294: Navigating the BOOM/BUST Cycle with Murray Sabrin

A number of people told me that they really enjoyed last week's podcast interview with William Green, who spoke about what we can learn from the greatest investors of all time. One line that still haunts me is Sir John Templeton saying that the four most dangerous words for an investor are "This time it's different". Why does it haunt me? Listen, the economy is in a massive boom right now. There is no doubt about that. Should you invest in a booming economy? What is the alternative? Right now inflation is running at about 6 percent. That means doing nothing guarantees that your money is losing 6 percent per year. As Robert Kiyosaki says, "Savers are losers." Nevertheless, it is important for you to think about what is happening and what you should do with your own money. To do that, you really need a framework. Macroeconomics does provide us a type of framework that shows how business cycles work and how they affect the investor. However, we must also understand that historical macroeconomic data is not necessarily predictive in the new world order of easy money and pandemics. I am not here to give you financial advice but I will urge you not to act out of fear. Just look around to see how many doomsayers have been sitting on the sidelines for 5-6 years now and how much money they have lost by doing nothing. So what am I doing differently in this economy? Personally, I'm not doing much differently at all. I continue to invest in high quality real estate through our Investor Club that is already cash flowing, but has significant value-add elements to create equity. My reasoning is that, in doing so, with the wind at my back I might average 35-40 percent annualized returns or better like I have been lately. But even if things tighten up, my assets are of high quality and are very likely to weather the storm better than most other investments. But again, that's my philosophy. To create your own, learn as much as you can and think for yourself. This week's interview with retired Professor and former libertarian senate candidate, Murray Sabrin, would be a great start to educating yourself on the business cycle. Listen HERE