2-5-26 Truflation vs CPI - What Inflation Is Really Doing Today

Is inflation actually cooling—or just being measured differently? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Truflation’s real-time inflation readings (built from millions of point-of-purchase prices across multiple providers) versus the official CPI/PCE framework, which relies far more on surveys and sampling. We’ll also address the big caveat: neither CPI/PCE nor Truflation perfectly captures what you feel “in the shops,” because inflation varies by geography, income group, and what you actually buy. The aggregate number can hide the lived experience. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Employment Data Continues to Weaken 4:10 - Finishing up Earnings Season 10:36 - Truflation & Kevin Warsh's Hawkishness 12:36 - The Truflation Conundrum vs CPI 16:12 - The Reflation Trade vs Real Economy 20:49 - Cheaper Fritos & Texas Chili (no beans) 21:48 - Tariff Impact on Inflation 23:33 - Value vs Growth 26:11 - Why Portfolio Positioning Matters 28:05 - More Chili (with beans & Broccoli) 29:27 - Software Services vs AI 30:29 - The Risk Facing Oracle 35:22 - Leverage Kills 40:11 - The Lesson in Narratives 41:37 - Warsh vs Powell - Is there a difference? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Your Questions, Real Answers," here: https://www.youtube.com/live/dLVV-H-lG3A?si=Ej0Pl1nUuYmKYpFG -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up for Rotation Trades is here: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #SP500 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #Inflation #CPI #PCE #Truflation #Economy