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2-4-25 Trade War Is Over

Well that was fast. Over the weekend, President T…

An episode of the The Real Investment Show (Full Show) podcast, hosted by Lance Roberts, titled "2-4-25 Trade War Is Over" was published on February 4, 2025 and runs 46 minutes.

February 4, 2025 ·46m · The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

0:00 / 0:00

Summary

Well that was fast. Over the weekend, President Trump announced tariffs of 25% on both Canada and Mexico, as well as a 10% tariff on China. The announcement of tariffs set the market on its heels Monday morning as media writers quickly pushed narratives about the potential impacts. However, as suggested on the “Real Investment Show” before the market opened on Monday, the best thing to do would be “nothing.” We stated the market’s opening would likely be the worst level of the day, so any “panic selling” of positions early in the morning would likely be a mistake. Early in the day, both Canada and Mexico blinked, and the trade war the media predicted would cause a massive inflation surge was over before it started. The market immediately rebounded from the early morning lows, leaving “panic sellers” in the dust. Such is why it is crucial to turn off the media when managing your portfolio to reduce emotional mistakes. Meanwhile, markets are flirting with resistance, and need some muster to rally above the 50-DMA. Lance and Jonathan discuss how Trade Wars can generate buying opportunities; a look at the Palantir story; look for sell offs as opportunities to buy. Lance reviews past Trade War history of the S&P (charts); volatility will result as trade wars are waged. Potential effects of a China trade war. Managing portfolios with concentrated stock holdings; the value of diversification. Commentary on NFIB and CEO Confidence surveys: Sentiment vs data. SEG-1: The World's Shortest Trade War SEG-2: How Trade Wars Create Buying Opportunities SEG-3: Managing Concentrated Stock Positions SEG-4a: Portfolio Management Tips: The Value of Diversification SEG-4b: The Return of Bullish Exuberance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAoIjRUJJPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Rally Back Above the 50-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W148_c8iFdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tariff Trouble" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbITdlcUswI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Episode Description

Well that was fast. Over the weekend, President Trump announced tariffs of 25% on both Canada and Mexico, as well as a 10% tariff on China. The announcement of tariffs set the market on its heels Monday morning as media writers quickly pushed narratives about the potential impacts. However, as suggested on the “Real Investment Show” before the market opened on Monday, the best thing to do would be “nothing.” We stated the market’s opening would likely be the worst level of the day, so any “panic selling” of positions early in the morning would likely be a mistake. Early in the day, both Canada and Mexico blinked, and the trade war the media predicted would cause a massive inflation surge was over before it started. The market immediately rebounded from the early morning lows, leaving “panic sellers” in the dust. Such is why it is crucial to turn off the media when managing your portfolio to reduce emotional mistakes. Meanwhile, markets are flirting with resistance, and need some muster to rally above the 50-DMA. Lance and Jonathan discuss how Trade Wars can generate buying opportunities; a look at the Palantir story; look for sell offs as opportunities to buy. Lance reviews past Trade War history of the S&P (charts); volatility will result as trade wars are waged. Potential effects of a China trade war. Managing portfolios with concentrated stock holdings; the value of diversification. Commentary on NFIB and CEO Confidence surveys: Sentiment vs data. SEG-1: The World's Shortest Trade War SEG-2: How Trade Wars Create Buying Opportunities SEG-3: Managing Concentrated Stock Positions SEG-4a: Portfolio Management Tips: The Value of Diversification SEG-4b: The Return of Bullish Exuberance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAoIjRUJJPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Rally Back Above the 50-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W148_c8iFdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tariff Trouble" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbITdlcUswI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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