EPISODE · Jul 5, 2026 · 58 MIN
2026-07-05 · 深度｜核不设防：威慑失灵、保护伞破裂与被遗忘的教训
from The Long View
《长视角》深度节目。选取《外交事务》二〇二六年七/八月号三篇重量级文章——Rose Gottemoeller 论核威慑正在被廉价常规武器戳穿、Jennifer Lind 与 Daryl G Press 论美国核保护伞的可信度危机、Carter Malkasian 回顾阿富汗战争如何建立在被夸大的威胁判断之上——串成一条主线：核威慑的心理默契、建立在它之上的同盟承诺，以及制度把旧威胁判断锁死的倾向，正在同时松动。这是外交事务下一场战争系列深度的第二天。
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2026-07-05 · 深度｜核不设防：威慑失灵、保护伞破裂与被遗忘的教训
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