3/1/2026 The Comprehensive Investors Market Update

Spread the Wealth:Join our referral program and earn a free year with Retire By Investing! Share your unique referral link or use the ‘Share’ button on any post to invite friends. Here’s what you can earn:* 5 Referrals: Get a 1-month complimentary subscription ($20 Value)* 10 Referrals: Enjoy a 3-month complimentary subscription ($60 Value)* 15 Referrals: Secure a 12-month complimentary subscription ($200 Value)What’s New:This was AI-generated from the video.SPY/RSPThe speaker sees SPY showing signs of weakness after a failed breakout attempt above key levels (around 697), with price gapping down, failing to hold gains, and trading below declining EMAs. This forms a lower high and indicates underlying distribution, with broader market strength fading (e.g., watchlist stocks dropping from 98 to 31). The bullish thesis holds only above 697; below 675 signals bearish conditions. In contrast, RSP (equal-weight S&P) shows breakout potential tied to rotation into value sectors like energy, metals, biotechs, and defensives (evident in SPYV strength vs. SPYG), but caution remains due to possible distribution even near resistance (around 595-598 area). Overall, growth is out of favor, and caution/protection is advised.QQQ/QQQEQQQ (Nasdaq-100) looks weak technically after breaking above a prior base, failing to follow through, and falling back below key levels (around 615), with no sustained upside momentum. Tech appears vulnerable in the current environment. QQQE (equal-weight Nasdaq) paints a somewhat better relative picture, as certain non-mega-cap or selective stocks show strength and are performing well despite broader weakness. The speaker emphasizes that even in a deteriorating market, individual stocks with relative strength can still be playable—but trading remains highly selective, risky, and environment-dependent. Profits should be taken quickly, and positioning must be cautious with limited exposure.MDY/IWMMDY (S&P MidCap) is holding up relatively well after gapping down but failing at resistance, with the key question being whether it breaks down further or stabilizes. IWM (Russell 2000/small caps) is below certain levels but still holding decently for now, though downside risk persists and a breakdown remains possible. Neither shows strong conviction upward, and the speaker leaves their near-term direction uncertain, to be determined by future price action. Small/mid-caps are not highlighted as leading in the current rotation, which favors other sectors instead.VIXThe VIX has been forming higher lows while its moving averages compress tightly—an unusual degree of compression not seen in a while, signaling building potential for a significant volatility expansion. The speaker has been warning about this setup for weeks, comparing it to past explosive moves (e.g., August 2024, April, and even 2020-like events). If volatility breaks out (likely starting Monday per recent news/war developments), it could drive sharp market moves in either direction, but the speaker leans toward caution, expecting potential significant sell-offs if a big spike occurs. People shouldn’t rush to buy dips in such a scenario, as the market may not support it—downside protection is critical. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit retirebyinvesting.substack.com/subscribe