23.0 - WR Hit Rates ADP/ Scoring

How often did WRs drafted as top 5/ top 12 and top 24 WRs actually finish there? Of the WRs who are fantasy relevant- Where are they drafted? How often does drafting WR pay off? How predictive is WR 0:45 Intro 3:30 WR Hit rates are down 4:00 Wide Receivers who scored 300+ pts in PPR - Historical data vs 2019/ expectations going forward - Last year was a boom this year was a bust at the top - What happened in 2019 6:45 Who could climb into the 300+ PPR club next season? - Eliminating some/ ceiling/ confluence of events needed/ league trends - We know the usual suspects set for re-entry - TB has two of em’ - Cooper Kupp/ Robert Woods - Amari Cooper/ 2020 ADP vs lineup killer - Tyler Lockett 14:30 Michael Thomas WR 1 overall by the widest margin ever - Randy Moss came the closest - WR 1 in all formats for 2020 16:20 Wide Receivers who scored 250+ pts in PPR - Historical data vs 2019 - Northern Hemisphere of WRs are down 17:20 ADP for this tier - Zero WRs drafted outside the top 7 rounds of FF drafts hit 250 PPR pts - Allen Robinson is back 18:58 Player Discussion for elite this years elite group of WRs Chris Godwin YAC vs AY in TB/ Godwin’s 2019 win rate 3rdhighest at WR Julio Jones NOT business as usual - TD drought - ATL historically pass heavy creating a Julio mirage? - Julio’s last 3 games/ target share vs career avg - Air yards psyche out Cooper Kupp still dynasty buy? Keenan Allen ceiling capped -  WR vs RB targets for LAC -  Non priority in red zone?/ Mike Williams 2020 ironic regression - Phillip Rivers fewest TD passes in the last 13 years Allen Robinson only player taken outside WR 30 to hit 250 PPR pts 31:50 wrapping up the outlook on top 2 tiers at WR - These are the tiers we concentrate on - Historical data vs 2019 upper tiers 33:25 Wide Receiver grouping for 200+ PPR pts - only slight uptick in volume of WRs - tiny separation inside this tier - 25 hit 200+ but 17 guys were below 250 - Wide receiver is deep - 40-50 usable WRs each season - WR change comes at the top! 37:55 Fantasy points Hit Rates takeaways - How many WRs score 200+ ect - Chaos is baked in 39:10 Hit Rates for ADP buckets 39:40 Top 5 WR hit rates - Hits/ busts - Discrepancy with hit rates at Top 5 41:26 Top 12 WR hit rates - Hit rates and where they were drafted - Historical data vs 2019 - Ambiguity at the top of the WR group 43:44 top 24 WR hit rates - Better than top 12! - Draft philosophy rant - Top 12 and top 24 separation 46:25 FF Busts - Bust rates for top 5 WRs - Ju-Ju biggest bust of the year 48:00 Bust rates for top 12 WRs - Outlier season in last half decade 50:05 Bust rates for top 24 WRs - Historically twice as high - Busts inside top 24 overall is high - Wide receiver trending to less predictive? 50:55 Fantasy disappoints - Top 5’s who finished outside top 12 - Top 12’s outside top 30 - Top 24’s outside top 40 55:37 OUTRO