Prosperity Or Engels Pause?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-productivity-and-innovation-prosperity-or-engels-pause/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Tech Rally Risk Rising," here: https://youtu.be/AVXI7TCayvI ------- Watch our previous show, "Is the Semiconductor Trade Going Too Far," https://youtube.com/live/XB3W7awMDZk ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #Investing #RothIRA #FinancialPlanning #StockMarket
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5-28-27 Is the Semiconductor Trade Going Too Far?
Semiconductor stocks continue to dominate market leadership as AI spending, data center demand, and investor enthusiasm push valuations higher. But is the semiconductor trade becoming dangerously overcrowded? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine whether the current AI-driven semiconductor boom is sustainable or if markets are entering another phase of excessive speculation. We discuss narrow market breadth, concentration risk inside major indexes, memory chip pricing, Korea’s growing importance in the global semiconductor supply chain, and whether investor optimism is outrunning economic reality. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - End of Quarter prep; Triton Joins $-Trillion Club 5:59 - Market Driver Primarily Technology 12:05 - Semiconductor Commentary 18:01 - 15 Trading Rules info 19:18 - PCE Price Index Preview 23:03 - U.S. Economy Continues to Accelerate 27:27 -How Does Divergence in Oil Prices Resolve? 29:26 - Market Complacency on Resolution in Iran 31:22 - Dispersion Index - Fragile/Stable vs Ripe for Rotation 33:16 - AI Impact on Economy - Bullish vs Bearish cases 35:43 - AI & the Engels Pause 37:45 - What New Jobs Will AI Generate? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XB3W7awMDZk ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "AI Productivity And Innovation: Prosperity Or Engels Pause?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-productivity-and-innovation-prosperity-or-engels-pause/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Tech Rally Risk Rising," here: https://youtu.be/AVXI7TCayvI ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Real Advisors, Real Answers ," https://youtube.com/live/zzDZJD0kIeA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #Semiconductors #SP500 #MarketRisk #Semiconductors #ArtificialIntelligence #AIStocks
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5-27-26 Q&A Wednesday - Real Advisors, Real Answers
Markets, retirement, inflation, taxes, the Fed, portfolio risk, and financial planning — nothing is off limits during this week’s Q&A Wednesday. Lance and Danny answer viewer questions live and break down what matters most to investors right now, from market volatility and interest rates to retirement income strategies and long-term wealth planning. Join the conversation and get straightforward insights from real advisors dealing with real-world financial challenges every day. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:09 - Markets Set New Highs, Iran Talks Continue 5:46 - Markets' Rising on One Sector 9:54 - When Will the Market Correct? 15:16 - Inflation Strategies - What Is Your Goal? 20:54 - What Does "Increasing Equity Exposure for Summer" Look Like? 23:14 - Is Space a Viable Investment? 28:14 - What is the Narrative for Foreign Countries Selling U.S. Debt? 30:20 - Backing Into a Diversification Strategy 32:24 - Focus on the "P" in GDP 34:00 - Why Own Long Bonds? 37:20 - What is Your Reinvestment Risk? 38:46 - How to Protect from Sequence of Returns Risk? 40:48 - What Milton Friedman Really Said Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/zzDZJD0kIeA ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Corrections vs. Bear Markets: Why 20% Declines Are Obsolete" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corrections-vs-bear-markets-why-20-declines-are-obsolete/ "SpaceX IPO: Should I Buy It, Or Wait?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spacex-ipo-should-i-buy-it-or-wait/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Narrow Rally Risks," here: https://youtu.be/dO-rDPLZBa8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Why 20% Market Drops Don’t Matter," https://youtube.com/live/PdNwnrviYnQ?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketBreadth #Investing #FederalReserve #QandAWednesday #FinancialPlanning
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5-26-26 Why 20% Market Drops Don’t Matter
Wall Street still defines a “bear market” as a 20% decline, but does that rule still apply in today’s market environment? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down why traditional definitions of corrections and bear markets may be obsolete after 17 years of Fed intervention, massive liquidity injections, and historically elevated valuations. We also answer one of the biggest questions investors are asking right now: how do you balance staying invested while also remaining defensive? We discuss risk management, position sizing, portfolio hedging, and how investors can recognize when it may be time to become more cautious without abandoning long-term investment discipline. Lance & Jon also iscuss one of the biggest behavioral mistakes investors make during strong bull markets: allowing the “tax tail” to wag the investment dog. We examine strategies for trimming concentrated positions, managing capital gains, utilizing Donor Advised Funds, exploring option collars for risk management, and remembering that paying taxes usually means you made money in the first place. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:53 - Iran Talks & Oil Prices 3:11 - Markets over Bought & Over Extended 7:03 - 20% Market Decline - Reality 12:35 - Sneaky Sneezes & Story Time w Jon 13:30 - Market Declines & Investor Mistakes 15:17 - The Difference Between Losing Gains vs Principle 16:48 - Useless Predictions 20:31 - How We Manage Long Term Risks 22:32 - How Warren Buffett Invests (You're not him) 24:03 - Corrections Are Not Nothin' 26:04 - Where Does Gloom & Doom Come From? 27:24 - If Debt-to-GDP Was a Problem - What the Markets Know 31:00 - Don't Let the Tax Tail Wag the Gains Dog 34:36 - When the Fed Chair Changes... 36:55 - Bond Price Moves vs "Fixed"? 42:31 - The Only Way to Buy Bonds 44:56 - Never Ever Borrow Against Your 401k (again) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/PdNwnrviYnQ?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Corrections vs. Bear Markets: Why 20% Declines Are Obsolete" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corrections-vs-bear-markets-why-20-declines-are-obsolete/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Narrow Rally Risks," here: https://youtu.be/dO-rDPLZBa8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Parabolic Bubble Brewing - Tom Thornton Interview-2," https://youtube.com/live/s5pdp2zHltg ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketBreadth #Investing #FederalReserve #StockMarket #BearMarket #FederalReserve #Investing #MarketCorrection
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5-22-26 QCD Pros and Cons Explained
Qualified Charitable Distributions, or QCDs, can be one of the most tax-efficient strategies available for retirees with IRA assets. But are they always the right move? Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty break down the pros and cons of QCDs, including how they interact with Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs), adjusted gross income (AGI), Medicare IRMAA surcharges, Social Security taxation, Roth conversions, and estate planning strategies. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Texas Tree Roaches & Market Commentary 4:08 - AI Data Centers & Anti-AI Mentalities & Other Observations 16:23 - How AI Tools Can Help 19:04 - Qualified Charitable Distributions 21:13 - Falling Into the Widows' Trap 23:38 - Age Requirements of QCD's 29:46 - How QCD's Work 31:57 - What is Your Charitable Intent? 34:26 - Looking at QCD Limits 36:31 - "The Process is Clunky" - Ed Slott 41:09 - Who Benefits from QCD's? 43:40 - Dynaminc Learning Series - SimpleVisor Nerd Alert Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/PdNwnrviYnQ?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Pause Before Summer Rally?" here: https://youtu.be/oWiPrlAYz5A ------- Watch our previous show, "The AI Economy Beyond The Hype" https://youtube.com/live/TeIhoqBT8dg ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #QCD #Taxes #IRA #FinancialPlanning
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5-21-26 The AI Economy Beyond The Hype
The AI economy looks unstoppable on the surface, but what is really happening underneath? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz break down the massive surge in AI infrastructure spending, the role of hyperscaler CapEx in driving GDP growth, and whether AI is creating a stronger economy or masking deeper structural weaknesses. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:53 - NVIDIA, AI, & Streamlining Workforce 5:41 - Market Sell Signals and Chances for Summer Correction 10:10 - Weakness in Economic Data is Transitory 14:53 - Oil Price Economic Impact - When Does it Hit? 16:36 - The AI Economy -Beyond the Hype 19:52 - How Will AI-generated Productivity Work Through Economy? 22:33 - Data Center Spending Impact on GDP Growth 26:41 - GDP per Capita per US States vs Internationals 29:40 - Every Economy Has a "K" 31:07 - What AI Can Do For You 32:33 - When Dire Predictions Don't Come True 35:52 - ...this doesn't mean we can't have a recession 37:44 - Points to Ponder from Latest NVIDIA Report 38:47 - Space-X (SPCX) IPO Preview Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The AI Economy: Looking Beyond The Facade Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-ai-economy-looking-beyond-the-facade-part-1/ "The NVDA Earnings Report: Could It Pop The Gamma Bubble?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-nvda-earnings-report-could-it-pop-the-gamma-bubble/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TeIhoqBT8dg ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Pause Before Summer Rally?" here: https://youtu.be/oWiPrlAYz5A ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Straight Talk About Your Money" https://youtube.com/live/ngEmjqsUFTY ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #AIeconomy #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #TechnologyStocks
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5-20-26 Q&A Wednesday - Straight Talk About Your Money
Markets are hitting new highs while volatility, inflation concerns, interest rates, and geopolitical risks continue to pressure investors. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions about investing, retirement planning, portfolio management, taxes, market risk, Federal Reserve policy, and the economy. From market momentum and valuation risks to retirement income strategies and financial planning mistakes, this is your opportunity to get straightforward answers without Wall Street spin. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:57 - Markets Trying to Sell-off 6:17 - Market Comparisons 11:19 - Not Reading the News is Better 12:08 - Is TLT a Good Buy Now? 15:40 - What to Do with Cash 16:40 - Can Bond Yields Go Over 5.5%? 19:08 - Will There Be Inflation from SCOTUS Ruling on Trucker Broker Liability? 20:14 - What Would Trigger Differentiation from Standard Correction or Worse? 23:50 - Higher Oil = Higher Treasuries? 28:26 - Space Stocks, Momentum Trading, & Space-X IPO 31:27 - The Roth Conversion Conundrum 33:53 - APLD Positioning & Short Squeeze 36:21 - Correlation of Assets - What to do when trades don't work 40:46 - Microsoft, AI, & Layoffs 41:48 - What is Your Plan for a Market Downturn? 49:14 - Social Security Reform - Raising Minimum Retirement Age? 55:02 - In What Sector will Space-X Be Placed? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The NVDA Earnings Report: Could It Pop The Gamma Bubble?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-nvda-earnings-report-could-it-pop-the-gamma-bubble/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ngEmjqsUFTY ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Decoupling Danger," here: https://youtu.be/uDPuWbEqO-E ------- Watch our previous show, "U.S. - Iran Risks You Cannot Ignore" https://youtube.com/live/YT_BHXcoydw ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #BullMarket #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #Investing #Investing #Retirement #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #SpaceXIPO
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5-18-26 Market Leadership is Narrow
Narrow market leadership is becoming a growing risk for investors heading into the summer months. While the S&P 500 continues pushing near record highs, a small group of mega-cap technology stocks is carrying most of the market higher as broader participation weakens beneath the surface. Lance Roberts breaks down why concentrated leadership matters, what history says about narrow rallies, and why stretched momentum in semiconductors, AI, and mega-cap growth stocks could leave markets vulnerable to sharper volatility ahead. We’ll review the widening gap between cap-weighted and equal-weight indexes, weakening sector participation, and the growing importance of risk management as markets move further above long-term trends. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:54 - Strong Earnings Season Continues - Nvidia Prelude 6:01 - Markets Complete 7th Week of Gains 12:01 - Bring Your Kid to Work Day 12:54 - Signs of Market Risk Ahead 15:30 - Market Breadth Has Been Worrisome 17:17 - Market Weighting is Important 19:51 - Narrow Market Leadership History 21:44 - Negative Market Should Be Expected 22:35 - Factors of Risk 24:22 - When Correction Comes... 26:47 - Six Actions You Can Take Now 32:17 - Warren Buffett's Cash 35:24 - The Buffett Indicator: Warren's Calling for a Crash? 36:57 - Two Readings that Matter 41:45 - Why Do You Own Berkshire-Hathaway 43:41 - What Would Warren Buffett Buy (WWWBB)? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Market Leadership Is Narrow, Increasing Summer Risk" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leadership-is-narrow-increasing-market-risk-into-summer/ "Buffett Cash Hoard: Why $397 Billion Sits On The Sidelines" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buffett-cash-hoard-why-373-billion-sits-on-the-sidelines/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ajQHux6HT7k ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Meets Gravity," here: https://youtu.be/-HT6wtmOzjw ------- Watch our previous show, "What Your Advisor Should Really Do" https://youtube.com/live/HXafEWQMFuI?feature=share ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #WarrenBuffett #BerkshireHathaway #MarketRisk #TechnologyStocks #FederalReserve
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5-15-26 What Your Advisor Should Really Do
What should you really expect from a financial advisor? Is your advisor acting as a fiduciary, managing risk, helping with taxes, retirement income, estate planning, and behavioral coaching, or just selling products and chasing performance? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the real role of a financial advisor, what services matter most, how advisors are compensated, and the warning signs investors often miss. We also discuss fiduciary standards, portfolio management, communication expectations, financial planning, and why transparency matters more than promises.. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh (Janet Yellen) & CPI Review 4:18 - Employment Numbers & Data Centers, & Robots Chasing Hogs 6:26 - What Does Your Advisor Do? 10:16 - What Should You Expect? 14:24 - What Are You Getting vs Giving Up? 16:02 - Looking at Taxes on a Continuum 19:35 -Investment Management is Important 20:44 - AI, Robots, and Animatronic Beavers 25:40 - Financial Advisors with Open Minds 27:41 - Fixed-cost vs Fee-based Financial Planning 30:10 - How to Deal with Emotional & Cognitive Biases 34:22 - Math & Movie Voice-overs 36:02 - Fiduciaries Focus on Things You Miss 37:45 - Proper Asset Location 38:14 - Fee Transparency - How advisors get paid 41:20 - Red Flag Warnings When Choosing an Advisor 42:59 - What Annuities Do (and Don't Do) 45:25 - Fee-only vs Fee-based Advisors44;31 - Big Firms vs Small Firms - KYC 47:02 - What Comprehensive Wealth Management Should Look Like 47:54 - Candid Coffee - Financial Organization Made Simple Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The Perfect Planning Experiemce" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HXafEWQMFuI?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation," here: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Inflation Surge Hits Markets?" https://youtube.com/live/UOSeQNOhcwI ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, THIS Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialAdvisor #RetirementPlanning #Investing #WealthManagement #Fiduciary
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5-14-26 Inflation Surge Hits Markets?
Inflation pressures may be heating up again, and markets are beginning to notice. Rising prices can have major consequences for stocks, bonds, interest rates, and Federal Reserve policy. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why persistent inflation is dangerous for both investors and the economy, how rising yields pressure bond prices, and why higher rates can challenge stock valuations — especially in high-growth and technology sectors. We also examine whether the recent market rally is underestimating the risk of another inflation wave. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Gamma Squeeze & Markets' 7-week Run 5:16 - Market Sectors vs Market Factors 13:34 - Rotations from Semi's to SAAS's? 15:57 - Market Rotations Back to Value? 17:50 - Charting Relative Scores of Market Factors 19:42 - Why Dispersion Matters 20:54 - CPI & Inflation Data - What Does it Tell Us? 23:41 - Gasoline Prices & CPI Calculations 26:58 - Chart Crimes and "Lower" Inflation 29:28 - CPI Today vs 1970's (more chart crime) 31:06 - What Kevin Warsh is Walking Into 33:35 - The Fed's Trap and Consumption Destruction 38:02 - Earnings Revisions Coming from Narrowed Breadth 38:53 - Commentary - Government Spending Impact on Inflation 45:35 - Debt to GDP Ratio - Explain Japan Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Government Debt: Not What The Doom Crowd Thinks It Is:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/government-debt-not-what-the-doom-crowd-thinks-it-is/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UOSeQNOhcwI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation," here: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday: Real Answers. No Spin." https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, THIS Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MomentumStocks #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #MarketRotation #Inflation #Bonds #InterestRates #FederalReserve
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5-13-26 Q & A Wednesday - Real Answers, No Spin
Q&A Wednesday is back. Markets are pushing record highs while oil prices surge on renewed Iran and Strait of Hormuz tensions, inflation concerns remain elevated, and the AI trade continues to dominate Wall Street headlines. Investors are also watching the Fed, tariffs, interest rates, retirement risks, taxes, and portfolio positioning as volatility quietly builds beneath the surface. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions, live, with straightforward analysis and no spin. Bring your questions about markets, retirement planning, portfolio management, taxes, risk, the economy, or whatever is on your mind. Questions we answered on today's show include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - CPI Checks In Higher Than Expected 5:02 - Duration and Velocity of Bullish Stampede 9:47 - Birthday Fishing Present 14:44 - Berkshire Hathaway Exposure to AI 17:30 - Investing Like Warren Buffett 19:12 - Why Aren't Swap Lines "Printing Money Out of Thin Air"? 22:03 - CPI Revisions 25:17 - Deflation in Rents 26:03 - GDP, Inflation, & Yields 27:00 - Hold Long-Dated Bonds or Sell? 28:04 - Are REIT's Over Extended? 29:41 - Should You Average into the S&P? 30:52 - Why is Stock-picking/Diversification So Hard Now? 32:30 - Stock Market Regimes & Asset Allocation 34:41 - CPI Data vs Fixed Income Allocations 41:06 - Church vs Casino Investing 42:03 - Long Term Investor: What's Your Personality? 46:37 - RSP vs SPY in Current Market Condition? 50:44 - What's a Good ETF for a Younger Person to Invest In? 52:34 - Space-X IPO Effects on Markets & Indexes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Buying Stampede: Good News & Bad News." here: https://youtu.be/hDeUW-rmwC4 ------- Watch our previous show, "Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions" https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #MarketCorrection #BullMarket #QandAWednesday #StockMarket #RetirementPlanning #Investing #AskUsAnything
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5-12-26 Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions
Should you pay off debt, invest more in your 401(k), or do both? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn walk through five real-world financial decisions that millions of Americans face every year. Using new Vanguard research and simple math, we break down how to prioritize credit cards, mortgages, student loans, retirement savings, and employer matches to maximize long-term wealth. We also discuss why the mathematically correct answer is not always the emotionally correct one, and how personal priorities, risk tolerance, and peace of mind factor into financial planning. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - Six Weeks of Market Advances - What Happens in Week-7?4:36 - Economic Data Review 5:30 - Narrow market Rally Poses Portfolio Risk 10:35 - Birthday Table & Coming Attractions 12:00 - Five Questions to Help You Make Better Financial Decisions 13:45 - Everybody Starts from Scratch 18:20 - Invest or Pay off Debt? 20:54 - Not Everybody Contributes to 401k Plan 25:50 - The Number One Asset is Time 30:21 - Taking a Loan Against Your 401k? (NO!) 32:51 - Margo Has Money Troubles & Other Streaming Treats 35:12 - Inherited Money: Pay Off Mortgage? (NO!) 43:04 - Healthy Debt vs Unhealthy Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Tech Rally Risk Is Rising" here: https://youtu.be/RU_xjKIGiDs ------- Watch our previous show, "Annuities: Smart Move or Costly Mistake?" https://youtube.com/live/6Rag3wz8r3k ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnologyStocks #XLK #StockMarket #Investing #MarketRisk #FinancialPlanning #401k #DebtManagement #RetirementPlanning #PersonalFinance
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5-11-26 Commodity Supercycle - Bull Market Killer
Is the commodity supercycle the next great investment opportunity, or the biggest threat to the current bull market? Lance Roberts breaks down the growing Wall Street narrative that commodities are entering a multi-year boom driven by deglobalization, underinvestment in energy and metals, AI infrastructure demand, and concerns over long-term dollar dominance. But there’s a major problem with the thesis: commodity spikes are inflationary, inflation destroys demand, and higher commodity prices often strengthen the U.S. dollar instead of weakening it. We examine the reflexivity problem, the China demand issue, AI’s real impact on commodity consumption, and why the “dollar collapse” narrative may be overstated. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - Trump - Xi Preview; Earnings Season Winds Down 4:36 - Economic Data Review 6:53 - The Contrarian Trade Continues 11:41 - The Bull Stampede 12:28 - The Commodity Super Cycle 15:16 - Supply/Demand is most important piece of economic equation 16:50 - The Commodity Reflexivity Loop 18:39 - Commodities are Notorious for Reversal 22:36 - The AI Boom Factor 24:15 - Earnings Recap - Stellar Results 30:46 - What's Driving Market Upside - AI Cap-Ex 36:39 - Prior Peaks in Longterm EPS Growth Estimates...and downturns 40:12 - ISM Mfg. vs S&P 500 Annual % Change (chart) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/6Rag3wz8r3k ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Iran Headlines Rattle Markets" here: https://youtu.be/RU_xjKIGiDs ------- Watch our previous show, "Annuities: Smart Move or Costly Mistake?" https://youtube.com/live/bIrBY3SVfbQ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #Commodities #CommoditySupercycle #Inflation #BullMarket #Investing
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5-8-26 Annuities - Smart Move or Costly Mistake
Are annuities only for retirees, or can they play a role in building long-term financial security at any age? Richard Rosso & Jonathan "Smarty" McCarty break down the myths, costs, benefits, and risks of annuities, and how guaranteed income fits into a retirement strategy. We discuss how annuities can serve as bond substitutes, why fees vary so widely, how sales structures impact costs, and how to determine whether an annuity fits your personal retirement goals. Most importantly, we explore how to create a rules-based approach to guaranteed income that matches your lifestyle, risk tolerance, and future needs. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Living Vicariously thru Clients' Experiences 4:05 - Why Annuities Get a Bad Rap - Liquidity & Life 7:09 - Insuring Late-life Consumption 9:30 - Behavioral Mechanisms - Mental Accounting & Loss Aversion 11:48 - The Cap'n Crunch Diversion 12:58 - Benefits of Delaying Social Security 14:26 - Everybody "knows" when they're going to die 16:42 - Framing Delay as a Longevity Bet 17:23 - Women are Better Investors 19:43 - Spousal Protection Consideration 20:18 - Annuities Get Sold, Not Planned 23:17 - Secrets of Return Risk 25:51 - Study: Fixed Income Annuities vs Bonds 29:42 - Annuities We Don't Like 30:18 - Annuities Riders You May Not Need 33:34 - RIA Snuggies, Immediate Annuities,, and Early Retirement 36:22 - Getting a Second Opinion -What Problem is Annuity Solving? 42:50 - Immediate vs Variable Annuities 45:30 - How Much of an Annuity Do You Need? 47:36 - Passing Along Assets & Annuities 50:59 - Candid Coffee Tease Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/bIrBY3SVfbQ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "How Markets Ignore the Fear" here: https://youtu.be/1BrnxwNgzeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Semiconductors: Bubble or Bust?" https://youtube.com/live/X0moIzRXOHg ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Annuities #RetirementPlanning #GuaranteedIncome #FinancialPlanning #RetirementIncome
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5-7-26 Semiconductors - Bubble or Bust?
Semiconductor stocks continue to lead the market higher as the AI boom drives massive capital spending, soaring valuations, and relentless momentum in names like Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and TSMC. But are investors witnessing the next great technology revolution, or the early stages of another market bubble? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the semiconductor trade from both sides: Explosive AI demand, data center growth, and earnings momentum versus stretched valuations, narrowing market breadth, and growing concentration risk inside the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Earnings Revisions are Ratcheting Up 4:32 - The Importance and Use of Technical Indicators 11:05 - Tools for Separating Narratives & Emotions from Market Reality 13:07 - Likes for Lebo Merch 14:10 - Semiconductors, AI, and Bubbles 16:58 - GPU's, CPU's, & LLM's 18:38 - The AMD Story & Supple-Demand Imbalances 24:10 - Portfolio Management Keeps You Out of Trouble 25:05 - Taking Profits is Important 26:45 - Where Will Money Go Next? 29:22 - Dissention in the Fed - Cuts or No Cuts? 32:15 - AI is Disinflationary in Nature 34:06 - The Curb Appeal of the Economy 36:18 - Guessing the Outcome - The K-Shape Continues 38:29 -The Technology Displacement Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/X0moIzRXOHg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "A Robot Economy: Who Gets Rich, Who Gets Left Behind" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-robot-economy-who-gets-rich-who-gets-left-behind/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "How Markets Ignore the Fear" here: https://youtu.be/1BrnxwNgzeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - What's Your Biggest Concern?" https://youtube.com/live/TFn61TpR-Fc ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #Semiconductors #AIStocks #Nvidia #TechnologyStocks
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5-6-26 Q&A Wednesday - What's Your Biggest Concern
It’s Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff are taking your questions live from the YouTube chatroom. From markets at all-time highs and rising pullback risk, to Fed policy, rates, and portfolio positioning, we’re breaking down what matters most right now. With stocks extended, volume thinning out, and momentum showing signs of fatigue, is this a healthy pause or the start of a correction? What should investors and traders be doing right here? Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:57 - Markets Rally, Oil Plunges 4:05 - AI Trade is Back - but watch for reversal 7:52 - Vanguard Bond Builders - Bonds vs ETF's 12:32 - Best Store of Cash for a Portfolio? 14:39 - Couples with Pensions 17:06 - How did you react to downturn in the market? 19:59 - Lump Sum vs Pension Payout? 21:15 - The Thing About High-Yield Bonds 23:15 - What About the "Bucket Strategy" for Managine Risk? 24:31 - What Happens if Pensions Go Broke? 26:12 - Technical - Is the MACD Ever Wrong (and what is it?) 28:14 - Technical - What is the difference between Absolute & Relative scores? 32:28 - Where Are Rotations Going Next? 33:33 - Why Aren't Nvidia & Palantir Part of This Advance? 35:32 - Are Gold Stocks a Decent Buy? 38:16 - Use of Inverse ETF's as Hedges 39:03 - Portfolio Over- & Under-weighting 39:58 - How to Work with RIA? 40:44 - What if U.S. Dissolves? 42:35 - Don't Worry; Be Happy 43:07 - Managing Stocks w Different Advisors 45:35 - What's Your Story? 46:20 - The Thing About Apple & Microsoft 50:48 - BOE Interest Rates & Impact on Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TFn61TpR-Fc ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "AI Rally Nears Exhaustion," here: https://youtu.be/cievTNHiw6Y ------- Watch our previous show, "Investing vs Trading - Finding the Balance," https://youtube.com/live/LGDW2OXJ6oo ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #RiskManagement
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5-5-26 Investing vs Trading - Finding the Balance
Investing and trading are often treated as opposing strategies, but the real advantage comes from knowing how to use both effectively. Long-term investing builds wealth through discipline and compounding, while trading can create short-term opportunities to enhance returns or manage risk. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down the key differences between investing and trading, when each approach makes sense, and how to structure a portfolio that incorporates both without letting emotion or overactivity take control. We discuss time horizons, risk management, position sizing, and how to avoid the common mistake of letting short-term trades derail long-term financial goals. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:58 - Hormuz Headlines & Market Gyrations 5:16 - Market Volume Spreads & Correction Targets 10:11 - The Story of Cinco de Mayo & Taco Tuesday 13:34 - Trading vs Investing 14:45 - Proposed Ban on Prediction Markets in Texas 16:07 - Zero Days to Expiration: The Ultimate Gamble 18:06 - Psychological Effects of Prediction Markets - the tax on the poor 21:18 - Who's Making the Money? 22:54 - Warren Buffett's Pile of Cash 25:36 - We Want to Believe Fundamentals Matter 28:04 - What Are Your Top-five Stocks? 30:05 - Binary Outcomes - All or Nothing 31:42 - Markets are Expensive 33:31 - When Buy & Hold Fails 36:10 - Protect Capital - The Value of Time 39:02 - Sequence of Returns Risk 40:14 - What to do with Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/LGDW2OXJ6oo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Cooling-Off Correction Ahead," here: https://youtu.be/LbNhP30VHio ------- Watch our previous show, "Summer Sell-Off Risk Rising," https://youtube.com/live/h2Bku-whRmY ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar’s Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketCorrection #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #Investing #Trading #PortfolioStrategy #RiskManagement #WealthBuilding
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5-4-26 Summer Sell-Off Risk Rising
Markets have pushed higher, but underlying risks are beginning to build as we head into the summer months. From stretched valuations and overbought technical conditions to seasonal weakness and shifting liquidity, investors may be facing a more challenging environment than recent gains suggest. Lance Roberts breaks down the key signals pointing to a potential summer sell-off, including market breadth, momentum, and the impact of earnings season winding down. We also discuss how buybacks, economic data, and Federal Reserve policy could influence the next move in stocks, and whether any pullback would represent a healthy reset or something more significant. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Launching Month of May - Manufacturing Numbers review 4:42 - Ongoing Update on Strait of Hormuz 6:02 - Trim Risk Now 10:43 - Chat Rebuttal: Why the market doesn't care about ongoing "war..." 13:45 - Why Summer Correction Risk is Rising 15:45 - Market Breadth Continues to Deteriorate 17:33 - New York Advance/Decline Line Breadth Metric 18:32 - Market Volatility 20:21 - Summer Seasonality is a Real Thing 23:57 - Market Performance in Mid-term Election Years 25:46 - Updated Outlook for Oil Prices 28:54 - How to Navigate Markets Now 32:12 - The Robot Economy & The Minimum Wage 37:48 - The Conundrum of the K-Shaped Economy & Wealth Divide 40:43 - You CAN Be Replaced - Jobs at Risk 42:04 - What You Can Do About It 44:35 - Invest today in the companies of tomorrow Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/h2Bku-whRmY ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Markets Near Peak - Pullback Risk Rising," here: https://youtu.be/OBGLWIvsGZI ------- Watch our previous show, "Gray Divorce: Social Security Secrets," https://youtube.com/live/rXi5IdkLNRM ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar’s Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketPullback #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #Investing #MarketVolatility
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5-1-26 Gray Divorce - Social Security Secrets
Gray divorce is on the rise, and many investors are missing a key opportunity: Social Security benefits tied to an ex-spouse. Richard rosso & Jonathan McCarty explain how divorced spousal benefits work, including eligibility rules, timing decisions, and how much you may be able to claim. If you were married at least 10 years, you could receive up to 50 percent of your ex-spouse’s benefit, or even more through survivor benefits, without impacting their payout. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Financial Repercussions of Gray Divorce 1:47 - Economic Numbers Review 2:16 - Data Center & Power Station Build Outs 4:40 - Interest Rates & Kevin Warsh 6:22 - Apartment Build Outs - Function Over Form 9:39 - Gray Divorce Rates - One in Three: Financial Vulnerabilities 12:58 - Going Back to Work After Divorce 14:23 - Demographics, Ageism, & Merit-based Immigration 18:24 - AI & Content Creation : Lessons About Business 20:15 - Taxation Following Divorce 21:37 - Mishaps with Social Security After Divorce 23:02 - Longevity & Empty-nester's 25:29 - Timing Matters - All in the Family 29:39 - Financial Advisor as Referee 35:15 - Social Security: Spousal Benefits, Survivors Benefits Qualifications 38:32 - Don't Make These Divorce Mistakes 41:53 - First Rule When You Know You're Divorcing 45:22 - The Middle Class is Being Bolstered by Growth in Assets 46:14 - Will AI replace FA's? 50:56 - Candid Coffee Event 5/16 Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/rXi5IdkLNRM ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Stalls as Risks Build," here: https://youtu.be/SSzwq4AG2-0 ------- Watch our previous show, "Fed Holds Rates as Powell Stays On," https://youtube.com/live/oYQSPI-_BqE?feature=share ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar’s Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GrayDivorce #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #DivorceFinance #WealthManagement
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4-30-26 Fed Holds Rates as Powell Stays On
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%–3.75%, but the bigger story may be what comes next. Powell announced he plans to remain on the Federal Reserve Board as a governor after his term ends—an unusual move that limits a potential board vacancy and keeps his influence in play. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what this means for monetary policy, market expectations, and the timing of future rate cuts. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - Closing Out April, Moving Into May: earnings season winding down 3:52 - Eli Lilly & GLP-1 4:21 - No Change in Fed Stance & Oil Prices 6:04 - Market Consolidation Continues 9:56 - Mrs. Roberts Moderates & Likes for Lebo 11:47 - Mag-4 Earnings Review 16:16 - Eli Lilly & Myriad Applications for GLP-1 19:13 - Most Uneventful Eventful Fed Meeting 23:22 - Office Politics at The Fed 26:01 - The Hawkish Take is the Correct One 27:41 - What Really Drives Inflation (not car insurance) 31:47 - Inflation Varies by Location 33:15 - The Fed is Stuck 34:59 - Oil Futures Pricing & the "Sweet Spot" 36:47 - Earnings & Profit Margins - Where's the Risk? 39:08 - Caterpillar Earnings & Data Center Construction Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/oYQSPI-_BqE?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Stalls as Risks Build," here: https://youtu.be/SSzwq4AG2-0 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Markets & Your Money ," https://youtube.com/live/xzazFr20EOE ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar’s Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JeromePowell #MonetaryPolicy
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451
4-29-26 Q&A Wednesday - Markets & Your Money
Markets continue to push higher, but the underlying story is getting more nuanced. Leadership is narrowing, valuations are stretched, and investors are weighing strong momentum against rising risks—from interest rate uncertainty to geopolitical developments and shifting economic data. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff open the chatroom to tackle your most pressing financial questions in real time. From portfolio strategy and market outlook to retirement planning, taxes, and risk management, we’ll break down what matters most in today’s environment and how to think through what comes next. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Jerome Powell's Last Stand 5:59 - Markets Primed for Pull Back 10:28 - When Will Oil Prices Peak? 13:48 - Will UAE Exit from OPEC+ Fracture CarteL? 15:39 - Could OPEC Break Up Lead to Oil Over-supply/Price Crash? 17:00 - The Fed Should Be Seen & Not Heard 20:27 - Strategies for Rates and Timing 22:25 - John Bogle, International Mutual Funds, & Boat Anchors 27:37 - Market Volatility & Record Retail Participation 28:25 - How We Use Options 31:01 - When Do We Know the Software Services Apocalypse is Over? 33:23 - What Was Your Worst Trade...and Biggest Mistake? 38:37- What Did Lance have for Breakfast? 40:05 - Investing in Photonic Stocks? 43:38 - Armadillos & Horses (really, people??) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/xzazFr20EOE ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Overextended Markets - Pullback Risk Rising," here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "The Hidden Costs of Divorce," https://youtube.com/live/sSYl1w7TUek?feature=share ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don’t Chase These All-Time Highs" is here: https://youtu.be/fcqpg6b8GPQ ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar’s Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #FederalReserve #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #FinancialPlanning #InvestorQuestions
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
Here reside the full, unadulterated audio files from the daily episodes of The Real Investment Show
HOSTED BY
Lance Roberts
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