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155 – Normal Predictions, and Change is Bad

An episode of the The Bayesian Conspiracy podcast, hosted by BayesianAdmin, titled "155 – Normal Predictions, and Change is Bad" was published on February 9, 2022 and runs 100 minutes.

February 9, 2022 ·100m · The Bayesian Conspiracy

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The Conspiracy comes out strongly in favor of switching to Normal Predictions, which is safe and easy when you use the Jan Christian Refsgaard method! Also, we agree with Zvi that Change is Bad. (Though note that changing to Normal Predictions has so many positives that it outweighs the Bad of Change, so don’t let […]
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